Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll November 2-7, 2023

Registered voters only

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among all registered voters are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

A1: interest in politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. How often do you follow what's going on in politics…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Most of the time 340 43 43 43
Some of the time 292 37 37 81
Only now and then 102 13 13 94
Hardly at all 51 6 6 100

A2: voter registration

Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 784 100 100 100

A2B: registration intention

A3: voting intention

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Absolutely certain 601 77 77 77
Very Likely 109 14 14 91
Chances 50-50 64 8 8 99
Don't think will vote 10 1 1 100

A4: voting enthusiasm

How enthusiastic are you about voting in the elections in November 2024 for president and other offices? Would you say you are very, somewhat, not too, or not at all enthusiastic?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very enthusiastic 331 42 42 42
Somewhat enthusiastic 250 32 32 74
Not too enthusiastic 163 21 21 95
Not at all enthusiastic 40 5 5 100

Z1: Party ID

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 265 34 34 34
Democrat 273 35 35 69
Independent 186 24 24 92
Other/No preference 60 8 8 100

Z2A: Party ID strenth

Would you call yourself a strong [Republican/Democrat] or a not very strong [Republican/Democrat]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strong 355 45 66 66
Not very strong 183 23 34 100
(Missing) 246 31 NA NA

Z2B: Party ID lean

Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 86 11 35 35
Democratic 85 11 34 69
Neither 75 10 31 100
(Missing) 538 69 NA NA

B1: GOP primary

Here are some candidates for the Republican presidential nomination. If the primary were today, whom would you vote for?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Doug Burgum 1 0 0 0
Chris Christie 2 0 1 1
Ron DeSantis 41 5 12 13
Nikki Haley 42 5 12 25
Vivek Ramaswamy 13 2 4 28
Tim Scott 7 1 2 30
Donald Trump 190 24 54 84
Undecided 56 7 16 100
(Missing) 433 55 NA NA

B2: Trump vs DeSantis

If it were a choice between just the two of them, who would you prefer as the Republican nominee for president in 2024: [Donald Trump] or [Florida Governor Ron DeSantis]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Donald Trump 148 19 42 42
Probably Donald Trump 76 10 22 64
Probably Ron DeSantis 70 9 20 84
Definitely Ron DeSantis 58 7 16 100
(Missing) 433 55 NA NA

B3: Trump vs Haley

If it were a choice between just the two of them, whom would you prefer as the Republican nominee for president in 2024: [Donald Trump] or [Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Donald Trump 146 19 41 41
Probably Donald Trump 98 13 28 69
Probably Nikki Haley 55 7 16 85
Definitely Nikki Haley 53 7 15 100
(Missing) 433 55 NA NA

B4: Trump vs Biden

If the 2024 election for president were held today between [Former President Donald Trump, the Republican] and [President Joe Biden, the Democrat] would you vote for [Donald Trump] or for [Joe Biden]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump 332 42 42 42
Joe Biden 315 40 40 82
Someone else 121 15 15 98
Wouldn't vote 17 2 2 100

B4B: Trump vs Biden, lean