Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll September 8-15, 2020

These are partial results with other items held for later release.

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among all respondents are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

Q3A: confidence in Supreme Court

[The US Supreme Court] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
A great deal Quite a lot Some Very little None at all SKIPPED ON WEB n
sex
Male 15 28 44 10 3 0 736
Female 9 28 45 15 3 0 787
age
18-29 13 14 50 18 5 0 313
30-44 10 24 49 14 3 0 378
45-59 12 34 41 10 3 0 379
60+ 12 36 39 10 3 1 453
education
Less than HS 24 17 36 14 9 0 149
HS graduate 8 25 48 14 5 0 430
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 11 27 47 12 2 0 422
Bachelor's degree 11 29 44 14 2 0 292
Post grad study/professional degree 11 39 40 8 1 0 230
income
Under $40k 11 25 40 18 6 0 505
$40k to $85k 8 26 51 12 3 0 498
85k plus 16 32 43 8 1 0 521
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 18 32 42 7 1 0 447
Independent 8 27 46 13 6 0 523
Democrat 10 26 45 17 3 0 548
party ID, leaners separate
Republican 18 32 42 7 1 0 447
Lean Republican 7 42 39 11 1 0 150
Independent 10 14 48 17 11 0 201
Lean Democrat 5 28 51 11 5 0 172
Democrat 10 26 45 17 3 0 548
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 16 34 41 8 1 0 597
Independent 10 14 48 17 11 0 201
Democrat 9 26 46 15 3 0 721
marital status
Married 12 32 43 11 3 0 753
Widowed 13 40 36 6 3 2 43
Divorced 15 36 36 10 3 0 149
Separated 8 32 41 12 8 0 70
Never married 13 18 48 17 3 0 414
Living with partner 1 19 61 15 4 0 95
race and ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic 11 33 43 10 2 0 956
Black, non-Hispanic 8 16 50 19 6 0 182
Other, non-Hispanic 1 52 20 24 2 0 17
Hispanic 11 20 46 18 5 0 254
2+, non-Hispanic 0 13 50 30 7 0 33
Asian, non-Hispanic 30 17 49 2 1 0 81
religious service attendance
More than once a week 12 27 42 16 2 0 141
Once a week 17 26 48 7 2 1 331
Once or twice a month 8 30 46 15 1 0 124
A few times a year 15 32 39 10 4 0 185
Seldom 11 27 41 14 7 0 325
Never 8 28 47 15 3 0 412
SKIPPED ON WEB 0 15 85 0 0 0 5
religious preference
Born-again Protestant 14 30 42 10 4 0 395
Mainline Protestant 9 32 40 16 4 0 320
Roman Catholic 12 27 49 9 3 0 291
No religion 6 26 49 16 2 0 360
Other religion 24 20 39 14 3 0 141
Skipped 0 8 71 5 16 0 16
ideology
Very conservative 16 23 49 12 0 0 134
Conservative 16 35 41 8 1 0 374
Moderate 11 26 45 14 4 0 627
Liberal 8 30 45 11 5 0 251
Very liberal 5 21 47 20 7 1 120
SKIPPED ON WEB 0 0 71 24 3 2 18
region
Northeast 9 29 48 10 4 1 266
Midwest 10 33 42 11 4 0 316
South 13 24 45 15 3 0 579
West 12 29 44 12 3 0 363

Q28: how to interpret the law

How should Supreme Court justices interpret the law? Should they…?
Read the text of the law as written Use the commonly understood meaning at the time the law was written Interpret the law as it applies to current circumstances SKIPPED ON WEB n
sex
Male 28 27 46 0 736
Female 35 19 45 1 787
age
18-29 22 29 48 1 313
30-44 31 24 44 1 378
45-59 33 19 47 1 379
60+ 36 19 44 1 453
education
Less than HS 23 50 26 1 149
HS graduate 39 23 38 0 430
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 33 18 48 1 422
Bachelor's degree 27 20 52 1 292
Post grad study/professional degree 24 16 59 1 230
income
Under $40k 32 24 43 2 505
$40k to $85k 36 23 40 0 498
85k plus 26 20 53 1 521
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 46 23 31 0 447
Independent 29 23 47 1 523
Democrat 21 21 56 1 548
party ID, leaners separate
Republican 46 23 31 0 447
Lean Republican 36 27 37 1 150
Independent 33 30 35 2 201
Lean Democrat 18 12 70 0 172
Democrat 21 21 56 1 548
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 43 24 32 0 597
Independent 33 30 35 2 201
Democrat 21 19 60 1 721
marital status
Married 35 20 44 1 753
Widowed 35 20 45 0 43
Divorced 38 19 41 2 149
Separated 22 17 61 0 70
Never married 23 28 49 1 414
Living with partner 31 34 35 1 95
race and ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic 38 19 43 0 956
Black, non-Hispanic 21 23 54 2 182
Other, non-Hispanic 16 26 58 0 17
Hispanic 25 29 45 1 254
2+, non-Hispanic 16 33 46 6 33
Asian, non-Hispanic 8 33 59 0 81
religious service attendance
More than once a week 33 27 39 2 141
Once a week 37 26 36 1 331
Once or twice a month 31 32 37 1 124
A few times a year 32 17 50 1 185
Seldom 29 22 48 1 325
Never 28 18 54 0 412
SKIPPED ON WEB 10 41 39 10 5
religious preference
Born-again Protestant 39 25 34 1 395
Mainline Protestant 33 19 47 1 320
Roman Catholic 32 19 49 0 291
No religion 26 21 53 0 360
Other religion 19 32 49 0 141
Skipped 12 46 32 10 16
ideology
Very conservative 56 24 19 1 134
Conservative 43 24 33 0 374
Moderate 28 24 47 1 627
Liberal 19 18 63 0 251
Very liberal 13 16 70 1 120
SKIPPED ON WEB 22 25 45 8 18
region
Northeast 29 25 45 0 266
Midwest 34 19 46 1 316
South 34 22 43 1 579
West 25 25 49 1 363

Q38: what motivates decisions

In general, what most often motivates Supreme Court justices’ decisions?
Mainly politics Mainly the law SKIPPED ON WEB n
sex
Male 38 62 0 736
Female 37 62 1 787
age
18-29 39 60 2 313
30-44 43 56 0 378
45-59 37 63 0 379
60+ 32 68 0 453
education
Less than HS 34 66 0 149
HS graduate 50 49 1 430
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 38 61 1 422
Bachelor's degree 32 67 1 292
Post grad study/professional degree 21 79 0 230
income
Under $40k 42 58 1 505
$40k to $85k 41 59 0 498
85k plus 30 69 1 521
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 39 60 1 447
Independent 35 65 1 523
Democrat 39 61 0 548
party ID, leaners separate
Republican 39 60 1 447
Lean Republican 34 66 0 150
Independent 38 60 2 201
Lean Democrat 31 69 0 172
Democrat 39 61 0 548
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 38 62 1 597
Independent 38 60 2 201
Democrat 37 63 0 721
marital status
Married 36 64 0 753
Widowed 34 65 1 43
Divorced 33 66 1 149
Separated 45 55 0 70
Never married 39 59 2 414
Living with partner 44 56 0 95
race and ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic 36 63 1 956
Black, non-Hispanic 41 59 0 182
Other, non-Hispanic 37 63 0 17
Hispanic 37 63 1 254
2+, non-Hispanic 40 60 0 33
Asian, non-Hispanic 44 52 4 81
religious service attendance
More than once a week 41 55 4 141
Once a week 37 62 0 331
Once or twice a month 41 59 0 124
A few times a year 28 71 0 185
Seldom 41 59 0 325
Never 36 63 0 412
SKIPPED ON WEB 20 55 26 5
religious preference
Born-again Protestant 38 60 1 395
Mainline Protestant 35 64 1 320
Roman Catholic 37 63 0 291
No religion 38 62 0 360
Other religion 38 62 0 141
Skipped 42 43 15 16
ideology
Very conservative 40 60 0 134
Conservative 35 65 0 374
Moderate 39 61 1 627
Liberal 35 65 0 251
Very liberal 40 60 0 120
SKIPPED ON WEB 32 48 21 18
region
Northeast 40 59 1 266
Midwest 38 62 0 316
South 38 61 1 579
West 34 65 1 363

Q39: how should justices base decisions

How should Supreme Court justices base their decisions? On their interpretations of…?
What the US Constitution was understood to mean when it was originally written The Constitution as a document whose meaning may have evolved over time SKIPPED ON WEB n
sex
Male 45 55 1 736
Female 46 53 2 787
age
18-29 32 66 2 313
30-44 39 59 2 378
45-59 51 49 0 379
60+ 54 44 1 453
education
Less than HS 40 60 0 149
HS graduate 58 41 1 430
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 43 54 2 422
Bachelor's degree 40 59 1 292
Post grad study/professional degree 35 64 1 230
income
Under $40k 52 46 2 505
$40k to $85k 47 52 1 498
85k plus 37 62 0 521
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 69 31 0 447
Independent 40 58 1 523
Democrat 31 67 1 548
party ID, leaners separate
Republican 69 31 0 447
Lean Republican 58 41 1 150
Independent 41 56 3 201
Lean Democrat 24 76 1 172
Democrat 31 67 1 548
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 66 34 0 597
Independent 41 56 3 201
Democrat 29 69 1 721
marital status
Married 49 50 1 753
Widowed 40 60 0 43
Divorced 54 45 2 149
Separated 54 46 0 70
Never married 34 64 2 414
Living with partner 45 55 0 95
race and ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic 48 52 1 956
Black, non-Hispanic 45 53 2 182
Other, non-Hispanic 24 76 0 17
Hispanic 48 51 1 254
2+, non-Hispanic 31 63 6 33
Asian, non-Hispanic 19 79 2 81
religious service attendance
More than once a week 66 32 2 141
Once a week 53 45 2 331
Once or twice a month 66 33 0 124
A few times a year 37 63 1 185
Seldom 44 55 1 325
Never 31 68 1 412
SKIPPED ON WEB 25 49 26 5
religious preference
Born-again Protestant 68 31 1 395
Mainline Protestant 42 56 2 320
Roman Catholic 43 56 1 291
No religion 29 70 1 360
Other religion 34 65 1 141
Skipped 45 34 21 16
ideology
Very conservative 84 16 0 134
Conservative 64 36 0 374
Moderate 40 59 1 627
Liberal 23 75 2 251
Very liberal 16 82 2 120
SKIPPED ON WEB 49 36 16 18
region
Northeast 43 57 0 266
Midwest 45 54 1 316
South 51 48 1 579
West 37 61 2 363

Q40A: favor/oppose - overturn Roe vs. Wade

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[Overturn Roe versus Wade, thus strike down the 1973 decision that made abortion legal in all 50 states] How much do you favor or oppose the following possible Supreme Court decisions?
Strongly favor Somewhat favor Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know SKIPPED ON WEB n
sex
Male 18 17 13 40 11 1 736
Female 18 11 16 42 12 2 787
age
18-29 16 18 12 33 18 2 313
30-44 18 11 17 42 12 1 378
45-59 18 14 14 41 10 2 379
60+ 19 13 15 45 8 0 453
education
Less than HS 16 24 17 17 25 2 149
HS graduate 21 15 15 33 15 1 430
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 19 13 16 40 11 1 422
Bachelor's degree 18 13 12 50 6 1 292
Post grad study/professional degree 13 8 13 61 5 1 230
income
Under $40k 18 16 14 36 15 1 505
$40k to $85k 18 16 15 38 12 1 498
85k plus 18 10 14 49 8 1 521
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 38 16 15 22 9 0 447
Independent 16 13 17 39 14 2 523
Democrat 4 13 12 58 12 1 548
party ID, leaners separate
Republican 38 16 15 22 9 0 447
Lean Republican 33 19 21 19 7