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Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll June 21-24, 2024

Adults

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among all respondents are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

1_A: Fav/Unfav - Biden

[Joe Biden] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 152 15 15 15
Somewhat favorable 195 19 19 34
Somewhat unfavorable 161 16 16 50
Very unfavorable 451 45 45 95
Haven't heard enough 43 4 4 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100

1_A: Fav/Unfav - Biden (2-cat)

[Joe Biden] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable opinion 347 34 34 34
Unfavorable opinion 612 61 61 95
Haven't heard enough 43 4 4 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100

1_B: Fav/Unfav - Haley

[Nikki Haley] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 49 5 5 5
Somewhat favorable 193 19 19 24
Somewhat unfavorable 215 21 21 45
Very unfavorable 186 19 19 64
Haven't heard enough 359 36 36 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100

1_B: Fav/Unfav - Haley (2-cat)

[Nikki Haley] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable opinion 241 24 24 24
Unfavorable opinion 401 40 40 64
Haven't heard enough 359 36 36 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100

1_C: Fav/Unfav - Trump

[Donald Trump] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very favorable 243 24 24 24
Somewhat favorable 168 17 17 41
Somewhat unfavorable 90 9 9 50
Very unfavorable 468 47 47 96
Haven't heard enough 33 3 3 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100

1_C: Fav/Unfav - Trump (2-cat)

[Donald Trump] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable opinion 411 41 41 41
Unfavorable opinion 558 56 56 96
Haven't heard enough 33 3 3 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100

2_A: Confidence in SCOTUS

[The US Supreme Court] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 102 10 10 10
Quite a lot 187 19 19 29
Some 358 36 36 64
Very little 257 26 26 90
None at all 97 10 10 100
SKIPPED ON WEB 3 0 0 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

2_B: Confidence in DAs

[District attorneys and prosecutors] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 66 7 7 7
Quite a lot 207 21 21 27
Some 438 44 44 71
Very little 207 21 21 91
None at all 84 8 8 100
Don't know 3 0 0 100

2_C: Confidence in juries

[Juries that decide guilt or innocence in criminal cases] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 137 14 14 14
Quite a lot 281 28 28 42
Some 421 42 42 83
Very little 114 11 11 95
None at all 52 5 5 100

2_D: Confidence in DOJ

[The U.S. Department of Justice] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A great deal 101 10 10 10
Quite a lot 215 21 21 32
Some 354 35 35 67
Very little 236 24 24 90
None at all 98 10 10 100

3_A: Satisfaction - public schools

[Public schools] How satisfied are you with the job the following types of kindergarten through 12th grade schools are doing in your community?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very satisfied 119 12 12 12
Somewhat satisfied 377 37 37 49
Somewhat dissatisfied 242 24 24 73
Very dissatisfied 197 20 20 93
Don't know 70 7 7 100

3_B: Satisfaction - Catholic schools

[Catholic schools] How satisfied are you with the job the following types of kindergarten through 12th grade schools are doing in your community?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very satisfied 93 9 9 9
Somewhat satisfied 286 28 28 38
Somewhat dissatisfied 117 12 12 49
Very dissatisfied 115 11 11 61
Don't know 391 39 39 100
Skipped/Ref 3 0 0 100

3_C: Satisfaction - non-religious private schools

[Non-religious private schools] How satisfied are you with the job the following types of kindergarten through 12th grade schools are doing in your community?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very satisfied 83 8 8 8
Somewhat satisfied 354 35 35 43
Somewhat dissatisfied 129 13 13 56
Very dissatisfied 67 7 7 63
Don't know 372 37 37 100

3_D: Satisfaction - public charters

[Public charter schools] How satisfied are you with the job the following types of kindergarten through 12th grade schools are doing in your community?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very satisfied 100 10 10 10
Somewhat satisfied 315 31 31 41
Somewhat dissatisfied 163 16 16 58
Very dissatisfied 101 10 10 68
Don't know 325 32 32 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

4_A: Trend - reading scores

[Reading test scores] In the public schools in your community, over the last five years, would you say each of the following has gone up, stayed about the same, gone down, or haven’t you heard enough to say?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Have gone up 81 8 8 8
Stayed about the same 229 23 23 31
Have gone down 342 34 34 65
Haven't heard enough 353 35 35 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100

4_B: Trend - math scores

[Math test scores] In the public schools in your community, over the last five years, would you say each of the following has gone up, stayed about the same, gone down, or haven’t you heard enough to say?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Have gone up 75 7 7 7
Stayed about the same 226 23 23 30
Have gone down 354 35 35 65
Haven't heard enough 350 35 35 100

4_C: Trend - absenteeism

[Absenteeism from school] In the public schools in your community, over the last five years, would you say each of the following has gone up, stayed about the same, gone down, or haven’t you heard enough to say?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Have gone up 373 37 37 37
Stayed about the same 170 17 17 54
Have gone down 82 8 8 62
Haven't heard enough 381 38 38 100

4_D: Trend - gap by income

[The gap in test scores between low-income and high-income students] In the public schools in your community, over the last five years, would you say each of the following has gone up, stayed about the same, gone down, or haven’t you heard enough to say?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Have gone up 243 24 24 24
Stayed about the same 273 27 27 51
Have gone down 90 9 9 60
Haven't heard enough 399 40 40 100

5_A: Improve schools - local board

[Local school boards] How much can each of the following do to improve the quality of schools?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 472 47 47 47
Some 316 31 31 78
Only a little 122 12 12 91
Nothing at all 42 4 4 95
Don't know 52 5 5 100

5_B: Improve schools - state gov

[State government] How much can each of the following do to improve the quality of schools?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 487 48 48 48
Some 288 29 29 77
Only a little 129 13 13 90
Nothing at all 51 5 5 95
Don't know 49 5 5 100

5_C: Improve schools - federal gov

[The federal government in Washington] How much can each of the following do to improve the quality of schools?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 303 30 30 30
Some 263 26 26 56
Only a little 220 22 22 78
Nothing at all 122 12 12 90
Don't know 96 10 10 100

5_D: Improve schools - parents

[Parents] How much can each of the following do to improve the quality of schools?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 571 57 57 57
Some 264 26 26 83
Only a little 114 11 11 94
Nothing at all 32 3 3 98
Don't know 25 2 2 100

6_A: Policy outcome - school choice

[School choice, including charter schools and vouchers to attend private schools] How much of a success or failure would you say each of the following education policies has been?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A complete success 78 8 8 8
Mostly a success 338 34 34 41
Mostly a failure 191 19 19 60
A complete failure 59 6 6 66
Don't know 339 34 34 100

6_B: Policy outcome - Title IX

[Equal opportunity for girls and women to take part in sports because of Title IX] How much of a success or failure would you say each of the following education policies has been?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A complete success 115 11 11 11
Mostly a success 459 46 46 57
Mostly a failure 113 11 11 68
A complete failure 63 6 6 75
Don't know 256 25 25 100

6_C: Policy outcome - special ed

[Special education programs for those with disabilities] How much of a success or failure would you say each of the following education policies has been?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A complete success 84 8 8 8
Mostly a success 519 52 52 60
Mostly a failure 148 15 15 75
A complete failure 29 3 3 78
Don't know 225 22 22 100

6_D: Policy outcome - phonics education

[Teaching reading through sounding out words, called phonics] How much of a success or failure would you say each of the following education policies has been?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A complete success 159 16 16 16
Mostly a success 500 50 50 66
Mostly a failure 96 10 10 75
A complete failure 16 2 2 77
Don't know 233 23 23 100

7: Trump guilty?

As you may know, Donald Trump was found guilty on 34 felony charges by a jury in New York on May 30. Do you think Trump is guilty of the charges as the jury ruled, or do you think he is not guilty and the jury made the wrong ruling?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Guilty 542 54 54 54
Not guilty 303 30 30 84
Don't know 160 16 16 100

8: Trump appropriate sentence

Sentencing for Trump is set for July 11. What do you think is an appropriate sentence?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
No penalty at all 205 20 20 20
A fine 144 14 14 35
Probation without jail 124 12 12 47
Some time in jail 387 39 39 86
Don't know 146 14 14 100

9: Likelihood of Trump successful appeal

If Trump appeals his conviction how likely do you think it is that the conviction will be overturned by a higher court?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely overturn the conviction 158 16 16 16
Probably overturn the conviction 350 35 35 51
Probably not overturn the conviction 215 21 21 72
Definitely not overturn the conviction 98 10 10 82
Don't know 184 18 18 100

10: Targeted Republican prosecutions

In the future, because of the Trump prosecution, do you think we are likely to see Republican prosecutors charging Democratic politicians with crimes?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely 241 24 24 24
Probably 430 43 43 67
Probably not 158 16 16 83
Definitely not 25 3 3 85
Don't know 150 15 15 100

11: Trump prosecution decision

Do you think Trump should not have been prosecuted at all in the New York case, or was the prosecution the right judgement call?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Should not have been prosecuted 336 33 33 33
Prosecution was the right judgement call 499 50 50 83
Don't know 168 17 17 100
Skipped/Ref 1 0 0 100