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Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll March 18-28, 2024

Registered voters

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among registered voters are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

A1: interest in politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. How often do you follow what's going on in politics…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Most of the time 336 43 43 43
Some of the time 291 37 37 80
Only now and then 107 14 14 94
Hardly at all 46 6 6 100

A2: voter registration

Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 780 100 100 100

A2B: registration intention

Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
(Missing) 780 100 NA NA

A3: voting intention

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Absolutely certain 614 79 79 79
Very Likely 112 14 14 93
Chances 50-50 49 6 6 99
Don't think will vote 5 1 1 100

A4: voting enthusiasm

How enthusiastic are you about voting in the elections in November 2024 for president and other offices? Would you say you are very, somewhat, not too, or not at all enthusiastic?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very enthusiastic 290 37 37 37
Somewhat enthusiastic 221 28 28 66
Not too enthusiastic 200 26 26 91
Not at all enthusiastic 68 9 9 100

B1: Trump vs Biden

If the 2024 election for president were held today between [Former President Donald Trump, the Republican] and [President Joe Biden, the Democrat] would you vote for [Donald Trump] or for [Joe Biden]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump 340 44 44 44
Joe Biden 324 42 42 85
Someone else 102 13 13 98
Wouldn't vote 14 2 2 100

B1B: Trump vs Biden, lean

If you had to choose, would you vote for [Biden] or for [Trump]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Donald Trump 7 1 6 6
Probably Donald Trump 40 5 35 40
Probably Joe Biden 54 7 47 87
Definitely Joe Biden 15 2 13 100
Skipped/Ref 0 0 0 100
(Missing) 664 85 NA NA

B1: Trump vs Biden, with lean

[combination of i4i and preference in i4leani]
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump 387 50 50 50
Joe Biden 393 50 50 100
Someone else 0 0 0 100

B2: Ballot w/3rd parties

If the presidential ballot included additional candidates, would you vote for [Democrat Joe Biden], [Republican Donald Trump], [independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr], [independent Cornel
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Democrat, Joe Biden 298 38 38 38
Republican, Donald Trump 316 41 41 79
Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 111 14 14 93
Independent Cornel West 36 5 5 98
The Green Party's Jill Stein 18 2 2 100
Web blank 1 0 0 100

B3: Congressional generic ballot

If the elections were held today for US Congress in your state, would you be more likely to vote for the [Republican candidate] or the [Democratic candidate]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
The Republican candidate 404 52 52 52
The Democratic candidate 376 48 48 100
Skipped/Ref 0 0 0 100

C1: SCOTUS approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 62 8 8 8
Somewhat approve 306 39 39 47
Somewhat disapprove 236 30 30 78
Strongly disapprove 175 22 22 100

C1: SCOTUS approval (2-cat)

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 369 47 47 47
Disapprove 411 53 53 100

C2: Confidence in SCOTUS