{"id":1970,"date":"2019-11-20T13:18:53","date_gmt":"2019-11-20T19:18:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/?p=1970"},"modified":"2019-11-20T13:18:29","modified_gmt":"2019-11-20T19:18:29","slug":"new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-shifts-in-wisconsin-public-opinion-favorable-to-president-trump-on-impeachment-and-presidential-election-preferences","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/2019\/11\/20\/new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-shifts-in-wisconsin-public-opinion-favorable-to-president-trump-on-impeachment-and-presidential-election-preferences\/","title":{"rendered":"New Marquette Law School Poll finds shifts in Wisconsin public opinion favorable to President Trump on impeachment and presidential election preferences"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>MILWAUKEE\n\u2013 Even as hearings that could lead to President Donald Trump\u2019s impeachment heat\nup, a new Marquette University Law School poll of Wisconsin registered voters\nfinds consistent, if sometimes modest, shifts in public opinion away from\nsupport of impeachment and toward supporting Trump in next year\u2019s presidential\nelection&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For\nexample, Trump holds small leads over each of four top Democratic candidates for\npresident in head-to-head matchups in the new survey, while three of the\nDemocrats held small leads over Trump in the previous poll.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While the\nshifts in opinion on both impeachment and presidential preferences are not\nlarge, they are consistent across multiple questions in the poll. That includes\nincreases in support for Trump\u2019s work on foreign policy and the economy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The poll\nwas conducted Nov. 13-17, 2019. The sample included 801 registered voters in\nWisconsin interviewed by cell phone or landline, with a margin of error of +\/-\n4.1 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Opinions on impeachment overall<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the\nnew poll, 40 percent of registered voters think that Trump should be impeached\nand removed from office, while 53 percent do not think so and 6 percent say\nthat they do not know. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In\nOctober, before public hearings began, 44 percent favored impeachment and\nremoval from office, while 51 percent were opposed, and 4 percent said they\ndidn\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\nNovember results also find that 52 percent say they believe Trump asked the\nUkrainian president to investigate Trump\u2019s political rivals, while 29 percent\nbelieve Trump did not do this. Eighteen percent say they don\u2019t know if Trump\nasked this or not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Forty-one\npercent believe Trump withheld military aid to pressure the Ukrainian president\nto investigate Trump\u2019s political rivals, while 38 percent do not believe Trump\ndid this and 21 percent say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Forty-two\npercent say that Trump did something seriously wrong in his dealings with\nUkraine, 9 percent say he did something wrong but not seriously so, and 38\npercent say Trump did nothing wrong. Eleven percent say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Views of impeachment by\npartisanship and attention to hearings<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are\nlarge partisan differences in views of impeachment, with Democrats much more\nsupportive and Republicans much more opposed, and a plurality of independents\nopposed. Comparing the October and November polls, support for impeachment and\nremoval declined slightly among Democrats, and opposition to removal rose\nslightly among Republicans. \u201cDon\u2019t know\u201d responses rose among independents and\nDemocrats and barely declined among Republicans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 1: Impeach and remove Trump from office by\nparty identification, November<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Impeach\n  &amp; remove<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  think so<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><td>\n  94\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><td>\n  92\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Independent\n  <\/td><td>\n  36\n  <\/td><td>\n  47\n  <\/td><td>\n  15\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  73\n  <\/td><td>\n  20\n  <\/td><td>\n  8\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  81\n  <\/td><td>\n  11\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 2: Impeach and remove Trump from office by\nparty identification, October<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Impeach\n  &amp; remove<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  think so<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><td>\n  92\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  9\n  <\/td><td>\n  88\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Independent\n  <\/td><td>\n  33\n  <\/td><td>\n  55\n  <\/td><td>\n  10\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  78\n  <\/td><td>\n  16\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  88\n  <\/td><td>\n  8\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Partisans\nare reacting differently to the testimony and other evidence, with Democrats\nmuch more likely than Republicans to say that Trump asked the Ukrainian president\nto investigate his political rivals. Opinion among independents tends to fall\nin between the results in the partisan groups.<em><br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 3: Did Trump ask for investigation of\npolitical rivals? <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Yes,\n  did ask<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>No,\n  did not ask<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  29\n  <\/td><td>\n  51\n  <\/td><td>\n  20\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  29\n  <\/td><td>\n  53\n  <\/td><td>\n  17\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Independent\n  <\/td><td>\n  41\n  <\/td><td>\n  24\n  <\/td><td>\n  33\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  81\n  <\/td><td>\n  8\n  <\/td><td>\n  10\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  80\n  <\/td><td>\n  8\n  <\/td><td>\n  12\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>While\nabout 3 in 10 Republicans thus think that Trump asked for an investigation\n(Table 3), only about 1 in 10 Republicans think Trump withheld military aid to\npressure the Ukrainian president into an investigation (Table 4, below). Eight\nin 10 Democrats believe Trump asked for an investigation, and 3 in 4 think that\nhe withheld aid to exert pressure for an investigation. Forty-one percent of independents\nthink Trump asked for an investigation, while 30 percent think he withheld aid\nas pressure. Independents are the most likely group to say they don\u2019t know if\nTrump did either of these things, with 33 percent saying they don\u2019t know\nwhether he asked for an investigation and 41 percent saying they don\u2019t know\nwhether he withheld aid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 4: Did Trump withhold aid to pressure Ukraine\nfor investigation of political rivals? <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Yes,\n  held up aid<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>No,\n  did not hold up aid<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  8\n  <\/td><td>\n  70\n  <\/td><td>\n  21\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  11\n  <\/td><td>\n  70\n  <\/td><td>\n  19\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Independent\n  <\/td><td>\n  30\n  <\/td><td>\n  26\n  <\/td><td>\n  41\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  75\n  <\/td><td>\n  10\n  <\/td><td>\n  15\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  77\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><td>\n  16\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Thirty-two\npercent of all registered voters say that they are following the news and\ntestimony in the impeachment hearings very closely, with another 33 percent\nsaying they are following fairly closely. Twenty percent are not following too\nclosely, and 14 percent are following not at all closely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are\nno statistically significant differences in attention to the hearings by\npartisanship, although independents are more likely to say they are not\nfollowing closely at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 5: Attention to hearings by party\nidentification<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Very\n  closely<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Fairly\n  closely<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Not\n  too closely<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Not\n  at all closely<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  33\n  <\/td><td>\n  36\n  <\/td><td>\n  18\n  <\/td><td>\n  12\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Republican\n  <\/td><td>\n  29\n  <\/td><td>\n  34\n  <\/td><td>\n  20\n  <\/td><td>\n  16\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Independent\n  <\/td><td>\n  20\n  <\/td><td>\n  26\n  <\/td><td>\n  25\n  <\/td><td>\n  28\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Lean Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  32\n  <\/td><td>\n  34\n  <\/td><td>\n  21\n  <\/td><td>\n  14\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Democrat\n  <\/td><td>\n  39\n  <\/td><td>\n  30\n  <\/td><td>\n  19\n  <\/td><td>\n  11\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Those who\nare following the hearings most closely are much more likely to have an opinion\nabout the evidence than are those not paying close attention. Of those paying\nvery close attention, 61 percent say that Trump asked for an investigation, 33\npercent say he did not ask, and only 5 percent say they don\u2019t know. By contrast\namong those not following the hearings at all closely, 34 percent say Trump\nasked, 23 percent say he did not ask, and 41 percent say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 6: Did Trump ask for investigation of\npolitical rivals? By attention to hearings<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Yes,\n  did ask<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>No,\n  did not ask<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Very closely\n  <\/td><td>\n  61\n  <\/td><td>\n  33\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Fairly\n  closely\n  <\/td><td>\n  56\n  <\/td><td>\n  30\n  <\/td><td>\n  13\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Not too\n  closely\n  <\/td><td>\n  46\n  <\/td><td>\n  26\n  <\/td><td>\n  28\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Not at all\n  closely\n  <\/td><td>\n  34\n  <\/td><td>\n  23\n  <\/td><td>\n  41\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>A similar\npattern holds with attention and opinion on whether Trump withheld aid to\npressure Ukraine for an investigation. Both the percentage saying he did do\nthis and the percentage saying he did not are higher among the most attentive,\nand both percentages are lower among the least attentive. Among the most\nattentive, only 4 percent say they don\u2019t know, while over half of the least\nattentive say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 7: Did Trump withhold aid to pressure Ukraine\nfor investigation of political rivals? By attention to hearings<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Yes,\n  held up aid<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>No,\n  did not hold up aid<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Very closely\n  <\/td><td>\n  51\n  <\/td><td>\n  45\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Fairly\n  closely\n  <\/td><td>\n  46\n  <\/td><td>\n  40\n  <\/td><td>\n  13\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Not too\n  closely\n  <\/td><td>\n  32\n  <\/td><td>\n  35\n  <\/td><td>\n  34\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Not at all\n  closely\n  <\/td><td>\n  20\n  <\/td><td>\n  23\n  <\/td><td>\n  55\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>General election matchups<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wisconsin\nvoters were asked whom they would support as of now in the presidential\nelection, Trump or each of four leading candidates for the Democratic\nnomination. Trump has 3-point leads over former Vice President Joe Biden and\nSen. Bernie Sanders, a 5-point margin over Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and an\n8-point lead over Mayor Pete Buttigieg. In October, Biden, Sanders, and Warren\nhad small leads and Buttigieg trailed by 2 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A summary\nof the general election results in this November poll is shown in Table 8. For\ncomparison, the October results are shown in Table 9 and the August results in\nTable 10. In August, Trump was tested against Sen.&nbsp;Kamala Harris rather\nthan Buttigieg.<em><br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 8: November General Election Matchups<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>Matchup<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Matchup<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Matchup<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Matchup<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Biden\n  <\/td><td>\n  44\n  <\/td><td>\n  Sanders\n  <\/td><td>\n  45\n  <\/td><td>\n  Warren\n  <\/td><td>\n  43\n  <\/td><td>\n  Buttigieg\n  <\/td><td>\n  39\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  47\n  <\/td><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  48\n  <\/td><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  48\n  <\/td><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  47\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 9: October General Election Matchups<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>Matchup<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Matchup<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Matchup<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Matchup<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Biden\n  <\/td><td>\n  50\n  <\/td><td>\n  Sanders\n  <\/td><td>\n  48\n  <\/td><td>\n  Warren\n  <\/td><td>\n  47\n  <\/td><td>\n  Buttigieg\n  <\/td><td>\n  43\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  44\n  <\/td><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  46\n  <\/td><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  46\n  <\/td><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  45\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 10: August General Election Matchups<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>Matchup<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Matchup<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Matchup<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Matchup<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Biden\n  <\/td><td>\n  51\n  <\/td><td>\n  Sanders\n  <\/td><td>\n  48\n  <\/td><td>\n  Warren\n  <\/td><td>\n  45\n  <\/td><td>\n  Harris\n  <\/td><td>\n  44\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  42\n  <\/td><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  44\n  <\/td><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  45\n  <\/td><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  44\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>In the\nnew poll, two additional general election matchups tested Trump against Sen.\nAmy Klobuchar and Sen. Cory Booker. Each of these was asked of half the polling\nsample, and they have a margin of error of 5.7 and 5.8 percent, respectively.\nWhile the half-samples were selected randomly, the half with Booker versus\nTrump has significantly more younger voters than the half with Klobuchar.\nSanders also does better in the Booker half-sample, although no other\ncandidates do significantly better in either half-sample.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 11: General Election Matches<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>Match<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Match<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Pct<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Klobuchar\n  <\/td><td>\n  36\n  <\/td><td>\n  Booker\n  <\/td><td>\n  45\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  50\n  <\/td><td>\n  Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  44\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><td>\n  Neither\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Vote by party identification,\nNovember vs. October<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>None of\nthe shifts in vote preference between October and November reaches statistical\nsignificance. The shifts in the balance of the vote are largely due to slightly\ngreater partisan loyalty among Republicans and slightly lower loyalty among\nDemocrats. The party balance between October and November samples was unchanged,\nwith 45 percent identifying themselves as Republican or leaning Republican and\n44 percent identifying themselves as Democrat or leaning Democrat in each\nmonth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"685\" height=\"256\" src=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Screen-Shot-2019-11-20-at-12.44.00-PM.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1973\" srcset=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Screen-Shot-2019-11-20-at-12.44.00-PM.png 685w, https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Screen-Shot-2019-11-20-at-12.44.00-PM-400x149.png 400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 685px) 100vw, 685px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"713\" height=\"254\" src=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Screen-Shot-2019-11-20-at-12.44.10-PM.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1974\" srcset=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Screen-Shot-2019-11-20-at-12.44.10-PM.png 713w, https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Screen-Shot-2019-11-20-at-12.44.10-PM-400x142.png 400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 713px) 100vw, 713px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"652\" height=\"257\" src=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Screen-Shot-2019-11-20-at-12.44.35-PM.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1975\" srcset=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Screen-Shot-2019-11-20-at-12.44.35-PM.png 652w, https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Screen-Shot-2019-11-20-at-12.44.35-PM-400x158.png 400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 652px) 100vw, 652px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"647\" height=\"255\" src=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Screen-Shot-2019-11-20-at-12.44.46-PM.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1976\" srcset=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Screen-Shot-2019-11-20-at-12.44.46-PM.png 647w, https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Screen-Shot-2019-11-20-at-12.44.46-PM-400x158.png 400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 647px) 100vw, 647px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Democratic presidential primary\ncandidates<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <em>Table 16: First and second choice in Democratic\n  primary (among Democratic primary voters)<\/em>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  <strong>Response<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>First Choice<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Second Choice<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Joe Biden\n  <\/td><td>\n  30\n  <\/td><td>\n  15\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Bernie\n  Sanders\n  <\/td><td>\n  17\n  <\/td><td>\n  18\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Elizabeth\n  Warren\n  <\/td><td>\n  15\n  <\/td><td>\n  19\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Pete\n  Buttigieg\n  <\/td><td>\n  13\n  <\/td><td>\n  10\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Cory Booker\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Amy Klobuchar\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><td>\n  8\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Kamala Harris\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Andrew Yang\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Tom Steyer\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Marianne\n  Williamson\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Steve Bullock\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Michael\n  Bennet\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Juli\u00e1n Castro\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  John Delaney\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Someone else\n  (VOL)\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Would not\n  vote (VOL)\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>\n  0\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Don\u2019t know\n  <\/td><td>\n  10\n  <\/td><td>\n  10\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Refused\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Democratic presidential primary preference items\nwere asked of those who said that they will vote in the Democratic primary in April. That sample size is\n340, with a margin of error of +\/-6.4 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among\nthose who say they will vote in the Democratic primary, Biden receives the most\nsupport. Biden is the first choice of 30 percent, followed by Sanders at 17\npercent, Warren at 15 percent, and Pete Buttigieg at 13 percent. Booker and\nKlobuchar receive 3 percent each. Harris and Yang are the top choices of 2\npercent each, while all other candidates receive 1 percent or less.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\ncomplete results for the Democratic primary are shown in Table 16.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Almost\ntwo-thirds of Democratic primary voters, 62 percent, say they might change\ntheir minds about their primary choice, while 37 percent say their mind is made\nup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 17: Favorability ratings of six candidates\namong Democratic primary sample<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Favorable<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Unfavorable<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Haven\u2019t\n  heard enough<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Joe Biden\n  <\/td><td>\n  67\n  <\/td><td>\n  20\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><td>\n  6\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Bernie\n  Sanders\n  <\/td><td>\n  67\n  <\/td><td>\n  24\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Elizabeth\n  Warren\n  <\/td><td>\n  56\n  <\/td><td>\n  19\n  <\/td><td>\n  21\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Pete\n  Buttigieg\n  <\/td><td>\n  45\n  <\/td><td>\n  11\n  <\/td><td>\n  37\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Cory Booker\n  <\/td><td>\n  36\n  <\/td><td>\n  14\n  <\/td><td>\n  39\n  <\/td><td>\n  11\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Amy Klobuchar\n  <\/td><td>\n  27\n  <\/td><td>\n  16\n  <\/td><td>\n  45\n  <\/td><td>\n  12\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Among the\nDemocratic primary sample, favorability of candidates is shown in Table 17.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Trump job approval<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Forty-seven\npercent of registered voters approve of the job Trump is doing as president,\nwith 51 percent disapproving. That is little changed from October, when 46\npercent approved and 51 percent disapproved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fifty-five\npercent of those polled approve of Trump\u2019s handling of the economy, while 43\npercent disapprove. In October, 51 percent approved and 45 percent disapproved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Forty-four\npercent of those polled approve of Trump\u2019s handling of foreign policy, while 52\npercent disapprove. In October, 37 percent approved and 59 percent disapproved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thirty-seven\npercent say that Trump\u2019s foreign policies have helped America\u2019s standing in the\nworld, while 53 percent say his policies have hurt the standing of the country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Twenty\npercent say that the decision to remove most U.S. troops from Syria strengthens\nthe United States, while 38 percent say this weakens the country and 34 percent\nsay it doesn\u2019t make much difference. An additional 8 percent say they don\u2019t\nknow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Economic outlook and issues<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wisconsin\nregistered voters hold a positive view of the recent performance of the\neconomy, with 42 percent saying the economy has improved over the past year, 18\npercent saying it has worsened, and 37 percent saying it has stayed the same.\nIn October, 41 percent said the economy had improved, 20 percent said it had\nworsened, and 36 percent said it has stayed the same.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking\nahead to the next year, 35 percent say the economy will improve, while 24\npercent think it will get worse and 37 percent say it will remain the same.\nThat reverses the more negative outlook in October, when 25 percent said the\neconomy would improve, 30 percent said it would worsen, and 39 percent said it\nwould remain the same.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Chronic wasting disease<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Deer\nhunters in Wisconsin are more aware than are non-hunters of chronic wasting\ndisease, which affects deer through much of the state.<em><br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 18: Awareness of CWD by hunter or non-hunter<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>A\n  lot<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Some<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Not\n  much<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Nothing\n  at all<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Deer hunter\n  <\/td><td>\n  59\n  <\/td><td>\n  30\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Not deer\n  hunter\n  <\/td><td>\n  25\n  <\/td><td>\n  36\n  <\/td><td>\n  20\n  <\/td><td>\n  16\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>A\nmajority of hunters approve of the job the Department of Natural Resources is\ndoing handling CWD. A plurality of non-hunters also approve, but non-hunters\nare more than twice as likely as hunters to say they don\u2019t know how DNR is\ndoing in addressing CWD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 19: Approve DNR handling of CWD by hunter or\nnon-hunter<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Approve<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Disapprove<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Deer hunter\n  <\/td><td>\n  56\n  <\/td><td>\n  29\n  <\/td><td>\n  15\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Not deer\n  hunter\n  <\/td><td>\n  45\n  <\/td><td>\n  16\n  <\/td><td>\n  38\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>Hunters\nand non-hunters alike see CWD as a threat to the future of deer hunting in\nWisconsin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 20: See CWD as threat to future of deer\nhunting by hunter or non-hunter<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Yes<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>No<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Deer hunter\n  <\/td><td>\n  65\n  <\/td><td>\n  31\n  <\/td><td>\n  4\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Not deer hunter\n  <\/td><td>\n  62\n  <\/td><td>\n  18\n  <\/td><td>\n  19\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Opinion\nof the governor and legislature<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Governor\nTony Evers\u2019 job approval stands at 47 percent, with disapproval at 42. Ten\npercent say they don\u2019t have an opinion. In October, 52 percent approved, 34\npercent disapproved, and 13 percent lacked an opinion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Approval\nof the job the Wisconsin legislature is doing is 48 percent and disapproval is\n39 percent, with 13 percent saying they don\u2019t know. When last asked in August,\n52 percent approved, 38 percent disapproved, and 8 percent lacked an opinion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Nov.\n5, the state Senate voted to reject Evers\u2019 nominee for secretary of the\nDepartment of Agriculture, Trade and Consumer Protection. Twenty-two percent\nsay rejecting the nominee was the right thing for the Senate to do, 25 percent\nsay it was the wrong thing to do, and 47 percent said they haven\u2019t heard\nanything about this. An additional 6 percent say they don\u2019t have an opinion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Favorability rating of elected\nofficials<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Table 21\npresents the favorability ratings of elected officials in Wisconsin and the\npercentage of respondents who haven\u2019t heard enough or say they don\u2019t know.<em><br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Table 21: Favorability ratings of elected officials<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  <strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Favorable<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Unfavorable<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Haven\u2019t\n  heard enough<\/strong>\n  <\/td><td>\n  <strong>Don\u2019t\n  know<\/strong>\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Donald Trump\n  <\/td><td>\n  46\n  <\/td><td>\n  50\n  <\/td><td>\n  2\n  <\/td><td>\n  1\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Tony Evers\n  <\/td><td>\n  43\n  <\/td><td>\n  41\n  <\/td><td>\n  12\n  <\/td><td>\n  3\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Ron Johnson\n  <\/td><td>\n  39\n  <\/td><td>\n  29\n  <\/td><td>\n  24\n  <\/td><td>\n  7\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Tammy Baldwin\n  <\/td><td>\n  39\n  <\/td><td>\n  43\n  <\/td><td>\n  12\n  <\/td><td>\n  5\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>About the Marquette Law School Poll<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\nMarquette Law School Poll is the most extensive statewide polling project in\nWisconsin history. This poll interviewed 801 registered Wisconsin voters by\nlandline or cell phone, Nov. 13-17, 2019. The margin of error is +\/-4.1\npercentage points for the full sample.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\nDemocratic presidential candidate preference items were asked of Democrats,\nindependents who lean Democratic, and independents who do not lean to either party.\nThat sample size is 340 with a margin of error of +\/-6.4 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Two\npresidential matchup questions were asked of half-samples. Klobuchar vs. Trump\nwas asked of 400 respondents, with a margin of error of +\/- 5.7 percentage\npoints. Booker vs. Trump was asked of 401 respondents, with a margin of error\nof +\/- 5.8 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\npartisan makeup of the sample, including those who lean to a party, is 45\npercent Republican, 44 percent Democratic, and 10 percent independent. The\npartisan makeup of the sample, excluding those who lean to a party, is 28\npercent Republican, 28 percent Democratic, and 42 percent independent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since\nJanuary 2017, the long-term partisan balance, including those who lean to a\nparty, in the Marquette poll has been 45 percent Republican and 45 percent\nDemocratic, with 9 percent independent. Partisanship, excluding those who lean,\nhas been 30 percent Republican and 29 percent Democratic, with 40 percent\nindependent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\nentire questionnaire, methodology statement, full results and breakdowns by\ndemographic groups are available at <a href=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/category\/results-and-data\/\">law.marquette.edu\/poll\/results-and-data<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MILWAUKEE \u2013 Even as hearings that could lead to President Donald Trump\u2019s impeachment heat up, a new Marquette University Law School poll of Wisconsin registered voters finds consistent, if sometimes modest, shifts in public opinion away from support of impeachment and toward supporting Trump in next year\u2019s presidential election&nbsp; For example, Trump holds small leads 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