Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll February 5-15, 2024

Among likely voters

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among likely voter respondents are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

A1: interest in politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. How often do you follow what's going on in politics…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Most of the time 317 51 51 51
Some of the time 243 39 39 89
Only now and then 59 9 9 99
Hardly at all 8 1 1 100

A2: voter registration

Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 628 100 100 100

A2B: registration intention

Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
(Missing) 628 100 NA NA

A3: voting intention

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Absolutely certain 628 100 100 100

A4: voting enthusiasm

How enthusiastic are you about voting in the elections in November 2024 for president and other offices? Would you say you are very, somewhat, not too, or not at all enthusiastic?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very enthusiastic 304 48 48 48
Somewhat enthusiastic 201 32 32 80
Not too enthusiastic 94 15 15 95
Not at all enthusiastic 29 5 5 100

Z1: Party ID

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 234 37 37 37
Democrat 201 32 32 69
Independent 151 24 24 93
Other/No preference 41 7 7 100

Z2A: Party ID strenth

Would you call yourself a strong [Republican/Democrat] or a not very strong [Republican/Democrat]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strong 323 51 74 74
Not very strong 113 18 26 100
(Missing) 192 31 NA NA

Z2B: Party ID lean

Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 74 12 39 39
Democratic 73 12 38 77
Neither 44 7 23 100
(Missing) 436 69 NA NA

B1: GOP primary

If the Republican presidential primary were today, whom would you vote for?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Nikki Haley 46 7 15 15
Donald Trump 229 36 74 89
Undecided 34 5 11 100
(Missing) 319 51 NA NA

B2: Dem. primary

If the Democratic presidential primary were today, whom would you vote for?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden 201 32 73 73
Dean Phillips 3 0 1 74
Marianne Williamson 12 2 4 79
Undecided 59 9 21 100
(Missing) 353 56 NA NA

B3: Trump vs Biden

If the 2024 election for president were held today between [Former President Donald Trump, the Republican] and [President Joe Biden, the Democrat] would you vote for [Donald Trump] or for [Joe Biden]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump 300 48 48 48
Joe Biden 273 44 44 91
Someone else 47 7 7 99
Wouldn't vote 7 1 1 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

B3B: Trump vs Biden, lean

If you had to choose, would you vote for [Biden] or for [Trump]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Donald Trump 6 1 11 11
Probably Donald Trump 21 3 39 50
Probably Joe Biden 25 4 47 96
Definitely Joe Biden 2 0 4 100
(Missing) 574 91 NA NA

B3: Trump vs Biden, with lean

[combination of i4i and preference in i4leani]
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump 326 52 52 52
Joe Biden 300 48 48 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

B4: Haley vs Biden

If the 2024 election for president were held today between [former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, the Republican,] and [President Joe Biden, the Democrat,] would you vote for [Nikki Haley] or for [Joe Biden]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Nikki Haley 254 40 40 40
Joe Biden 233 37 37 78
Someone else 116 18 18 96
Wouldn't vote 24 4 4 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

B4B: Haley vs Biden, lean

If you had to choose would you vote for [Biden] or for [Haley]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Nikki Haley 25 4 18 18
Probably Nikki Haley 91 15 65 83
Probably Joe Biden 11 2 8 91
Definitely Joe Biden 13 2 9 100
(Missing) 488 78 NA NA

B4: Haley vs Biden, with lean

If you had to choose would you vote for [Biden] or for [Haley]? (with leaners)
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Nikki Haley 370 59 59 59
Joe Biden 257 41 41 100
WEB BLANK 1 0 0 100

B5: Ballot w/3rd parties

If the presidential ballot included additional candidates, would you vote for [Democrat Joe Biden], [Republican Donald Trump], [independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr], [independent Cornel
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Democrat, Joe Biden 252 40 40 40
Republican, Donald Trump 271 43 43 83
Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 85 14 14 97
Independent Cornel West 9 1 1 98
The Green Party's Jill Stein 9 1 1 100
Web blank 1 0 0 100

C1: SCOTUS approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 57 9 9 9
Somewhat approve 216 34 34 43
Somewhat disapprove 204 33 33 76
Strongly disapprove 151 24 24 100

C1: SCOTUS approval (2-cat)

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 273 43 43 43
Disapprove 355 57 57 100

C2: Confidence in SCOTUS

[The US Supreme Court] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 49 8 8 8
Quite a lot 138 22 22 30
Some 209 33 33 63
Very little 171 27 27 90
None at all 60 10 10 100

C3: Confidence in Congress

[Congress] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 11 2 2 2
Quite a lot 43 7 7 9
Some 204 33 33 41
Very little 260 41 41 83
None at all 109 17 17 100

C4: Confidence in Presidency

[The Presidency] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 62 10 10 10
Quite a lot 136 22 22 32
Some 177 28 28 60
Very little 130 21 21 81
None at all 122 19 19 100

C5: Confidence in DOJ

[The U.S. Department of Justice] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 48 8 8 8
Quite a lot 143 23 23 30
Some 196 31 31 62
Very little 133 21 21 83
None at all 108 17 17 100

C6: Confidence in juries

[Juries that decide guilt or innocence in criminal cases] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 63 10 10 10
Quite a lot 207 33 33 43
Some 247 39 39 82
Very little 71 11 11 94
None at all 39 6 6 100

C7: Justice nomination majority

What is your guess as to whether a majority of the current US Supreme Court Justices were appointed by Democratic or Republican presidents?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely a majority appointed by Democratic presidents 32 5 5 5
Probably a majority appointed by Democratic presidents 94 15 15 20
Probably a majority appointed by Republican presidents 224 36 36 56
Definitely a majority appointed by Republican presidents 276 44 44 100

C8: Heard about SCOTUS last month

Thinking about the last month only, how much have you heard or read about the U.S. Supreme Court?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 209 33 33 33
A little 351 56 56 89
Nothing at all 68 11 11 100

C9: Justice motivations

In general, what most often motivates Supreme Court justices’ decisions?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Mainly politics 301 48 48 48
Mainly the law 326 52 52 100

C10: Justice ethics/honesty

[U.S. Supreme Court Justices] Please tell me how you would rate the honesty and ethical standards of people in these different fields--very high, high, average, low, or very low?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very high 55 9 9 9
High 149 24 24 32
Average 207 33 33 66
Low 138 22 22 87
Very low 79 13 13 100

C11: Favor/oppose same-sex marriage

In 2015 the Supreme Court ruled that the Constitution guarantees a right to same-sex marriage. How much do you favor or oppose this decision?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 294 47 47 47
Somewhat favor 139 22 22 69
Somewhat oppose 84 13 13 83
Strongly oppose 109 17 17 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C12: Favor/oppose LGBT workplace protections

In 2020 the Supreme Court ruled that a federal civil rights law protects gay and transgender workers from workplace discrimination. How much do you favor or oppose this decision?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 334 53 53 53
Somewhat favor 190 30 30 83
Somewhat oppose 72 11 11 95
Strongly oppose 32 5 5 100

C13: Favor/oppose overturn Roe

[In 2022 the Supreme Court overturned Roe versus Wade, thus striking down the 1973 decision that made abortion legal in all 50 states.] How much do you favor or oppose this decision?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 147 23 23 23
Somewhat favor 77 12 12 36
Somewhat oppose 77 12 12 48
Strongly oppose 326 52 52 100

C14: Favor/oppose expand 2nd Amendment to handguns

In 2022, the Supreme Court ruled that, subject to some restrictions, the Second Amendment protects an individual’s right to carry a handgun for self-defense outside the home. How much do you favor or oppose this decision?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 271 43 43 43
Somewhat favor 139 22 22 65
Somewhat oppose 129 21 21 86
Strongly oppose 88 14 14 100

C15: Favor/oppose race in college admissions

In 2023, the Supreme Court ruled that colleges cannot use race as a factor in deciding which applicants to admit. How much do you favor or oppose this decision?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 348 55 55 55
Somewhat favor 123 20 20 75
Somewhat oppose 103 16 16 92
Strongly oppose 53 8 8 100

C16: Fav/Unfav: Alito

[Samuel Alito] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 150 24 24 24
Heard but not enough 198 31 31 55
Favorable opinion 144 23 23 78
Unfavorable opinion 136 22 22 100

C17: Fav/Unfav: Coney Barrett

[Amy Coney Barrett] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 102 16 16 16
Heard but not enough 173 28 28 44
Favorable opinion 168 27 27 71
Unfavorable opinion 184 29 29 100

C18: Fav/Unfav: Gorsuch

[Neil Gorsuch] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 155 25 25 25
Heard but not enough 214 34 34 59
Favorable opinion 136 22 22 81
Unfavorable opinion 118 19 19 99
Skipped/Ref 4 1 1 100

C19: Fav/Unfav: Brown Jackson

[Ketanji Brown Jackson] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 158 25 25 25
Heard but not enough 153 24 24 50
Favorable opinion 187 30 30 79
Unfavorable opinion 130 21 21 100

C20: Fav/Unfav: Kagan

[Elena Kagan] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 206 33 33 33
Heard but not enough 214 34 34 67
Favorable opinion 130 21 21 88
Unfavorable opinion 76 12 12 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

C21: Fav/Unfav: Kavanaugh

[Brett Kavanaugh] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 66 10 10 10
Heard but not enough 143 23 23 33
Favorable opinion 197 31 31 65
Unfavorable opinion 222 35 35 100

C22: Fav/Unfav: Roberts

[John Roberts] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 117 19 19 19
Heard but not enough 174 28 28 46
Favorable opinion 213 34 34 80
Unfavorable opinion 124 20 20 100

C23: Fav/Unfav: Sotomayor

[Sonia Sotomayor] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 106 17 17 17
Heard but not enough 141 22 22 39
Favorable opinion 237 38 38 77
Unfavorable opinion 143 23 23 100

C24: Fav/Unfav: Thomas

[Clarence Thomas] For each of these names have you never heard of them, heard of them but don’t know enough to have an opinion of them, have a favorable opinion or have an unfavorable opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Never heard of 61 10 10 10
Heard but not enough 109 17 17 27
Favorable opinion 206 33 33 60
Unfavorable opinion 252 40 40 100

C25: Favor/oppose Trump ballot disqualification

[Overturn a ruling by the Colorado Supreme Court that disqualified Donald Trump from the state’s upcoming Republican presidential primary.] Do you favor or oppose the following possible future Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard nothing at all 28 4 4 4
Heard of but not enough for an opinion 79 13 13 17
Heard of and favor the decision 270 43 43 60
Heard of and oppose the decision 249 40 40 100
Web blank 2 0 0 100

C26: Favor/oppose domestic violence gun ban

[Uphold a federal law that the government may prohibit people subject to domestic violence restraining orders from possessing firearms.] Do you favor or oppose the following possible future Supreme Court decisions, or haven’t you heard enough about this to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Heard nothing at all 110 18 18 18
Heard of but not enough for an opinion 100 16 16 33
Heard of and favor the decision 382 61 61 94
Heard of and oppose the decision 36 6 6 100

D1: Biden job approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 85 14 14 14
Somewhat approve 158 25 25 39
Somewhat disapprove 88 14 14 53
Strongly disapprove 296 47 47 100

D1: Biden job approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 243 39 39 39
Disapprove 384 61 61 100

D2: Congress job approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Congress is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 13 2 2 2
Somewhat approve 92 15 15 17
Somewhat disapprove 275 44 44 61
Strongly disapprove 247 39 39 100

D2: Congress job approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Congress is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 105 17 17 17
Disapprove 523 83 83 100

D3: Fav/unfav: Biden

[Joe Biden] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 102 16 16 16
Somewhat favorable 153 24 24 41
Somewhat unfavorable 73 12 12 52
Very unfavorable 299 48 48 100
Haven't heard enough 0 0 0 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

D4: Fav/unfav: Harris

[Kamala Harris] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 70 11 11 11
Somewhat favorable 161 26 26 37
Somewhat unfavorable 80 13 13 50
Very unfavorable 288 46 46 96
Haven't heard enough 27 4 4 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

D5: Fav/unfav: Kennedy, Jr.

[Robert F. Kennedy, Jr] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 36 6 6 6
Somewhat favorable 227 36 36 42
Somewhat unfavorable 81 13 13 55
Very unfavorable 136 22 22 76
Haven't heard enough 147 23 23 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

D6: Fav/unfav: West

[Cornell West] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 17 3 3 3
Somewhat favorable 56 9 9 12
Somewhat unfavorable 46 7 7 19
Very unfavorable 87 14 14 33
Haven't heard enough 421 67 67 100
Skipped/Ref 2 0 0 100

D7: Fav/unfav: DeSantis

[Ron DeSantis] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 85 14 14 14
Somewhat favorable 155 25 25 38
Somewhat unfavorable 76 12 12 50
Very unfavorable 259 41 41 92
Haven't heard enough 51 8 8 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

D8: Fav/unfav: Haley

[Nikki Haley] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 31 5 5 5
Somewhat favorable 191 30 30 35
Somewhat unfavorable 164 26 26 62
Very unfavorable 157 25 25 87
Haven't heard enough 83 13 13 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

D9: Fav/unfav: Trump

[Donald Trump] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 172 27 27 27
Somewhat favorable 118 19 19 46
Somewhat unfavorable 32 5 5 51
Very unfavorable 302 48 48 99
Haven't heard enough 2 0 0 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

E1: State of the economy

How would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Excellent 44 7 7 7
Good 190 30 30 37
Not so good 227 36 36 73
Poor 167 27 27 100

E2: Heard about US attacks on militia sites

[U.S. military attacks on dozens of Iranian-backed militia sites in Syria and Iraq in retaliation for a drone strike that killed three U.S. soldiers in Jordan.] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 368 59 59 59
A little 206 33 33 91
Nothing at all 53 9 9 100

E3: Heard about Trump defamation ruling

[A Manhattan jury ordered Donald Trump to pay $83.3 million for defaming the writer E. Jean Carroll] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 406 65 65 65
A little 152 24 24 89
Nothing at all 70 11 11 100

E4: Heard about caucus/primary

[The results of the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 314 50 50 50
A little 185 30 30 80
Nothing at all 128 20 20 100

E5: Heard about inflation

[News reports that consumer prices (inflation) rose by 3.4% over the past 12 months (as of December)] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 273 44 44 44
A little 266 42 42 86
Nothing at all 89 14 14 100

E6: Heard about unemployment

[News reports that the unemployment rate was 3.7% (as of January)] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 216 34 34 34
A little 292 47 47 81
Nothing at all 119 19 19 100

E7: US involvement in Israel/Hamas war

When it comes to Israel’s war with Hamas in Gaza, should the U.S. support Israel, support Hamas or not take a position?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Support Israel 312 50 50 50
Support Hamas 21 3 3 53
Not take a position 294 47 47 100

F1: SCOTUS ideology

[The US Supreme Court] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 149 24 24 24
Somewhat conservative 228 36 36 60
Moderate 170 27 27 87
Somewhat liberal 48 8 8 95
Very liberal 33 5 5 100

F2: Biden ideology

[Joe Biden] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 14 2 2 2
Somewhat conservative 40 6 6 9
Moderate 118 19 19 27
Somewhat liberal 158 25 25 53
Very liberal 298 47 47 100

F3: Trump ideology

[Donald Trump] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 350 56 56 56
Somewhat conservative 187 30 30 86
Moderate 53 8 8 94
Somewhat liberal 7 1 1 95
Very liberal 30 5 5 100

F4: Haley ideology

[Nikki Haley] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 160 26 26 26
Somewhat conservative 198 31 31 57
Moderate 166 27 27 84
Somewhat liberal 63 10 10 94
Very liberal 41 6 6 100

F5: Republican ideology

[The Republican party] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 322 51 51 51
Somewhat conservative 205 33 33 84
Moderate 66 11 11 94
Somewhat liberal 23 4 4 98
Very liberal 12 2 2 100

F6: Democratic ideology

[The Democratic party] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 15 2 2 2
Somewhat conservative 36 6 6 8
Moderate 98 16 16 24
Somewhat liberal 163 26 26 50
Very liberal 315 50 50 100
Skipped/Ref 0 0 0 100

F7: Better at handling the economy

[The economy] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 219 35 35 35
Trump 333 53 53 88
Both about the same 34 5 5 93
Neither good 42 7 7 100

F8: Better at handling immigration/border

[Immigration and border security] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 164 26 26 26
Trump 342 54 54 80
Both about the same 33 5 5 86
Neither good 90 14 14 100

F9: Better at handling Israel/Hamas war

[Handling the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 189 30 30 30
Trump 294 47 47 77
Both about the same 48 8 8 85
Neither good 97 15 15 100

F10: Better at handling healthcare

[Healthcare] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 272 43 43 43
Trump 237 38 38 81
Both about the same 61 10 10 91
Neither good 59 9 9 100

F11: Better at handling foreign relations

[Foreign relations] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 242 39 39 39
Trump 290 46 46 85
Both about the same 35 6 6 90
Neither good 61 10 10 100

F12: Better at handling abortion policy

[Abortion policy] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 268 43 43 43
Trump 232 37 37 80
Both about the same 66 11 11 90
Neither good 62 10 10 100

F13: Better at handling medicare/social security

[Medicare & Social Security] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 255 41 41 41
Trump 244 39 39 80
Both about the same 67 11 11 90
Neither good 62 10 10 100

F14: Describes Biden: too old

[Is too old to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 361 57 57 57
Somewhat well 134 21 21 79
Not too well 66 10 10 89
Not at all well 68 11 11 100

F15: Describes Biden: shares values

[Shares your values] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 89 14 14 14
Somewhat well 182 29 29 43
Not too well 97 15 15 59
Not at all well 260 41 41 100

F16: Describes Biden: corrupt

[Has behaved corruptly] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 206 33 33 33
Somewhat well 92 15 15 47
Not too well 92 15 15 62
Not at all well 238 38 38 100

F17: Describes Biden: accomplishments

[Has a strong record of accomplishments as president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 113 18 18 18
Somewhat well 144 23 23 41
Not too well 114 18 18 59
Not at all well 257 41 41 100

F18: Describes Trump: too old

[Is too old to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 168 27 27 27
Somewhat well 158 25 25 52
Not too well 132 21 21 73
Not at all well 168 27 27 100

F19: Describes Trump: shares values

[Shares your values] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 150 24 24 24
Somewhat well 144 23 23 47
Not too well 42 7 7 53
Not at all well 292 47 47 100

F20: Describes Trump: corrupt

[Has behaved corruptly] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 302 48 48 48
Somewhat well 87 14 14 62
Not too well 112 18 18 80
Not at all well 126 20 20 100

F21: Describes Trump: accomplishments

[Has a strong record of accomplishments as president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 240 38 38 38
Somewhat well 82 13 13 51
Not too well 85 14 14 65
Not at all well 220 35 35 100

F22: Trump after 2020

As you may know, Donald Trump has been indicted by the federal government concerning his actions following the 2020 vote. In connection with those actions, do you think Trump did something illegal, he did something wrong but not illegal, or do you think he didn’t do anything wrong?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Something illegal 321 51 51 51
Something wrong but not illegal 136 22 22 73
He didn't do anything wrong 170 27 27 100

F23: Biden & Hunter Biden

Related to his son’s business dealings, do you think Joe Biden did something illegal, he did something wrong but not illegal, or do you think he didn’t do anything wrong?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Something illegal 283 45 45 45
Something wrong but not illegal 146 23 23 68
He didn't do anything wrong 199 32 32 100

K1: abortion legality

Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases, or illegal in all cases?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Legal in all cases 193 31 31 31
Legal in most cases 233 37 37 68
Illegal in most cases 158 25 25 93
Illegal in all cases 43 7 7 100

K2: Biden border policies

Do you agree or disagree that the Biden administration’s border policies have created a crisis of uncontrolled illegal migration into the country?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly agree 317 50 50 50
Somewhat agree 113 18 18 69
Somewhat disagree 103 16 16 85
Strongly disagree 94 15 15 100

K3: Undocumented immigrant policy

Do you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 269 43 43 43
Somewhat favor 172 27 27 70
Somewhat oppose 135 21 21 92
Strongly oppose 52 8 8 100

P1: US involvement in world affairs

Do you think it will be better for the future of the country if we take an active part in world affairs, or if we stay out of world affairs?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Take an active part in world affairs 388 62 62 62
Stay out of world affairs 240 38 38 100

P2: Ukraine support level

When it comes to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, do you think the United States is providing too much support to Ukraine, not enough support to Ukraine, or about the right amount of support to Ukraine?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Too much support 236 38 38 38
Not enough support 167 27 27 64
About the right amount of support 224 36 36 100

P3: Israel support level

When it comes to Israel’s war with Hamas in Gaza, do you think the United States is providing too much support to Israel, not enough support to Israel, or about the right amount of support to Israel?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Too much support 254 41 41 41
Not enough support 129 21 21 61
About the right amount of support 243 39 39 100
Skipped/Ref 2 0 0 100

P4: Trump classified material

Do you believe Donald Trump had top secret and other classified material or national security documents at his home in Mar-a-Lago in 2022?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 496 79 79 79
No 131 21 21 100

P5: Biden classified material

Do you believe Joe Biden had top secret and other classified material or national security documents at his home in Delaware in 2022?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 479 76 76 76
No 149 24 24 100

P6: 2020 vote count accuracy

How confident are you that, across the country, the votes for president were accurately cast and counted in [the 2020] election? Very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident.
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very confident 275 44 44 44
Somewhat confident 84 13 13 57
Not too confident 122 19 19 77
Not at all confident 147 23 23 100

P7: Fav/Unfav: Black Lives Matter movement

Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the Black Lives Matter movement or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 115 18 18 18
Somewhat favorable 179 28 28 47
Somewhat unfavorable 84 13 13 60
Very unfavorable 220 35 35 95
Haven't heard enough 30 5 5 100

P8: racism in America today

How much of a problem do you think racism is in the country today?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A very big problem 217 35 35 35
A moderately big problem 223 36 36 70
A small problem 160 26 26 96
Not a problem at all 28 4 4 100

P9: reverse racism

How much do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Discrimination against White people has become as big a problem as discrimination against Black people and other minorities.”
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly agree 155 25 25 25
Somewhat agree 177 28 28 53
Somewhat disagree 102 16 16 69
Strongly disagree 193 31 31 100
Web blank 1 0 0 100

P10: personal financial situation

Thinking about your family's financial situation, would you say you are living comfortably, just getting by, or struggling to make ends meet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Living comfortably 283 45 45 45
Just getting by 243 39 39 84
Struggling 102 16 16 100

X1: Trust in government

How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right?...Just about always, most of the time, only some of the time, never?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Just about always 3 0 0 0
Most of the time 99 16 16 16
Only some of the time 417 66 66 83
Never 109 17 17 100

X2: Trust in others

Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted, or most people can't be trusted?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Most people can be trusted 376 60 60 60
Most people can't be trusted 251 40 40 100

INT1: internet use

Do you use the internet or email, at least occasionally?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 628 100 100 100

Z3: religious service attendance

Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
More than once a week 44 7 7 7
Once a week 95 15 15 22
Once or twice a month 47 7 7 30
A few times a year 91 14 14 44
Seldom 155 25 25 69
Never 196 31 31 100

Z4: born-again or evangelical

Would you describe yourself as a "born-again" or evangelical Christian, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes, would 160 25 25 25
No, would not 466 74 74 100
Skipped/Ref 2 0 0 100

Z5: political ideology

Generally speaking, how would you describe your political views?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 104 17 17 17
Somewhat conservative 166 26 26 43
Moderate 188 30 30 73
Somewhat liberal 111 18 18 91
Very liberal 57 9 9 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

Z6: talk to neighbors

During the last 12 months, how often did you talk with any of your neighbors?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Basically, every day 49 8 8 8
A few times a week 200 32 32 40
A few times a month 196 31 31 71
Once a month 61 10 10 81
Less than once a month 89 14 14 95
Not at all 33 5 5 100

Z7: volunteering

We are interested in volunteer activities for which people are not paid, except perhaps expenses.  In the last 12 months, have you done any volunteer activities through or for an organization?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 175 28 28 28
No 452 72 72 100

Z8: Vote choice in 2020

Which presidential candidate did you vote for in 2020?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump 302 48 48 48
Joe Biden 302 48 48 96
Someone else 8 1 1 98
I did not vote in the 2020 presidential election 14 2 2 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

Z9: own or rent

Is your home owned or rented?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Owned 502 80 80 80
Rented 126 20 20 100

Z10: adults in household

Including yourself, how many adults age 18 or older are there living in your household?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
1 99 16 16 16
2 361 57 57 73
3 105 17 17 90
4 47 8 8 98
5 7 1 1 99
6 3 1 1 99
7 4 1 1 100

party ID, 5-cat

Party ID with leaners separate
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 234 37 37 37
Lean Republican 74 12 12 49
Independent 44 7 7 56
Lean Democrat 73 12 12 68
Democrat 201 32 32 100

party ID, leaners as partisans

Party ID with leaners included
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 309 49 49 49
Independent 44 7 7 56
Democrat 275 44 44 100

gender

sex
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Male 319 51 51 51
Female 297 47 47 98
Another gender 8 1 1 99
Skipped/Ref 3 1 1 100

age

age, 4 categories
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
18-29 71 11 11 11
30-44 126 20 20 31
45-59 170 27 27 59
60+ 260 41 41 100

education

education - 5 categories
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Less than HS 34 5 5 5
HS graduate 169 27 27 32
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 162 26 26 58
Bachelor's degree 125 20 20 78
Post grad study/professional degree 135 22 22 100
(Missing) 3 0 NA NA

income

income recode
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Less than $30k 113 18 18 18
$30k to less than $50k 91 14 14 32
$50k to less than $75k 105 17 17 49
$75k to less than $100k 107 17 17 66
$100k or more 211 34 34 100
DK/NA/Ref 1 0 0 100

marital status

marital status
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Married 390 62 62 62
Widowed 20 3 3 65
Divorced 54 9 9 74
Separated 10 2 2 76
Single, never married 100 16 16 91
Single, cohabitating 50 8 8 99
Skipped/Ref 3 1 1 100

race/ethnicity

race and hispanic origin
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
White 443 71 71 71
Black 53 8 8 79
Hispanic 65 10 10 89
Other/Multiple 61 10 10 99
Skipped/Ref 7 1 1 100

religious affiliation

religious identification
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Born-again Protestant 133 21 21 21
Mainline Protestant 111 18 18 39
Roman Catholic 153 24 24 63
No religion 154 25 25 88
Other religion 74 12 12 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100