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Marquette Law School Supreme Court Poll July 24 - August 1, 2024

registered voters

national issues only

(Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.)

Results for survey items among all registered voters are presented here (unless otherwise indicated). Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row “NA’s” includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the “Valid” and “Cumulative” percent columns.

A1: interest in politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. How often do you follow what's going on in politics…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Most of the time	379	50	50	50
Some of the time	275	36	36	86
Only now and then	83	11	11	97
Hardly at all	25	3	3	100

A2: voter registration

Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	762	100	100	100

A2B: registration intention

Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
(Missing)	762	100	NA	NA

A3: voting intention

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Absolutely certain	612	80	80	80
Very Likely	90	12	12	92
Chances 50-50	45	6	6	98
Don't think will vote	15	2	2	100

A4: voting enthusiasm

How enthusiastic are you about voting in the elections in November 2024 for president and other offices? Would you say you are very, somewhat, not too, or not at all enthusiastic?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very enthusiastic	412	54	54	54
Somewhat enthusiastic	197	26	26	80
Not too enthusiastic	106	14	14	94
Not at all enthusiastic	46	6	6	100

B1: Trump vs Harris

If the 2024 election for president were held today between [VicePresident Kamala Harris, the Democrat,] and [Former President Donald Trump, the Republican,] would you vote for [Kamala Harris] or for [Donald Trump]?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Kamala Harris	368	48	48	48
Donald Trump	319	42	42	90
Someone else	62	8	8	98
Wouldn’t vote	12	2	2	100
(Missing)	1	0	NA	NA

B1B: Trump vs Harris, lean

If you had to choose, would you vote for [Harris] or for [Trump]?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Definitely Kamala Harris	2	0	3	3
Probably Kamala Harris	28	4	37	41
Probably Donald Trump	37	5	50	90
Definitely Donald Trump	6	1	8	99
Skipped/Ref	1	0	1	100
(Missing)	689	90	NA	NA

B1: Trump vs Harris, with lean

2024 Harris vs. Trump, with those who lean to a candidate included
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Kamala Harris	398	52	52	52
Donald Trump	362	48	48	100
Someone else	1	0	0	100
(Missing)	1	0	NA	NA

B2: Ballot w/3rd parties

If the presidential ballot included additional candidates, would you vote for [Democrat Kamala Harris], [Republican Donald Trump], [independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr.], [the Libertarian Chase Oliver], the Green Party’s Jill Stein], or [independent Cornel West]?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Democrat, Kamala Harris	356	47	47	47
Republican, Donald Trump	309	41	41	87
Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr.	71	9	9	97
The Libertarian Party’s Chase Oliver	7	1	1	97
The Green Party’s Jill Stein	12	2	2	99
Independent Cornel West	7	1	1	100

B3: Congressional generic ballot

If the elections were held today for US Congress in your state, would you be more likely to vote for the [Republican candidate] or the [Democratic candidate]?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
The Republican candidate	365	48	48	48
The Democratic candidate	393	52	52	100
Skipped/Ref	4	0	0	100

B4: Most likely to win

Regardless of how you plan to vote, who do you think will win the presidential election if {Kamala Harris is the Democratic] candidate and [Donald Trump is the Republican] candidate?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Definitely Harris	141	19	19	19
Probably Harris	181	24	24	42
Probably Trump	258	34	34	76
Definitely Trump	181	24	24	100

C3: Confidence in Congress

[Congress] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
A great deal	20	3	3	3
Quite a lot	72	9	9	12
Some	298	39	39	51
Very little	282	37	37	88
None at all	89	12	12	100
Skipped/Ref	0	0	0	100

C4: Confidence in Presidency

[The Presidency] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
A great deal	92	12	12	12
Quite a lot	166	22	22	34
Some	257	34	34	68
Very little	150	20	20	87
None at all	97	13	13	100
Skipped/Ref	0	0	0	100

C5: Confidence in national news media

[The national news media] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
A great deal	19	2	2	2
Quite a lot	60	8	8	10
Some	249	33	33	43
Very little	241	32	32	75
None at all	193	25	25	100
Skipped/Ref	0	0	0	100

C6: Confidence in juries

[Juries that decide guilt or innocence in criminal cases] Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
A great deal	96	13	13	13
Quite a lot	238	31	31	44
Some	301	40	40	83
Very little	90	12	12	95
None at all	37	5	5	100
Skipped/Ref	0	0	0	100

D1: Biden job approval

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve	120	16	16	16
Somewhat approve	178	23	23	39
Somewhat disapprove	143	19	19	58
Strongly disapprove	320	42	42	100

D1: Biden job approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Approve	298	39	39	39
Disapprove	464	61	61	100

D2: Trump job approval, 4-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly approve	224	29	29	29
Somewhat approve	144	19	19	48
Somewhat disapprove	75	10	10	58
Strongly disapprove	319	42	42	100

D2: Trump job approval, 2-cat

Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Approve	368	48	48	48
Disapprove	395	52	52	100

D3: Nation’s economy

How would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Excellent	27	4	4	4
Good	231	30	30	34
Not so good	254	33	33	67
Poor	251	33	33	100

D4: Fav/unfav: Biden

[Joe Biden] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	137	18	18	18
Somewhat favorable	180	24	24	42
Somewhat unfavorable	104	14	14	55
Very unfavorable	334	44	44	99
Haven't heard enough	7	1	1	100

D5: Fav/unfav: Harris

[Kamala Harris] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	182	24	24	24
Somewhat favorable	176	23	23	47
Somewhat unfavorable	80	10	10	57
Very unfavorable	300	39	39	97
Haven't heard enough	25	3	3	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100

D6: Fav/unfav: Kennedy, Jr.

[Robert F. Kennedy, Jr] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	37	5	5	5
Somewhat favorable	210	28	28	32
Somewhat unfavorable	147	19	19	52
Very unfavorable	198	26	26	78
Haven't heard enough	170	22	22	100
Skipped/Ref	0	0	0	100

D7: Fav/unfav: Oliver

[Chase Oliver] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	3	0	0	0
Somewhat favorable	24	3	3	4
Somewhat unfavorable	32	4	4	8
Very unfavorable	47	6	6	14
Haven’t heard enough	655	86	86	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100

D8: Fav/unfav: Stein

[Jill Stein] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	9	1	1	1
Somewhat favorable	59	8	8	9
Somewhat unfavorable	92	12	12	21
Very unfavorable	91	12	12	33
Haven't heard enough	510	67	67	100
Web blank	1	0	0	100

D9: Fav/unfav: Trump

[Donald Trump] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	209	27	27	27
Somewhat favorable	138	18	18	45
Somewhat unfavorable	53	7	7	52
Very unfavorable	351	46	46	99
Haven't heard enough	11	1	1	100

D10: Fav/unfav: West

[Cornell West] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	19	2	2	2
Somewhat favorable	59	8	8	10
Somewhat unfavorable	72	10	10	20
Very unfavorable	77	10	10	30
Haven't heard enough	534	70	70	100
Skipped/Ref	2	0	0	100

D11: Fav/unfav: Vance

[J.D. Vance] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	92	12	12	12
Somewhat favorable	131	17	17	29
Somewhat unfavorable	78	10	10	39
Very unfavorable	267	35	35	75
Haven’t heard enough	194	25	25	100

D12: Fav/unfav: Democratic Party

[The Democratic party] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following political organizations or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	115	15	15	15
Somewhat favorable	220	29	29	44
Somewhat unfavorable	151	20	20	64
Very unfavorable	260	34	34	98
Haven't heard enough	11	2	2	100
Skipped/Ref	3	0	0	100

D13: Fav/unfav: Republican Party

[The Republican party] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following political organizations or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	127	17	17	17
Somewhat favorable	214	28	28	45
Somewhat unfavorable	180	24	24	68
Very unfavorable	236	31	31	99
Haven't heard enough	6	1	1	100

D14: Fav/unfav: MAGA Movement

[The MAGA (Make America Great Again) movement] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following groups and organizations or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	189	25	25	25
Somewhat favorable	119	16	16	40
Somewhat unfavorable	44	6	6	46
Very unfavorable	370	49	49	95
Haven't heard enough	37	5	5	100
Skipped/Ref	3	0	0	100

D15: Fav/unfav: Beshear

[Gov. Andy Beshear, Kentucky] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	70	9	9	9
Somewhat favorable	98	13	13	22
Somewhat unfavorable	58	8	8	30
Very unfavorable	31	4	4	34
Haven’t heard enough	504	66	66	100

D16: Fav/unfav: Buttigieg

[Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	151	20	20	20
Somewhat favorable	125	16	16	36
Somewhat unfavorable	85	11	11	47
Very unfavorable	151	20	20	67
Haven’t heard enough	250	33	33	100

D17: Fav/unfav: Newsom

[Gov. Gavin Newsom, California] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	74	10	10	10
Somewhat favorable	149	20	20	29
Somewhat unfavorable	81	11	11	40
Very unfavorable	210	28	28	68
Haven’t heard enough	247	32	32	100

D18: Fav/unfav: Kelly

[Sen. Mark Kelly, Arizona] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	110	14	14	14
Somewhat favorable	110	14	14	29
Somewhat unfavorable	72	9	9	38
Very unfavorable	58	8	8	46
Haven’t heard enough	412	54	54	100

D19: Fav/unfav: Shapiro

[Gov. Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	75	10	10	10
Somewhat favorable	109	14	14	24
Somewhat unfavorable	65	9	9	33
Very unfavorable	61	8	8	41
Haven’t heard enough	452	59	59	100

D20: Fav/unfav: Whitmer

[Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Michigan] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	106	14	14	14
Somewhat favorable	112	15	15	29
Somewhat unfavorable	66	9	9	37
Very unfavorable	123	16	16	53
Haven’t heard enough	355	47	47	100

D20B: Fav/unfav: Manchin

[Sen. Joe Manchin, West Virginia] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following officials from around the country, or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very favorable	24	3	3	3
Somewhat favorable	111	15	15	18
Somewhat unfavorable	149	20	20	37
Very unfavorable	114	15	15	52
Haven’t heard enough	364	48	48	100

D21: Heard about RNC

How much have you seen or heard about the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee on July 15-18?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
A lot	249	33	33	33
A little	372	49	49	81
Nothing at all	141	19	19	100

D22: Watched Trump RNC speech

Did you watch Donald Trump’s speech accepting the Republican nomination for president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Watched all of it	127	17	17	17
Watched part of it	289	38	38	55
Did not watch	346	45	45	100

D23: Watched Vance RNC speech

Did you watch J.D. Vance’s speech accepting the Republican nomination for vice president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Watched all of it	100	13	13	13
Watched part of it	201	26	26	39
Did not watch	461	61	61	100

D24: Rate Trump VP selection

How would you rate Trump’s choice of Vance for vice president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Excellent	89	12	12	12
Good	159	21	21	33
Fair	110	14	14	47
Poor	274	36	36	83
Don’t know	129	17	17	100

D25: Satisfaction w/Harris nomination

How satisfied will you be if the Democrats nominate Kamala Harris for president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very satisfied	253	33	33	33
Somewhat satisfied	141	19	19	52
Somewhat dissatisfied	70	9	9	61
Very dissatisfied	251	33	33	94
Don’t know	48	6	6	100

D26: Should DNC be open

Do you think the Democrats should hold an open convention by voting among a number of potential presidential nominees, or should the party settle on a candidate before the convention?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Should hold an open convention	378	50	50	50
Should settle before the convention	247	32	32	82
Don’t know	137	18	18	100

F1: SCOTUS ideology

[The US Supreme Court] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	237	31	31	31
Somewhat conservative	234	31	31	62
Moderate	234	31	31	92
Somewhat liberal	41	5	5	98
Very liberal	16	2	2	100

F2: Harris ideology

[Kamala Harris] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	22	3	3	3
Somewhat conservative	53	7	7	10
Moderate	145	19	19	29
Somewhat liberal	227	30	30	59
Very liberal	315	41	41	100

F3: Trump ideology

[Donald Trump] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	369	48	48	48
Somewhat conservative	236	31	31	79
Moderate	79	10	10	90
Somewhat liberal	32	4	4	94
Very liberal	45	6	6	100
Skipped/Ref	2	0	0	100

F4: Republican ideology

[The Republican party] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	353	46	46	46
Somewhat conservative	261	34	34	81
Moderate	93	12	12	93
Somewhat liberal	34	4	4	97
Very liberal	21	3	3	100

F5: Democratic ideology

[The Democratic party] In general, would you describe each of the following as…?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	20	3	3	3
Somewhat conservative	45	6	6	9
Moderate	172	23	23	31
Somewhat liberal	243	32	32	63
Very liberal	282	37	37	100

F6: Better at handling the economy

[The economy] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	283	37	37	37
Trump	373	49	49	86
Both about the same	75	10	10	96
Neither good	31	4	4	100

F7: Better at handling immigration/border

[Immigration and border security] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	270	35	35	35
Trump	403	53	53	88
Both about the same	38	5	5	93
Neither good	51	7	7	100

F8: Better at handling Israel/Hamas war

[Handling the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	243	32	32	32
Trump	353	46	46	78
Both about the same	78	10	10	88
Neither good	89	12	12	100

F9: Better at handling healthcare

[Health care] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	359	47	47	47
Trump	264	35	35	82
Both about the same	87	11	11	93
Neither good	53	7	7	100

F10: Better at handling foreign relations

[Foreign relations] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	315	41	41	41
Trump	338	44	44	86
Both about the same	66	9	9	94
Neither good	43	6	6	100

F11: Better at handling abortion policy

[Abortion policy] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	414	54	54	54
Trump	239	31	31	86
Both about the same	63	8	8	94
Neither good	46	6	6	100

F12: Better at handling medicare/social security

Medicare & Social Security] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	370	49	49	49
Trump	271	36	36	84
Both about the same	75	10	10	94
Neither good	46	6	6	100

F13: Better at ensuring fair/accurate elections

[Ensuring fair and accurate elections] Do you think Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Harris	362	48	48	48
Trump	254	33	33	81
Both about the same	83	11	11	92
Neither good	63	8	8	100

F14: Describes Harris: too old

[Is too old to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	51	7	7	7
Somewhat well	46	6	6	13
Not too well	132	17	17	30
Not at all well	533	70	70	100

F15: Describes Harris: shares values

[Shares your values] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	182	24	24	24
Somewhat well	208	27	27	51
Not too well	109	14	14	65
Not at all well	264	35	35	100

F16: Describes Harris: corrupt

[Has behaved corruptly] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	136	18	18	18
Somewhat well	132	17	17	35
Not too well	138	18	18	53
Not at all well	352	46	46	100
Skipped/Ref	3	0	0	100

F17: Describes Harris: accomplishments

[Has a strong record of accomplishments as vice president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	136	18	18	18
Somewhat well	203	27	27	44
Not too well	130	17	17	62
Not at all well	293	38	38	100

F18: Describes Harris: right temperament

[Has the right temperament to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	279	37	37	37
Somewhat well	165	22	22	58
Not too well	116	15	15	73
Not at all well	202	27	27	100

F18B: Describes Harris: strong leader

[Is a strong leader] How well does each of the following phrases describe Kamala Harris?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	187	25	25	25
Somewhat well	197	26	26	50
Not too well	119	16	16	66
Not at all well	259	34	34	100

F19: Describes Trump: too old

[Is too old to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	297	39	39	39
Somewhat well	137	18	18	57
Not too well	141	19	19	76
Not at all well	186	24	24	100

F20: Describes Trump: shares values

[Shares your values] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	170	22	22	22
Somewhat well	174	23	23	45
Not too well	81	11	11	56
Not at all well	337	44	44	100

F21: Describes Trump: corrupt

[Has behaved corruptly] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	352	46	46	46
Somewhat well	113	15	15	61
Not too well	126	17	17	78
Not at all well	171	22	22	100

F22: Describes Trump: accomplishments

[Has a strong record of accomplishments as president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	251	33	33	33
Somewhat well	154	20	20	53
Not too well	115	15	15	68
Not at all well	242	32	32	100

F23: Describes Trump: right temperament

[Has the right temperament to be president] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	157	21	21	21
Somewhat well	155	20	20	41
Not too well	94	12	12	53
Not at all well	356	47	47	100

F23B: Describes Trump: strong leader

[Is a strong leader] How well does each of the following phrases describe Donald Trump?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very well	295	39	39	39
Somewhat well	133	17	17	56
Not too well	73	10	10	66
Not at all well	261	34	34	100

F24: Most important issue

Which one of the following issues will be MOST important in deciding your vote for president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
The economy	289	38	38	38
Immigration and border security	115	15	15	53
Healthcare	41	5	5	58
Foreign relations	21	3	3	61
Abortion policy	75	10	10	71
Medicare & Social Security	75	10	10	81
The war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza	18	2	2	83
Ensuring fair and accurate elections	75	10	10	93
Don't know	54	7	7	100

F25: Harris communication skills

Do you think Harris has the communication skills to succeed as president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Does	382	50	50	50
Does not	290	38	38	88
Don’t know	90	12	12	100

F26: Trump communication skills

Do you think Trump has the communication skills to succeed as president?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Does	363	48	48	48
Does not	361	47	47	95
Don’t know	38	5	5	100

F27: Trump guilty verdict

As you may know, Donald Trump was found guilty on 34 felony charges by a jury in New York on May 30. Do you think Trump is guilty of the charges as the jury ruled, or do you think he is not guilty and the jury made the wrong ruling?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Guilty	428	56	56	56
Not guilty	253	33	33	89
Don’t know	81	11	11	100

F28: Trump sentencing

Sentencing for Trump is set for September. What do you think is an appropriate sentence?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
No penalty at all	197	26	26	26
A fine	96	13	13	38
Probation without jail	74	10	10	48
Some time in jail	292	38	38	87
Don’t know	103	13	13	100

F30: Trump classified documents

Do you believe Donald Trump had top secret and other classified material or national security documents at his home in Mar-a-Lago in 2022?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	574	75	75	75
No	186	24	24	100
Skipped/Ref	3	0	0	100

F31: Trump document case dismissal

A federal judge in Florida has dismissed the case charging Trump with illegally retaining classified documents and obstructing government efforts to recover the documents. The judge ruled that the appointment of the special counsel violated the Constitution. Do you favor or oppose this ruling?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favor	301	39	39	39
Oppose	335	44	44	83
Don’t know	127	17	17	100

K1A: Deportation, v1

Do you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor	139	18	35	35
Somewhat favor	101	13	26	61
Somewhat oppose	102	13	26	87
Strongly oppose	50	7	13	100
(Missing)	369	48	NA	NA

K1B: Deportation, v2

Do you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries even if they have lived here for a number of years, have jobs and no criminal record?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strongly favor	88	12	24	24
Somewhat favor	78	10	21	45
Somewhat oppose	96	13	26	71
Strongly oppose	107	14	29	100
(Missing)	393	52	NA	NA

K2: family financial situation

Thinking about your family's financial situation, would you say you are living comfortably, just getting by, or struggling to make ends meet?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Living comfortably	292	38	38	38
Just getting by	314	41	41	79
Struggling	156	21	21	100

K3: Biden withdrawl

On July 21, Joe Biden announced his withdrawal from the presidential race. Do you think Biden should have withdrawn from the race or should he have continued running as the Democratic nominee?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Should have withdrawn	609	80	80	80
Should have continued as the nominee	99	13	13	93
Don’t know	54	7	7	100

K4: Biden vs. Trump, hypothetical

If Biden had remained the Democratic candidate for president, would you have voted for [Joe Biden] or for [Donald Trump] or don’t you know?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Joe Biden	326	43	43	43
Donald Trump	354	47	47	89
Don’t know	82	11	11	100

K5: Biden vs. Trump, likely winner

Regardless of how you plan to vote, who do you think would have won the presidential election if [Joe Biden had remained the Democratic] candidate and [Donald Trump were the Republican] candidate?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Definitely Biden	44	6	6	6
Probably Biden	104	14	14	19
Probably Trump	245	32	32	52
Definitely Trump	277	36	36	88
Don’t know	92	12	12	100

K6: Should Biden resign

Do you think Joe Biden should resign as president before the end of his term?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Should resign	235	31	31	31
Should not resign	430	56	56	87
Don’t know	96	13	13	100

X1: Trust in government

How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right?...Just about always, most of the time, only some of the time, never?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Just about always	8	1	1	1
Most of the time	155	20	20	21
Only some of the time	485	64	64	85
Never	114	15	15	100

X2: Trust in others

Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted, or most people can't be trusted?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Most people can be trusted	440	58	58	58
Most people can't be trusted	322	42	42	100

INT1: internet use

Do you use the internet or email, at least occasionally?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	762	100	100	100

INTFREQ: internet frequency

About how often do you use the internet?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Almost constantly	299	39	39	39
Several times a day	403	53	53	92
About once a day	39	5	5	97
Several times a week	15	2	2	99
Less often	6	1	1	100

Z1: Party ID

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Republican	254	33	33	33
Democrat	237	31	31	64
Independent	214	28	28	92
Other/No preference	58	8	8	100

Z2A: Party ID strenth

Would you call yourself a strong [Republican/Democrat] or a not very strong [Republican/Democrat]?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Strong	312	41	64	64
Not very strong	179	23	36	100
(Missing)	272	36	NA	NA

Z2B: Party ID lean

Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Republican	85	11	31	31
Democratic	133	18	49	80
Neither	53	7	20	100
(Missing)	490	64	NA	NA

Z3: religious service attendance

Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
More than once a week	43	6	6	6
Once a week	122	16	16	22
Once or twice a month	63	8	8	30
A few times a year	119	16	16	46
Seldom	208	27	27	73
Never	207	27	27	100

Z4: born-again or evangelical

Would you describe yourself as a "born-again" or evangelical Christian, or not?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes, would	212	28	28	28
No, would not	550	72	72	100

Z5: political ideology

Generally speaking, how would you describe your political views?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very conservative	96	13	13	13
Somewhat conservative	180	24	24	36
Moderate	274	36	36	73
Somewhat liberal	113	15	15	88
Very liberal	95	12	12	100
(Missing)	5	1	NA	NA

Z6: talk to neighbors

During the last 12 months, how often did you talk with any of your neighbors?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Basically, every day	55	7	7	7
A few times a week	268	35	35	42
A few times a month	209	27	27	70
Once a month	73	10	10	79
Less than once a month	109	14	14	94
Not at all	49	6	6	100

Z7: volunteering

We are interested in volunteer activities for which people are not paid, except perhaps expenses.  In the last 12 months, have you done any volunteer activities through or for an organization?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	200	26	26	26
No	562	74	74	100

GE2020: 2020 vote

Did you vote in the general election in 2020?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes, did vote in the 2020 general election	676	89	89	89
No, did not vote in the 2020 general election	84	11	11	100
Web blank	2	0	0	100

Z8: Vote choice in 2020

Which presidential candidate did you vote for in 2020?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Donald Trump	292	38	43	43
Joe Biden	360	47	53	96
Jo Jorgensen	10	1	2	98
Howie Hawkins	2	0	0	98
Another candidate	7	1	1	99
Did not vote in that election	2	0	0	100
Skipped/Ref	3	0	0	100
(Missing)	86	11	NA	NA

Z9: own or rent

Is your home owned or rented?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Owned	537	70	70	70
Rented	222	29	29	100
Skipped/Ref	3	0	0	100

Z10: adults in household

Including yourself, how many adults age 18 or older are there living in your household?
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
1	159	21	21	21
2	384	50	50	71
3	124	16	16	87
4	65	9	9	96
5	19	3	3	98
6	9	1	1	100
7	1	0	0	100
8 or more	2	0	0	100

party ID, 5-cat

Party ID with leaners separate
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Republican	254	33	33	33
Lean Republican	85	11	11	44
Independent	53	7	7	51
Lean Democrat	133	18	18	69
Democrat	237	31	31	100

party ID, leaners as partisans

Party ID with leaners included
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Republican	339	44	44	44
Independent	53	7	7	51
Democrat	370	49	49	100

gender

sex
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Male	346	45	45	45
Female	400	52	52	98
Another gender	12	2	2	99
Skipped/Ref	4	1	1	100

age

age, 4 categories
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
18-29	111	15	15	15
30-44	186	24	24	39
45-59	189	25	25	64
60+	276	36	36	100

education

education - 5 categories
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Less than HS	49	6	6	6
HS graduate	204	27	27	33
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates	210	28	28	61
Bachelor's degree	169	22	22	83
Post grad study/professional degree	127	17	17	100
(Missing)	3	0	NA	NA

income

income recode
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Less than $30k	154	20	20	20
$30k to less than $50k	132	17	17	37
$50k to less than $75k	142	19	19	56
$75k to less than $100k	103	14	14	70
$100k or more	225	30	30	99
DK/NA/Ref	6	1	1	100

marital status

marital status
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Married	394	52	52	52
Widowed	50	7	7	58
Divorced	81	11	11	69
Separated	14	2	2	71
Single, never married	160	21	21	92
Single, cohabitating	63	8	8	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100

race/ethnicity

race and hispanic origin
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
White	501	66	66	66
Black	93	12	12	78
Hispanic	105	14	14	92
Other/Multiple	53	7	7	99
Skipped/Ref	9	1	1	100

religious affiliation

religious identification
	Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
Born-again Protestant	185	24	24	24
Mainline Protestant	144	19	19	43
Roman Catholic	152	20	20	63
No religion	213	28	28	91
Other religion	66	9	9	100
Skipped/Ref	1	0	0	100