Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll September 18-25, 2023
Registered voters only
(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)
Results for survey items among all registered voters are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.
A1: interest in politics
| Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. How often do you follow what's going on in politics…? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most of the time | 350 | 45 | 45 | 45 |
| Some of the time | 302 | 39 | 39 | 83 |
| Only now and then | 97 | 12 | 12 | 96 |
| Hardly at all | 32 | 4 | 4 | 100 |
A2: voter registration
| Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 781 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
A2B: registration intention
| Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Missing) | 781 | 100 | NA | NA |
A3: voting intention
| What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Absolutely certain | 627 | 80 | 80 | 80 |
| Very Likely | 95 | 12 | 12 | 92 |
| Chances 50-50 | 54 | 7 | 7 | 99 |
| Don't think will vote | 5 | 1 | 1 | 100 |
A4: voting enthusiasm
| How enthusiastic are you about voting in the elections in November 2024 for president and other offices? Would you say you are very, somewhat, not too, or not at all enthusiastic? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very enthusiastic | 344 | 44 | 44 | 44 |
| Somewhat enthusiastic | 243 | 31 | 31 | 75 |
| Not too enthusiastic | 167 | 21 | 21 | 97 |
| Not at all enthusiastic | 27 | 3 | 3 | 100 |
| (Missing) | 1 | 0 | NA | NA |
Z1: Party ID
| Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 273 | 35 | 35 | 35 |
| Democrat | 286 | 37 | 37 | 71 |
| Independent | 171 | 22 | 22 | 93 |
| Other/No preference | 52 | 7 | 7 | 100 |
Z2A: Party ID strenth
| Would you call yourself a strong [Republican/Democrat] or a not very strong [Republican/Democrat]? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong | 390 | 50 | 70 | 70 |
| Not very strong | 165 | 21 | 30 | 100 |
| Skipped/Ref | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| (Missing) | 223 | 29 | NA | NA |
Z2B: Party ID lean
| Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 68 | 9 | 30 | 30 |
| Democratic | 76 | 10 | 34 | 64 |
| Neither | 80 | 10 | 36 | 100 |
| (Missing) | 558 | 71 | NA | NA |
B1: GOP primary
| Here are some candidates for the Republican presidential nomination. If the primary were today, whom would you vote for? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug Burgum | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ron DeSantis | 40 | 5 | 12 | 13 |
| Larry Elder | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Nikki Haley | 20 | 2 | 6 | 19 |
| Will Hurd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| Mike Pence | 14 | 2 | 4 | 23 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 15 | 2 | 4 | 27 |
| Tim Scott | 6 | 1 | 2 | 29 |
| Donald Trump | 191 | 24 | 56 | 85 |
| Undecided | 51 | 7 | 15 | 100 |
| (Missing) | 441 | 56 | NA | NA |
B2: Trump vs DeSantis
| If it were a choice between just the two of them, who would you prefer as the Republican nominee for president in 2024: [Donald Trump] or [Florida Governor Ron DeSantis]? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Definitely Donald Trump | 144 | 18 | 42 | 42 |
| Probably Donald Trump | 100 | 13 | 29 | 72 |
| Probably Ron DeSantis | 48 | 6 | 14 | 86 |
| Definitely Ron DeSantis | 48 | 6 | 14 | 100 |
| Skipped/Ref | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| (Missing) | 441 | 56 | NA | NA |
B3: Democratic primary
| Here are some candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination. If the primary were today, whom would you vote for? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 192 | 25 | 53 | 53 |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. | 44 | 6 | 12 | 65 |
| Marianne Williamson | 12 | 2 | 3 | 69 |
| Undecided | 113 | 14 | 31 | 100 |
| (Missing) | 420 | 54 | NA | NA |
B4: Trump vs Biden
| If the 2024 election for president were held today between [Former President Donald Trump, the Republican] and [President Joe Biden, the Democrat] would you vote for [Donald Trump] or for [Joe Biden]? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 347 | 44 | 44 | 44 |
| Joe Biden | 306 | 39 | 39 | 84 |
| Someone else | 96 | 12 | 12 | 96 |
| Wouldn't vote | 33 | 4 | 4 | 100 |
B4B: Trump vs Biden, lean
| If you had to choose, would you vote for [Biden] or for [Trump]? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|