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Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll July 24 - August 1, 2024

likely voters

national issues only

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among all likely voters are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

A1: interest in politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. How often do you follow what's going on in politics…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Most of the time	349	57	57	57
Some of the time	205	33	33	90
Only now and then	48	8	8	98
Hardly at all	11	2	2	100

A2: voter registration

Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	612	100	100	100

A2B: registration intention

Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
(Missing)	612	100	NA	NA

A3: voting intention

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Absolutely certain	612	100	100	100

A4: voting enthusiasm

How enthusiastic are you about voting in the elections in November 2024 for president and other offices? Would you say you are very, somewhat, not too, or not at all enthusiastic?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very enthusiastic	396	65	65	65
Somewhat enthusiastic	143	23	23	88
Not too enthusiastic	55	9	9	97
Not at all enthusiastic	18	3	3	100

B1: Trump vs Harris

If the 2024 election for president were held today between [VicePresident Kamala Harris, the Democrat,] and [Former President Donald Trump, the Republican,] would you vote for [Kamala Harris] or for [Donald Trump]?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Kamala Harris	317	52	52	52
Donald Trump	263	43	43	95
Someone else	30	5	5	100
Wouldn’t vote	1	0	0	100
(Missing)	1	0	NA	NA

B1B: Trump vs Harris, lean

If you had to choose, would you vote for [Harris] or for [Trump]?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Definitely Kamala Harris	1	0	2	2
Probably Kamala Harris	7	1	23	26
Probably Donald Trump	20	3	64	90
Definitely Donald Trump	3	0	10	100
(Missing)	581	95	NA	NA

B1: Trump vs Harris, with lean

2024 Harris vs. Trump, with those who lean to a candidate included
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Kamala Harris	325	53	53	53
Donald Trump	286	47	47	100
(Missing)	1	0	NA	NA

B2: Ballot w/3rd parties

If the presidential ballot included additional candidates, would you vote for [Democrat Kamala Harris], [Republican Donald Trump], [independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr.], [the Libertarian Chase Oliver], the Green Party’s Jill Stein], or [independent Cornel West]?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Democrat, Kamala Harris	306	50	50	50
Republican, Donald Trump	257	42	42	92
Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr.	38	6	6	98
The Libertarian Party’s Chase Oliver	4	1	1	99
The Green Party’s Jill Stein	7	1	1	100
Independent Cornel West	0	0	0	100

B3: Congressional generic ballot

If the elections were held today for US Congress in your state, would you be more likely to vote for the [Republican candidate] or the [Democratic candidate]?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
The Republican candidate	291	48	48	48
The Democratic candidate	321	52	52	100

B4: Most likely to win

Regardless of how you plan to vote, who do you think will win the presidential election if {Kamala Harris is the Democratic] candidate and [Donald Trump is the Republican] candidate?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Definitely Harris	125	20	20	20
Probably Harris	154	25	25	46
Probably Trump	179	29	29	75
Definitely Trump	154	25	25	100

C3: Confidence in Congress

[Congress] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
A great deal	15	2	2	2
Quite a lot	59	10	10	12
Some	238	39	39	51
Very little	227	37	37	88
None at all	73	12	12	100
Skipped/Ref	0	0	0	100

C4: Confidence in Presidency

[The Presidency] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
A great deal	76	12	12	12
Quite a lot	144	24	24	36
Some	207	34	34	70
Very little	103	17	17	87
None at all	82	13	13	100

C5: Confidence in national news media

[The national news media] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
A great deal	14	2	2	2
Quite a lot	52	8	8	11
Some	194	32	32	42
Very little	195	32	32	74
None at all	158	26	26	100

C6: Confidence in juries

[Juries that decide guilt or innocence in criminal cases] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
A great deal	80	13	13	13
Quite a lot	198	32	32	45
Some	237	39	39	84
Very little	72	12	12	96
None at all	26	4	4	100

D1: Biden job approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve	113	18	18	18
Somewhat approve	149	24	24	43
Somewhat disapprove	88	14	14	57
Strongly disapprove	262	43	43	100

D1: Biden job approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Approve	262	43	43	43
Disapprove	350	57	57	100

D2: Trump job approval, 4-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve	201	33	33	33
Somewhat approve	86	14	14	47
Somewhat disapprove	37	6	6	53
Strongly disapprove	288	47	47	100

D2: Trump job approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Approve	287	47	47	47
Disapprove	325	53	53	100

D3: Nation’s economy

How would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Excellent	26	4	4	4
Good	200	33	33	37
Not so good	176	29	29	66
Poor	209	34	34	100

D4: Fav/unfav: Biden

[Joe Biden] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	130	21	21	21
Somewhat favorable	149	24	24	46
Somewhat unfavorable	66	11	11	56
Very unfavorable	265	43	43	100
Haven't heard enough	2	0	0	100

D5: Fav/unfav: Harris

[Kamala Harris] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	164	27	27	27
Somewhat favorable	145	24	24	50
Somewhat unfavorable	46	7	7	58
Very unfavorable	246	40	40	98
Haven't heard enough	11	2	2	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100

D6: Fav/unfav: Kennedy, Jr.

[Robert F. Kennedy, Jr] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	30	5	5	5
Somewhat favorable	154	25	25	30
Somewhat unfavorable	126	21	21	51
Very unfavorable	178	29	29	80
Haven't heard enough	123	20	20	100
Skipped/Ref	0	0	0	100

D7: Fav/unfav: Oliver

[Chase Oliver] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	2	0	0	0
Somewhat favorable	12	2	2	2
Somewhat unfavorable	21	3	3	6
Very unfavorable	37	6	6	12
Haven’t heard enough	539	88	88	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100

D8: Fav/unfav: Stein

[Jill Stein] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	8	1	1	1
Somewhat favorable	49	8	8	9
Somewhat unfavorable	80	13	13	22
Very unfavorable	74	12	12	34
Haven't heard enough	401	65	65	100
Web blank	1	0	0	100

D9: Fav/unfav: Trump

[Donald Trump] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	184	30	30	30
Somewhat favorable	95	16	16	46
Somewhat unfavorable	20	3	3	49
Very unfavorable	306	50	50	99
Haven't heard enough	6	1	1	100

D10: Fav/unfav: West

[Cornell West] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	18	3	3	3
Somewhat favorable	46	7	7	10
Somewhat unfavorable	58	10	10	20
Very unfavorable	62	10	10	30
Haven't heard enough	426	70	70	100
Skipped/Ref	2	0	0	100

D11: Fav/unfav: Vance

[J.D. Vance] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	89	15	15	15
Somewhat favorable	111	18	18	33
Somewhat unfavorable	57	9	9	42
Very unfavorable	233	38	38	80
Haven’t heard enough	122	20	20	100

D12: Fav/unfav: Democratic Party

[The Democratic party] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following political organizations or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	103	17	17	17
Somewhat favorable	175	29	29	45
Somewhat unfavorable	106	17	17	63
Very unfavorable	221	36	36	99
Haven't heard enough	4	1	1	99
Skipped/Ref	3	1	1	100

D13: Fav/unfav: Republican Party

[The Republican party] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following political organizations or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	117	19	19	19
Somewhat favorable	163	27	27	46
Somewhat unfavorable	123	20	20	66
Very unfavorable	208	34	34	100
Haven't heard enough	1	0	0	100

D14: Fav/unfav: MAGA Movement

[The MAGA (Make America Great Again) movement] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following groups and organizations or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	168	28	28	28
Somewhat favorable	89	15	15	42
Somewhat unfavorable	19	3	3	45
Very unfavorable	316	52	52	97
Haven't heard enough	17	3	3	99
Skipped/Ref	3	1	1	100

D15: Fav/unfav: Beshear

[Gov. Andy Beshear, Kentucky] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	65	11	11	11
Somewhat favorable	80	13	13	24
Somewhat unfavorable	49	8	8	32
Very unfavorable	23	4	4	36
Haven’t heard enough	394	64	64	100

D16: Fav/unfav: Buttigieg

[Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	143	23	23	23
Somewhat favorable	95	16	16	39
Somewhat unfavorable	69	11	11	50
Very unfavorable	137	22	22	73
Haven’t heard enough	168	27	27	100

D17: Fav/unfav: Newsom

[Gov. Gavin Newsom, California] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	70	11	11	11
Somewhat favorable	121	20	20	31
Somewhat unfavorable	56	9	9	40
Very unfavorable	189	31	31	71
Haven’t heard enough	176	29	29	100

D18: Fav/unfav: Kelly

[Sen. Mark Kelly, Arizona] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	104	17	17	17
Somewhat favorable	92	15	15	32
Somewhat unfavorable	58	10	10	42
Very unfavorable	50	8	8	50
Haven’t heard enough	308	50	50	100

D19: Fav/unfav: Shapiro

[Gov. Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	67	11	11	11
Somewhat favorable	98	16	16	27
Somewhat unfavorable	50	8	8	35
Very unfavorable	51	8	8	43
Haven’t heard enough	346	57	57	100

D20: Fav/unfav: Whitmer

[Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Michigan] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	99	16	16	16
Somewhat favorable	89	15	15	31
Somewhat unfavorable	51	8	8	39
Very unfavorable	111	18	18	57
Haven’t heard enough	261	43	43	100

D20B: Fav/unfav: Manchin

[Sen. Joe Manchin, West Virginia] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	22	4	4	4
Somewhat favorable	96	16	16	19
Somewhat unfavorable	130	21	21	41
Very unfavorable	98	16	16	57
Haven’t heard enough	266	43	43	100

D21: Heard about RNC

How much have you seen or heard about the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee on July 15-18?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
A lot	226	37	37	37
A little	291	48	48	85
Nothing at all	94	15	15	100

D22: Watched Trump RNC speech

Did you watch Donald Trump’s speech accepting the Republican nomination for president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Watched all of it	117	19	19	19
Watched part of it	229	37	37	57
Did not watch	266	43	43	100

D23: Watched Vance RNC speech

Did you watch J.D. Vance’s speech accepting the Republican nomination for vice president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Watched all of it	94	15	15	15
Watched part of it	164	27	27	42
Did not watch	353	58	58	100

D24: Rate Trump VP selection

How would you rate Trump’s choice of Vance for vice president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Excellent	81	13	13	13
Good	138	23	23	36
Fair	67	11	11	47
Poor	238	39	39	86
Don’t know	87	14	14	100

D25: Satisfaction w/Harris nomination

How satisfied will you be if the Democrats nominate Kamala Harris for president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very satisfied	230	38	38	38
Somewhat satisfied	103	17	17	55
Somewhat dissatisfied	40	7	7	61
Very dissatisfied	206	34	34	95
Don’t know	32	5	5	100

D26: Should DNC be open

Do you think the Democrats should hold an open convention by voting among a number of potential presidential nominees, or should the party settle on a candidate before the convention?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Should hold an open convention	314	51	51	51
Should settle before the convention	200	33	33	84
Don’t know	97	16	16	100

F1: SCOTUS ideology

[The US Supreme Court] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	211	35	35	35
Somewhat conservative	195	32	32	66
Moderate	165	27	27	93
Somewhat liberal	29	5	5	98
Very liberal	11	2	2	100

F2: Harris ideology

[Kamala Harris] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	16	3	3	3
Somewhat conservative	33	5	5	8
Moderate	104	17	17	25
Somewhat liberal	181	30	30	55
Very liberal	278	45	45	100

F3: Trump ideology

[Donald Trump] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	320	52	52	52
Somewhat conservative	204	33	33	86
Moderate	44	7	7	93
Somewhat liberal	15	3	3	96
Very liberal	26	4	4	100
Skipped/Ref	2	0	0	100

F4: Republican ideology

[The Republican party] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	308	50	50	50
Somewhat conservative	220	36	36	86
Moderate	54	9	9	95
Somewhat liberal	16	3	3	98
Very liberal	14	2	2	100

F5: Democratic ideology

[The Democratic party] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	17	3	3	3
Somewhat conservative	30	5	5	8
Moderate	114	19	19	26
Somewhat liberal	202	33	33	59
Very liberal	249	41	41	100

F6: Better at handling the economy

[The economy] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	256	42	42	42
Trump	294	48	48	90
Both about the same	45	7	7	97
Neither good	17	3	3	100

F7: Better at handling immigration/border

[Immigration and border security] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	239	39	39	39
Trump	316	52	52	91
Both about the same	24	4	4	95
Neither good	32	5	5	100

F8: Better at handling Israel/Hamas war

[Handling the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	221	36	36	36
Trump	282	46	46	82
Both about the same	55	9	9	91
Neither good	54	9	9	100

F9: Better at handling healthcare

[Health care] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	310	51	51	51
Trump	226	37	37	88
Both about the same	53	9	9	96
Neither good	23	4	4	100

F10: Better at handling foreign relations

[Foreign relations] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	274	45	45	45
Trump	277	45	45	90
Both about the same	40	6	6	97
Neither good	21	3	3	100

F11: Better at handling abortion policy

[Abortion policy] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	345	56	56	56
Trump	207	34	34	90
Both about the same	39	6	6	96
Neither good	21	4	4	100

F12: Better at handling medicare/social security

Medicare & Social Security] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	316	52	52	52
Trump	234	38	38	90
Both about the same	42	7	7	97
Neither good	19	3	3	100

F13: Better at ensuring fair/accurate elections

[Ensuring fair and accurate elections] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	313	51	51	51
Trump	223	37	37	88
Both about the same	51	8	8	96
Neither good	25	4	4	100

F14: Describes Harris: too old

[Is too old to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	35	6	6	6
Somewhat well	33	5	5	11
Not too well	87	14	14	25
Not at all well	457	75	75	100

F15: Describes Harris: shares values

[Shares your values] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	163	27	27	27
Somewhat well	158	26	26	52
Not too well	60	10	10	62
Not at all well	231	38	38	100

F16: Describes Harris: corrupt

[Has behaved corruptly] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	113	18	18	18
Somewhat well	97	16	16	34
Not too well	88	14	14	49
Not at all well	314	51	51	100

F17: Describes Harris: accomplishments

[Has a strong record of accomplishments as vice president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	122	20	20	20
Somewhat well	166	27	27	47
Not too well	72	12	12	59
Not at all well	252	41	41	100

F18: Describes Harris: right temperament

[Has the right temperament to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	251	41	41	41
Somewhat well	109	18	18	59
Not too well	78	13	13	72
Not at all well	174	28	28	100

F18B: Describes Harris: strong leader

[Is a strong leader] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	170	28	28	28
Somewhat well	146	24	24	52
Not too well	69	11	11	63
Not at all well	227	37	37	100

F19: Describes Trump: too old

[Is too old to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	256	42	42	42
Somewhat well	100	16	16	58
Not too well	98	16	16	74
Not at all well	158	26	26	100

F20: Describes Trump: shares values

[Shares your values] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	153	25	25	25
Somewhat well	125	20	20	46
Not too well	38	6	6	52
Not at all well	295	48	48	100

F21: Describes Trump: corrupt

[Has behaved corruptly] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	305	50	50	50
Somewhat well	76	12	12	62
Not too well	87	14	14	76
Not at all well	144	24	24	100

F22: Describes Trump: accomplishments

[Has a strong record of accomplishments as president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	223	36	36	36
Somewhat well	88	14	14	51
Not too well	84	14	14	65
Not at all well	217	35	35	100

F23: Describes Trump: right temperament

[Has the right temperament to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	135	22	22	22
Somewhat well	115	19	19	41
Not too well	54	9	9	50
Not at all well	308	50	50	100

F23B: Describes Trump: strong leader

[Is a strong leader] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	249	41	41	41
Somewhat well	87	14	14	55
Not too well	40	6	6	61
Not at all well	236	39	39	100

F24: Most important issue

Which one of the following issues will be MOST important in deciding your vote for president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
The economy	227	37	37	37
Immigration and border security	103	17	17	54
Healthcare	27	4	4	58
Foreign relations	17	3	3	61
Abortion policy	68	11	11	72
Medicare & Social Security	58	9	9	82
The war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza	13	2	2	84
Ensuring fair and accurate elections	65	11	11	94
Don't know	35	6	6	100

F25: Harris communication skills

Do you think Harris has the communication skills to succeed as president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Does	325	53	53	53
Does not	238	39	39	92
Don’t know	48	8	8	100

F26: Trump communication skills

Do you think Trump has the communication skills to succeed as president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Does	295	48	48	48
Does not	303	49	49	98
Don’t know	14	2	2	100

F27: Trump guilty verdict

As you may know, Donald Trump was found guilty on 34 felony charges by a jury in New York on May 30. Do you think Trump is guilty of the charges as the jury ruled, or do you think he is not guilty and the jury made the wrong ruling?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Guilty	345	56	56	56
Not guilty	215	35	35	92
Don’t know	51	8	8	100

F28: Trump sentencing

Sentencing for Trump is set for September. What do you think is an appropriate sentence?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
No penalty at all	182	30	30	30
A fine	69	11	11	41
Probation without jail	52	8	8	49
Some time in jail	235	38	38	88
Don’t know	74	12	12	100

F30: Trump classified documents

Do you believe Donald Trump had top secret and other classified material or national security documents at his home in Mar-a-Lago in 2022?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	467	76	76	76
No	145	24	24	100

F31: Trump document case dismissal

A federal judge in Florida has dismissed the case charging Trump with illegally retaining classified documents and obstructing government efforts to recover the documents. The judge ruled that the appointment of the special counsel violated the Constitution. Do you favor or oppose this ruling?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favor	250	41	41	41
Oppose	288	47	47	88
Don’t know	74	12	12	100

K1A: Deportation, v1

Do you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor	117	19	36	36
Somewhat favor	78	13	24	61
Somewhat oppose	84	14	26	87
Strongly oppose	42	7	13	100
(Missing)	291	48	NA	NA

K1B: Deportation, v2

Do you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries even if they have lived here for a number of years, have jobs and no criminal record?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor	76	12	26	26
Somewhat favor	60	10	21	47
Somewhat oppose	68	11	23	70
Strongly oppose	87	14	30	100
(Missing)	321	52	NA	NA

K2: family financial situation

Thinking about your family's financial situation, would you say you are living comfortably, just getting by, or struggling to make ends meet?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Living comfortably	252	41	41	41
Just getting by	248	40	40	82
Struggling	112	18	18	100

K3: Biden withdrawl

On July 21, Joe Biden announced his withdrawal from the presidential race. Do you think Biden should have withdrawn from the race or should he have continued running as the Democratic nominee?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Should have withdrawn	494	81	81	81
Should have continued as the nominee	80	13	13	94
Don’t know	38	6	6	100

K4: Biden vs. Trump, hypothetical

If Biden had remained the Democratic candidate for president, would you have voted for [Joe Biden] or for [Donald Trump] or don’t you know?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden	287	47	47	47
Donald Trump	284	46	46	93
Don’t know	40	7	7	100

K5: Biden vs. Trump, likely winner

Regardless of how you plan to vote, who do you think would have won the presidential election if [Joe Biden had remained the Democratic] candidate and [Donald Trump were the Republican] candidate?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Definitely Biden	37	6	6	6
Probably Biden	87	14	14	20
Probably Trump	185	30	30	50
Definitely Trump	230	38	38	88
Don’t know	74	12	12	100

K6: Should Biden resign

Do you think Joe Biden should resign as president before the end of his term?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Should resign	182	30	30	30
Should not resign	360	59	59	89
Don’t know	70	11	11	100

X1: Trust in government

How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right?...Just about always, most of the time, only some of the time, never?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Just about always	3	0	0	0
Most of the time	128	21	21	21
Only some of the time	395	65	65	86
Never	86	14	14	100

X2: Trust in others

Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted, or most people can't be trusted?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Most people can be trusted	386	63	63	63
Most people can't be trusted	226	37	37	100

INT1: internet use

Do you use the internet or email, at least occasionally?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	612	100	100	100

INTFREQ: internet frequency

About how often do you use the internet?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Almost constantly	240	39	39	39
Several times a day	336	55	55	94
About once a day	26	4	4	98
Several times a week	6	1	1	99
Less often	3	1	1	100

Z1: Party ID

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Republican	218	36	36	36
Democrat	205	34	34	69
Independent	155	25	25	94
Other/No preference	34	6	6	100

Z2A: Party ID strenth

Would you call yourself a strong [Republican/Democrat] or a not very strong [Republican/Democrat]?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strong	294	48	69	69
Not very strong	130	21	31	100
(Missing)	188	31	NA	NA

Z2B: Party ID lean

Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Republican	62	10	33	33
Democratic	105	17	56	89
Neither	21	3	11	100
(Missing)	424	69	NA	NA

Z3: religious service attendance

Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
More than once a week	35	6	6	6
Once a week	111	18	18	24
Once or twice a month	43	7	7	31
A few times a year	95	16	16	47
Seldom	163	27	27	73
Never	165	27	27	100

Z4: born-again or evangelical

Would you describe yourself as a "born-again" or evangelical Christian, or not?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes, would	173	28	28	28
No, would not	438	72	72	100

Z5: political ideology

Generally speaking, how would you describe your political views?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	93	15	15	15
Somewhat conservative	151	25	25	40
Moderate	182	30	30	70
Somewhat liberal	95	16	16	86
Very liberal	86	14	14	100
(Missing)	5	1	NA	NA

Z6: talk to neighbors

During the last 12 months, how often did you talk with any of your neighbors?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Basically, every day	44	7	7	7
A few times a week	227	37	37	44
A few times a month	165	27	27	71
Once a month	62	10	10	81
Less than once a month	81	13	13	95
Not at all	32	5	5	100

Z7: volunteering

We are interested in volunteer activities for which people are not paid, except perhaps expenses.  In the last 12 months, have you done any volunteer activities through or for an organization?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	169	28	28	28
No	443	72	72	100

GE2020: 2020 vote

Did you vote in the general election in 2020?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes, did vote in the 2020 general election	582	95	95	95
No, did not vote in the 2020 general election	30	5	5	100

Z8: Vote choice in 2020

Which presidential candidate did you vote for in 2020?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump	255	42	44	44
Joe Biden	312	51	54	97
Jo Jorgensen	7	1	1	99
Howie Hawkins	2	0	0	99
Another candidate	5	1	1	100
Did not vote in that election	1	0	0	100
(Missing)	30	5	NA	NA

Z9: own or rent

Is your home owned or rented?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Owned	467	76	76	76
Rented	145	24	24	100

Z10: adults in household

Including yourself, how many adults age 18 or older are there living in your household?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
1	133	22	22	22
2	313	51	51	73
3	98	16	16	89
4	53	9	9	98
5	9	1	1	99
6	5	1	1	100
7	1	0	0	100
8 or more	0	0	0	100

party ID, 5-cat

Party ID with leaners separate
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Republican	218	36	36	36
Lean Republican	62	10	10	46
Independent	21	3	3	49
Lean Democrat	105	17	17	66
Democrat	205	34	34	100

party ID, leaners as partisans

Party ID with leaners included
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Republican	281	46	46	46
Independent	21	3	3	49
Democrat	310	51	51	100

gender

sex
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Male	285	47	47	47
Female	313	51	51	98
Another gender	12	2	2	100
Skipped/Ref	3	0	0	100

age

age, 4 categories
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
18-29	68	11	11	11
30-44	142	23	23	34
45-59	161	26	26	61
60+	241	39	39	100

education

education - 5 categories
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Less than HS	28	5	5	5
HS graduate	159	26	26	31
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates	163	27	27	57
Bachelor's degree	144	24	24	81
Post grad study/professional degree	116	19	19	100
(Missing)	2	0	NA	NA

income

income recode
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Less than $30k	101	16	16	16
$30k to less than $50k	100	16	16	33
$50k to less than $75k	111	18	18	51
$75k to less than $100k	87	14	14	65
$100k or more	209	34	34	99
DK/NA/Ref	3	1	1	100

marital status

marital status
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Married	336	55	55	55
Widowed	43	7	7	62
Divorced	68	11	11	73
Separated	9	1	1	75
Single, never married	121	20	20	94
Single, cohabitating	34	6	6	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100

race/ethnicity

race and hispanic origin
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
White	425	69	69	69
Black	70	11	11	81
Hispanic	70	11	11	92
Other/Multiple	40	7	7	99
Skipped/Ref	7	1	1	100

religious affiliation

religious identification
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Born-again Protestant	154	25	25	25
Mainline Protestant	111	18	18	43
Roman Catholic	123	20	20	63
No religion	167	27	27	91
Other religion	56	9	9	100
Skipped/Ref	0	0	0	100