Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll July 7-12, 2023

Court Items Only

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among all respondents are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

B2: Supreme Court approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 134 13 13 13
Somewhat approve 315 31 31 45
Somewhat disapprove 302 30 30 75
Strongly disapprove 254 25 25 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

B2: Supreme Court approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 449 45 45 45
Disapprove 555 55 55 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C1: Confidence in SCOTUS

[The US Supreme Court] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 106 11 11 11
Quite a lot 207 21 21 31
Some 321 32 32 63
Very little 226 22 22 86
None at all 144 14 14 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C6: Justice nomination majority

What is your guess as to whether a majority of the current US Supreme Court Justices were appointed by Democratic or Republican presidents?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely a majority appointed by Democratic presidents 47 5 5 5
Probably a majority appointed by Democratic presidents 172 17 17 22
Probably a majority appointed by Republican presidents 419 42 42 63
Definitely a majority appointed by Republican presidents 365 36 36 100
Skipped/Ref 2 0 0 100

C17: Heard about affirmative action case

[A Supreme Court case concerning the use of race in college admissions] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 511 51 51 51
A little 312 31 31 82
Nothing at all 180 18 18 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C19: Heard about Alito finance disclosures

[News stories about Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito’s financial disclosure reports] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 155 15 15 15
A little 335 33 33 49
Nothing at all 515 51 51 100

C20: Heard about Alabama district case

[A Supreme Court case concerning congressional districts in Alabama] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 102 10 10 10
A little 361 36 36 46
Nothing at all 541 54 54 100

C21: Heard about student loan case

[A Supreme Court case concerning student loan forgiveness] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 559 56 56 56
A little 379 38 38 93
Nothing at all 67 7 7 100

C22: Heard about independent legislature case

[A Supreme Court case concerning the powers of state legislatures to set the rules for federal elections for congress and president] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 168 17 17 17
A little 458 46 46 62
Nothing at all 379 38 38 100

D1: SCOTUS ideology

[The US Supreme Court] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 271 27 27 27
Somewhat conservative 350 35 35 62
Moderate 277 28 28 89
Somewhat liberal 74 7 7 97
Very liberal 31 3 3 100
Skipped/Ref 2 0 0 100

D7: SCOTUS ideology trend

Over the past 15 years or so would you say the Supreme Court has generally become…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Much more conservative 287 29 29 29
Somewhat more conservative 337 33 33 62
Hasn't changed much 228 23 23 85
Somewhat more liberal 113 11 11 96
Much more liberal 39 4 4 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

D8: Justice motivations

In general, what most often motivates Supreme Court justices’ decisions?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Mainly politics 586 58 58 58
Mainly the law 418 42 42 100
Skipped/Ref 0 0 0 100

D9: Should justices consider public opinion

Should justices of the Supreme Court consider public opinion about a case when making decisions or should they ignore public opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Should consider public opinion 500 50 50 50
Should ignore public opinion 504 50 50 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

H1: Affirmative action

[Ruled that colleges cannot use race as one of several factors in deciding which applicants to admit.] Do you favor or oppose the following recent Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard nothing at all 97 10 10 10
Heard of but not enough for an opinion 182 18 18 28
Heard of and favor the decision 504 50 50 78
Heard of and oppose the decision 221 22 22 100

H1: (those with opinions only)

[THOSE WITH OPINIONS ONLY] [Ruled that colleges cannot use race as one of several factors in deciding which applicants to admit.] Do you favor or oppose the following recent Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard of and favor the decision 504 50 70 70
Heard of and oppose the decision 221 22 30 100
(Missing) 280 28 NA NA

H2: LGBTQ discrimination

[Ruled that a business owner’s religious beliefs or free speech rights can justify refusing some services to gay people.] Do you favor or oppose the following recent Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard nothing at all 145 14 14 14
Heard of but not enough for an opinion 183 18 18 33
Heard of and favor the decision 357 35 35 68
Heard of and oppose the decision 320 32 32 100

H2: (those with opinions only)

[THOSE WITH OPINIONS ONLY] [Ruled that a business owner’s religious beliefs or free speech rights can justify refusing some services to gay people.] Do you favor or oppose the following recent Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard of and favor the decision 357 35 53 53
Heard of and oppose the decision 320 32 47 100
(Missing) 328 33 NA NA

H3: Loan forgiveness

[Ruled that the Biden administration exceeded the authority granted to it by Congress to alter loan conditions, thus striking down the student loan forgiveness policy.] Do you favor or oppose the following recent Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard nothing at all 85 8 8 8
Heard of but not enough for an opinion 234 23 23 32
Heard of and favor the decision 374 37 37 69
Heard of and oppose the decision 311 31 31 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

H3: (those with opinions only)

[THOSE WITH OPINIONS ONLY] [Ruled that the Biden administration exceeded the authority granted to it by Congress to alter loan conditions, thus striking down the student loan forgiveness policy.] Do you favor or oppose the following recent Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard of and favor the decision 374 37 55 55
Heard of and oppose the decision 311 31 45 100
(Missing) 320 32 NA NA

H4: Alabama maps

[Ruled that Alabama, in drawing a congressional districting map, diluted the power of Black voters, in violation of the Voting Rights Act of 1965.] Do you favor or oppose the following recent Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard nothing at all 409 41 41 41
Heard of but not enough for an opinion 257 26 26 66
Heard of and favor the decision 242 24 24 90
Heard of and oppose the decision 97 10 10 100

H4: (those with opinions only)

[THOSE WITH OPINIONS ONLY] [Ruled that Alabama, in drawing a congressional districting map, diluted the power of Black voters, in violation of the Voting Rights Act of 1965.] Do you favor or oppose the following recent Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard of and favor the decision 242 24 71 71
Heard of and oppose the decision 97 10 29 100
(Missing) 666 66 NA NA

H5: Employer religious accomodations

[Ruled that federal civil rights law requires an employer to accommodate an employee’s religious practice unless it can show that doing so would result in substantial increased costs to the employer.] Do you favor or oppose the following recent Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard nothing at all 382 38 38 38
Heard of but not enough for an opinion 247 25 25 63
Heard of and favor the decision 268 27 27 89
Heard of and oppose the decision 107 11 11 100

H5: (those with opinions only)

[THOSE WITH OPINIONS ONLY] [Ruled that federal civil rights law requires an employer to accommodate an employee’s religious practice unless it can show that doing so would result in substantial increased costs to the employer.] Do you favor or oppose the following recent Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard of and favor the decision 268 27 72 72
Heard of and oppose the decision 107 11 28 100
(Missing) 630 63 NA NA

J1: Rights - LGBTQ people

[Lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender (LGBT) people] Over the past 15 years or so would you say the Supreme Court has generally expanded or reduced the rights protected for each of these groups or has it not changed much either way?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Expanded rights 563 56 56 56
Reduced rights 251 25 25 81
Has not changed much either way 188 19 19 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100

J2: Rights - religious people

[Religious people and organizations] Over the past 15 years or so would you say the Supreme Court has generally expanded or reduced the rights protected for each of these groups or has it not changed much either way?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Expanded rights 423 42 42 42
Reduced rights 230 23 23 65
Has not changed much either way 349 35 35 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100

J3: Rights - gun owners

[Gun owners] Over the past 15 years or so would you say the Supreme Court has generally expanded or reduced the rights protected for each of these groups or has it not changed much either way?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Expanded rights 318 32 32 32
Reduced rights 291 29 29 61
Has not changed much either way 393 39 39 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100

J4: Rights - abortion seekers

[Those seeking an abortion] Over the past 15 years or so would you say the Supreme Court has generally expanded or reduced the rights protected for each of these groups or has it not changed much either way?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Expanded rights 89 9 9 9
Reduced rights 781 78 78 87
Has not changed much either way 132 13 13 100
Skipped/Ref 4 0 0 100

J5: Rights - minority voters

[Voting rights of racial or ethnic minorities] Over the past 15 years or so would you say the Supreme Court has generally expanded or reduced the rights protected for each of these groups or has it not changed much either way?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Expanded rights 300 30 30 30
Reduced rights 291 29 29 59
Has not changed much either way 411 41 41 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100

J6: Overturned Roe

[In 2022 the Supreme Court overturned Roe versus Wade, thus striking down the 1973 decision that made abortion legal in all 50 states.] How much do you favor or oppose this decision?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 231 23 23 23
Somewhat favor 151 15 15 38
Somewhat oppose 151 15 15 53
Strongly oppose 472 47 47 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

J7: Same-sex marriage right

In 2015 the Supreme Court ruled that the Constitution guarantees a right to same-sex marriage. How much do you favor or oppose this decision?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 424 42 42 42
Somewhat favor 236 23 23 66
Somewhat oppose 163 16 16 82
Strongly oppose 181 18 18 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

J8: LGBTQ workplace discrimination

In 2020 the Supreme Court ruled that a federal civil rights law protects gay and transgender workers from workplace discrimination. How much do you favor or oppose this decision?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 499 50 50 50
Somewhat favor 312 31 31 81
Somewhat oppose 124 12 12 93
Strongly oppose 69 7 7 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

J9: Honesty of SCOTUS justices

[U.S. Supreme Court Justices] Please tell me how you would rate the honesty and ethical standards of people in these different fields--very high, high, average, low, or very low?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very high 94 9 9 9
High 230 23 23 32
Average 330 33 33 65
Low 226 22 22 88
Very low 124 12 12 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

J10: Honesty of state judges

[Judges in your state] Please tell me how you would rate the honesty and ethical standards of people in these different fields--very high, high, average, low, or very low?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very high 45 4 4 4
High 204 20 20 25
Average 508 51 51 75
Low 172 17 17 92
Very low 75 7 7 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

Z1: Party ID

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 302 30 30 30
Democrat 291 29 29 59
Independent 266 26 26 85
Other/No preference 147 15 15 100

Z2A: Party ID strenth

Would you call yourself a strong [Republican/Democrat] or a not very strong [Republican/Democrat]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strong 356 35 60 60
Not very strong 236 23 40 100
(Missing) 413 41 NA NA

Z2B: Party ID lean

Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 102 10 25 25
Democratic 131 13 32 56
Neither 180 18 44 100
(Missing) 592 59 NA NA

Z3: religious service attendance

Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
More than once a week 88 9 9 9
Once a week 129 13 13 22
Once or twice a month 66 7 7 28
A few times a year 135 13 13 42
Seldom 248 25 25 66
Never 339 34 34 100

Z4: born-again or evangelical

Would you describe yourself as a "born-again" or evangelical Christian, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes, would 274 27 27 27
No, would not 731 73 73 100

Z5: political ideology

Generally speaking, how would you describe your political views?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 126 13 13 13
Somewhat conservative 227 23 23 35
Moderate 398 40 40 75
Somewhat liberal 146 14 14 89
Very liberal 106 11 11 100
Skipped/Ref 2 0 0 100

Z6: talk to neighbors

During the last 12 months, how often did you talk with any of your neighbors?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Basically, every day 77 8 8 8
A few times a week 300 30 30 37
A few times a month 266 26 26 64
Once a month 117 12 12 76
Less than once a month 140 14 14 89
Not at all 106 11 11 100

Z7: volunteering

We are interested in volunteer activities for which people are not paid, except perhaps expenses.  In the last 12 months, have you done any volunteer activities through or for an organization?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 241 24 24 24
No 764 76 76 100

party ID, 5-cat

Party ID with leaners separate
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 302 30 30 30
Lean Republican 102 10 10 40
Independent 180 18 18 58
Lean Democrat 131 13 13 71
Democrat 291 29 29 100

party ID, leaners as partisans

Party ID with leaners included
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 403 40 40 40
Independent 180 18 18 58
Democrat 422 42 42 100

gender

sex
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Male 470 47 47 47
Female 487 48 48 95
Another gender 20 2 2 97
Skipped/Ref 29 3 3 100

age

age, 4 categories
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
18-29 186 18 18 18
30-44 267 27 27 45
45-59 235 23 23 68
60+ 318 32 32 100

education

education - 5 categories
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Less than HS 93 9 9 9
HS graduate 294 29 29 39
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 267 27 27 65
Bachelor's degree 179 18 18 83
Post grad study/professional degree 172 17 17 100

income

income recode
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Less than $30k 315 31 31 31
$30k to less than $50k 172 17 17 48
$50k to less than $75k 146 15 15 63
$75k to less than $100k 135 13 13 76
$100k or more 236 23 23 100
DK/NA/Ref 1 0 0 100

marital status

marital status
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Married 451 45 45 45
Widowed 38 4 4 49
Divorced 133 13 13 62
Separated 30 3 3 65
Single, never married 262 26 26 91
Single, cohabitating 91 9 9 100

race/ethnicity

race and hispanic origin
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
White 601 60 60 60
Black 122 12 12 72
Hispanic 163 16 16 88
Other/Multiple 86 9 9 97
Skipped/Ref 33 3 3 100

religious affiliation

religious identification
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Born-again Protestant 184 18 18 18
Mainline Protestant 147 15 15 33
Roman Catholic 188 19 19 52
No religion 319 32 32 83
Other religion 166 16 17 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100
(Missing) 1 0 NA NA