{"id":1989,"date":"2019-12-12T14:15:00","date_gmt":"2019-12-12T20:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/?p=1989"},"modified":"2019-12-12T14:16:27","modified_gmt":"2019-12-12T20:16:27","slug":"detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-poll-december-3-8-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/2019\/12\/12\/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-poll-december-3-8-2019\/","title":{"rendered":"New Marquette Law School Poll finds no change in impeachment views following end of public testimony"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

MILWAUKEE \u2013 A new Marquette Law\nSchool poll of Wisconsin registered voters finds that support for impeachment\nhas not changed following the conclusion of public testimony before the\nIntelligence Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives in November.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the new results, 40 percent\nthink that President Donald Trump should be impeached and removed from office,\nwhile 52 percent do not think so and 6 percent say they do not know. One\npercent volunteered that they thought Trump should be impeached but not removed\nfrom office. In November, 40 percent favored impeachment and removal from\noffice, while 53 percent were opposed and 6 percent said they didn\u2019t know. The\nNovember poll was conducted during the first week of public testimony before\nthe Intelligence Committee but before the second week of testimony.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In October, before public hearings\nbegan, 44 percent favored impeachment and removal from office, while 51 percent\nwere opposed and 4 percent said they didn\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new survey was conducted Dec.\n3-8, 2019, after the conclusion of public testimony before the Intelligence\nCommittee in the congressional impeachment hearings. The House Judiciary\nCommittee heard testimony from four constitutional law professors on Dec. 4,\nduring the field period for the survey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The trend in responses to this question is shown in Table 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Opinions about Trump\u2019s actions\nregarding Ukraine also changed very little following public testimony.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new poll finds 52 percent\nsaying they believe Trump asked the Ukrainian president to investigate Trump\u2019s\npolitical rivals while 29 percent believe Trump did not do this. Eighteen\npercent say they don\u2019t know. In November, the percentages were the same for\neach category: 52 percent said he asked for an investigation, while 29 percent\nsaid they did not think he did so and 18 percent said they didn\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the December poll, 44 percent\nsay they believe Trump withheld military aid to pressure the Ukrainian\npresident to investigate Trump\u2019s political rivals, while 36 percent do not\nbelieve Trump did this and 19 percent say they don\u2019t know. In November, 41\npercent said they believed Trump withheld aid, 38 percent did not believe he\ndid, and 21 percent said they did not know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forty-two percent say that Trump\ndid something seriously wrong in his dealings with Ukraine, 9 percent say he\ndid something wrong but not seriously so, and 37 percent say Trump did nothing\nwrong. Eleven percent say they don\u2019t know. In November, 42 percent said he did\nsomething seriously wrong, 9 percent said it was wrong but not serious, and 38\npercent said he did nothing wrong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The poll sample included 800\nregistered voters in Wisconsin interviewed by cell phone or landline, with a\nmargin of error of +\/- 4.2 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Democratic presidential primary\npreference items were asked of those who said they will vote in the Democratic\nprimary in April. That sample size is 358, with a margin of error of +\/-6.3\npercentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Views\nof impeachment by partisanship and attention to hearings<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

There are large partisan differences in views of impeachment, with Democrats much more supportive and Republicans much more opposed, and a plurality of independents opposed. These partisan divisions have changed only modestly from October to December. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Partisans are reacting differently to the evidence and testimony, with Democrats much more likely to say that Trump asked the Ukrainian president to investigate his political rivals than are Republicans. Independents are more than twice as likely as partisans to say that they do not know if Trump asked for an investigation: 39 percent say they don\u2019t know, while 39 percent say he did ask and 20 percent say he did not ask.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Republicans are less likely to think that Trump withheld aid to pressure Ukraine for an investigation, with two-thirds of Republicans saying that Trump did not withhold aid, whereas about eight in ten Democrats say that he did so. Almost half of independents, 48 percent, say they don\u2019t know if Trump withheld aid, with 33 percent saying he did and 18 percent saying he did not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thirty-one percent of all\nregistered voters say they are following the news and testimony in the\nimpeachment hearings very closely, with another 39 percent saying they are\nfollowing fairly closely. Eighteen percent are not following too closely and 11\npercent are following not at all closely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There are no statistically significant differences in attention to the hearings between Republicans and Democrats, although independents are more likely to say they are not following closely at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Those who are following the hearings most closely are more likely to have an opinion about the evidence than are those not paying close attention. Of those paying very close attention, 58 percent say that Trump asked for an investigation, 33 percent say he did not ask and only 9 percent say they don\u2019t know. By contrast, among those not following the hearings at all closely, 21 percent say Trump asked, 24 percent say he did not ask, and 55 percent say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

A similar pattern holds with attention and opinion on whether Trump withheld aid to pressure Ukraine for an investigation. Both the percentage saying he did this and the percentage saying he did not are higher among the most attentive, and both such percentages are lower among the least attentive. Among the most attentive, only 5 percent say they don\u2019t know while 58 percent of the least attentive say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

General\nelection matchups<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

General election matchups between\nTrump and five Democratic candidates all indicate very close races, slightly\ncloser than in the November poll.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A summary of the general election results for December is shown in Table 10. For comparison, the November results are shown in Table 11 and the October results in Table 12.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
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Democratic\nPresidential Primary Candidates<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among those who say they will vote in the Democratic presidential primary in April, Joe Biden receives the most support. Biden is the first choice of 23 percent, followed by Bernie Sanders at 19 percent, Elizabeth Warren at 16 percent and Pete Buttigieg at 15 percent. Corey Booker is the first choice of 4 percent. Recently announced candidate Michael Bloomberg has the support of 3 percent, as does Andrew Yang and Amy Klobuchar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The complete results for the Democratic primary are shown in Table 13.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Two-thirds of Democratic primary\nvoters, 65 percent, say they might change their minds about their primary\nchoice, while 34 percent say their mind is made up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among the Democratic primary sample, favorability of candidates is shown in Table 14.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Trump\nJob Approval<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forty-seven percent approve of the\njob Trump is doing as president, with 50 percent disapproving. That is little\nchanged from October when 47 percent approved and 51 percent disapproved. The approval-disapproval\nratio of 47-50 matches Trump\u2019s best rating in the Marquette Law School Poll\nsince taking office, that from Oct. 24-28, 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019s job approval during 2019 is shown in Table 15.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019s job approval is high among Republicans, is low among Democrats, and is split among independents as shown in Table 16.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Fifty-three percent of those polled\napprove of Trump\u2019s handling of the economy, while 45 percent disapprove. In\nNovember, 55 percent approved and 43 percent disapproved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forty-three percent of those polled\napprove of Trump\u2019s handling of foreign policy, while 54 percent disapprove. In\nthe previous poll, 44 percent approved and 52 percent disapproved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Twenty-five percent say that Trump\nhas changed the Republican party for the better, while 44 percent say he has\nchanged it for the worse and 26 percent say he hasn\u2019t changed it much either\nway. An additional 5 percent say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Views of how Trump has changed the Republican party vary by partisanship, with Republican identifiers more positive about the effect Trump has had on the party, as shown in Table 17.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Economic\noutlook and issues<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wisconsin registered voters hold a net positive view of the performance of the economy over the past 12 months, with 44 percent saying the economy has improved over the past year, 21 percent saying it has worsened, and 34 percent saying it has stayed the same. The trend in economic evaluations of the past year is shown in Table 18.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead to the next year, 32 percent say the economy will improve, while 25 percent think it will get worse and 37 percent say the economy will remain the same. The trend in economic outlook during 2019 is shown in Table 19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Evaluation\nof state elected officials<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gov. Tony Evers\u2019 job approval stands at 50 percent, with disapproval at 38 percent. Eleven percent say they don\u2019t have an opinion. In November, 47 percent approved, while 42 percent disapproved. The trend in job approval of the governor is shown in Table 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Table 21 presents the favorability ratings of elected officials in Wisconsin and the percentage of respondents who haven\u2019t heard enough or say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

About\nthe Marquette Law School Poll<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Marquette Law School Poll is\nthe most extensive statewide polling project in Wisconsin history. This poll\ninterviewed 800 registered Wisconsin voters by landline or cell phone, Dec.\n3-8, 2019. The margin of error is +\/-4.2 percentage points for the full sample.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Democratic presidential\ncandidate preference items were asked of those who said that they will vote in\nthe Democratic primary. That sample size is 358 with a margin of error of\n+\/-6.3 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The partisan makeup of the sample,\nincluding those who lean to a party, is 45 percent Republican, 44 percent\nDemocratic and 9 percent independent. The partisan makeup of the sample,\nexcluding those who lean to a party, is 30 percent Republican, 29 percent\nDemocratic, and 39 percent independent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since January 2017, the long-term\npartisan balance, including those who lean to a party, in the Marquette poll\nhas been 45 percent Republican and 45 percent Democratic, with 9 percent\nindependent. Partisanship, excluding those who lean, has been 30 percent\nRepublican and 29 percent Democratic, with 40 percent independent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The entire questionnaire,\nmethodology statement, full results and breakdowns by demographic groups are\navailable at law.marquette.edu\/poll\/results-and-data<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

MILWAUKEE \u2013 A new Marquette Law School poll of Wisconsin registered voters finds that support for impeachment has not changed following the conclusion of public testimony before the Intelligence Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives in November. In the new results, 40 percent think that President Donald Trump should be impeached and removed from […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[19],"class_list":["post-1989","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-poll-release","tag-poll-release","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1989","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1989"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1989\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2026,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1989\/revisions\/2026"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1989"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1989"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1989"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}