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Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll May 6-15, 2024

Likely voters

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among likely voters are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

A1: interest in politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. How often do you follow what's going on in politics…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Most of the time 336 54 54 54
Some of the time 221 35 35 89
Only now and then 55 9 9 98
Hardly at all 12 2 2 100

A2: voter registration

Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 624 100 100 100

A2B: registration intention

Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
(Missing) 624 100 NA NA

A3: voting intention

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Absolutely certain 624 100 100 100

A4: voting enthusiasm

How enthusiastic are you about voting in the elections in November 2024 for president and other offices? Would you say you are very, somewhat, not too, or not at all enthusiastic?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very enthusiastic 334 53 53 53
Somewhat enthusiastic 169 27 27 81
Not too enthusiastic 80 13 13 93
Not at all enthusiastic 41 7 7 100

B1: Trump vs Biden

If the 2024 election for president were held today between [Former President Donald Trump, the Republican] and [President Joe Biden, the Democrat] would you vote for [Donald Trump] or for [Joe Biden]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden 272 44 44 44
Donald Trump 295 47 47 91
Someone else 56 9 9 100
Wouldn't vote 1 0 0 100

B1B: Trump vs Biden, lean

If you had to choose, would you vote for [Biden] or for [Trump]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Joe Biden 13 2 23 23
Probably Joe Biden 22 4 39 62
Probably Donald Trump 18 3 31 93
Definitely Donald Trump 4 1 7 100
(Missing) 567 91 NA NA

B1: Trump vs Biden, with lean

[combination of i4i and preference in i4leani]
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden 308 49 49 49
Donald Trump 316 51 51 100

B2: Ballot w/3rd parties

If the presidential ballot included additional candidates, would you vote for [Democrat Joe Biden], [Republican Donald Trump], [independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr], [independent Cornel
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Democrat, Joe Biden 259 41 41 41
Republican, Donald Trump 272 44 44 85
Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 67 11 11 96
The Green Party's Jill Stein 13 2 2 98
Independent Cornel West 13 2 2 100

B3: Congressional generic ballot

If the elections were held today for US Congress in your state, would you be more likely to vote for the [Republican candidate] or the [Democratic candidate]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
The Republican candidate 313 50 50 50
The Democratic candidate 312 50 50 100

C1: SCOTUS approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 49 8 8 8
Somewhat approve 203 33 33 40
Somewhat disapprove 183 29 29 70
Strongly disapprove 189 30 30 100

C1: SCOTUS approval (2-cat)

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 252 40 40 40
Disapprove 372 60 60 100

C2: Confidence in SCOTUS

[The US Supreme Court] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 43 7 7 7
Quite a lot 124 20 20 27
Some 220 35 35 62
Very little 139 22 22 84
None at all 98 16 16 100

C3: Confidence in Congress

[Congress] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 16 3 3 3
Quite a lot 49 8 8 10
Some 228 36 36 47
Very little 255 41 41 88
None at all 77 12 12 100

C4: Confidence in Presidency

[The Presidency] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 71 11 11 11
Quite a lot 106 17 17 28
Some 197 32 32 60
Very little 127 20 20 80
None at all 124 20 20 100

C5: Confidence in DOJ

[The U.S. Department of Justice] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 48 8 8 8
Quite a lot 126 20 20 28
Some 221 35 35 63
Very little 124 20 20 83
None at all 105 17 17 100

C6: Confidence in juries

[Juries that decide guilt or innocence in criminal cases] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 68 11 11 11
Quite a lot 182 29 29 40
Some 264 42 42 82
Very little 88 14 14 96
None at all 23 4 4 100

C7: Justice nomination majority

What is your guess as to whether a majority of the current US Supreme Court Justices were appointed by Democratic or Republican presidents?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely a majority appointed by Democratic presidents 26 4 4 4
Probably a majority appointed by Democratic presidents 97 15 15 20
Probably a majority appointed by Republican presidents 235 38 38 57
Definitely a majority appointed by Republican presidents 267 43 43 100

C8: Heard about SCOTUS last month

Thinking about the last month only, how much have you heard or read about the U.S. Supreme Court?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 244 39 39 39
A little 307 49 49 88
Nothing at all 73 12 12 100

C9: Justice motivations

In general, what most often motivates Supreme Court justices’ decisions?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Mainly politics 320 51 51 51
Mainly the law 304 49 49 100

C10: Municipal outdoor sleeping bans

The U.S. Supreme Court is considering a case concerning whether cities can, without violating the Constitution, ban homeless people from sleeping or camping in public spaces. Which comes closer to your view?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Cities can ban sleeping in public spaces 340 54 54 54
Cities cannot ban sleeping in public spaces 195 31 31 86
Don't know 89 14 14 100

C11A: Presidential immunity, v1

The U.S. Supreme Court is considering a case concerning whether former presidents have immunity from criminal prosecution for official actions while in office. Which comes closer to your view?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Former presidents should be immune from criminal prosecution for their official acts 67 11 21 21
Former presidents should not have immunity from criminal prosecution for their official acts 221 35 71 92
Don't know 26 4 8 100
(Missing) 311 50 NA NA

C11B: Presidential immunity, v2

The U.S. Supreme Court is considering a case concerning whether former President Donald Trump has immunity from criminal prosecution for official actions while president. Which comes closer to your view?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Former President Trump should be immune from criminal prosecution for his official acts 122 20 39 39
Former President Trump should not have immunity from criminal prosecution for his official acts 170 27 55 94
Don't know 18 3 6 100
(Missing) 313 50 NA NA

C12: Domestic violence gun ban

The U.S. Supreme Court is considering a case concerning the constitutionality of a federal law that prohibits people subject to domestic violence restraining orders from possessing firearms. Which comes closer to your view?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
The Court should uphold the law prohibiting gun possession by those subject to restraining orders 495 79 79 79
The Court should strike down the law as a violation of the Second Amendment right to bear arms 91 15 15 94
Don't know 38 6 6 100

C13: Mifepristone restrictions

The U.S. Supreme Court is reviewing a lower court decision that would significantly restrict (but not eliminate altogether) access to a drug used in medication abortions, mifepristone. Which comes closer to your view?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
The Court should rule to keep the current access to the medication abortion drug, thus overturning the lower court decis 387 62 62 62
The Court should rule that the lower court was correct in its decision, thus restricting access to the medication aborti 164 26 26 88
Don't know 74 12 12 100

C14: Social media regulations

The U.S. Supreme Court is considering a case concerning laws that regulate how large social media companies like Facebook and YouTube control content posted on their sites. Which comes closer to your view?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
The Court should rule that the companies have a First Amendment right to make decisions about what content may be presen 296 47 47 47
The Court should rule that the companies cannot decide what views users may express on the sites 224 36 36 83
Don't know 104 17 17 100

D1: Biden job approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 100 16 16 16
Somewhat approve 175 28 28 44
Somewhat disapprove 64 10 10 54
Strongly disapprove 285 46 46 100

D1: Biden job approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 275 44 44 44
Disapprove 349 56 56 100

D2: Congress job approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Congress is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 11 2 2 2
Somewhat approve 157 25 25 27
Somewhat disapprove 257 41 41 68
Strongly disapprove 199 32 32 100

D2: Congress job approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Congress is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 168 27 27 27
Disapprove 456 73 73 100

D3: Trump job approval, 4-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 192 31 31 31
Somewhat approve 107 17 17 48
Somewhat disapprove 52 8 8 56
Strongly disapprove 273 44 44 100

D3: Trump job approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 299 48 48 48
Disapprove 325 52 52 100

D4: Fav/unfav: Biden

[Joe Biden] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 109 17 17 17
Somewhat favorable 166 27 27 44
Somewhat unfavorable 54 9 9 53
Very unfavorable 291 47 47 99
Haven't heard enough 3 1 1 100

D5: Fav/unfav: Harris

[Kamala Harris] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 62 10 10 10
Somewhat favorable 174 28 28 38
Somewhat unfavorable 80 13 13 51
Very unfavorable 283 45 45 96
Haven't heard enough 25 4 4 100

D6: Fav/unfav: Kennedy, Jr.

[Robert F. Kennedy, Jr] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 36 6 6 6
Somewhat favorable 150 24 24 30
Somewhat unfavorable 161 26 26 56
Very unfavorable 162 26 26 82
Haven't heard enough 115 18 18 100

D7: Fav/unfav: West

[Cornell West] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 16 3 3 3
Somewhat favorable 54 9 9 11
Somewhat unfavorable 70 11 11 22
Very unfavorable 72 12 12 34
Haven't heard enough 412 66 66 100

D8: Fav/unfav: Trump

[Donald Trump] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 182 29 29 29
Somewhat favorable 88 14 14 43
Somewhat unfavorable 44 7 7 50
Very unfavorable 306 49 49 99
Haven't heard enough 4 1 1 100

D8A: Fav/unfav: Stein

[Jill Stein] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 10 2 2 2
Somewhat favorable 63 10 10 12
Somewhat unfavorable 88 14 14 26
Very unfavorable 93 15 15 41
Haven't heard enough 370 59 59 100

D9: Fav/unfav: Democratic Party

[The Democratic party] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following political organizations or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 77 12 12 12
Somewhat favorable 217 35 35 47
Somewhat unfavorable 87 14 14 61
Very unfavorable 240 39 39 100
Haven't heard enough 3 0 0 100

D10: Fav/unfav: Republican Party

[The Republican party] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following political organizations or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 92 15 15 15
Somewhat favorable 175 28 28 43
Somewhat unfavorable 140 23 23 65
Very unfavorable 212 34 34 99
Haven't heard enough 4 1 1 100

D11: Fav/unfav: BLM Movement

Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the Black Lives Matter movement or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 91 15 15 15
Somewhat favorable 174 28 28 42
Somewhat unfavorable 107 17 17 60
Very unfavorable 235 38 38 97
Haven't heard enough 17 3 3 100

D12: Fav/unfav: MAGA Movement

[The MAGA (Make America Great Again) movement] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following groups and organizations or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 146 23 23 23
Somewhat favorable 104 17 17 40
Somewhat unfavorable 54 9 9 49
Very unfavorable 306 49 49 98
Haven't heard enough 15 2 2 100

D13: Biden cease-fire efforts

Has Joe Biden been working to negotiate a cease-fire agreement between Israel and Hamas, or has he not been working to negotiate a cease-fire agreement?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Has been working to negotiate a cease-fire 340 55 55 55
Has not been working to negotiate a cease-fire 157 25 25 80
Don't know 127 20 20 100

E1: State of the economy

How would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Excellent 25 4 4 4
Good 194 31 31 35
Not so good 208 33 33 68
Poor 197 32 32 100

E2: State of economy in your state

How would you describe the economy in your state these days?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Excellent 36 6 6 6
Good 232 37 37 43
Not so good 213 34 34 77
Poor 143 23 23 100

E3: Heard about Trump/Daniels case

[Donald Trump’s trial in New York concerning charges he falsified business records to cover up payments to adult film actress Stormy Daniels
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 463 74 74 74
A little 139 22 22 96
Nothing at all 22 4 4 100

E4: Heard about SCOTUS immunity hearing

[The U.S. Supreme Court hearing on Donald Trump’s claim of presidential immunity from criminal prosecution for official acts as president] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 339 54 54 54
A little 253 41 41 95
Nothing at all 32 5 5 100

E5: Heard about Ukraine aid

[The House of Representatives and the Senate passed legislation providing $61 billion in aid to Ukraine in its war with Russia] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 320 51 51 51
A little 243 39 39 90
Nothing at all 61 10 10 100

E6: Heard about Israel aid

The House of Representatives and the Senate passed legislation providing $26.4 billion for Israel and for humanitarian aid for Gaza and other places] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 282 45 45 45
A little 275 44 44 89
Nothing at all 68 11 11 100

E7: Heard about college campus protests

[College campus protests against the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 504 81 81 81
A little 93 15 15 96
Nothing at all 27 4 4 100

E8: Heard about inflation

[News reports that consumer prices (inflation) rose by 3.2% over the past 12 months (as of February)] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 268 43 43 43
A little 279 45 45 88
Nothing at all 77 12 12 100

E9: Heard about unemployment

[News reports that the unemployment rate was 3.9% (as of February)] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 159 26 26 26
A little 302 48 48 74
Nothing at all 163 26 26 100

F1: SCOTUS ideology

[The US Supreme Court] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 191 31 31 31
Somewhat conservative 216 35 35 65
Moderate 159 26 26 91
Somewhat liberal 45 7 7 98
Very liberal 13 2 2 100

F2: Biden ideology

[Joe Biden] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 16 3 3 3
Somewhat conservative 48 8 8 10
Moderate 144 23 23 33
Somewhat liberal 153 25 25 58
Very liberal 263 42 42 100

F3: Trump ideology

[Donald Trump] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 333 53 53 53
Somewhat conservative 202 32 32 86
Moderate 43 7 7 92
Somewhat liberal 17 3 3 95
Very liberal 30 5 5 100

F4: Republican ideology

[The Republican party] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 301 48 48 48
Somewhat conservative 229 37 37 85
Moderate 56 9 9 94
Somewhat liberal 25 4 4 98
Very liberal 14 2 2 100

F5: Democratic ideology

[The Democratic party] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 18 3 3 3
Somewhat conservative 37 6 6 9
Moderate 96 15 15 24
Somewhat liberal 180 29 29 53
Very liberal 294 47 47 100

F6: Better at handling the economy

[The economy] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 217 35 35 35
Trump 320 51 51 86
Both about the same 54 9 9 95
Neither good 34 5 5 100

F7: Better at handling immigration/border

[Immigration and border security] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 188 30 30 30
Trump 328 53 53 83
Both about the same 44 7 7 90
Neither good 65 10 10 100

F8: Better at handling Israel/Hamas war

[Handling the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 204 33 33 33
Trump 276 44 44 77
Both about the same 46 7 7 84
Neither good 99 16 16 100

F9: Better at handling healthcare

[Healthcare] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 281 45 45 45
Trump 210 34 34 79
Both about the same 78 13 13 91
Neither good 55 9 9 100

F10: Better at handling foreign relations

[Foreign relations] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 252 40 40 40
Trump 282 45 45 86
Both about the same 49 8 8 93
Neither good 41 7 7 100

F11: Better at handling abortion policy

[Abortion policy] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 295 47 47 47
Trump 219 35 35 82
Both about the same 48 8 8 90
Neither good 62 10 10 100

F12: Better at handling medicare/social security

[Medicare & Social Security] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 277 44 44 44
Trump 227 36 36 81
Both about the same 73 12 12 92
Neither good 48 8 8 100

F13: Better at ensuring fair/accurate elections

[Ensuring fair and accurate elections] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 294 47 47 47
Trump 224 36 36 83
Both about the same 48 8 8 91
Neither good 58 9 9 100

F14: Describes Biden: too old

[Is too old to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 330 53 53 53
Somewhat well 153 25 25 77
Not too well 59 10 10 87
Not at all well 82 13 13 100

F15: Describes Biden: shares values

[Shares your values] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 121 19 19 19
Somewhat well 177 28 28 48
Not too well 74 12 12 60
Not at all well 251 40 40 100

F16: Describes Biden: corrupt

[Has behaved corruptly] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 174 28 28 28
Somewhat well 93 15 15 43
Not too well 92 15 15 57
Not at all well 265 43 43 100

F17: Describes Biden: accomplishments

[Has a strong record of accomplishments as president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 141 23 23 23
Somewhat well 149 24 24 47
Not too well 83 13 13 60
Not at all well 250 40 40 100

F18: Describes Biden: right temperament

[Has the right temperament to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 201 32 32 32
Somewhat well 136 22 22 54
Not too well 87 14 14 68
Not at all well 200 32 32 100

F19: Describes Trump: too old

[Is too old to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 142 23 23 23
Somewhat well 192 31 31 53
Not too well 147 24 24 77
Not at all well 143 23 23 100

F20: Describes Trump: shares values

[Shares your values] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 155 25 25 25
Somewhat well 134 21 21 46
Not too well 60 10 10 56
Not at all well 276 44 44 100

F21: Describes Trump: corrupt

[Has behaved corruptly] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 296 47 47 47
Somewhat well 88 14 14 61
Not too well 96 15 15 77
Not at all well 145 23 23 100

F22: Describes Trump: accomplishments

[Has a strong record of accomplishments as president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 223 36 36 36
Somewhat well 99 16 16 52
Not too well 87 14 14 66
Not at all well 215 34 34 100

F23: Describes Trump: right temperament

[Has the right temperament to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 139 22 22 22
Somewhat well 109 17 17 40
Not too well 79 13 13 52
Not at all well 298 48 48 100

F24: Trump/Daniels case

Donald Trump is currently being tried in a New York court on charges he falsified business records to cover up payments to adult film actress Stormy Daniels. In this case, do you think Trump did something illegal, he did something wrong but not illegal, or do you think he didn’t do anything wrong?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Something illegal 336 54 54 54
Something wrong but not illegal 155 25 25 79
He didn't do anything wrong 133 21 21 100

F25: Biden & Hunter Biden

Related to his son’s business dealings, do you think Joe Biden did something illegal, he did something wrong but not illegal, or do you think he didn’t do anything wrong?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Something illegal 283 45 45 45
Something wrong but not illegal 154 25 25 70
He didn't do anything wrong 186 30 30 100
Skipped/Ref 0 0 0 100
(Missing) 0 0 NA NA

F26: Most important issue

Which one of the following issues will be MOST important in deciding your vote for president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
The economy 209 34 34 34
Immigration and border security 140 22 22 56
Healthcare 23 4 4 60
Foreign relations 20 3 3 63
Abortion policy 65 10 10 73
Medicare & Social Security 63 10 10 83
The war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza 15 2 2 86
Ensuring fair and accurate elections 57 9 9 95
Don't know 33 5 5 100

F27: Prospective juror question

Prospective jurors in Donald Trump’s New York trial were asked the following question. If you were a juror in the trial, how would you answer the question? “Can you give us your assurance that you will decide this case solely on the evidence you see and hear in this courtroom and the law as the judge gives it?”
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
I can decide solely on the evidence and the law 521 83 83 83
I could not decide solely on the evidence and the law 62 10 10 93
Don't know 42 7 7 100

F28A: Vote if guilty verdict

If it turns out that Donald Trump is found guilty in his New York trial, would you vote for [Joe Biden] or for [Donald Trump]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden 143 23 46 46
Donald Trump 125 20 41 87
Someone else 35 6 11 98
Wouldn't vote 5 1 2 100
(Missing) 316 51 NA NA

F28B: Vote if not guilty verdict

If it turns out that Donald Trump is found not guilty in his New York trial, would you vote for [Joe Biden] or for [Donald Trump]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden 137 22 43 43
Donald Trump 145 23 46 89
Someone else 33 5 10 100
Wouldn't vote 1 0 0 100
(Missing) 308 49 NA NA

K1: abortion legality

Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases, or illegal in all cases?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Legal in all cases 206 33 33 33
Legal in most cases 223 36 36 69
Illegal in most cases 155 25 25 94
Illegal in all cases 40 6 6 100

K2: college protestor arrests

Should colleges have police arrest student protesters opposing the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza or should colleges allow the protests to continue as a matter of free speech?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Arrest protesters 272 44 44 44
Allow protests to continue 231 37 37 81
Don't know 121 19 19 100

K3A: immigrant deportation v1

Do you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 109 17 37 37
Somewhat favor 76 12 26 64
Somewhat oppose 70 11 24 88
Strongly oppose 36 6 12 100
(Missing) 333 53 NA NA

K3B: immigrant deportation v2

Do you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries even if they have lived here for a number of years, have jobs and no criminal record?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 96 15 29 29
Somewhat favor 73 12 22 51
Somewhat oppose 77 12 23 74
Strongly oppose 86 14 26 100
(Missing) 292 47 NA NA

P1: US involvement in world affairs

Do you think it will be better for the future of the country if we take an active part in world affairs, or if we stay out of world affairs?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Take an active part in world affairs 407 65 65 65
Stay out of world affairs 217 35 35 100

P2: Ukraine support level

When it comes to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, do you think the United States is providing too much support to Ukraine, not enough support to Ukraine, or about the right amount of support to Ukraine?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Too much support 241 39 39 39
Not enough support 161 26 26 64
About the right amount of support 222 36 36 100

P3: Israel support level

When it comes to Israel’s war with Hamas in Gaza, do you think the United States is providing too much support to Israel, not enough support to Israel, or about the right amount of support to Israel?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Too much support 252 40 40 40
Not enough support 161 26 26 66
About the right amount of support 211 34 34 100

P4: Racism today

How much of a problem do you think racism is in the country today?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A very big problem 208 33 33 33
A moderately big problem 231 37 37 70
A small problem 158 25 25 96
Not a problem at all 27 4 4 100

P5: Reverse racism

How much do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Discrimination against White people has become as big a problem as discrimination against Black people and other minorities.”
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly agree 155 25 25 25
Somewhat agree 170 27 27 52
Somewhat disagree 83 13 13 65
Strongly disagree 216 35 35 100

P6: personal financial situation

Thinking about your family's financial situation, would you say you are living comfortably, just getting by, or struggling to make ends meet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Living comfortably 266 43 43 43
Just getting by 257 41 41 84
Struggling 101 16 16 100

X1: Trust in government

How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right?...Just about always, most of the time, only some of the time, never?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Just about always 6 1 1 1
Most of the time 99 16 16 17
Only some of the time 404 65 65 82
Never 114 18 18 100

X2: Trust in others

Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted, or most people can't be trusted?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Most people can be trusted 379 61 61 61
Most people can't be trusted 245 39 39 100

INT1: internet use

Do you use the internet or email, at least occasionally?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 624 100 100 100

INTFREQ: internet frequency

About how often do you use the internet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Almost constantly 241 39 39 39
Several times a day 325 52 52 91
About once a day 49 8 8 98
Several times a week 6 1 1 99
Less often 4 1 1 100

Z1: Party ID

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 216 35 35 35
Democrat 202 32 32 67
Independent 179 29 29 96
Other/No preference 28 4 4 100

Z2A: Party ID strenth

Would you call yourself a strong [Republican/Democrat] or a not very strong [Republican/Democrat]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strong 279 45 67 67
Not very strong 138 22 33 100
(Missing) 207 33 NA NA

Z2B: Party ID lean

Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 86 14 41 41
Democratic 103 16 50 91
Neither 18 3 9 100
(Missing) 417 67 NA NA

Z3: religious service attendance

Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
More than once a week 45 7 7 7
Once a week 106 17 17 24
Once or twice a month 67 11 11 35
A few times a year 81 13 13 48
Seldom 146 23 23 71
Never 180 29 29 100

Z4: born-again or evangelical

Would you describe yourself as a "born-again" or evangelical Christian, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes, would 207 33 33 33
No, would not 418 67 67 100

Z5: political ideology

Generally speaking, how would you describe your political views?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 135 22 22 22
Somewhat conservative 116 19 19 40
Moderate 199 32 32 72
Somewhat liberal 119 19 19 91
Very liberal 55 9 9 100

Z6: talk to neighbors

During the last 12 months, how often did you talk with any of your neighbors?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Basically, every day 48 8 8 8
A few times a week 216 35 35 42
A few times a month 174 28 28 70
Once a month 51 8 8 78
Less than once a month 89 14 14 93
Not at all 46 7 7 100

Z7: volunteering

We are interested in volunteer activities for which people are not paid, except perhaps expenses.  In the last 12 months, have you done any volunteer activities through or for an organization?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 164 26 26 26
No 460 74 74 100

GE2020: 2020 vote

Did you vote in the general election in 2020?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes, did vote in the 2020 general election 599 96 96 96
No, did not vote in the 2020 general election 26 4 4 100

Z8: Vote choice in 2020

Which presidential candidate did you vote for in 2020?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump 266 43 45 45
Joe Biden 315 51 53 97
Jo Jorgensen 6 1 1 98
Howie Hawkins 0 0 0 98
Another candidate 9 1 2 100
Did not vote in that election 1 0 0 100
(Missing) 26 4 NA NA

Z9: own or rent

Is your home owned or rented?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Owned 502 80 80 80
Rented 122 20 20 100

Z10: adults in household

Including yourself, how many adults age 18 or older are there living in your household?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
1 89 14 14 14
2 369 59 59 73
3 100 16 16 89
4 40 6 6 96
5 19 3 3 99
6 1 0 0 99
7 2 0 0 99
8 or more 5 1 1 100

party ID, 5-cat

Party ID with leaners separate
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 216 35 35 35
Lean Republican 86 14 14 48
Independent 18 3 3 51
Lean Democrat 103 16 16 68
Democrat 202 32 32 100

party ID, leaners as partisans

Party ID with leaners included
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 301 48 48 48
Independent 18 3 3 51
Democrat 304 49 49 100

gender

sex
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Male 320 51 51 51
Female 294 47 47 98
Another gender 1 0 0 98
Skipped/Ref 10 2 2 100

age

age, 4 categories
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
18-29 65 10 10 10
30-44 127 20 20 31
45-59 178 29 29 59
60+ 254 41 41 100

education

education - 5 categories
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Less than HS 30 5 5 5
HS graduate 149 24 24 29
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 165 27 27 56
Bachelor's degree 134 21 22 77
Post grad study/professional degree 142 23 23 100
(Missing) 4 1 NA NA

income

income recode
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Less than $30k 99 16 16 16
$30k to less than $50k 98 16 16 32
$50k to less than $75k 108 17 17 49
$75k to less than $100k 116 19 19 68
$100k or more 201 32 32 100

race/ethnicity

race and hispanic origin
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
White 429 69 69 69
Black 60 10 10 78
Hispanic 72 12 12 90
Other/Multiple 55 9 9 99
Skipped/Ref 9 1 1 100

religious affiliation

religious identification
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Born-again Protestant 165 26 26 26
Mainline Protestant 86 14 14 40
Roman Catholic 128 20 20 61
No religion 170 27 27 88
Other religion 70 11 11 99
Skipped/Ref 5 1 1 100