{"id":1947,"date":"2019-10-23T13:15:47","date_gmt":"2019-10-23T18:15:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/?p=1947"},"modified":"2019-10-23T13:20:07","modified_gmt":"2019-10-23T18:20:07","slug":"new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-increased-support-for-trump-impeachment-hearings-since-the-spring-while-opinions-about-trump-have-changed-little","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/2019\/10\/23\/new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-increased-support-for-trump-impeachment-hearings-since-the-spring-while-opinions-about-trump-have-changed-little\/","title":{"rendered":"New Marquette Law School Poll finds increased support for Trump impeachment hearings since the spring, while opinions about Trump have changed little"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>MILWAUKEE \u2013 A new Marquette Law School poll of Wisconsin registered voters finds that\n46 percent think that there is enough cause now for Congress to hold hearings\non impeachment of President Donald Trump, while 49 percent say there is not\nenough cause and 5 percent say they do not know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In April\n2019, 29 percent said there was sufficient reason for impeachment hearings and\n65 percent said there was not. The April poll was completed after Attorney\nGeneral William Barr\u2019s letter describing the Mueller report but before the\nreport was publicly released. Earlier, in January 2019, 33 percent supported\nand 59 percent opposed hearings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 1: Do you think there is or is not enough\ncause right now for Congress to hold hearings into whether President Trump\nshould be impeached? (Jan-Apr wording: Do you think there is or is not enough cause\nright now for Congress to begin hearings into whether or not President Trump\nshould be impeached?)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Enough\n  cause<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Not\n  enough cause<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Jan. 16-20, 2019\n  <\/td><td>\n  33\n  <\/td><td>\n  59\n  <\/td><td>\n  8\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  April 3-7, 2019\n  <\/td><td>\n  29\n  <\/td><td>\n  65\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Oct. 13-17, 2019\n  <\/td><td>\n  46\n  <\/td><td>\n  49\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>When\nasked if Trump should be impeached and removed from office, 44 percent say that\nTrump should be removed, 51 percent say he should not be impeached and removed\nand 4 percent say they don\u2019t know. This question has not been asked in\nMarquette Law School polling before.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Twenty-three\npercent say it is proper for Trump to ask China and Ukraine to conduct\ninvestigations of U.S. citizens, while 67 percent say that it is improper and 8\npercent say they don\u2019t know or declined to answer. An additional 1 percent volunteered\nthat they did not believe that Trump had asked China or Ukraine to conduct such\nan investigation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The poll\nwas conducted Oct. 13-17, 2019. The sample included 799 registered voters in\nWisconsin interviewed by cell phone or landline, with a margin of error of +\/-\n4.2 percentage points. Democratic presidential candidate preference items were\nasked of respondents who said they would vote in the April Democratic\npresidential primary. That sample size is 379, with a margin of error of +\/-6.3\npercentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Trump\u2019s phone call with Ukraine\u2019s\nleader<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Forty\npercent say they have read the rough transcript of Trump\u2019s conversation with the\npresident of Ukraine that the White House released, while 59 percent said they\nhad not read the transcript.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Very\nsimilar percentages of Republicans and Democrats say they have read the\nconversation transcript, although independents are less likely to have read it,\nas shown in Table 2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 2: Read Ukraine call transcript by party\nidentification<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Yes,\n  have read<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>No,\n  have not read<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  42\n  <\/td><td>\n  57\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  42\n  <\/td><td>\n  57\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Independent\n  <\/td><td>\n  26\n  <\/td><td>\n  74\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  43\n  <\/td><td>\n  57\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  41\n  <\/td><td>\n  59\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Among\nthose who have read the transcript, 51 percent think there is enough reason to\nhold impeachment hearings, compared to 42 percent among those who have not read\nthe transcript. Forty-six percent of those who have read the transcript think\nthere is not enough reason to hold hearings, compared to 50 percent among those\nwho have not read the transcript.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 3: Hold impeachment hearings by read Ukraine\ntranscript or not<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Enough cause<\/strong><strong><\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Not enough cause<\/strong><strong><\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><strong><\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Yes, have read\n  <\/td><td>\n  51\n  <\/td><td>\n  46\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  No, have not read\n  <\/td><td>\n  42\n  <\/td><td>\n  50\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>The\nresults are similar for opinion on impeachment and removal from office among\nthose who have or have not read the transcript, as shown in Table 4.<em><br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 4: Impeach and remove from office by read\nUkraine transcript or not<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Impeach\n  &amp; remove<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  think so<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Yes, have read\n  <\/td><td>\n  50\n  <\/td><td>\n  47\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  No, have not read\n  <\/td><td>\n  40\n  <\/td><td>\n  54\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Table 5\nshows support for hearings by party identification, and Table 6 shows support\nfor impeachment and removal from office by party identification.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 5: Enough cause for impeachment hearings by\nparty identification<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Enough\n  cause<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Not\n  enough cause<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  12\n  <\/td><td>\n  86\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  15\n  <\/td><td>\n  77\n  <\/td><td>\n  8\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Independent\n  <\/td><td>\n  35\n  <\/td><td>\n  53\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  77\n  <\/td><td>\n  15\n  <\/td><td>\n  8\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  84\n  <\/td><td>\n  12\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 6: Support for impeachment and removal by\nparty identification<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Impeach\n  &amp; remove<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  think so<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><td>\n  92\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  9\n  <\/td><td>\n  88\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Independent\n  <\/td><td>\n  33\n  <\/td><td>\n  55\n  <\/td><td>\n  10\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  78\n  <\/td><td>\n  16\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  88\n  <\/td><td>\n  8\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Trump\u2019s handling of international\naffairs<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In this\nsurvey, 37 percent approve and 59 percent disapprove of Trump\u2019s handling of\nforeign policy, while 4 percent say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For\ncomparison, Trump\u2019s overall job approval stands at 46 percent approval and 51\npercent disapproval, with 2 percent who don\u2019t know. In the August Marquette Law\nSchool Poll, 45 percent approved and 53 percent disapproved of the president\u2019s\nhandling of his job.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This\nsurvey was conducted in the week following the announcement that the U.S. would\nwithdraw its forces from northeastern Syria and the subsequent beginning of Turkish\nmilitary operations on Oct. 9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Asked if\nTrump\u2019s foreign policies have helped or hurt America\u2019s standing in the world,\n32 percent say they have helped, while 58 percent say they have hurt. Two\npercent say they have not affected America\u2019s standing, while 6 percent say they\ndon\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Oct. 5,\nU.S. and North Korean talks on nuclear weapons were halted shortly after they\nhad begun. Twenty-four percent of respondents say they believe that the U.S.\nand North Korea will reach an agreement on reducing nuclear weapons in the next\nyear or two, while 66 percent say this will not happen and 10 percent say they\ndon\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Republicans\ngive Trump higher approval on his handling of foreign policy than do\nindependents or Democrats, as shown in Table 7. Republican approval on foreign\npolicy is lower than Republican overall job approval, as shown in Table 8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table\n7: Trump handling of foreign policy by party identification<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Approve<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Disapprove<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  77\n  <\/td><td>\n  19\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  62\n  <\/td><td>\n  34\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Independent\n  <\/td><td>\n  26\n  <\/td><td>\n  59\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><td>\n  90\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><td>\n  97\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table\n8: Trump overall job approval by party identification<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Approve<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Disapprove<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  91\n  <\/td><td>\n  8\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  76\n  <\/td><td>\n  17\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Independent\n  <\/td><td>\n  48\n  <\/td><td>\n  38\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><td>\n  92\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>\n  96\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Views of Trump<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Respondents\nare evenly divided over whether Trump is keeping his campaign promises or not,\nas shown in Table 9 of results from Marquette Law School polls since Trump took\noffice in 2017.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table\n9: Trump keeping campaign promises trend<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Yes,\n  keeping promises<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>No,\n  not keeping promises<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  June 22-25, 2017\n  <\/td><td>\n  49\n  <\/td><td>\n  46\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Feb. 25-March 1, 2018\n  <\/td><td>\n  50\n  <\/td><td>\n  46\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Aug. 15-19, 2018\n  <\/td><td>\n  55\n  <\/td><td>\n  41\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Aug. 25-29, 2019\n  <\/td><td>\n  48\n  <\/td><td>\n  48\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Oct. 13-17, 2019\n  <\/td><td>\n  47\n  <\/td><td>\n  46\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>The\ndegree to which \u201ccares about people like me\u201d describes Trump is shown in Table\n10 for polls taken since 2017.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table\n10: Trump cares about people like me trend<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Describes<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Does\n  not describe<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  March 13-16, 2017\n  <\/td><td>\n  40\n  <\/td><td>\n  55\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  June 22-25, 2017\n  <\/td><td>\n  40\n  <\/td><td>\n  55\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Feb. 25-March 1, 2018\n  <\/td><td>\n  43\n  <\/td><td>\n  54\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Aug. 15-19, 2018\n  <\/td><td>\n  39\n  <\/td><td>\n  57\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Jan. 16-20, 2019\n  <\/td><td>\n  42\n  <\/td><td>\n  55\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Aug. 25-29, 2019\n  <\/td><td>\n  40\n  <\/td><td>\n  56\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Oct. 13-17, 2019\n  <\/td><td>\n  40\n  <\/td><td>\n  57\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>The trend\nfor those saying Trump is someone who is honest is shown in Table 11. This\nquestion was not asked in 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table\n11: Trump is someone who is honest<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Describes<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Does\n  not describe<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  June 22-25, 2017\n  <\/td><td>\n  35\n  <\/td><td>\n  59\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Jan. 16-20, 2019\n  <\/td><td>\n  31\n  <\/td><td>\n  62\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  April 3-7, 2019\n  <\/td><td>\n  35\n  <\/td><td>\n  59\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Oct. 13-17, 2019\n  <\/td><td>\n  30\n  <\/td><td>\n  65\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2020 presidential election\npreferences<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This poll\nasked about four potential Democratic challengers to Trump in the 2020\npresidential election, as shown in Table 12.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Former\nVice President Joe Biden is favored by 50 percent and Trump by 44 percent,\nwhile 3 percent say they would not support either candidate and 3 percent say\nthey don\u2019t know. In August, Biden received 51 percent and Trump 42 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sen. Bernie\nSanders receives 48 percent and Trump 46 percent, with 4 percent supporting\nneither and 2 percent who don\u2019t know. In August, Sanders received 48 percent\nand Trump 44 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sen. Elizabeth\nWarren is the choice of 47 percent and Trump gets 46 percent, with 4 percent\nsupporting neither and 2 percent saying they don\u2019t know. In August, Warren received\n45 percent and Trump 45 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is\nthe first time the Marquette Law School Poll has matched Mayor Pete Buttigieg\nagainst Trump. Buttigieg is supported by 43 percent to Trump\u2019s 45 percent,\nwhile 5 percent support neither and 7 percent say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 12:\nGeneral Election Matches<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>Match<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Match<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Match<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Match<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Biden\n  <\/td><td>\n  50\n  <\/td><td>\n  Sanders\n  <\/td><td>\n  48\n  <\/td><td>\n  Warren\n  <\/td><td>\n  47\n  <\/td><td>\n  Buttigieg\n  <\/td><td>\n  43\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  44\n  <\/td><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  46\n  <\/td><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  46\n  <\/td><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  45\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <em>Table\n  13: First and second choice in Democratic primary (among those saying they\n  will vote in the Democratic presidential primary).<\/em>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  <strong>Response<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>First Choice<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Second Choice<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Joe Biden\n  <\/td><td>\n  31\n  <\/td><td>\n  19\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Elizabeth Warren\n  <\/td><td>\n  24\n  <\/td><td>\n  27\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Bernie Sanders\n  <\/td><td>\n  17\n  <\/td><td>\n  13\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Pete Buttigieg\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><td>\n  10\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Kamala Harris\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><td>\n  9\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Amy Klobuchar\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Andrew Yang\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Tulsi Gabbard\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Cory Booker\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Marianne Williamson\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Tom Steyer\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Beto O\u2019Rourke\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Steve Bullock\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Michael Bennet\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Juli\u00e1n Castro\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  John Delaney\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Wayne Messam\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Tim Ryan\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Joe Sestak\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Someone else (VOL)\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Would not vote (VOL)\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Refused\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Democratic presidential primary<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among\nthose who say they will vote in the Democratic presidential primary in April,\nBiden is the first choice of 31 percent, followed by Warren at 24 percent,\nSanders at 17 percent and Pete Buttigieg at 7 percent. Sen.&nbsp;Kamala Harris\nreceives 5 percent, while all other candidates receive 3 percent or less.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\ncomplete results for the Democratic primary are shown in Table 13. <br \/><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among the\nDemocratic primary sample, favorability of candidates is shown in Table 14.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table\n14: Favorability ratings of five candidates among Democratic primary sample<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Favorable<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Unfavorable<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Haven\u2019t\n  heard enough<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Joe Biden\n  <\/td><td>\n  67\n  <\/td><td>\n  18\n  <\/td><td>\n  10\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Bernie Sanders\n  <\/td><td>\n  67\n  <\/td><td>\n  26\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Elizabeth Warren\n  <\/td><td>\n  63\n  <\/td><td>\n  17\n  <\/td><td>\n  13\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Kamala Harris\n  <\/td><td>\n  48\n  <\/td><td>\n  16\n  <\/td><td>\n  24\n  <\/td><td>\n  12\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Pete Buttigieg\n  <\/td><td>\n  43\n  <\/td><td>\n  13\n  <\/td><td>\n  33\n  <\/td><td>\n  12\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Economic outlook<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wisconsin\nregistered voters hold a net positive view of the performance of the economy\nover the past 12 months, with 41 percent saying the economy has improved over\nthe past year, 20 percent saying it has worsened and 36 percent saying it has\nstayed the same.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\noutlook for the next year is net negative, with 25 percent saying the economy\nwill improve, 30 percent saying it will get worse and 39 percent saying it will\nremain the same.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\noutlook for the coming year among those polled in 2019 is less positive than it\nwas among those polled in 2018, as more respondents see the prospect of a\nworsening economy. This poll is the third in 2019 that has seen net pessimism\nabout the economic outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2018,\nthe average future outlook was 14.7 percent net positive while in 2019 the\naverage outlook has been net negative at -3.5 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The full\nresults since February 2018 are shown in Table 15.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table\n15: Outlook for the economy over next year<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>Poll\n  Date<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Get\n  better<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Get\n  worse<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Stay\n  the same<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Net<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  2018-03-01\n  <\/td><td>\n  37\n  <\/td><td>\n  20\n  <\/td><td>\n  38\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><td>\n  17\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  2018-06-17\n  <\/td><td>\n  35\n  <\/td><td>\n  25\n  <\/td><td>\n  37\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><td>\n  10\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  2018-08-19\n  <\/td><td>\n  38\n  <\/td><td>\n  25\n  <\/td><td>\n  31\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><td>\n  13\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  2018-09-16\n  <\/td><td>\n  37\n  <\/td><td>\n  24\n  <\/td><td>\n  34\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><td>\n  13\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  2018-10-07\n  <\/td><td>\n  42\n  <\/td><td>\n  20\n  <\/td><td>\n  32\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><td>\n  22\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  2018-10-28\n  <\/td><td>\n  38\n  <\/td><td>\n  25\n  <\/td><td>\n  29\n  <\/td><td>\n  8\n  <\/td><td>\n  13\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  2019-01-20\n  <\/td><td>\n  29\n  <\/td><td>\n  34\n  <\/td><td>\n  30\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><td>\n  -5\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  2019-04-07\n  <\/td><td>\n  34\n  <\/td><td>\n  27\n  <\/td><td>\n  34\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  2019-08-29\n  <\/td><td>\n  26\n  <\/td><td>\n  37\n  <\/td><td>\n  33\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><td>\n  -11\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  2019-10-17\n  <\/td><td>\n  25\n  <\/td><td>\n  30\n  <\/td><td>\n  39\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><td>\n  -5\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><br \/>\nFifty-one percent of those polled approve of Trump\u2019s\nhandling of the economy, while 45 percent disapprove. In August, 49 percent\napproved and 50 percent disapproved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>State and national issues<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A\nproposed mandatory buy-back of assault weapons from owners is opposed by 54\npercent and supported by 42 percent, with 3 percent saying they don\u2019t know.\nThose with a gun in the household tend to oppose such a policy while those\nwithout a gun in the household tend to support it, as shown in Table 16.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table\n16: Assault weapon buy-back opinion by gun in household<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Support<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Oppose<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Gun\n  <\/td><td>\n  30\n  <\/td><td>\n  68\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  No gun\n  <\/td><td>\n  59\n  <\/td><td>\n  35\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>There are\npartisan differences in views of an assault-weapon buy-back policy, as shown in\nTable 17.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 17: Assault weapon buy-back opinion by party\nidentification<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Support<\/strong><strong><\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Oppose<\/strong><strong><\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  13\n  <\/td><td>\n  83\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  76\n  <\/td><td>\n  20\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Independent\n  <\/td><td>\n  42\n  <\/td><td>\n  57\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Proposals\nfor changes to national health care programs include, among others, a national single-payer\nprogram and a public option that would compete with but not replace private\ninsurance. The full wording of the questions, and the responses are shown in Tables\n18 and 19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table\n18: Do you support or oppose having a national health plan, sometimes called\nMedicare-for-all, in which all Americans would get their insurance from a\nsingle government plan?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>Response<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Percent<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Support\n  <\/td><td>\n  51\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Oppose\n  <\/td><td>\n  42\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Refused\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><em><br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table\n19: Do you support or oppose having a government-administered health plan,\nsometimes called a public option, that would compete with private health\ninsurance plans and be available to all Americans?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>Response<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Percent<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Support\n  <\/td><td>\n  60\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Oppose\n  <\/td><td>\n  32\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Refused\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>A large\nmajority (82 percent) of respondents said they had heard of Bernie Sanders\u2019\nheart attack, while 18 percent had not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Respondents\nwere asked about age as an issue in voting for president. Some were asked that\nquestion before being asked the question about Sanders\u2019 heart attack and some\nafter, but the order of questions made no statistically significant difference.\nThirty-two percent say age matters in their choice for president, while 66\npercent say age is unimportant as a consideration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With deer\nseason approaching, 40 percent say they have heard a lot about Chronic Wasting\nDisease, which afflicts the deer population, with 35 percent saying they have\nheard some, 13 percent saying they have not heard much and 11 percent saying\nthey have heard nothing about CWD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Twenty-seven\npercent think that CWD has been increasing in Wisconsin deer, 46 percent think\nit has remained about the same and 7 percent think it has been decreasing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among\nWisconsin respondents, 38 percent say they or someone in their household is a\ndeer hunter, while 62 say no one in the household hunts deer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\nsurvey notes that Wisconsin lost nearly 700 dairy farms in 2018. Sixty-three\npercent say the federal government should support small farms, while 30 percent\nsay this is not the job of the federal government. There is no difference in\nresponse between those who farm or have family members who farm (61 percent)\nand those who do not have a farming connection (63 percent) in the percent\nfavoring government support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>State of the state<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Governor\nTony Evers\u2019 job approval stands at 52 percent, with disapproval at 34 percent.\nThirteen percent say they don\u2019t have an opinion. In August, 54 percent\napproved, 34 percent disapproved and 10 percent lacked an opinion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fifty-three\npercent of respondents say the state is headed in the right direction while 39\npercent say it is on the wrong track. In August, 55 percent said the state was\ngoing in the right direction and 37 percent said it was on the wrong track.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Table 20\npresents the favorability ratings of elected officials in Wisconsin and the\npercentage of respondents who haven\u2019t heard enough or say they don\u2019t know.<em><br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table\n20: Favorability ratings of elected officials<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Favorable<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Unfavorable<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Haven\u2019t\n  heard enough<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Tony Evers\n  <\/td><td>\n  47\n  <\/td><td>\n  35\n  <\/td><td>\n  13\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Tammy Baldwin\n  <\/td><td>\n  46\n  <\/td><td>\n  39\n  <\/td><td>\n  11\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Donald Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  43\n  <\/td><td>\n  52\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Ron Johnson\n  <\/td><td>\n  40\n  <\/td><td>\n  29\n  <\/td><td>\n  24\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>About the Marquette Law School Poll<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\nMarquette Law School Poll is the most extensive statewide polling project in\nWisconsin history. This poll interviewed 799 registered Wisconsin voters by\nlandline or cell phone, Oct. 13-17, 2019. The margin of error is +\/-4.2\npercentage points for the full sample.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\nDemocratic presidential candidate preference items were asked those who said\nthey would vote in the April Democratic presidential primary. That sample size\nis 379 with a margin of error of +\/-6.3 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Two\nquestions were asked of half the sample (Form A) and two were asked of the\nother half-sample (Form B). Questions on Form A have a sample size of 400 and a\nmargin of error of +\/- 6 percentage points. Questions on Form B have a sample\nsize of 399 and a margin of error of +\/- 5.9 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Form A\nquestions were right direction or wrong track for the state and Medicare for\nall as a single payer. Form B questions were an assault weapon buy-back law and\nan public option for medical coverage competing with private insurance plans<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\npartisan makeup of the sample, including those who lean to a party, is 45\npercent Republican, 44 percent Democratic and 9 percent independent. The\npartisan makeup of the sample, excluding those who lean to a party, is 31\npercent Republican, 29 percent Democratic and 40 percent independent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since\nJanuary 2017, the long-term partisan balance, including those who lean to a\nparty, in the Marquette Law Poll has been 45 percent Republican and 45 percent\nDemocratic, with 9 percent independent. Partisanship excluding those who lean\nhas been 30 percent Republican and 29 percent Democratic, with 40 percent\nindependent.\n\nThe entire questionnaire, methodology statement, full results and\nbreakdowns by demographic groups are available at <a href=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/category\/results-and-data\/\">law.marquette.edu\/poll\/results-and-data<\/a>.\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MILWAUKEE \u2013 A new Marquette Law School poll of Wisconsin registered voters finds that 46 percent think that there is enough cause now for Congress to hold hearings on impeachment of President Donald Trump, while 49 percent say there is not enough cause and 5 percent say they do not know. In April 2019, 29 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1947","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-poll-release","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1947","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1947"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1947\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1948,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1947\/revisions\/1948"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1947"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1947"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1947"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}