Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll September 18-25, 2023

Likely voters only

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among all likely voters are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

A1: interest in politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. How often do you follow what's going on in politics…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Most of the time 330 53 53 53
Some of the time 225 36 36 89
Only now and then 59 9 9 98
Hardly at all 13 2 2 100

A2: voter registration

Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 627 100 100 100

A2B: registration intention

Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
(Missing) 627 100 NA NA

A3: voting intention

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Absolutely certain 627 100 100 100

A4: voting enthusiasm

How enthusiastic are you about voting in the elections in November 2024 for president and other offices? Would you say you are very, somewhat, not too, or not at all enthusiastic?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very enthusiastic 330 53 53 53
Somewhat enthusiastic 174 28 28 81
Not too enthusiastic 109 17 17 98
Not at all enthusiastic 13 2 2 100
(Missing) 1 0 NA NA

Z1: Party ID

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 228 36 36 36
Democrat 247 39 39 76
Independent 122 20 20 95
Other/No preference 29 5 5 100

Z2A: Party ID strenth

Would you call yourself a strong [Republican/Democrat] or a not very strong [Republican/Democrat]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strong 352 56 74 74
Not very strong 121 19 25 100
Skipped/Ref 2 0 0 100
(Missing) 152 24 NA NA

Z2B: Party ID lean

Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 48 8 32 32
Democratic 62 10 41 73
Neither 42 7 27 100
(Missing) 475 76 NA NA

B1: GOP primary

Here are some candidates for the Republican presidential nomination. If the primary were today, whom would you vote for?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Doug Burgum 1 0 0 0
Chris Christie 2 0 1 1
Ron DeSantis 30 5 11 12
Larry Elder 0 0 0 12
Nikki Haley 15 2 5 17
Will Hurd 0 0 0 17
Mike Pence 8 1 3 20
Vivek Ramaswamy 14 2 5 26
Tim Scott 6 1 2 28
Donald Trump 159 25 57 85
Undecided 41 7 15 100
(Missing) 351 56 NA NA

B2: Trump vs DeSantis

If it were a choice between just the two of them, who would you prefer as the Republican nominee for president in 2024: [Donald Trump] or [Florida Governor Ron DeSantis]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Donald Trump 130 21 47 47
Probably Donald Trump 66 10 24 71
Probably Ron DeSantis 42 7 15 86
Definitely Ron DeSantis 39 6 14 100
Skipped/Ref 0 0 0 100
(Missing) 351 56 NA NA

B3: Democratic primary

Here are some candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination. If the primary were today, whom would you vote for?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden 181 29 59 59
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. 30 5 10 68
Marianne Williamson 9 1 3 71
Undecided 89 14 29 100
(Missing) 318 51 NA NA

B4: Trump vs Biden

If the 2024 election for president were held today between [Former President Donald Trump, the Republican] and [President Joe Biden, the Democrat] would you vote for [Donald Trump] or for [Joe Biden]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump 269 43 43 43
Joe Biden 287 46 46 89
Someone else 60 10 10 98
Wouldn't vote 10 2 2 100

B4B: Trump vs Biden, lean

If you had to choose, would you vote for [Biden] or for [Trump]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Donald Trump 12 2 18 18
Probably Donald Trump 23 4 33 50
Probably Joe Biden 23 4 33 84