Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll September 18-25, 2023

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among all respondents are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

A1: interest in politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. How often do you follow what's going on in politics…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Most of the time 376 37 37 37
Some of the time 403 40 40 77
Only now and then 144 14 14 92
Hardly at all 83 8 8 100

A2: voter registration

Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 781 78 78 78
No 226 22 22 100

A2B: registration intention

Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Plan to Register 109 11 48 48
Chance May Not Register 116 12 52 100
(Missing) 781 78 NA NA

A3: voting intention

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Absolutely certain 670 67 67 67
Very Likely 129 13 13 79
Chances 50-50 133 13 13 93
Don't think will vote 75 7 7 100

A4: voting enthusiasm

How enthusiastic are you about voting in the elections in November 2024 for president and other offices? Would you say you are very, somewhat, not too, or not at all enthusiastic?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very enthusiastic 369 37 37 37
Somewhat enthusiastic 308 31 31 67
Not too enthusiastic 234 23 23 91
Not at all enthusiastic 95 9 9 100
(Missing) 1 0 NA NA

Z1: Party ID

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 328 33 33 33
Democrat 351 35 35 67
Independent 219 22 22 89
Other/No preference 109 11 11 100

Z2A: Party ID strenth

Would you call yourself a strong [Republican/Democrat] or a not very strong [Republican/Democrat]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strong 453 45 67 67
Not very strong 225 22 33 100
Skipped/Ref 2 0 0 100
(Missing) 328 33 NA NA

Z2B: Party ID lean

Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 90 9 27 27
Democratic 101 10 31 58
Neither 136 14 42 100
(Missing) 679 67 NA NA

B1: GOP primary

Here are some candidates for the Republican presidential nomination. If the primary were today, whom would you vote for?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Doug Burgum 2 0 0 0
Chris Christie 2 0 0 1
Ron DeSantis 46 5 11 12
Larry Elder 1 0 0 12
Nikki Haley 26 3 6 18
Will Hurd 0 0 0 18
Asa Hutchinson 0 0 0 18
Mike Pence 18 2 4 23
Vivek Ramaswamy 15 2 4 26
Tim Scott 6 1 1 28
Donald Trump 234 23 56 84
Undecided 68 7 16 100
(Missing) 589 58 NA NA

B2: Trump vs DeSantis

If it were a choice between just the two of them, who would you prefer as the Republican nominee for president in 2024: [Donald Trump] or [Florida Governor Ron DeSantis]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Donald Trump 178 18 43 43
Probably Donald Trump 129 13 31 73
Probably Ron DeSantis 63 6 15 88
Definitely Ron DeSantis 48 5 12 100
Skipped/Ref 0 0 0 100
(Missing) 589 58 NA NA

B3: Democratic primary

Here are some candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination. If the primary were today, whom would you vote for?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden 223 22 49 49
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. 58 6 13 62
Marianne Williamson 18 2 4 66
Undecided 155 15 34 100
(Missing) 554 55 NA NA

B4: Trump vs Biden

If the 2024 election for president were held today between [Former President Donald Trump, the Republican] and [President Joe Biden, the Democrat] would you vote for [Donald Trump] or for [Joe Biden]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump 434 43 43 43
Joe Biden 373 37 37 80
Someone else 126 12 12 93
Wouldn't vote 75 7 7 100

B4B: Trump vs Biden, lean