Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll November 2-7, 2023

Likely voters only

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among all likely voters are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

A1: interest in politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. How often do you follow what's going on in politics…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Most of the time 313 52 52 52
Some of the time 219 36 36 89
Only now and then 57 9 9 98
Hardly at all 12 2 2 100

A2: voter registration

Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 601 100 100 100

A2B: registration intention

Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
(Missing) 601 100 NA NA

A3: voting intention

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Absolutely certain 601 100 100 100

A4: voting enthusiasm

How enthusiastic are you about voting in the elections in November 2024 for president and other offices? Would you say you are very, somewhat, not too, or not at all enthusiastic?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very enthusiastic 315 52 52 52
Somewhat enthusiastic 173 29 29 81
Not too enthusiastic 94 16 16 97
Not at all enthusiastic 19 3 3 100

Z1: Party ID

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 223 37 37 37
Democrat 226 38 38 75
Independent 129 21 21 96
Other/No preference 23 4 4 100

Z2A: Party ID strenth

Would you call yourself a strong [Republican/Democrat] or a not very strong [Republican/Democrat]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strong 312 52 69 69
Not very strong 137 23 31 100
(Missing) 152 25 NA NA

Z2B: Party ID lean

Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 66 11 43 43
Democratic 61 10 40 84
Neither 25 4 16 100
(Missing) 449 75 NA NA

B1: GOP primary

Here are some candidates for the Republican presidential nomination. If the primary were today, whom would you vote for?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Doug Burgum 1 0 1 1
Chris Christie 1 0 0 1
Ron DeSantis 33 6 12 12
Nikki Haley 39 7 14 26
Vivek Ramaswamy 12 2 4 30
Tim Scott 7 1 2 33
Donald Trump 164 27 57 89
Undecided 31 5 11 100
(Missing) 312 52 NA NA

B2: Trump vs DeSantis

If it were a choice between just the two of them, who would you prefer as the Republican nominee for president in 2024: [Donald Trump] or [Florida Governor Ron DeSantis]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Donald Trump 124 21 43 43
Probably Donald Trump 63 11 22 65
Probably Ron DeSantis 57 9 20 84
Definitely Ron DeSantis 45 8 16 100
(Missing) 312 52 NA NA

B3: Trump vs Haley

If it were a choice between just the two of them, whom would you prefer as the Republican nominee for president in 2024: [Donald Trump] or [Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Donald Trump 126 21 44 44
Probably Donald Trump 75 13 26 70
Probably Nikki Haley 46 8 16 85
Definitely Nikki Haley 42 7 15 100
(Missing) 312 52 NA NA

B4: Trump vs Biden

If the 2024 election for president were held today between [Former President Donald Trump, the Republican] and [President Joe Biden, the Democrat] would you vote for [Donald Trump] or for [Joe Biden]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump 268 45 45 45
Joe Biden 255 42 42 87
Someone else 76 13 13 100
Wouldn't vote 2 0 0 100

B4B: Trump vs Biden, lean