Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll May 8-18, 2023

Court items only

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among all respondents are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

B2: Supreme Court approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 68 7 7 7
Somewhat approve 343 34 34 41
Somewhat disapprove 355 35 35 76
Strongly disapprove 243 24 24 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

B2: Supreme Court approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 412 41 41 41
Disapprove 597 59 59 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C1: Confidence in SCOTUS

[The US Supreme Court] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 76 8 8 8
Quite a lot 171 17 17 25
Some 365 36 36 61
Very little 265 26 26 87
None at all 132 13 13 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C6: Justice nomination majority

What is your guess as to whether a majority of the current US Supreme Court Justices were appointed by Democratic or Republican presidents?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely a majority appointed by Democratic presidents 47 5 5 5
Probably a majority appointed by Democratic presidents 250 25 25 29
Probably a majority appointed by Republican presidents 413 41 41 70
Definitely a majority appointed by Republican presidents 299 30 30 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C7: Fav/Unfav: Alito

[Samuel Alito] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 390 39 39 39
Heard but not enough 275 27 27 66
Favorable opinion 159 16 16 82
Unfavorable opinion 185 18 18 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C8: Fav/Unfav: Coney Barrett

[Amy Coney Barrett] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 318 31 31 31
Heard but not enough 235 23 23 55
Favorable opinion 189 19 19 73
Unfavorable opinion 268 27 27 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C9: Fav/Unfav: Gorsuch

[Neil Gorsuch] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 385 38 38 38
Heard but not enough 276 27 27 65
Favorable opinion 188 19 19 84
Unfavorable opinion 160 16 16 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C10: Fav/Unfav: Brown Jackson

[Ketanji Brown Jackson] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 360 36 36 36
Heard but not enough 287 28 28 64
Favorable opinion 223 22 22 86
Unfavorable opinion 139 14 14 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C11: Fav/Unfav: Kagan

[Elena Kagan] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 440 44 44 44
Heard but not enough 285 28 28 72
Favorable opinion 178 18 18 89
Unfavorable opinion 107 11 11 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C12: Fav/Unfav: Kavanaugh

[Brett Kavanaugh] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 239 24 24 24
Heard but not enough 227 22 22 46
Favorable opinion 221 22 22 68
Unfavorable opinion 322 32 32 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C13: Fav/Unfav: Roberts

[John Roberts] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 337 33 33 33
Heard but not enough 270 27 27 60
Favorable opinion 220 22 22 82
Unfavorable opinion 183 18 18 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C14: Fav/Unfav: Sotomayor

[Sonia Sotomayor] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 302 30 30 30
Heard but not enough 264 26 26 56
Favorable opinion 292 29 29 85
Unfavorable opinion 150 15 15 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C15: Fav/Unfav: Thomas

[Clarence Thomas] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 217 21 21 21
Heard but not enough 184 18 18 40
Favorable opinion 249 25 25 64
Unfavorable opinion 359 36 36 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C16: Heard about Trump indictment

[Donald Trump being indicted in New York State court] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 662 66 66 66
A little 295 29 29 95
Nothing at all 53 5 5 100

C17: Heard about affirmative action case

[A Supreme Court case concerning the use of race in college admissions] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 159 16 16 16
A little 448 44 44 60
Nothing at all 402 40 40 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C18: Heard about abortion medication case

[A Supreme Court case concerning the drug used in medication-induced abortions, mifepristone] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 360 36 36 36
A little 360 36 36 71
Nothing at all 290 29 29 100

C19: Heard about Thomas finance disclosures

[News stories about Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas’ financial disclosure reports] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 336 33 33 33
A little 322 32 32 65
Nothing at all 352 35 35 100

D1: SCOTUS ideology

[The US Supreme Court] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 241 24 24 24
Somewhat conservative 334 33 33 57
Moderate 303 30 30 87
Somewhat liberal 99 10 10 97
Very liberal 32 3 3 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

H1: Affirmative action

[Rule that colleges cannot use race as one of several factors in deciding which applicants to admit.] Do you favor or oppose the following possible future Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard nothing at all 270 27 27 27
Heard of but not enough for an opinion 281 28 28 55
Favor 340 34 34 88
Oppose 118 12 12 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

H1: (those with opinions only)

[THOSE WITH OPINIONS ONLY] [Rule that colleges cannot use race as one of several factors in deciding which applicants to admit.] Do you favor or oppose the following possible future Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favor 340 34 74 74
Oppose 118 12 26 100
(Missing) 551 55 NA NA

H2: LGBTQ discrimination

[Decide that a business owner’s religious beliefs or free speech rights can justify refusing some services to gay people.] Do you favor or oppose the following possible future Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard nothing at all 250 25 25 25
Heard of but not enough for an opinion 214 21 21 46
Heard of and favor the decision 233 23 23 69
Heard of and oppose the decision 313 31 31 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

H2: (those with opinions only)

[THOSE WITH OPINIONS ONLY] [Decide that a business owner’s religious beliefs or free speech rights can justify refusing some services to gay people.] Do you favor or oppose the following possible future Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard of and favor the decision 233 23 43 43
Heard of and oppose the decision 313 31 57 100
(Missing) 464 46 NA NA

J1: Overturned Roe

[In 2022 the Supreme Court overturned Roe versus Wade, thus striking down the 1973 decision that made abortion legal in all 50 states.] How much do you favor or oppose this decision?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 191 19 19 19
Somewhat favor 157 16 16 35
Somewhat oppose 158 16 16 50
Strongly oppose 502 50 50 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

J2: Same-sex marriage right

In 2015 the Supreme Court ruled that the Constitution guarantees a right to same-sex marriage. How much do you favor or oppose this decision?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 427 42 42 42
Somewhat favor 248 25 25 67
Somewhat oppose 148 15 15 82
Strongly oppose 186 18 18 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

J3: Honesty of SCOTUS justices

[U.S. Supreme Court Justices] Please tell me how you would rate the honesty and ethical standards of people in these different fields--very high, high, average, low, or very low?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very high 80 8 8 8
High 178 18 18 26
Average 399 39 39 65
Low 214 21 21 86
Very low 138 14 14 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

J4: Honesty of state judges

[Judges in your state] Please tell me how you would rate the honesty and ethical standards of people in these different fields--very high, high, average, low, or very low?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very high 48 5 5 5
High 194 19 19 24
Average 514 51 51 75
Low 155 15 15 90
Very low 97 10 10 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

J5: Honesty of journalists

[Journalists] Please tell me how you would rate the honesty and ethical standards of people in these different fields--very high, high, average, low, or very low?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very high 43 4 4 4
High 149 15 15 19
Average 358 35 35 54
Low 253 25 25 80
Very low 206 20 20 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

J6: Honesty of lawyers

[Lawyers] Please tell me how you would rate the honesty and ethical standards of people in these different fields--very high, high, average, low, or very low?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very high 26 3 3 3
High 112 11 11 14
Average 438 43 43 57
Low 283 28 28 85
Very low 149 15 15 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

J7: Honesty of cable TV news

[Cable TV news] Please tell me how you would rate the honesty and ethical standards of people in these different fields--very high, high, average, low, or very low?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very high 22 2 2 2
High 60 6 6 8
Average 352 35 35 43
Low 297 29 29 72
Very low 278 27 27 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

X1: Trust in government

How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right?...Just about always, most of the time, only some of the time, never?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Just about always 18 2 2 2
Most of the time 153 15 15 17
Only some of the time 625 62 62 79
Never 213 21 21 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

X2: Trust in others

Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted, or most people can't be trusted?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Most people can be trusted 511 51 51 51
Most people can't be trusted 499 49 49 100
Skipped/Ref 0 0 0 100

INT1: internet use

Do you use the internet or email, at least occasionally?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 1010 100 100 100

Z1: Party ID

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 300 30 30 30
Democrat 301 30 30 60
Independent 253 25 25 85
Other/No preference 155 15 15 100

Z2A: Party ID strenth

Would you call yourself a strong [Republican/Democrat] or a not very strong [Republican/Democrat]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strong 341 34 57 57
Not very strong 261 26 43 100
(Missing) 408 40 NA NA

Z2B: Party ID lean

Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 105 10 26 26
Democratic 116 11 28 54
Neither 186 18 45 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100
(Missing) 602 60 NA NA

Z3: religious service attendance

Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
More than once a week 54 5 5 5
Once a week 138 14 14 19
Once or twice a month 79 8 8 27
A few times a year 133 13 13 40
Seldom 292 29 29 69
Never 313 31 31 100

Z4: born-again or evangelical

Would you describe yourself as a "born-again" or evangelical Christian, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes, would 269 27 27 27
No, would not 741 73 73 100

Z5: political ideology

Generally speaking, how would you describe your political views?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 127 13 13 13
Somewhat conservative 222 22 22 35
Moderate 364 36 36 71
Somewhat liberal 170 17 17 87
Very liberal 124 12 12 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100

Z6: talk to neighbors

During the last 12 months, how often did you talk with any of your neighbors?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Basically, every day 74 7 7 7
A few times a week 303 30 30 37
A few times a month 259 26 26 63
Once a month 92 9 9 72
Less than once a month 190 19 19 91
Not at all 91 9 9 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

Z7: volunteering

We are interested in volunteer activities for which people are not paid, except perhaps expenses.  In the last 12 months, have you done any volunteer activities through or for an organization?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 246 24 24 24
No 764 76 76 100

Z8: Vote choice in 2020

Which presidential candidate did you vote for in 2020?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump 339 34 34 34
Joe Biden 394 39 39 73
Someone else 59 6 6 79
I did not vote in the 2020 presidential election 216 21 21 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

party ID, 5-cat

Party ID with leaners separate
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 300 30 30 30
Lean Republican 105 10 10 40
Independent 186 18 18 59
Lean Democrat 116 11 11 70
Democrat 301 30 30 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

party ID, leaners as partisans

Party ID with leaners included
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 405 40 40 40
Independent 186 18 18 59
Democrat 418 41 41 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

gender

sex
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Male 474 47 47 47
Female 516 51 51 98
Another gender 7 1 1 99
Skipped/Ref 13 1 1 100

age

age, 4 categories
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
18-29 209 21 21 21
30-44 261 26 26 47
45-59 242 24 24 71
60+ 298 29 29 100

education

education - 5 categories
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Less than HS 88 9 9 9
HS graduate 287 28 28 37
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 269 27 27 64
Bachelor's degree 198 20 20 83
Post grad study/professional degree 168 17 17 100

income

income recode
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Less than $30k 282 28 28 28
$30k to less than $50k 198 20 20 48
$50k to less than $75k 167 17 17 64
$75k to less than $100k 136 13 13 77
$100k or more 226 22 22 100
DK/NA/Ref 1 0 0 100

marital status

marital status
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Married 465 46 46 46
Widowed 58 6 6 52
Divorced 90 9 9 61
Separated 21 2 2 63
Single, never married 244 24 24 87
Single, cohabitating 129 13 13 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100

race/ethnicity

race and hispanic origin
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
White 624 62 62 62
Black 116 12 12 73
Hispanic 170 17 17 90
Other/Multiple 90 9 9 99
Skipped/Ref 11 1 1 100

religious affiliation

religious identification
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Born-again Protestant 210 21 21 21
Mainline Protestant 167 17 17 37
Roman Catholic 189 19 19 56
No religion 320 32 32 88
Other religion 119 12 12 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100
(Missing) 1 0 NA NA