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Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll May 6-15, 2024

Registered voters

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among registered voters are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

A1: interest in politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. How often do you follow what's going on in politics…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Most of the time 350 43 43 43
Some of the time 309 38 38 81
Only now and then 116 14 14 96
Hardly at all 36 4 4 100

A2: voter registration

Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 811 100 100 100

A2B: registration intention

Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
(Missing) 811 100 NA NA

A3: voting intention

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Absolutely certain 624 77 77 77
Very Likely 113 14 14 91
Chances 50-50 64 8 8 99
Don't think will vote 9 1 1 100

A4: voting enthusiasm

How enthusiastic are you about voting in the elections in November 2024 for president and other offices? Would you say you are very, somewhat, not too, or not at all enthusiastic?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very enthusiastic 349 43 43 43
Somewhat enthusiastic 212 26 26 69
Not too enthusiastic 170 21 21 90
Not at all enthusiastic 79 10 10 100

B1: Trump vs Biden

If the 2024 election for president were held today between [Former President Donald Trump, the Republican] and [President Joe Biden, the Democrat] would you vote for [Donald Trump] or for [Joe Biden]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden 328 40 40 40
Donald Trump 356 44 44 84
Someone else 110 14 14 98
Wouldn't vote 17 2 2 100

B1B: Trump vs Biden, lean

If you had to choose, would you vote for [Biden] or for [Trump]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Joe Biden 23 3 18 18
Probably Joe Biden 50 6 40 58
Probably Donald Trump 43 5 34 92
Definitely Donald Trump 10 1 8 100
(Missing) 684 84 NA NA

B1: Trump vs Biden, with lean

[combination of i4i and preference in i4leani]
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden 402 50 50 50
Donald Trump 409 50 50 100

B2: Ballot w/3rd parties

If the presidential ballot included additional candidates, would you vote for [Democrat Joe Biden], [Republican Donald Trump], [independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr], [independent Cornel
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Democrat, Joe Biden 302 37 37 37
Republican, Donald Trump 321 40 40 77
Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 137 17 17 94
The Green Party's Jill Stein 24 3 3 97
Independent Cornel West 27 3 3 100

B3: Congressional generic ballot

If the elections were held today for US Congress in your state, would you be more likely to vote for the [Republican candidate] or the [Democratic candidate]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
The Republican candidate 402 50 50 50
The Democratic candidate 409 50 50 100

C1: SCOTUS approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 57 7 7 7
Somewhat approve 259 32 32 39
Somewhat disapprove 277 34 34 73
Strongly disapprove 218 27 27 100

C1: SCOTUS approval (2-cat)

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 316 39 39 39
Disapprove 495 61 61 100

C2: Confidence in SCOTUS

[The US Supreme Court] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 54 7 7 7
Quite a lot 144 18 18 24
Some 289 36 36 60
Very little 198 24 24 84
None at all 126 16 16 100

C3: Confidence in Congress

[Congress] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 19 2 2 2
Quite a lot 63 8 8 10
Some 286 35 35 45
Very little 330 41 41 86
None at all 113 14 14 100

C4: Confidence in Presidency

[The Presidency] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 79 10 10 10
Quite a lot 121 15 15 25
Some 241 30 30 54
Very little 210 26 26 80
None at all 160 20 20 100

C5: Confidence in DOJ

[The U.S. Department of Justice] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 57 7 7 7
Quite a lot 140 17 17 24
Some 299 37 37 61
Very little 182 22 22 84
None at all 134 16 16 100

C6: Confidence in juries

[Juries that decide guilt or innocence in criminal cases] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 74 9 9 9
Quite a lot 224 28 28 37
Some 338 42 42 78
Very little 133 16 16 95
None at all 42 5 5 100

C7: Justice nomination majority

What is your guess as to whether a majority of the current US Supreme Court Justices were appointed by Democratic or Republican presidents?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely a majority appointed by Democratic presidents 34 4 4 4
Probably a majority appointed by Democratic presidents 165 20 20 25
Probably a majority appointed by Republican presidents 323 40 40 64
Definitely a majority appointed by Republican presidents 289 36 36 100

C8: Heard about SCOTUS last month

Thinking about the last month only, how much have you heard or read about the U.S. Supreme Court?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 257 32 32 32
A little 408 50 50 82
Nothing at all 145 18 18 100

C9: Justice motivations

In general, what most often motivates Supreme Court justices’ decisions?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Mainly politics 435 54 54 54
Mainly the law 376 46 46 100

C10: Municipal outdoor sleeping bans

The U.S. Supreme Court is considering a case concerning whether cities can, without violating the Constitution, ban homeless people from sleeping or camping in public spaces. Which comes closer to your view?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Cities can ban sleeping in public spaces 413 51 51 51
Cities cannot ban sleeping in public spaces 270 33 33 84
Don't know 128 16 16 100

C11A: Presidential immunity, v1

The U.S. Supreme Court is considering a case concerning whether former presidents have immunity from criminal prosecution for official actions while in office. Which comes closer to your view?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Former presidents should be immune from criminal prosecution for their official acts 78 10 19 19
Former presidents should not have immunity from criminal prosecution for their official acts 293 36 71 90
Don't know 40 5 10 100
(Missing) 400 49 NA NA

C11B: Presidential immunity, v2

The U.S. Supreme Court is considering a case concerning whether former President Donald Trump has immunity from criminal prosecution for official actions while president. Which comes closer to your view?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Former President Trump should be immune from criminal prosecution for his official acts 130 16 32 32
Former President Trump should not have immunity from criminal prosecution for his official acts 235 29 59 91
Don't know 35 4 9 100
(Missing) 411 51 NA NA

C12: Domestic violence gun ban

The U.S. Supreme Court is considering a case concerning the constitutionality of a federal law that prohibits people subject to domestic violence restraining orders from possessing firearms. Which comes closer to your view?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
The Court should uphold the law prohibiting gun possession by those subject to restraining orders 620 76 76 76
The Court should strike down the law as a violation of the Second Amendment right to bear arms 129 16 16 92
Don't know 62 8 8 100

C13: Mifepristone restrictions

The U.S. Supreme Court is reviewing a lower court decision that would significantly restrict (but not eliminate altogether) access to a drug used in medication abortions, mifepristone. Which comes closer to your view?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
The Court should rule to keep the current access to the medication abortion drug, thus overturning the lower court decis 477 59 59 59
The Court should rule that the lower court was correct in its decision, thus restricting access to the medication aborti 213 26 26 85
Don't know 121 15 15 100

C14: Social media regulations

The U.S. Supreme Court is considering a case concerning laws that regulate how large social media companies like Facebook and YouTube control content posted on their sites. Which comes closer to your view?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
The Court should rule that the companies have a First Amendment right to make decisions about what content may be presen 377 47 47 47
The Court should rule that the companies cannot decide what views users may express on the sites 291 36 36 82
Don't know 142 18 18 100

D1: Biden job approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 106 13 13 13
Somewhat approve 215 27 27 40
Somewhat disapprove 136 17 17 56
Strongly disapprove 353 44 44 100

D1: Biden job approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 321 40 40 40
Disapprove 490 60 60 100

D2: Congress job approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Congress is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 15 2 2 2
Somewhat approve 204 25 25 27
Somewhat disapprove 344 42 42 69
Strongly disapprove 248 31 31 100

D2: Congress job approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Congress is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 219 27 27 27
Disapprove 592 73 73 100

D3: Trump job approval, 4-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 210 26 26 26
Somewhat approve 163 20 20 46
Somewhat disapprove 102 13 13 59
Strongly disapprove 336 41 41 100

D3: Trump job approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 373 46 46 46
Disapprove 438 54 54 100

D4: Fav/unfav: Biden

[Joe Biden] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 117 14 14 14
Somewhat favorable 201 25 25 39
Somewhat unfavorable 121 15 15 54
Very unfavorable 367 45 45 99
Haven't heard enough 6 1 1 100

D5: Fav/unfav: Harris

[Kamala Harris] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 69 9 9 9
Somewhat favorable 214 26 26 35
Somewhat unfavorable 125 15 15 50
Very unfavorable 354 44 44 94
Haven't heard enough 49 6 6 100

D6: Fav/unfav: Kennedy, Jr.

[Robert F. Kennedy, Jr] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 52 6 6 6
Somewhat favorable 198 24 24 31
Somewhat unfavorable 194 24 24 55
Very unfavorable 175 22 22 76
Haven't heard enough 192 24 24 100

D7: Fav/unfav: West

[Cornell West] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 19 2 2 2
Somewhat favorable 72 9 9 11
Somewhat unfavorable 83 10 10 21
Very unfavorable 80 10 10 31
Haven't heard enough 557 69 69 100

D8: Fav/unfav: Trump

[Donald Trump] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 199 25 25 25
Somewhat favorable 132 16 16 41
Somewhat unfavorable 85 11 11 51
Very unfavorable 387 48 48 99
Haven't heard enough 8 1 1 100

D8A: Fav/unfav: Stein

[Jill Stein] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 15 2 2 2
Somewhat favorable 80 10 10 12
Somewhat unfavorable 106 13 13 25
Very unfavorable 104 13 13 38
Haven't heard enough 506 62 62 100

D9: Fav/unfav: Democratic Party

[The Democratic party] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following political organizations or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 91 11 11 11
Somewhat favorable 273 34 34 45
Somewhat unfavorable 145 18 18 63
Very unfavorable 297 37 37 99
Haven't heard enough 5 1 1 100

D10: Fav/unfav: Republican Party

[The Republican party] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following political organizations or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 104 13 13 13
Somewhat favorable 222 27 27 40
Somewhat unfavorable 204 25 25 65
Very unfavorable 271 33 33 99
Haven't heard enough 10 1 1 100

D11: Fav/unfav: BLM Movement

Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the Black Lives Matter movement or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 118 15 15 15
Somewhat favorable 234 29 29 43
Somewhat unfavorable 143 18 18 61
Very unfavorable 291 36 36 97
Haven't heard enough 26 3 3 100

D12: Fav/unfav: MAGA Movement

[The MAGA (Make America Great Again) movement] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following groups and organizations or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 159 20 20 20
Somewhat favorable 140 17 17 37
Somewhat unfavorable 89 11 11 48
Very unfavorable 389 48 48 96
Haven't heard enough 34 4 4 100

D13: Biden cease-fire efforts

Has Joe Biden been working to negotiate a cease-fire agreement between Israel and Hamas, or has he not been working to negotiate a cease-fire agreement?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Has been working to negotiate a cease-fire 385 47 47 47
Has not been working to negotiate a cease-fire 202 25 25 72
Don't know 224 28 28 100

E1: State of the economy

How would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Excellent 27 3 3 3
Good 224 28 28 31
Not so good 307 38 38 69
Poor 253 31 31 100

E2: State of economy in your state

How would you describe the economy in your state these days?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Excellent 38 5 5 5
Good 274 34 34 38
Not so good 309 38 38 76
Poor 191 24 24 100

E3: Heard about Trump/Daniels case

[Donald Trump’s trial in New York concerning charges he falsified business records to cover up payments to adult film actress Stormy Daniels
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 527 65 65 65
A little 225 28 28 93
Nothing at all 59 7 7 100

E4: Heard about SCOTUS immunity hearing

[The U.S. Supreme Court hearing on Donald Trump’s claim of presidential immunity from criminal prosecution for official acts as president] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 399 49 49 49
A little 331 41 41 90
Nothing at all 81 10 10 100

E5: Heard about Ukraine aid

[The House of Representatives and the Senate passed legislation providing $61 billion in aid to Ukraine in its war with Russia] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 360 44 44 44
A little 337 42 42 86
Nothing at all 114 14 14 100

E6: Heard about Israel aid

The House of Representatives and the Senate passed legislation providing $26.4 billion for Israel and for humanitarian aid for Gaza and other places] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 319 39 39 39
A little 368 45 45 85
Nothing at all 124 15 15 100

E7: Heard about college campus protests

[College campus protests against the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 588 73 73 73
A little 174 21 21 94
Nothing at all 49 6 6 100

E8: Heard about inflation

[News reports that consumer prices (inflation) rose by 3.2% over the past 12 months (as of February)] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 335 41 41 41
A little 365 45 45 86
Nothing at all 111 14 14 100

E9: Heard about unemployment

[News reports that the unemployment rate was 3.9% (as of February)] Here are some recent topics in the news. How much have you heard or read about each of these?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 181 22 22 22
A little 384 47 47 70
Nothing at all 246 30 30 100

F1: SCOTUS ideology

[The US Supreme Court] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 220 27 27 27
Somewhat conservative 277 34 34 61
Moderate 229 28 28 90
Somewhat liberal 67 8 8 98
Very liberal 16 2 2 100

F2: Biden ideology

[Joe Biden] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 26 3 3 3
Somewhat conservative 70 9 9 12
Moderate 199 25 25 36
Somewhat liberal 202 25 25 61
Very liberal 314 39 39 100

F3: Trump ideology

[Donald Trump] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 412 51 51 51
Somewhat conservative 251 31 31 82
Moderate 81 10 10 92
Somewhat liberal 25 3 3 95
Very liberal 43 5 5 100

F4: Republican ideology

[The Republican party] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 390 48 48 48
Somewhat conservative 271 33 33 82
Moderate 93 11 11 93
Somewhat liberal 36 4 4 97
Very liberal 21 3 3 100

F5: Democratic ideology

[The Democratic party] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 34 4 4 4
Somewhat conservative 61 8 8 12
Moderate 131 16 16 28
Somewhat liberal 220 27 27 55
Very liberal 365 45 45 100

F6: Better at handling the economy

[The economy] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 232 29 29 29
Trump 408 50 50 79
Both about the same 84 10 10 89
Neither good 87 11 11 100

F7: Better at handling immigration/border

[Immigration and border security] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 205 25 25 25
Trump 425 52 52 78
Both about the same 65 8 8 86
Neither good 116 14 14 100

F8: Better at handling Israel/Hamas war

[Handling the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 229 28 28 28
Trump 343 42 42 71
Both about the same 70 9 9 79
Neither good 169 21 21 100

F9: Better at handling healthcare

[Healthcare] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 330 41 41 41
Trump 256 32 32 72
Both about the same 120 15 15 87
Neither good 105 13 13 100

F10: Better at handling foreign relations

[Foreign relations] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 294 36 36 36
Trump 353 43 43 80
Both about the same 78 10 10 89
Neither good 87 11 11 100

F11: Better at handling abortion policy

[Abortion policy] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 351 43 43 43
Trump 259 32 32 75
Both about the same 87 11 11 86
Neither good 114 14 14 100

F12: Better at handling medicare/social security

[Medicare & Social Security] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 324 40 40 40
Trump 282 35 35 75
Both about the same 106 13 13 88
Neither good 99 12 12 100

F13: Better at ensuring fair/accurate elections

[Ensuring fair and accurate elections] Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Biden 362 45 45 45
Trump 255 31 31 76
Both about the same 80 10 10 86
Neither good 112 14 14 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

F14: Describes Biden: too old

[Is too old to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 449 55 55 55
Somewhat well 191 24 24 79
Not too well 76 9 9 88
Not at all well 94 12 12 100

F15: Describes Biden: shares values

[Shares your values] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 135 17 17 17
Somewhat well 228 28 28 45
Not too well 138 17 17 62
Not at all well 311 38 38 100

F16: Describes Biden: corrupt

[Has behaved corruptly] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 204 25 25 25
Somewhat well 151 19 19 44
Not too well 157 19 19 63
Not at all well 299 37 37 100

F17: Describes Biden: accomplishments

[Has a strong record of accomplishments as president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 148 18 18 18
Somewhat well 185 23 23 41
Not too well 163 20 20 61
Not at all well 315 39 39 100

F18: Describes Biden: right temperament

[Has the right temperament to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Joe Biden?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 228 28 28 28
Somewhat well 197 24 24 52
Not too well 129 16 16 68
Not at all well 256 32 32 100

F19: Describes Trump: too old

[Is too old to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 199 24 24 24
Somewhat well 239 30 30 54
Not too well 197 24 24 78
Not at all well 176 22 22 100

F20: Describes Trump: shares values

[Shares your values] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 168 21 21 21
Somewhat well 190 23 23 44
Not too well 105 13 13 57
Not at all well 348 43 43 100

F21: Describes Trump: corrupt

[Has behaved corruptly] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 385 47 47 47
Somewhat well 131 16 16 64
Not too well 129 16 16 79
Not at all well 167 21 21 100

F22: Describes Trump: accomplishments

[Has a strong record of accomplishments as president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 259 32 32 32
Somewhat well 158 19 19 51
Not too well 129 16 16 67
Not at all well 265 33 33 100

F23: Describes Trump: right temperament

[Has the right temperament to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 159 20 20 20
Somewhat well 144 18 18 37
Not too well 116 14 14 52
Not at all well 391 48 48 100

F24: Trump/Daniels case

Donald Trump is currently being tried in a New York court on charges he falsified business records to cover up payments to adult film actress Stormy Daniels. In this case, do you think Trump did something illegal, he did something wrong but not illegal, or do you think he didn’t do anything wrong?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Something illegal 438 54 54 54
Something wrong but not illegal 218 27 27 81
He didn't do anything wrong 155 19 19 100

F25: Biden & Hunter Biden

Related to his son’s business dealings, do you think Joe Biden did something illegal, he did something wrong but not illegal, or do you think he didn’t do anything wrong?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Something illegal 372 46 46 46
Something wrong but not illegal 231 29 29 74
He didn't do anything wrong 207 26 26 100
Skipped/Ref 0 0 0 100
(Missing) 0 0 NA NA

F26: Most important issue

Which one of the following issues will be MOST important in deciding your vote for president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
The economy 290 36 36 36
Immigration and border security 158 20 20 55
Healthcare 37 5 5 60
Foreign relations 23 3 3 63
Abortion policy 80 10 10 72
Medicare & Social Security 73 9 9 82
The war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza 21 3 3 84
Ensuring fair and accurate elections 64 8 8 92
Don't know 65 8 8 100

F27: Prospective juror question

Prospective jurors in Donald Trump’s New York trial were asked the following question. If you were a juror in the trial, how would you answer the question? “Can you give us your assurance that you will decide this case solely on the evidence you see and hear in this courtroom and the law as the judge gives it?”
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
I can decide solely on the evidence and the law 643 79 79 79
I could not decide solely on the evidence and the law 93 11 11 91
Don't know 74 9 9 100

F28A: Vote if guilty verdict

If it turns out that Donald Trump is found guilty in his New York trial, would you vote for [Joe Biden] or for [Donald Trump]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden 166 21 43 43
Donald Trump 153 19 39 82
Someone else 57 7 15 97
Wouldn't vote 13 2 3 100
(Missing) 422 52 NA NA

F28B: Vote if not guilty verdict

If it turns out that Donald Trump is found not guilty in his New York trial, would you vote for [Joe Biden] or for [Donald Trump]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden 159 20 38 38
Donald Trump 184 23 44 81
Someone else 68 8 16 98
Wouldn't vote 10 1 2 100
(Missing) 389 48 NA NA

K1: abortion legality

Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases, or illegal in all cases?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Legal in all cases 276 34 34 34
Legal in most cases 289 36 36 70
Illegal in most cases 197 24 24 94
Illegal in all cases 49 6 6 100

K2: college protestor arrests

Should colleges have police arrest student protesters opposing the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza or should colleges allow the protests to continue as a matter of free speech?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Arrest protesters 315 39 39 39
Allow protests to continue 323 40 40 79
Don't know 173 21 21 100

K3A: immigrant deportation v1

Do you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 135 17 35 35
Somewhat favor 112 14 29 64
Somewhat oppose 97 12 25 89
Strongly oppose 44 5 11 100
(Missing) 423 52 NA NA

K3B: immigrant deportation v2

Do you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries even if they have lived here for a number of years, have jobs and no criminal record?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 113 14 27 27
Somewhat favor 92 11 22 48
Somewhat oppose 103 13 24 73
Strongly oppose 115 14 27 100
(Missing) 388 48 NA NA

P1: US involvement in world affairs

Do you think it will be better for the future of the country if we take an active part in world affairs, or if we stay out of world affairs?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Take an active part in world affairs 467 58 58 58
Stay out of world affairs 344 42 42 100

P2: Ukraine support level

When it comes to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, do you think the United States is providing too much support to Ukraine, not enough support to Ukraine, or about the right amount of support to Ukraine?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Too much support 332 41 41 41
Not enough support 208 26 26 67
About the right amount of support 271 33 33 100

P3: Israel support level

When it comes to Israel’s war with Hamas in Gaza, do you think the United States is providing too much support to Israel, not enough support to Israel, or about the right amount of support to Israel?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Too much support 338 42 42 42
Not enough support 202 25 25 67
About the right amount of support 271 33 33 100

P4: Racism today

How much of a problem do you think racism is in the country today?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A very big problem 271 33 33 33
A moderately big problem 299 37 37 70
A small problem 202 25 25 95
Not a problem at all 40 5 5 100

P5: Reverse racism

How much do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Discrimination against White people has become as big a problem as discrimination against Black people and other minorities.”
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly agree 188 23 23 23
Somewhat agree 227 28 28 51
Somewhat disagree 123 15 15 66
Strongly disagree 273 34 34 100

P6: personal financial situation

Thinking about your family's financial situation, would you say you are living comfortably, just getting by, or struggling to make ends meet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Living comfortably 325 40 40 40
Just getting by 337 42 42 82
Struggling 148 18 18 100

X1: Trust in government

How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right?...Just about always, most of the time, only some of the time, never?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Just about always 7 1 1 1
Most of the time 125 15 15 16
Only some of the time 511 63 63 79
Never 167 21 21 100

X2: Trust in others

Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted, or most people can't be trusted?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Most people can be trusted 447 55 55 55
Most people can't be trusted 364 45 45 100

INT1: internet use

Do you use the internet or email, at least occasionally?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 811 100 100 100

INTFREQ: internet frequency

About how often do you use the internet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Almost constantly 320 40 40 40
Several times a day 422 52 52 91
About once a day 54 7 7 98
Several times a week 10 1 1 99
Less often 5 1 1 100

Z1: Party ID

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 261 32 32 32
Democrat 250 31 31 63
Independent 243 30 30 93
Other/No preference 57 7 7 100

Z2A: Party ID strenth

Would you call yourself a strong [Republican/Democrat] or a not very strong [Republican/Democrat]?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strong 309 38 61 61
Not very strong 202 25 39 100
(Missing) 300 37 NA NA

Z2B: Party ID lean

Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 113 14 38 38
Democratic 144 18 48 86
Neither 43 5 14 100
(Missing) 511 63 NA NA

Z3: religious service attendance

Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
More than once a week 55 7 7 7
Once a week 139 17 17 24
Once or twice a month 89 11 11 35
A few times a year 102 13 13 48
Seldom 195 24 24 72
Never 231 28 28 100

Z4: born-again or evangelical

Would you describe yourself as a "born-again" or evangelical Christian, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes, would 278 34 34 34
No, would not 533 66 66 100
(Missing) 0 0 NA NA

Z5: political ideology

Generally speaking, how would you describe your political views?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 140 17 17 17
Somewhat conservative 159 20 20 37
Moderate 295 36 36 73
Somewhat liberal 148 18 18 92
Very liberal 68 8 8 100

Z6: talk to neighbors

During the last 12 months, how often did you talk with any of your neighbors?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Basically, every day 58 7 7 7
A few times a week 268 33 33 40
A few times a month 225 28 28 68
Once a month 68 8 8 76
Less than once a month 118 15 15 91
Not at all 73 9 9 100

Z7: volunteering

We are interested in volunteer activities for which people are not paid, except perhaps expenses.  In the last 12 months, have you done any volunteer activities through or for an organization?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 207 26 26 26
No 604 74 74 100

GE2020: 2020 vote

Did you vote in the general election in 2020?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes, did vote in the 2020 general election 743 92 92 92
No, did not vote in the 2020 general election 68 8 8 100

Z8: Vote choice in 2020

Which presidential candidate did you vote for in 2020?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump 321 40 43 43
Joe Biden 394 49 53 96
Jo Jorgensen 12 1 2 98
Howie Hawkins 2 0 0 98
Another candidate 13 2 2 100
Did not vote in that election 1 0 0 100
(Missing) 68 8 NA NA

Z9: own or rent

Is your home owned or rented?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Owned 618 76 76 76
Rented 193 24 24 100

Z10: adults in household

Including yourself, how many adults age 18 or older are there living in your household?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
1 130 16 16 16
2 446 55 55 71
3 142 17 17 88
4 59 7 7 96
5 25 3 3 99
6 2 0 0 99
7 2 0 0 99
8 or more 5 1 1 100

party ID, 5-cat

Party ID with leaners separate
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 261 32 32 32
Lean Republican 113 14 14 46
Independent 43 5 5 51
Lean Democrat 144 18 18 69
Democrat 250 31 31 100

party ID, leaners as partisans

Party ID with leaners included
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 375 46 46 46
Independent 43 5 5 51
Democrat 393 49 49 100

gender

sex
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Male 392 48 48 48
Female 398 49 49 97
Another gender 9 1 1 99
Skipped/Ref 11 1 1 100

age

age, 4 categories
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
18-29 112 14 14 14
30-44 199 25 25 38
45-59 224 28 28 66
60+ 276 34 34 100

education

education - 5 categories
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Less than HS 46 6 6 6
HS graduate 198 24 25 30
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 221 27 27 58
Bachelor's degree 180 22 22 80
Post grad study/professional degree 161 20 20 100
(Missing) 5 1 NA NA

income

income recode
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Less than $30k 148 18 18 18
$30k to less than $50k 150 19 19 37
$50k to less than $75k 137 17 17 54
$75k to less than $100k 137 17 17 71
$100k or more 239 29 29 100

race/ethnicity

race and hispanic origin
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
White 522 64 64 64
Black 93 11 11 76
Hispanic 113 14 14 90
Other/Multiple 69 8 8 98
Skipped/Ref 14 2 2 100

religious affiliation

religious identification
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Born-again Protestant 222 27 27 27
Mainline Protestant 107 13 13 40
Roman Catholic 163 20 20 61
No religion 229 28 28 89
Other religion 85 11 11 99
Skipped/Ref 5 1 1 100