Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll September 8-15, 2020

These are partial results with other items held for later release.

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among all respondents are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

Q15C: Fav/Unfav - Ruth Bader Ginsburg

[Ruth Bader Ginsburg] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Never heard of Heard but not enough Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion SKIPPED ON WEB n
sex
Male 12 18 45 24 0 736
Female 23 21 43 13 0 787
age
18-29 33 18 38 11 0 313
30-44 22 24 38 15 1 378
45-59 14 21 47 18 0 379
60+ 6 16 51 27 0 453
education
Less than HS 31 19 41 9 0 149
HS graduate 23 26 33 18 0 430
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 17 21 41 20 1 422
Bachelor's degree 15 14 49 22 0 292
Post grad study/professional degree 4 11 67 19 0 230
income
Under $40k 23 25 38 13 1 505
$40k to $85k 22 19 40 19 0 498
85k plus 8 14 54 24 0 521
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 18 20 24 38 0 447
Independent 19 23 40 17 0 523
Democrat 15 16 65 4 0 548
party ID, leaners separate
Republican 18 20 24 38 0 447
Lean Republican 17 29 16 39 0 150
Independent 28 27 32 13 1 201
Lean Democrat 12 14 70 4 0 172
Democrat 15 16 65 4 0 548
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 18 22 22 38 0 597
Independent 28 27 32 13 1 201
Democrat 14 15 66 4 0 721
marital status
Married 16 16 43 25 0 753
Widowed 4 31 52 14 0 43
Divorced 9 27 48 16 0 149
Separated 7 29 50 13 0 70
Never married 24 20 45 11 1 414
Living with partner 26 20 42 12 0 95
race and ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic 13 17 46 24 0 956
Black, non-Hispanic 18 30 43 7 2 182
Other, non-Hispanic 19 15 65 0 0 17
Hispanic 32 23 35 10 0 254
2+, non-Hispanic 23 32 39 6 0 33
Asian, non-Hispanic 22 14 53 10 0 81
religious service attendance
More than once a week 22 24 28 25 1 141
Once a week 14 21 39 26 0 331
Once or twice a month 31 20 33 16 0 124
A few times a year 17 15 50 18 1 185
Seldom 19 19 45 17 0 325
Never 14 19 54 13 0 412
SKIPPED ON WEB 10 15 75 0 0 5
religious preference
Born-again Protestant 20 22 30 27 0 395
Mainline Protestant 16 19 44 21 0 320
Roman Catholic 20 19 43 18 1 291
No religion 13 19 57 11 0 360
Other religion 19 16 55 10 0 141
Skipped 21 22 38 10 10 16
ideology
Very conservative 9 14 16 61 0 134
Conservative 13 28 26 33 0 374
Moderate 25 20 44 11 0 627
Liberal 10 17 71 1 0 251
Very liberal 15 5 77 4 0 120
SKIPPED ON WEB 35 10 34 20 2 18
region
Northeast 15 19 47 19 1 266
Midwest 21 18 42 19 0 316
South 16 21 42 21 0 579
West 19 19 48 14 0 363

Q15F: Fav/Unfav - Brett Kavanaugh

[Brett Kavanaugh] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Never heard of Heard but not enough Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion SKIPPED ON WEB n
sex
Male 11 21 34 33 0 736
Female 21 25 22 32 1 787
age
18-29 23 19 21 37 0 313
30-44 18 29 19 33 1 378
45-59 17 21 32 28 2 379
60+ 9 23 36 32 0 453
education
Less than HS 24 21 37 18 0 149
HS graduate 22 25 28 25 1 430
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 16 27 26 30 1 422
Bachelor's degree 11 22 29 38 0 292
Post grad study/professional degree 6 15 25 54 0 230
income
Under $40k 20 29 24 26 1 505
$40k to $85k 19 23 26 31 1 498
85k plus 9 17 33 40 0 521
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 16 21 56 6 1 447
Independent 18 30 22 29 1 523
Democrat 14 18 10 57 0 548
party ID, leaners separate
Republican 16 21 56 6 1 447
Lean Republican 13 32 48 7 0 150
Independent 27 37 16 19 1 201
Lean Democrat 11 22 7 59 1 172
Democrat 14 18 10 57 0 548
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 15 24 54 6 1 597
Independent 27 37 16 19 1 201
Democrat 14 19 10 58 0 721
marital status
Married 14 21 34 30 0 753
Widowed 7 34 36 23 0 43
Divorced 17 24 24 34 0 149
Separated 9 29 25 36 2 70
Never married 21 22 21 36 1 414
Living with partner 15 31 18 34 3 95
race and ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic 12 22 33 32 0 956
Black, non-Hispanic 19 26 17 37 1 182
Other, non-Hispanic 22 32 4 42 0 17
Hispanic 28 25 19 27 2 254
2+, non-Hispanic 21 40 5 34 0 33
Asian, non-Hispanic 14 12 30 44 0 81
religious service attendance
More than once a week 15 19 45 21 0 141
Once a week 13 21 43 22 1 331
Once or twice a month 21 20 40 18 1 124
A few times a year 18 21 24 36 1 185
Seldom 17 29 22 31 0 325
Never 15 23 13 48 1 412
SKIPPED ON WEB 10 32 0 58 0 5
religious preference
Born-again Protestant 14 22 48 15 1 395
Mainline Protestant 17 23 26 33 0 320
Roman Catholic 24 25 22 28 1 291
No religion 13 21 12 54 0 360
Other religion 9 24 31 36 0 141
Skipped 17 36 19 18 10 16
ideology
Very conservative 6 15 70 6 2 134
Conservative 14 26 50 9 0 374
Moderate 22 29 19 29 1 627
Liberal 11 14 8 68 0 251
Very liberal 11 9 3 76 1 120
SKIPPED ON WEB 17 17 17 47 2 18
region
Northeast 17 20 28 35 1 266
Midwest 18 28 27 27 1 316
South 14 23 31 31 1 579
West 17 22 23 38 0 363

Q15G: Fav/Unfav - John Roberts

[John Roberts] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Never heard of Heard but not enough Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion SKIPPED ON WEB n
sex
Male 21 26 37 16 1 736
Female 40 28 21 9 2 787
age
18-29 47 21 19 12 1 313
30-44 40 31 18 10 2 378
45-59 29 29 30 12 0 379
60+ 14 26 43 16 1 453
education
Less than HS 38 24 29 9 0 149
HS graduate 37 31 19 11 2 430
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 33 28 26 11 1 422
Bachelor's degree 29 25 32 14 1 292
Post grad study/professional degree 13 22 47 17 1 230
income
Under $40k 35 31 22 11 1 505
$40k to $85k 37 23 27 12 1 498
85k plus 21 27 36 15 1 521
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 32 25 28 14 1 447
Independent 33 28 26 11 1 523
Democrat 28 28 31 13 0 548
party ID, leaners separate
Republican 32 25 28 14 1 447
Lean Republican 27 34 22 15 2 150
Independent 44 24 21 9 2 201
Lean Democrat 25 28 36 11 1 172
Democrat 28 28 31 13 0 548
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 31 27 27 14 1 597
Independent 44 24 21 9 2 201
Democrat 27 28 32 12 0 721
marital status
Married 28 25 32 14 1 753
Widowed 11 49 30 10 0 43
Divorced 30 31 26 10 2 149
Separated 21 31 33 16 0 70
Never married 40 25 23 11 1 414
Living with partner 35 33 20 10 2 95
race and ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic 28 27 31 13 1 956
Black, non-Hispanic 30 27 24 15 3 182
Other, non-Hispanic 20 25 32 9 14 17
Hispanic 44 27 19 10 0 254
2+, non-Hispanic 47 20 21 12 0 33
Asian, non-Hispanic 29 23 41 8 0 81
religious service attendance
More than once a week 33 24 26 16 1 141
Once a week 28 26 31 14 0 331
Once or twice a month 30 29 31 10 1 124
A few times a year 28 29 31 9 3 185
Seldom 37 23 28 11 1 325
Never 29 30 26 14 1 412
SKIPPED ON WEB 42 23 35 0 0 5
religious preference
Born-again Protestant 32 29 25 13 1 395
Mainline Protestant 32 22 30 14 2 320
Roman Catholic 36 28 27 8 0 291
No religion 27 29 28 15 1 360
Other religion 24 25 42 10 0 141
Skipped 32 36 13 10 10 16
ideology
Very conservative 16 23 33 25 2 134
Conservative 33 27 27 12 1 374
Moderate 35 27 29 7 1 627
Liberal 26 28 31 15 0 251
Very liberal 30 28 21 21 0 120
SKIPPED ON WEB 32 23 16 12 16 18
region
Northeast 32 27 30 10 1 266
Midwest 35 29 21 15 1 316
South 27 27 30 14 1 579
West 32 25 31 11 1 363

Q24: importance of next justice

How important is the choice of the next Supreme Court justice to you personally?
Very important Somewhat important Not too important Not at all important SKIPPED ON WEB n
sex
Male 48 35 13 4 0 736
Female 48 34 13 5 0 787
age
18-29 36 46 14 3 0 313
30-44 43 31 21 5 0 378
45-59 44 37 11 7 0 379
60+ 63 26 8 2 0 453
education
Less than HS 35 46 12 6 0 149
HS graduate 40 38 15 7 0 430
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 47 34 15 3 0 422
Bachelor's degree 53 31 12 4 1 292
Post grad study/professional degree 65 24 9 1 0 230
income
Under $40k 42 35 15 7 0 505
$40k to $85k 47 36 13 4 0 498
85k plus 54 32 11 3 0 521
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 48 33 14 4 0 447
Independent 39 37 16 8 0 523
Democrat 56 32 10 1 0 548
party ID, leaners separate
Republican 48 33 14 4 0 447
Lean Republican 45 34 15 5 0 150
Independent 21 46 18 15 0 201
Lean Democrat 54 29 14 2 0 172
Democrat 56 32 10 1 0 548
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 47 34 14 5 0 597
Independent 21 46 18 15 0 201
Democrat 56 31 11 1 0 721
marital status
Married 54 30 11 5 0 753
Widowed 30 55 10 4 0 43
Divorced 44 36 14 5 1 149
Separated 56 23 15 6 0 70
Never married 40 41 15 4 0 414
Living with partner 42 31 22 5 0 95
race and ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic 51 32 12 5 0 956
Black, non-Hispanic 51 32 15 2 1 182
Other, non-Hispanic 38 45 18 0 0 17
Hispanic 38 40 16 5 0 254
2+, non-Hispanic 37 41 11 11 0 33
Asian, non-Hispanic 46 39 12 3 0 81
religious service attendance
More than once a week 59 23 12 5 1 141
Once a week 49 38 10 3 0 331
Once or twice a month 45 42 10 2 0 124
A few times a year 46 33 16 5 0 185
Seldom 44 36 15 4 0 325
Never 48 31 14 6 0 412
SKIPPED ON WEB 25 49 26 0 0 5
religious preference
Born-again Protestant 51 35 10 4 0 395
Mainline Protestant 42 35 17 6 0 320
Roman Catholic 42 39 14 5 0 291
No religion 50 30 15 5 0 360
Other religion 58 31 8 3 0 141
Skipped 38 39 15 5 3 16
ideology
Very conservative 75 18 5 3 0 134
Conservative 44 32 16 7 0 374
Moderate 38 42 16 5 0 627
Liberal 58 33 7 1 0 251
Very liberal 67 19 12 2 0 120
SKIPPED ON WEB 2 49 25 15 8 18
region
Northeast 48 34 12 5 0 266
Midwest 42 37 15 6 0 316
South 50 32 15 3 0 579
West 49 35 10 5 0 363

Q25: vote based on justice’s beliefs