#
Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll July 24 - August 1, 2024
likely voters
national issues only
(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)
Results for survey items among all likely voters are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.
A1: interest in politics
| Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. How often do you follow what's going on in politics…? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most of the time | 349 | 57 | 57 | 57 |
| Some of the time | 205 | 33 | 33 | 90 |
| Only now and then | 48 | 8 | 8 | 98 |
| Hardly at all | 11 | 2 | 2 | 100 |
A2: voter registration
| Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 612 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
A2B: registration intention
| Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Missing) | 612 | 100 | NA | NA |
A3: voting intention
| What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Absolutely certain | 612 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
A4: voting enthusiasm
| How enthusiastic are you about voting in the elections in November 2024 for president and other offices? Would you say you are very, somewhat, not too, or not at all enthusiastic? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very enthusiastic | 396 | 65 | 65 | 65 |
| Somewhat enthusiastic | 143 | 23 | 23 | 88 |
| Not too enthusiastic | 55 | 9 | 9 | 97 |
| Not at all enthusiastic | 18 | 3 | 3 | 100 |
B1: Trump vs Harris
| If the 2024 election for president were held today between [VicePresident Kamala Harris, the Democrat,] and [Former President Donald Trump, the Republican,] would you vote for [Kamala Harris] or for [Donald Trump]? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | 317 | 52 | 52 | 52 |
| Donald Trump | 263 | 43 | 43 | 95 |
| Someone else | 30 | 5 | 5 | 100 |
| Wouldn’t vote | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| (Missing) | 1 | 0 | NA | NA |
B1B: Trump vs Harris, lean
| If you had to choose, would you vote for [Harris] or for [Trump]? | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Definitely Kamala Harris | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Probably Kamala Harris | 7 | 1 | 23 | 26 |
| Probably Donald Trump | 20 | 3 | 64 | 90 |
| Definitely Donald Trump | 3 | 0 | 10 | 100 |
| (Missing) | 581 | 95 | NA | NA |
B1: Trump vs Harris, with lean
| 2024 Harris vs. Trump, with those who lean to a candidate included | ||||
| Frequency | Percent | Valid Percent | Cumulative Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | 325 | 53 | 53 | 53 |
| Donald Trump | 286 | 47 | 47 | 100 |
| (Missing) | 1 | 0 | NA | NA |