Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll November 1-10, 2021

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among all respondents are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

A1: interest in politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. How often do you follow what's going on in politics…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Most of the time	395	39	39	39
Some of the time	368	37	37	76
Only now and then	180	18	18	94
Hardly at all	57	6	6	100
Skipped/Ref	4	0	0	100

B1: Biden approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve	116	12	12	12
Somewhat approve	373	37	37	49
Somewhat disapprove	180	18	18	67
Strongly disapprove	329	33	33	99
Skipped/Ref	6	1	1	100

B1: Biden approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Approve	489	49	49	49
Disapprove	509	51	51	99
Skipped/Ref	6	1	1	100

B2: Supreme Court approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve	57	6	6	6
Somewhat approve	481	48	48	54
Somewhat disapprove	326	32	32	86
Strongly disapprove	134	13	13	99
Skipped/Ref	6	1	1	100

B2: Supreme Court approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Approve	538	54	54	54
Disapprove	460	46	46	99
Refused	6	1	1	100

B3: Congress approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Congress is handling its job?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve	15	2	2	2
Somewhat approve	260	26	26	27
Somewhat disapprove	400	40	40	67
Strongly disapprove	319	32	32	99
Skipped/Ref	9	1	1	100

B3: Congress approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Congress is handling its job?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Approve	276	27	27	27
Disapprove	719	72	72	99
Skipped/Ref	9	1	1	100

B4: Most trusted branch

Of the three branches of US government, which one do you trust the most?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
The US Congress (the legislative branch)	160	16	16	16
The Presidency (the executive branch)	227	23	23	39
The US Supreme Court (the judicial branch)	605	60	60	99
Skipped/Ref	12	1	1	100

B5: Justice motivations

In general, what most often motivates Supreme Court justices’ decisions?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Mainly politics	302	30	30	30
Mainly the law	702	70	70	100

B6: SCOTUS ideology

[The US Supreme Court] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	154	15	15	15
Somewhat conservative	356	35	35	51
Moderate	396	39	39	90
Somewhat liberal	79	8	8	98
Very liberal	15	1	1	100
Skipped/Ref	4	0	0	100

B7: Biden ideology

[Joe Biden] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	37	4	4	4
Somewhat conservative	90	9	9	13
Moderate	273	27	27	40
Somewhat liberal	273	27	27	67
Very liberal	327	33	33	100
Skipped/Ref	4	0	0	100

B8: Democratic Party ideology

[The Democratic party] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	32	3	3	3
Somewhat conservative	77	8	8	11
Moderate	193	19	19	30
Somewhat liberal	278	28	28	58
Very liberal	421	42	42	100
Skipped/Ref	4	0	0	100

B9: Republican Party ideology

[The Republican party] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	493	49	49	49
Somewhat conservative	287	29	29	78
Moderate	140	14	14	92
Somewhat liberal	51	5	5	97
Very liberal	26	3	3	99
Skipped/Ref	7	1	1	100

B10: Personal importance of next justice

How important is the choice of the next Supreme Court justice to you personally?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very important	452	45	45	45
Somewhat important	333	33	33	78
Not too important	172	17	17	95
Not at all important	47	5	5	100

B11: Justice partisan nomination balance

What is your guess as to whether a majority of the current US Supreme Court Justices were appointed by Democratic or Republican presidents?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Definitely a majority appointed by Democratic presidents	50	5	5	5
Probably a majority appointed by Democratic presidents	229	23	23	28
Probably a majority appointed by Republican presidents	440	44	44	72
Definitely a majority appointed by Republican presidents	278	28	28	99
Skipped/Ref	6	1	1	100

C1: Fav/Unfav Biden

[Joe Biden] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favorable opinion	455	45	45	45
Unfavorable opinion	490	49	49	94
Haven't heard enough	59	6	6	100

C2: Fav/Unfav Harris

[Kamala Harris] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favorable opinion	386	38	38	38
Unfavorable opinion	458	46	46	84
Haven't heard enough	160	16	16	100

C3: Fav/Unfav Trump

[Donald Trump] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favorable opinion	321	32	32	32
Unfavorable opinion	652	65	65	97
Haven't heard enough	28	3	3	100
Skipped/Ref	2	0	0	100

C4: Fav/Unfav Pence

[Mike Pence] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favorable opinion	287	29	29	29
Unfavorable opinion	513	51	51	80
Haven't heard enough	204	20	20	100

E1: Increase number of justices

[Increase the number of justices on the US Supreme Court] How much do you favor or oppose the following proposals affecting the Supreme Court?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor	155	15	15	15
Somewhat favor	329	33	33	48
Somewhat oppose	227	23	23	71
Strongly oppose	292	29	29	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100

E2: Institute fixed terms

[Have judges serve a fixed term on the court rather than serving life terms] How much do you favor or oppose the following proposals affecting the Supreme Court?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor	416	41	41	41
Somewhat favor	310	31	31	72
Somewhat oppose	153	15	15	88
Strongly oppose	123	12	12	100
Skipped/Ref	3	0	0	100

E3: Limit judicial review

[Limit the ability of the Supreme Court to review and set aside acts of Congress as unconstitutional] How much do you favor or oppose the following proposals affecting the Supreme Court?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor	84	8	8	8
Somewhat favor	351	35	35	43
Somewhat oppose	324	32	32	76
Strongly oppose	241	24	24	100
Skipped/Ref	3	0	0	100

E4: Knowledge of Commission

How much have you read or heard about the Presidential Commission on Supreme Court reform?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Nothing at all	456	45	45	45
Only a little	426	42	42	88
A fair bit	104	10	10	98
A lot	16	2	2	100
Skipped/Ref	2	0	0	100

H1: Favor/Oppose strike down Roe

[Overturn Roe versus Wade, thus strike down the 1973 decision that made abortion legal in all 50 states.] Do you favor or oppose the following possible future Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Heard nothing at all	112	11	11	11
Heard of but not enough for an opinion	210	21	21	32
Favor	207	21	21	53
Oppose	474	47	47	100
Skipped/Ref	2	0	0	100

H2: Favor/Oppose extend 2nd Amendment

[Rule that the 2nd Amendment right to “keep and bear arms” protects the right to carry a gun outside the home.] Do you favor or oppose the following possible future Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Heard nothing at all	83	8	8	8
Heard of but not enough for an opinion	193	19	19	28
Favor	464	46	46	74
Oppose	249	25	25	99
Skipped/Ref	14	1	1	100

H3: Favor/Oppose ban abortions after 15 weeks

[Rule to uphold a state law that (except in cases of medical emergencies or fetal abnormalities) bans abortions after the 15th week of pregnancy.] Do you favor or oppose the following possible future Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Heard nothing at all	78	8	8	8
Heard of but not enough for an opinion	225	22	22	30
Favor	372	37	37	67
Oppose	326	32	32	100
Skipped/Ref	3	0	0	100

H4: Favor/Oppose Federal suit in Texas

[Rule that the United States government has the right to bring suit in federal court to try to prohibit Texas Senate Bill 8, the law that bans almost all abortions in the state after about six weeks of pregnancy, from being enforced.] Do you favor or oppose the following possible future Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Heard nothing at all	92	9	9	9
Heard of but not enough for an opinion	222	22	22	31
Heard of and favor the decision	386	38	38	70
Heard of and oppose the decision	300	30	30	100
Skipped/Ref	4	0	0	100

G1: OSHA COVID requirement

Do you favor or oppose the federal government requiring that companies with more than 100 employees mandate coronavirus vaccinations or weekly testing for unvaccinated workers?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favor	564	56	56	56
Oppose	440	44	44	100

G2: COVID vaccine status

Have you personally received the coronavirus vaccine, or not?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes-Single dose vaccine (J&J)	64	6	6	6
Yes-Received first of two doses (Pfizer/Moderna)	155	15	15	22
Yes-Gotten both doses (Pfizer/Moderna)	386	38	38	60
Yes-And have had booster dose (of any brand)	174	17	17	78
No-Have not received vaccine	220	22	22	99
Skipped/Ref	5	1	1	100

G3: COVID vaccine intention

Will you definitely get a coronavirus vaccine, probably get it, probably not get it, or definitely not get it?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Definitely get it	7	1	3	3
Probably get it	33	3	15	18
Probably not get it	76	8	34	52
Definitely not get it	103	10	47	99
Skipped/Ref	3	0	1	100
(Missing)	784	78	NA	NA

G4: COVID level in your state

Do you think the current level of coronavirus cases in your state is a serious problem or not a serious problem?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Serious problem	502	50	50	50
Not serious problem	502	50	50	100
Skipped/Ref	0	0	0	100

G5: Confidence in election

How confident are you that, across the country, the votes for president were accurately cast and counted in last year's election? Very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident.
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very confident	465	46	46	46
Somewhat confident	183	18	18	65
Not too confident	157	16	16	80
Not at all confident	198	20	20	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100

G6: Favor/Oppose TX abortion law

A new Texas law bans abortions after about six weeks of pregnancy, once cardiac activity can be detected, and it allows any private citizen to sue anyone who performs an abortion or assists someone in obtaining an abortion. Do you favor or oppose this law, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favor	250	25	25	25
Oppose	592	59	59	84
Haven't heard enough	161	16	16	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100

X1: Voted in 2016

In any election, some people are not able to vote because they are sick or busy or have some other reason, and others do not want to vote. Did you vote in the election held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	738	74	74	74
No	263	26	26	100
Skipped/Ref	3	0	0	100

X2: Registered in 2016

Were you registered to vote in the November 3, 2020 election?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	125	12	47	47
No	138	14	53	100
(Missing)	741	74	NA	NA

X3: Donald Trump 2024

Would you like to see Donald Trump run for president in 2024, or not?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	284	28	28	28
No	714	71	71	99
Skipped/Ref	6	1	1	100

X4: Trump vs Biden 2024

If the 2024 election for president were held today between [Donald Trump, the Republican] and [Joe Biden, the Democrat] would you vote for [Donald Trump] or for [Joe Biden]?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump	345	34	34	34
Joe Biden	418	42	42	76
Someone else	180	18	18	94
Wouldn't vote	62	6	6	100

X5: Trust in government

How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right?...Just about always, most of the time, only some of the time, never?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Just about always	25	2	2	2
Most of the time	221	22	22	24
Only some of the time	587	59	59	83
Never	171	17	17	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100

X6: Trust in others

Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted, or most people can't be trusted?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Most people can be trusted	551	55	55	55
Most people can't be trusted	453	45	45	100

Z1: Party ID

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Republican	252	25	25	25
Democrat	309	31	31	56
Independent	340	34	34	90
Other/No preference	102	10	10	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100

Z2A: Party ID strenth

Would you call yourself a strong [Republican/Democrat] or a not very strong [Republican/Democrat]?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strong	338	34	60	60
Not very strong	221	22	39	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100
(Missing)	443	44	NA	NA

Z2B: Party ID lean

Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Republican	120	12	27	27
Democratic	158	16	36	63
Neither	164	16	37	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100
(Missing)	562	56	NA	NA

Z3: religious service attendance

Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
More than once a week	57	6	6	6
Once a week	174	17	17	23
Once or twice a month	56	6	6	29
A few times a year	165	16	16	45
Seldom	255	25	25	70
Never	297	30	30	100

Z4: born-again or evangelical

Would you describe yourself as a "born-again" or evangelical Christian, or not?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes, would	245	24	24	24
No, would not	759	76	76	100

Z5: political ideology

In general, would you describe your political views as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	100	10	10	10
Somewhat conservative	200	20	20	30
Moderate	429	43	43	73
Somewhat liberal	175	17	17	90
Very liberal	100	10	10	100

Z6: talk to neighbors

Thinking back to the months prior to the COVID-19 outbreak in the US, how often did you talk with any of your neighbors?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Basically, every day	114	11	11	11
A few times a week	339	34	34	45
A few times a month	245	24	24	70
Once a month	94	9	9	79
Less than once a month	140	14	14	93
Not at all	72	7	7	100

Z7: volunteering

We are interested in volunteer activities for which people are not paid, except perhaps expenses.  In the last 12 months, have you done any volunteer activities through or for an organization?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	278	28	28	28
No	726	72	72	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100

gender

Do you consider yourself to be…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Male	467	46	47	47
Female	515	51	52	99
Another gender	7	1	1	100
(Missing)	15	1	NA	NA

age

Age - 4 Categories
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
18-29	219	22	22	22
30-44	235	23	23	45
45-59	236	23	23	69
60+	313	31	31	100
(Missing)	1	0	NA	NA

party ID, 5-cat

Party ID with leaners separate
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Republican	252	25	25	25
Lean Republican	120	12	12	37
Independent	164	16	16	53
Lean Democrat	158	16	16	69
Democrat	309	31	31	100
Refused	1	0	0	100

party ID, leaners as partisans

Party ID with leaners included
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Republican	371	37	37	37
Independent	164	16	16	53
Democrat	467	47	47	100
Refused	1	0	0	100

education

Education - 5 categories
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Less than HS	87	9	9	9
HS graduate	294	29	29	38
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates	269	27	27	65
Bachelor's degree	159	16	16	81
Post grad study/professional degree	195	19	19	100

income

Household income
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Less than $30k	273	27	27	27
$30k to less than $50k	186	19	19	46
$50k to less than $75k	188	19	19	64
$75k to less than $100k	124	12	12	77
$100k or more	154	15	15	92
DK/NA/Ref	79	8	8	100

marital status

Which group describes your marital status?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Single, that is never married	209	21	21	21
Single, living with a partner	111	11	11	32
Married	511	51	51	83
Separated	24	2	2	85
Widowed	42	4	4	89
Divorced	108	11	11	100

race/ethnicity

Recoded panel variable
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
White Non-Hispanic	614	61	61	61
Black Non-Hispanic	120	12	12	73
Hispanic	167	17	17	90
Other	86	9	9	98
Refused	16	2	2	100

religious affiliation

Religious affiliation
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Born-again Protestant	163	16	16	16
Mainline Protestant	150	15	15	31
Roman Catholic	240	24	24	55
No religion	315	31	31	86
Other religion	133	13	13	100
Skipped/Ref	3	0	0	100