Marquette Law School Poll: July 24 - August 1, 2024

Registered voters

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among all registered voters are presented here. Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

S4: Milwaukee city residence

Do you currently live within the Milwaukee city limits?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 61 7 52 52
No 56 6 48 100
(Missing) 760 87 NA NA

S5: Registered to vote

Some people are registered to vote, and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or ward where you now live, or aren’t you?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes, registered to vote 867 99 99 99
No, not registered to vote 9 1 1 100
Don't Know/Refused 1 0 0 100

S6: Plan to register

Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Plan to Register 10 1 100 100
(Missing) 867 99 NA NA

A1: Follow politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. Would you say you follow what's going on in politics most of the time, some of the time, only now and then, or hardly at all?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Most of the time 517 59 59 59
Some of the time 272 31 31 90
Only now and then 48 6 6 96
Hardly at all 38 4 4 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

A2: Chances will vote in 2024

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Absolutely certain 778 89 89 89
Very likely 81 9 9 98
50-50 14 2 2 100
Will not vote 4 0 0 100

A3: Enthusiasm about voting

How enthusiastic are you about voting in the elections in November 2024 for president and other offices? Would you say you are very, somewhat, not too, or not at all enthusiastic?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very enthusiastic 532 61 61 61
Somewhat enthusiastic 182 21 21 81
Not too enthusiastic 128 15 15 96
Not at all enthusiastic 35 4 4 100

B1: Biden’s overall job

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 364 42 42 42
Disapprove 496 57 57 98
Don't know 16 2 2 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

B1: Biden’s overall job (4-cat)

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 161 18 18 18
Somewhat approve 203 23 23 42
Somewhat disapprove 102 12 12 53
Strongly disapprove 394 45 45 98
Don't know 16 2 2 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

B2: Evers’ overall job

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Tony Evers is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 447 51 51 51
Disapprove 382 44 44 94
Don't know 45 5 5 100
Refused 3 0 0 100

B2: Evers’ overall job (4-cat)

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Tony Evers is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 263 30 30 30
Somewhat approve 184 21 21 51
Somewhat disapprove 163 19 19 70
Strongly disapprove 219 25 25 94
Don't know 45 5 5 100
Refused 3 0 0 100

B3: WI Legislature’s job

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way the Wisconsin legislature is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 293 33 33 33
Disapprove 475 54 54 88
Don't know 108 12 12 100

B3: WI Legislature’s job (4-cat)

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way the Wisconsin legislature is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 40 5 5 5
Somewhat approve 254 29 29 33
Somewhat disapprove 273 31 31 65
Strongly disapprove 202 23 23 88
Don't know 108 12 12 100

B4: SCOWIS’ job

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way the Wisconsin state Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 400 46 46 46
Disapprove 324 37 37 83
Don't know 149 17 17 100
Refused 3 0 0 100
(Missing) 0 0 NA NA

B4: SCOWIS’ job (4-cat)

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way the Wisconsin state Supreme Court is handling its job?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 99 11 11 11
Somewhat approve 301 34 34 46
Somewhat disapprove 207 24 24 69
Strongly disapprove 117 13 13 83
Don't know 149 17 17 100
Refused 3 0 0 100
(Missing) 0 0 NA NA

B5: Trump’s past job

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Approve 417 48 48 48
Disapprove 449 51 51 99
Don't know 11 1 1 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

B5: Trump’s past job (4-cat)

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve 277 32 32 32
Somewhat approve 140 16 16 48
Somewhat disapprove 70 8 8 56
Strongly disapprove 378 43 43 99
Don't know 11 1 1 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

C1: Fav/Unfav Tony Evers

[Tony Evers] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 441 50 50 50
Unfavorable 358 41 41 91
Haven't heard enough 77 9 9 100

C2: Fav/Unfav Tammy Baldwin

[Tammy Baldwin] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 384 44 44 44
Unfavorable 383 44 44 87
Haven't heard enough 107 12 12 100
Don't know 4 0 0 100

C3: Fav/Unfav Ron Johnson

[Ron Johnson] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 313 36 36 36
Unfavorable 416 47 47 83
Haven't heard enough 148 17 17 100
Don't know 0 0 0 100

C5: Fav/Unfav Eric Hovde

[Erik Hovde] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 211 24 24 24
Unfavorable 326 37 37 61
Haven't heard enough 329 38 38 99
Don't know 11 1 1 100

C8: Fav/Unfav Joe Biden

[Joe Biden] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 355 40 40 40
Unfavorable 503 57 57 98
Haven't heard enough 17 2 2 100
Don't know 0 0 0 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

C9: Fav/Unfav Donald Trump

[Donald Trump] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 387 44 44 44
Unfavorable 475 54 54 98
Haven't heard enough 14 2 2 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

C10: Fav/Unfav Kamala Harris

[Kamala Harris] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 361 41 41 41
Unfavorable 464 53 53 94
Haven't heard enough 49 6 6 100
Don't know 2 0 0 100
Refused 0 0 0 100

C11: Fav/Unfav J.D. Vance

[J.D. Vance] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 269 31 31 31
Unfavorable 357 41 41 71
Haven't heard enough 244 28 28 99
Don't know 7 1 1 100

D12: Fav/Unfav Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

[Robert F. Kennedy Jr.] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 247 28 28 28
Unfavorable 401 46 46 74
Haven't heard enough 225 26 26 100
Don't know 4 0 0 100

C13: Fav/Unfav Cornel West

[Cornel West] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 49 6 6 6
Unfavorable 115 13 13 19
Haven't heard enough 688 78 78 97
Don't know 25 3 3 100

C14: Fav/Unfav Jill Stein

[Jill Stein] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 58 7 7 7
Unfavorable 216 25 25 31
Haven't heard enough 572 65 65 97
Don't know 21 2 2 99
Refused 9 1 1 100

C15: Fav/Unfav Chase Oliver

[Chase Oliver] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 13 1 1 1
Unfavorable 43 5 5 6
Haven't heard enough 788 90 90 96
Don't know 34 4 4 100

C17: Fav/Unfav Andy Beshear

[Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 177 20 20 20
Unfavorable 100 11 11 32
Haven't heard enough 578 66 66 97
Don't know 23 3 3 100

C18: Fav/Unfav Pete Buttigieg

[Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 323 37 37 37
Unfavorable 289 33 33 70
Haven't heard enough 260 30 30 99
Don't know 5 1 1 100

C19: Fav/Unfav Gavin Newsom

[California Governor Gavin Newsom] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 205 23 23 23
Unfavorable 398 45 45 69
Haven't heard enough 269 31 31 100
Don't know 4 0 0 100

C20: Fav/Unfav J.B. Pritzker

[Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 116 13 13 13
Unfavorable 262 30 30 43
Haven't heard enough 492 56 56 99
Don't know 7 1 1 100

C21: Fav/Unfav Gretchen Whitmer

[Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 282 32 32 32
Unfavorable 282 32 32 64
Haven't heard enough 300 34 34 99
Don't know 12 1 1 100

C22: Fav/Unfav Josh Shapiro

[Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 186 21 21 21
Unfavorable 152 17 17 39
Haven't heard enough 531 61 61 99
Don't know 8 1 1 100

C23: Fav/Unfav Roy Cooper

[North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 108 12 12 12
Unfavorable 94 11 11 23
Haven't heard enough 650 74 74 97
Don't know 25 3 3 100

C24: Fav/Unfav Mark Kelly

[Arizona Senator Mark Kelly] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 271 31 31 31
Unfavorable 121 14 14 45
Haven't heard enough 473 54 54 99
Don't know 12 1 1 100

C25: Fav/Unfav Joe Manchin

[West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven't you heard enough about them yet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Favorable 152 17 17 17
Unfavorable 293 33 33 51
Haven't heard enough 414 47 47 98
Don't know 18 2 2 100

D1: Trump vs Harris

If the 2024 election for president were held today between Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democrat, and Former President Donald Trump, the Republican, would you vote for Kamala Harris or for Donald Trump or haven’t you decided?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Kamala Harris 413 47 47 47
Donald Trump 386 44 44 91
Haven't decided 76 9 9 100
Refused 2 0 0 100

D1B: Trump vs Harris, leaners

If you had to choose, would you vote for Harris or for Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Probably Harris 20 2 27 27
Probably Trump 40 5 53 80
Definitely Trump 9 1 12 91
Don't know 4 0 5 97
Refused 3 0 3 100
(Missing) 801 91 NA NA

D1: Trump vs Harris, w/leaners

2024 Harris vs Trump vote preference with leaners
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Kamala Harris 434 49 49 49
Donald Trump 435 50 50 99
Haven't decided 7 1 1 100
Refused 2 0 0 100

D2: Trump vs Harris vs 3rd parties

If the presidential ballot included additional candidates, would you vote for Democrat Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr, Libertarian Chase Oliver, the Green Party’s Jill Stein, Constitution Party’s Randall Terry, or independent Cornel West?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Democrat, Kamala Harris 397 45 45 45
Republican, Donald Trump 380 43 43 89
Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 74 8 8 97
Libertarian, Chase Oliver 11 1 1 98
Green Party's Jill Stein 10 1 1 99
Constitution Party's Randall Terry 0 0 0 99
Independent Cornel West 1 0 0 100
Don't know 1 0 0 100
Refused 3 0 0 100

D3: Hovde vs Baldwin

If the 2024 election for U.S. Senate were held today between Tammy Baldwin, the Democrat, and Eric Hovde, the Republican, would you vote for Tammy Baldwin, or for Eric Hovde or haven’t you decided?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Tammy Baldwin 411 47 47 47
Eric Hovde 339 39 39 86
Haven't decided 127 14 14 100

D3B: Hovde vs Baldwin, leaners

If you had to choose, would you vote for Baldwin, or for Hovde?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Baldwin 1 0 0 0
Probably Baldwin 52 6 41 42
Probably Hovde 61 7 48 90
Definitely Hovde 3 0 2 92
Don't know 9 1 7 100
Refused 0 0 0 100
(Missing) 750 86 NA NA

D3: Hovde vs Baldwin, w/leaners

2024 Hovde vs Baldwin vote preference with leaners
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Tammy Baldwin 464 53 53 53
Eric Hovde 404 46 46 99
Haven't decided 10 1 1 100

D4: Hovde vs Baldin vs 3rd parties

If the U.S. Senate ballot included additional candidates, would you vote for Democrat Tammy Baldwin, Republican Eric Hovde, Disrupt the Corruption Party’s Phil Anderson, or America First Party’s Thomas Leage?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Democrat, Tammy Baldwin 439 50 50 50
Republican, Eric Hovde 389 44 44 94
Disrupt the Corruption Party's Phil Anderson 18 2 2 96
America First Party's Thomas Leager 18 2 2 99
Don't know 13 1 1 100
Refused 0 0 0 100

D5: Trump vs Harris, most likely winner

Regardless of how you plan to vote, who do you think will win the presidential election if Kamala Harris is the Democratic candidate and Donald Trump is the Republican candidate?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Harris 136 16 16 16
Probably Harris 200 23 23 38
Probably Trump 244 28 28 66
Definitely Trump 202 23 23 89
Don't know 94 11 11 100

D6: Heard about RNC

How much have you seen or heard about the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee on July 15-18?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
A lot 435 50 50 50
A little 372 42 42 92
Nothing at all 55 6 6 98
Don't know 15 2 2 100

D7: Trump’s RNC speech

Did you watch Donald Trump’s speech accepting the Republican nomination for president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Watched all of it 190 22 22 22
Watched part of it 330 38 38 59
Did not watch 355 40 40 100
Don't know 2 0 0 100

D8: Vance’s RNC speech

Did you watch J.D. Vance’s speech accepting the Republican nomination for vice president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Watched all of it 155 18 18 18
Watched part of it 246 28 28 46
Did not watch 473 54 54 100
Don't know 4 0 0 100

D8B: Rate Trump’s VP pick

How would you rate Trump’s choice of Vance for vice president? Would you rate this choice as excellent, good, fair, or poor?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Excellent 145 17 17 17
Good 216 25 25 41
Fair 87 10 10 51
Poor 308 35 35 86
Don't know 122 14 14 100

D9: Satisfaction w/Harris nomination

How satisfied will you be if the Democrats nominate Kamala Harris for president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very satisfied 289 33 33 33
Somewhat satisfied 145 17 17 49
Somewhat dissatisfied 93 11 11 60
Very dissatisfied 294 33 33 94
Don't know 50 6 6 99
Refused 6 1 1 100

D10: Should DNC be open

Do you think the Democrats should hold an open convention by voting among a number of potential presidential nominees, or should the party settle on a candidate before the convention?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Should hold an open convention 471 54 54 54
Should settle before the convention 288 33 33 86
Don't know 116 13 13 100
Refused 2 0 0 100

E2: State of the nation’s economy

How would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Excellent 48 5 5 5
Good 247 28 28 34
Not so good 290 33 33 67
Poor 292 33 33 100
Refused 0 0 0 100

E4: Abortion legality

Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases, or illegal in all cases?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Legal in all cases 287 33 33 33
Legal in most cases 302 34 34 67
Illegal in most cases 236 27 27 94
Illegal in all cases 44 5 5 99
Don't know 6 1 1 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

E5A: Deportation, v1

Do you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 155 18 35 35
Somewhat favor 130 15 29 64
Somewhat oppose 100 11 23 86
Strongly oppose 51 6 11 98
Don't know 8 1 2 100
Refused 1 0 0 100
(Missing) 432 49 NA NA

E5A: Deportation, v2

Do you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries even if they have lived here for a number of years, have jobs and no criminal record?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor 86 10 20 20
Somewhat favor 106 12 25 44
Somewhat oppose 108 12 25 69
Strongly oppose 131 15 30 100
Don't know 1 0 0 100
(Missing) 445 51 NA NA

FF1: Harris vs. Trump - economy

[The economy] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues, they are both about the same or would neither be good on the issue?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Harris 344 39 39 39
Trump 446 51 51 90
Both about the same 55 6 6 96
Neither good 31 3 3 100
Don't know 1 0 0 100

FF2: Harris vs. Trump - immigration

[Immigration and border security] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues, they are both about the same or would neither be good on the issue?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Harris 319 36 36 36
Trump 459 52 52 89
Both about the same 50 6 6 94
Neither good 48 5 5 100
Don't know 1 0 0 100

FF3: Harris vs. Trump - healthcare

[Health care] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues, they are both about the same or would neither be good on the issue?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Harris 431 49 49 49
Trump 320 36 36 86
Both about the same 84 10 10 95
Neither good 41 5 5 100
Don't know 1 0 0 100

FF4: Harris vs. Trump - foreign relations

[Foreign relations] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues, they are both about the same or would neither be good on the issue?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Harris 389 44 44 44
Trump 411 47 47 91
Both about the same 38 4 4 96
Neither good 38 4 4 100
Don't know 1 0 0 100

FF5: Harris vs. Trump - abortion policy

[Abortion policy] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues, they are both about the same or would neither be good on the issue?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Harris 468 53 53 53
Trump 301 34 34 88
Both about the same 49 6 6 93
Neither good 50 6 6 99
Don't know 9 1 1 100
Refused 0 0 0 100

FF6: Harris vs. Trump - Medicare

[Medicare & Social Security] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues, they are both about the same or would neither be good on the issue?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Harris 419 48 48 48
Trump 341 39 39 87
Both about the same 78 9 9 96
Neither good 37 4 4 100
Don't know 2 0 0 100

FF7: Harris vs. Trump - war in Gaza

[Handling the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues, they are both about the same or would neither be good on the issue?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Harris 289 33 33 33
Trump 411 47 47 80
Both about the same 59 7 7 87
Neither good 112 13 13 99
Don't know 5 1 1 100
(Missing) 1 0 NA NA

FF8: Harris vs. Trump - elections

[Ensuring fair and accurate elections] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues, they are both about the same or would neither be good on the issue?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Harris 412 47 47 47
Trump 313 36 36 83
Both about the same 82 9 9 92
Neither good 64 7 7 99
Don't know 6 1 1 100

FF9: Describes Harris - too old

[Is too old to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 41 5 5 5
Somewhat well 61 7 7 12
Not too well 164 19 19 30
Not at all well 603 69 69 99
Don't know 7 1 1 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

FF10: Describes Harris - shares values

[Shares your values] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 240 27 27 27
Somewhat well 204 23 23 51
Not too well 88 10 10 61
Not at all well 338 39 39 99
Don't know 6 1 1 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

FF11: Describes Harris - corrupt

[Has behaved corruptly] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 173 20 20 20
Somewhat well 149 17 17 37
Not too well 159 18 18 55
Not at all well 384 44 44 99
Don't know 7 1 1 100
Refused 4 0 0 100

FF12: Describes Harris - accomplishments

[Has a strong record of accomplishments as vice president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 162 18 18 18
Somewhat well 223 25 25 44
Not too well 137 16 16 60
Not at all well 348 40 40 99
Don't know 6 1 1 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

FF13: Describes Harris - right temperament

[Has the right temperament to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 346 40 40 40
Somewhat well 145 17 17 56
Not too well 124 14 14 70
Not at all well 257 29 29 99
Don't know 4 0 0 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

FF13B: Describes Harris - strong leader

[Is a strong leader] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 247 28 28 28
Somewhat well 194 22 22 50
Not too well 110 13 13 63
Not at all well 325 37 37 100
Don't know 0 0 0 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

FF14: Describes Trump - too old

[Is too old to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 333 38 38 38
Somewhat well 187 21 21 59
Not too well 178 20 20 80
Not at all well 172 20 20 99
Don't know 5 1 1 100
Refused 2 0 0 100

FF15: Describes Trump - shares values

[Shares your values] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 224 26 26 26
Somewhat well 175 20 20 46
Not too well 69 8 8 54
Not at all well 403 46 46 100
Refused 1 0 0 100
(Missing) 5 1 NA NA

FF16: Describes Trump - corrupt

[Has behaved corruptly] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 419 48 48 48
Somewhat well 126 14 14 62
Not too well 133 15 15 77
Not at all well 195 22 22 100
Don't know 3 0 0 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

FF17: Describes Trump - accomplishments

[Had a strong record of accomplishments as president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 341 39 39 39
Somewhat well 131 15 15 54
Not too well 105 12 12 66
Not at all well 299 34 34 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

FF18: Describes Trump - right temperament

[Has the right temperament to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 189 22 22 22
Somewhat well 177 20 20 42
Not too well 83 9 9 51
Not at all well 427 49 49 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

FF18B: Describes Trump - strong leader

[Is a strong leader] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very well 377 43 43 43
Somewhat well 128 15 15 58
Not too well 97 11 11 69
Not at all well 274 31 31 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

G1: Most important issue 2024

Which one of the following issues will be MOST important in deciding your vote for president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
The economy 333 38 38 38
Immigration and border security 114 13 13 51
Healthcare 66 7 7 58
Foreign relations 17 2 2 60
Abortion policy 123 14 14 74
Medicare & Social Security 82 9 9 84
The war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza 25 3 3 87
Ensuring fair and accurate elections 56 6 6 93
Don't know 61 7 7 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

G2: Harris - communication skills

Do you think Harris has the communication skills to succeed as president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Does 455 52 52 52
Does not 344 39 39 91
Don't know 78 9 9 100

G2: Trump - communication skills

Do you think Trump has the communication skills to succeed as president?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Does 431 49 49 49
Does not 434 49 49 99
Don't know 12 1 1 100

H1: Trump guilty?

As you may know, Donald Trump was found guilty on 34 felony charges by a jury in New York on May 30. Do you think Trump is guilty of the charges as the jury ruled, or do you think he is not guilty and the jury made the wrong ruling?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Guilty 459 52 52 52
Not guilty 320 36 36 89
Don't know 97 11 11 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

H2: Appropriate sentence for Trump

Sentencing for Trump is set for September. What do you think is an appropriate sentence?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
No penalty at all 245 28 28 28
A fine 100 11 11 39
Probation without jail 96 11 11 50
Some time in jail 329 38 38 88
Don't know 107 12 12 100
Refused 0 0 0 100

H4: Biden withdrawl

On July 21, Joe Biden announced his withdrawal from the presidential race. Do you think Biden should have withdrawn from the race or should he have continued running as the Democratic nominee?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Should have withdrawn 693 79 79 79
Should have continued as the nominee 129 15 15 94
Don't know 55 6 6 100

NEWD1: Biden vs Trump, hypothetical

If Biden had remained the Democratic candidate for president, would you have voted for [Joe Biden] or for [Donald Trump] or don’t you know?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden 371 42 42 42
Donald Trump 416 47 47 90
Don't know 87 10 10 100
Refused 3 0 0 100

NEWD5: Biden vs Trump, hypothetical winner

Regardless of how you plan to vote, who do you think would have won the presidential election if [Joe Biden had remained the Democratic] candidate and [Donald Trump were the Republican] candidate?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Definitely Biden 52 6 6 6
Probably Biden 126 14 14 20
Probably Trump 261 30 30 50
Definitely Trump 345 39 39 89
Don't know 91 10 10 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

RESIGN: Should Biden resign

Do you think Joe Biden should resign as president before the end of his term?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Should resign 287 33 33 33
Should not resign 509 58 58 91
Don't know 81 9 9 100

H8: Personal financial situation

Thinking about your family's financial situation, would you say you are living comfortably, just getting by, or struggling to make ends meet?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Living comfortably 389 44 44 44
Just getting by 351 40 40 84
Struggling 135 15 15 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

Z1: Party ID

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 273 31 31 31
Democrat 255 29 29 60
Independent 267 30 30 91
Other/No preference (VOL) 80 9 9 100
Refused 2 0 0 100

Z2: Party ID, lean

Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party or closer to neither?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 126 14 36 36
Democrat 125 14 36 72
Neither/Just Independent 96 11 28 100
Don't know 0 0 0 100
(Missing) 530 60 NA NA

QS2: Gender

Do you describe yourself as a man, a woman, or in some other way?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Man 430 49 49 49
Woman 437 50 50 99
Some other way 10 1 1 100

QZ3: Educational attainment

What is the highest level of education you completed?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Some high school / did not finish 19 2 2 2
Completed high school 226 26 26 28
Some college but didn't finish 176 20 20 48
Two year college degree 123 14 14 62
Four year college degree 248 28 28 90
Some graduate work 16 2 2 92
Completed masters or professional degree 50 6 6 98
Advanced graduate work or Ph.D. 19 2 2 100

QZ5: Marital status

Are you currently married, living with a partner but not married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Married 488 56 56 56
Cohabiting 87 10 10 66
Widowed 50 6 6 71
Divorced 99 11 11 83
Separated 2 0 0 83
Never Married 150 17 17 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

QZ6: adults in household

How many adults who currently live with you are 18 years old or older? Please be sure to include yourself.
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
1 247 28 28 28
2 464 53 53 81
3 112 13 13 94
4 32 4 4 98
5 6 1 1 98
6 3 0 0 99
7 1 0 0 99
8 1 0 0 99
9 0 0 0 99
10 or more (VOL) 5 1 1 99
Refused 5 1 1 100

QZ7: kids in household

How many children under 18 are currently living with you, if any?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
None 633 72 72 72
One 107 12 12 84
Two 100 11 11 96
Three 31 4 4 99
Four 4 0 0 100
Five or more 1 0 0 100
Refused 2 0 0 100

QZ8: Hispanic or Latino origin

Are you of Hispanic or Latino origin, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban or some other Spanish background?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 26 3 3 3
No 851 97 97 100

QZ9: Race

Would you describe yourself as White, African American or Black, Asian, Native American, of more than one race or some other race?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
White 808 92 92 92
African American or Black 18 2 2 94
Asian, South Asian or Pacific Islander 15 2 2 96
Native American or American Indian 6 1 1 97
More than one race 22 3 3 99
Hispanic or Latino 7 1 1 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

QZ10: Religious service attendance

Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services... more than once a week, once a week, once or twice a month, a few times a year, seldom, or never?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
More than 1/wk 37 4 4 4
1/week 137 16 16 20
1-2 month 87 10 10 30
few times a year 144 16 16 46
Seldom 236 27 27 73
Never 235 27 27 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

QZ11: Religious preference

What is your religious preference – are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Jewish, Muslim, another religion or no religion?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Protestant 163 19 19 19
Roman Catholic 246 28 28 47
Jewish 6 1 1 47
Muslim/Islam 0 0 0 47
Mormon/Latter-Day Saints 6 1 1 48
Other Christian Religion 169 19 19 67
Other Non-Christian Religion 44 5 5 72
No Religion/Atheist/Agnostic 241 27 27 100
Refused 2 0 0 100

QZ12: Born again or evangelical

Would you describe yourself as a "born-again" or evangelical Christian, or not?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
born again 128 15 39 39
not born again 200 23 60 99
Don't know 2 0 1 100
Refused 1 0 0 100
(Missing) 545 62 NA NA

QZ13: Family income

Last year, that is in 2023, what was your total household income from all sources, before taxes?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Less than $10,000 30 3 3 3
10 to under $20,000 33 4 4 7
20 to under $30,000 48 6 6 13
30 to under $40,000 71 8 8 21
40 to under $50,000 82 9 9 30
50 to under $75,000 168 19 19 49
75 to under $100,000 132 15 15 64
100 to under $150,000 166 19 19 83
150,000 to under $200,000 68 8 8 91
Over $200,000 61 7 7 98
Don't know 1 0 0 98
Refused 17 2 2 100

QZ14: Urban, suburban, or rural

Would you describe the place where you live as urban, suburban or rural?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Urban 182 21 21 21
Suburban 410 47 47 68
Rural 284 32 32 100
Don't know 0 0 0 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

QZ15: Ideology

In general, would you describe your political views as...
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Very conservative 62 7 7 7
Conservative 262 30 30 37
Moderate 299 34 34 71
Liberal 168 19 19 90
Very liberal 85 10 10 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

QZ16: Labor union membership

Are you or any member of your household a member of a local, state or national labor union?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
respondent 36 4 4 4
another household member 54 6 6 10
nobody in household 786 90 90 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

QZ19: Cell or landline useage

Of all the personal telephone calls that you receive, do you get…?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
All or almost all on a cell phone 757 86 86 86
Some on a cell phone and some on a home phone 72 8 8 95
All or almost all on a regular home phone 47 5 5 100
Refused 1 0 0 100

QZ20: Cell or landline

Is this phone a cell phone?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Yes 107 12 71 71
No 43 5 28 99
Refused 1 0 1 100
(Missing) 726 83 NA NA

Age, 4-category

Age, 4-categories
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
18-29 157 18 18 18
30-44 204 23 23 41
45-59 203 23 23 64
60+ 312 36 36 100

Age, 6-category

Age, 6-categories
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
18-29 157 18 18 18
30-39 119 14 14 31
40-49 144 16 16 48
50-59 145 17 17 64
60-69 174 20 20 84
70+ 138 16 16 100

Education recode 1

Education, version1
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Not HS 19 2 2 2
HS 226 26 26 28
Some Coll 176 20 20 48
AA 123 14 14 62
BA+ 333 38 38 100

Education recode 2

Education, version2
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Not HS 19 2 2 2
hs 226 26 26 28
Some Coll/AA 298 34 34 62
ba 248 28 28 90
Post BA 85 10 10 100

Education recode 3

Education, version3
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Not HS 19 2 2 2
hs 226 26 26 28
Some Coll 176 20 20 48
aa 123 14 14 62
ba 248 28 28 90
Post-BA 85 10 10 100

Party ID with leaners as independents

Party ID, leaners as independents
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 273 31 31 31
Independent 347 40 40 71
Democrat 255 29 29 100
Other/None 2 0 0 100

Party ID with leaners as partisans

Party ID, leaners as partisans
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Republican 399 46 46 46
Independent 96 11 11 56
Democrat 380 43 43 100
Other/None 2 0 0 100

Party ID, 5-category

Party ID, leaners separate
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Rep 273 31 31 31
Lean Rep 126 14 14 46
Ind 96 11 11 56
Lean Dem 125 14 14 71
Dem 255 29 29 100
Other/None 2 0 0 100

Race and ethnicity

Race and ethnicity
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
White 794 91 91 91
Black 18 2 2 93
Hispanic 26 3 3 96
Other 38 4 4 100
DK/NA/ Ref 1 0 0 100

Income

Income categories
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Under $40k 182 21 21 21
$40k to $74k 250 28 28 49
$75k up 427 49 49 98
DK/NA/ Ref 18 2 2 100

Region recode 1

Region v1
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Milwaukee City and County 117 13 13 13
Rest of Milwaukee media market 218 25 25 38
Madison media market 161 18 18 57
Green Bay media market 175 20 20 77
Rest of north & west of state 206 23 23 100

Region recode 2

Region v2
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
MKE City 61 7 7 7
WOW Counties 110 12 12 19
Rest of MKE 164 19 19 38
MSN 161 18 18 57
GB/A 175 20 20 77
Rest of state 206 23 23 100

Region recode 3

Region v3
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
MKE City 61 7 7 7
WOW Counties 110 12 12 19
Rest of MKE 164 19 19 38
MSN 161 18 18 57
GB/A 175 20 20 77
Lax/EC 65 7 7 84
MSP,DS/WauRhine 141 16 16 100

Region recode 4

Region v4
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
MKE City 61 7 7 7
WOW Counties 110 12 12 19
Rest of MKE 164 19 19 38
Dane Rock 117 13 13 52
Rest of MSN 44 5 5 57
Lax/EC 65 7 7 64
GB/A 175 20 20 84
Wau/MSP/DS 141 16 16 100