{"id":31250,"date":"2025-07-25T09:31:24","date_gmt":"2025-07-25T14:31:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/?p=31250"},"modified":"2025-07-25T09:31:24","modified_gmt":"2025-07-25T14:31:24","slug":"popular-supreme-court-decisions-inflation-pessimism-and-other-themes-from-the-july-marquette-law-school-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/2025\/07\/popular-supreme-court-decisions-inflation-pessimism-and-other-themes-from-the-july-marquette-law-school-poll\/","title":{"rendered":"Popular Supreme Court Decisions, Inflation Pessimism, and other Themes from the July Marquette Law School Poll"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Plus 1k adults share their biggest concerns about the country<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest national survey from the Marquette Law School Poll is out now. Here are just a few of the interesting results we found. For more, read our press release about <a href=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/2025\/07\/23\/new-marquette-law-school-poll-national-survey-finds-approval-of-president-trump-almost-unchanged-at-45-support-among-republicans-and-his-base-remains-strong\/\">national politics here<\/a>, our <a href=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/2025\/07\/24\/new-marquette-law-school-poll-national-survey-finds-majority-support-for-recent-u-s-supreme-court-decisions-with-bipartisan-support-for-several-partisan-divides-for-others\/\">Supreme Court press release<\/a>, or our <a href=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/2025\/07\/24\/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-7-16-2025-court-issues\/\">complete topline and crosstab tables<\/a>. At the last link you\u2019ll also find our new Trend Toplines file, which includes tables and graphs showing how the responses to each question have changed over time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Supreme Court\u2019s decisions were popular this term<\/strong>.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Majorities of adults favored the Supreme Court\u2019s rulings in <strong>all 7<\/strong> of the major cases we asked about from the past term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Uphold TX law requiring proof of age to access adult websites: <strong>75%<\/strong> favor<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Require due process for those subject to deportation: <strong>73%<\/strong> favor<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Uphold TN ban on transgender treatment for minors: <strong>71%<\/strong> favor<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Allow parents to opt school children out of lessons: <strong>71%<\/strong> favor<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Uphold law requiring TikTok sale: <strong>60%<\/strong> favor<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Require religious tax exemption for Catholic Charities: <strong>59%<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Limit district court use of nationwide injunctions: <strong>56%<\/strong> favor<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, 49% approved of the Court\u2019s job performance and 51% disapproved. This is a four-point drop in those approving, driven by a large (13-point) drop-off among Democrats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Back in the summer of 2021, the parties scarcely differed in their views of the court. This changed rapidly, particularly following the <em>Dobbs<\/em> decision overturning <em>Roe v Wade<\/em>. In the latest poll, 83% of Republicans approve of the Supreme Court\u2019s job vs 20% of Democrats and 45% of independents.<a href=\"#_edn1\" id=\"_ednref1\">[i]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-1-1024x683.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-31252\" srcset=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-1-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-1-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-1-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-1-1536x1024.png 1536w, https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-1.png 1800w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Trump\u2019s overall job approval is stable but varies a lot by topic.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Approval of Trump\u2019s job performance ranges from +8 on border security to -30 on tariffs, inflation, and the cost of living.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-1024x683.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-31251\" srcset=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-1536x1024.png 1536w, https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image.png 1800w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Pessimism about inflation<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Opposition to immigration and frustration with high inflation helped elect Trump in 2024, and initially Trump enjoyed support for his policies on both these issues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In December 2024, shortly after winning the election, 81% of Trump voters anticipated that his policies would decrease inflation. This fell to 75% in February, 67% in March, 59% in May, and 58% in July.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among all adults in July, just 28% believe Trump\u2019s policies will decrease inflation and 60% expect an increase. 65% percent predict that \u201cinflation and the cost of living will increase\u201d over the next 12 months, while just 18% expect it to decline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Support for deportations is waning<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Since early 2024, we\u2019ve asked \u201cDo you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries?\u201d Phrased this way, support for deportations grew after Trump\u2019s election, reaching 68% favoring deportations in March with 32% opposed. In July, support for deportations fell to 57% with 43% opposed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Views on deportations are highly dependent on how the question is phrased. Throughout this period, we have also asked, \u201cDo you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries even if they have lived here for a number of years, have jobs and no criminal record?\u201d Put this way, support for deportations has never exceeded 44% and stood at 38% in July 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most people (55%) think the U.S. is \u201cmostly deporting immigrants who have no criminal records,\u201d while 45% believe mostly immigrants with criminal records are being deported. July is the first time we\u2019ve included this question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Themes in open-ended responses<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Unlike our Wisconsin state polls, all survey respondents complete our national polls online. This allows us to ask open-ended, free-response questions. Since December, we\u2019ve asked, \u201cWhat do you [like\/dislike] about Donald Trump?\u201d In July, we added a new question. \u201cWhat is your biggest concern about the country these days?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You can read, search, sort, and filter all 1,005 responses <a href=\"https:\/\/lubarcenter.shinyapps.io\/trump-open-ended-4\/\">at this link<\/a>. This is an exercise I find invaluable in understanding what voters (and non-voters) are actually thinking.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are a few of my impressions from the free responses:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The balance of open-ended responses has shifted modestly against Trump, tracking his slow decline in overall job approval. In December 2024, 51% named things they both liked and disliked about Trump, while 12% didn\u2019t dislike anything and 35% didn\u2019t like anything. In July, a similar number, 49%, list likes and dislikes, but the those who don\u2019t like anything grew to 40% and those who don\u2019t dislike anything fell to 8%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If I had to describe the content of the \u201cbiggest concern\u201d question in one word it would be \u201cfear\u201d or \u201canxiety\u201d even more so than \u201canger,\u201d which was also present in many responses.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ninety-one people spontaneously mentioned going to war as among their top concerns for the country.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Many answers described social divisions and frustrations with other Americans. Elsewhere in the survey, 56% said that \u201cgenerally speaking, most people can\u2019t be trusted.\u201d This is the highest level mistrust we have measured in 24 surveys going back to September 2021. Our open-ended <a href=\"https:\/\/lubarcenter.shinyapps.io\/trump-open-ended-4\/\">explorer tool<\/a> allows you to filter answers by the respondent\u2019s level of trust in others.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Over 90 people spontaneously mentioned something related to immigration, ICE, or deportations as among their biggest concerns. Of these, 58% were generally supportive of Trump\u2019s policies, 31% were opposed, and the views of 11% were unclear or unclassifiable.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>13 people, 11 of them Republicans, spontaneously mentioned Jeffrey Epstein, always in criticism of Donald Trump. Our survey was in the field from July 7-16, with most interviews completed by July 9<sup>th<\/sup>. The Department of Justice published its memo ending the Epstein investigation on July 7<sup>th<\/sup>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref1\" id=\"_edn1\">[i]<\/a> These figures are for <em>unleaned<\/em> party ID, where independents who lean to a party are still counted as independents. The press release shows figures for <em>leaned <\/em>party ID. I use the unleaned party ID in this graphic because it has a longer time series.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Plus 1k adults share their biggest concerns about the country The latest national survey from the Marquette Law School Poll is out now. Here are just a few of the interesting results we found. For more, read our press release about national politics here, our Supreme Court press release, or our complete topline and crosstab [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":207,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[162],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-marquette-law-school-poll","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/207"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31250"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31250\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31253,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31250\/revisions\/31253"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/facultyblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}