{"id":2028,"date":"2020-01-15T13:15:00","date_gmt":"2020-01-15T19:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/?p=2028"},"modified":"2020-01-15T13:16:17","modified_gmt":"2020-01-15T19:16:17","slug":"mlsp57release","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/2020\/01\/15\/mlsp57release\/","title":{"rendered":"New Marquette Law School Poll finds majorities of Wisconsin voters disapprove of Trump foreign policy and killing of Iranian general"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

MILWAUKEE \u2014 A new Marquette Law School poll of Wisconsin registered voters finds 61\npercent saying Iran and the United States are likely to avoid a major military\nconflict following the U.S. drone attack that killed an Iranian general and an\nIranian missile attack on bases in Iraq where U.S. troops are stationed. Thirty\npercent believe that a major military conflict is likely and 8 percent say they\ndon\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forty-three\npercent agree with the statement, \u201cIt\u2019s about time that the U.S. struck back\nagainst Iran,\u201d while 51 percent disagree and 5 percent say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the\nwake of the military exchange between the United States and Iran, 44 percent\napprove of President Donald J. Trump\u2019s handling of foreign policy and 53\npercent disapprove, with 2 percent saying they don\u2019t know. In December, 43\npercent approved and 54 percent disapproved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The trend in opinion of Trump\u2019s foreign policy is shown in Table 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The poll\nwas conducted Jan. 8-12, 2020. The sample included 800 registered voters in\nWisconsin interviewed by cell phone or landline, with a margin of error of +\/-\n4.1 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Democratic\npresidential primary preference items were asked of those who said they will\nvote in the Democratic primary in April. That sample size is 358, with a margin\nof error of +\/- 6.3 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Democratic presidential primary\ncandidates<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

With less\nthan a month remaining until the Iowa caucuses, the top four Democratic primary\ncandidates in Wisconsin remain former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Bernie\nSanders, Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Among those who say\nthey will vote in the Democratic presidential primary in April, Biden is the\nfirst choice of 23 percent, followed by Sanders at 19 percent, Buttigieg at 15\npercent, and Warren at 14 percent. Michael Bloomberg and Andrew Yang are the\nfirst choice of 6 percent each.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The complete results for the Democratic primary are shown in Table 2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Three-fifths\nof Democratic primary voters, 60 percent, say they might change their minds\nabout their primary choice, while 38 percent say their minds are made up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among the Democratic primary sample, favorability of candidates is shown in Table 3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

General election matchups<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

General\nelection matchups between Trump and four Democratic candidates all indicate\nvery close races.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A summary of the general election results for January is shown in Table 4. For comparison, the December results are shown in Table 5 and the November results in Table 6.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Trump Job Approval<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forty-eight\npercent approve of the job Trump is doing as president, with 49 percent\ndisapproving. That is little changed from December, when 47 percent approved\nand 50 percent disapproved. This is the first time Trump\u2019s disapproval has\nfallen below 50 percent in the Marquette Law School Poll since March 2017 when\n47 percent disapproved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019s job approval trend is shown in Table 7.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019s job approval is high among Republicans, is low among Democrats, and is split among independents as shown in Table 8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Fifty-five\npercent of those polled approve of Trump\u2019s handling of the economy, while 42\npercent disapprove. In December, 53 percent approved and 45 percent\ndisapproved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The trend in approval or disapproval of Trump\u2019s handling of the economy is shown in table 9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Opinions about impeachment<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Views\nabout Trump\u2019s actions regarding Ukraine also changed very little following\npublic testimony and the vote by the U.S. House of Representatives in favor of impeachment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forty\npercent say that Trump did something seriously wrong in his dealings with\nUkraine, 14 percent say he did something wrong but not seriously so, and 37\npercent say Trump did nothing wrong. Nine percent say they don\u2019t know. In\nDecember, 42 percent said he did something seriously wrong, 9 percent said it\nwas wrong but not serious, and 37 percent said he did nothing wrong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The trend in views of Trump\u2019s dealing with Ukraine is shown in Table 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Forty-seven\npercent approve of the House of Representatives\u2019 vote to impeach Trump, while\n49 percent disapprove and 3 percent say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Asked\nabout the upcoming Senate trial, 44 percent say the Senate should convict Trump\nand remove him from office, while 49 percent say the Senate should acquit him\nof the charges. Six percent say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In\nDecember, prior to the House impeachment vote, a different question asked if\nTrump should be impeached and removed from office or not. Forty percent said he\nshould be impeached and removed, 52 percent said he should not be, and 6\npercent said they did not know.
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

National policy issues<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Just over\nfour in 10 respondents, 41 percent, say that global warming will cause a great\ndeal of harm to people in the United States, with 21 percent saying it will\ncause a moderate amount of harm. Sixteen percent say it will cause only a\nlittle harm and 19 percent say it will cause no harm at all, while 2 percent\nsay they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thirty-five\npercent say that the number of legal immigrants into the United States should\nbe increased, 41 percent say it should remain the same and 20 percent say it\nshould be reduced. Four percent say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Over one-third of respondents, 37 percent, say that tariffs hurt the U.S. economy, while 32 percent say tariffs help the economy, 24 percent say they don\u2019t make any difference, and 7 percent say they don\u2019t know. The trend in views of tariffs is shown in Table 11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Twenty-six\npercent believe the U.S. and North Korea will reach an agreement on reducing\nnuclear weapons in the next year or two, with 65 percent saying they don\u2019t\nthink an agreement will be reached and 9 percent saying they don\u2019t know. In\nOctober, 24 percent thought an agreement would be reached and 66 percent\nthought it would not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cynicism about government<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Almost half, 48 percent, strongly agree that the government is run by a few big interests and 32 percent say they somewhat agree. Thirteen percent somewhat disagree and 6 strongly disagree. The trend in this view of the government is shown in Table 12.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

About two-thirds, 64 percent, strongly agree that the government wastes a lot of money collected in taxes, with 24 percent somewhat agreeing, 8 percent somewhat disagreeing, and 2 percent strongly disagreeing. The trend in this question is shown in Table 13.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

More than half of respondents say you can\u2019t trust the government to do what is right, with 26 percent saying they strongly agree and 38 percent saying they somewhat agree. Twenty-three percent say they somewhat disagree and 9 percent strongly disagree. The trend for this question is shown in Table 14.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Asked about the FBI, 33 percent say they have a great deal of confidence in the FBI, 39 percent have some confidence, 18 percent have only a little, and 8 percent say they have no confidence at all. This trend is shown in Table 15.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Racial prejudice<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

One-third\nof respondents, 34 percent, say that racial prejudice against black people is a\nvery serious problem, with 38 percent saying it is somewhat serious. Seventeen\npercent say it is a not so serious problem and 9 percent say it is not a\nproblem at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prejudice\nagainst Hispanic or Latino people is seen as a very serious problem by 29\npercent, as a somewhat serious problem by 36 percent, as a not so serious\nproblem by 19 percent, and as not a problem at all by 12 percent.
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

State issues<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thirty-five percent say that Foxconn will be worth the money the state provides in incentives to the company, while 46 percent say the state is paying more than the plant is worth and 19 percent say they don\u2019t know. There have been only modest shifts in views of Foxconn since the project was announced, as shown in Table 16.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

A majority of respondents are very satisfied (15 percent) or satisfied (44 percent) with the public schools in their community, while 22 percent say they are dissatisfied and 11 percent are very dissatisfied. The percentage of those very satisfied has declined from 23 percent in 2012, while those dissatisfied have increased from 17 percent, as shown in Table 17.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

More than half, 55 percent, say it is more important to increase spending on public schools than it is to reduce property taxes, while 41 percent say reducing property taxes is more important. Since 2013, support for increased school spending peaked in early 2018, while support for cutting property taxes was at its height in early 2013, as shown in Table 18.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Over\ntwo-thirds of respondents, 70 percent, favor \u201cWisconsin\u2019s current law allowing\nresidents to obtain a license to carry concealed handguns,\u201d while 25 percent\noppose it. When previously asked in January 2016, 63 percent favored and 31\npercent opposed the law.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 2012, shortly after the state\u2019s current law went into effect in late 2011, a question with a different wording showed a much more narrow division. That question asked, \u201cDo you favor or oppose legalizing possession of concealed weapons?\u201d Responses to that question are shown in Table 19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Economic outlook and issues<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wisconsin registered voters hold a positive view of the performance of the economy over the past 12 months, with 48 percent saying the economy has improved over the past year, 17 percent saying it has worsened, and 33 percent saying it has stayed the same. The trend in economic evaluations of the past year is shown in Table 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead to the next year, 33 percent say the economy will improve, while 23 percent think it will get worse and 37 percent say the economy will remain the same. The trend in economic outlook is shown in Table 21.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Evaluation of state elected\nofficials<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gov. Tony\nEvers\u2019 job approval stands at 51 percent, with disapproval at 40 percent. Nine percent\nsay they don\u2019t have an opinion. In December, 50 percent approved, while 38\npercent disapproved. The trend in job approval of the governor is shown in\nTable 22.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

In January, 46 percent say the state is headed in the right direction, while 47 percent say it has gotten off on the wrong track. This is a shift from 2019 when a majority said the state was headed in the right direction, as shown in Table 23.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Table 24 presents the favorability ratings of elected officials in Wisconsin and the percentage of respondents who haven\u2019t heard enough or say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

About the Marquette Law School Poll<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The\nMarquette Law School Poll is the most extensive statewide polling project in\nWisconsin history. This poll interviewed 800 registered Wisconsin voters by\nlandline or cell phone Jan. 8-12, 2020. The margin of error is +\/-4.1\npercentage points for the full sample.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Democratic\npresidential candidate preference items were asked of Democrats, independents\nwho lean Democratic, and independents who do not lean to either party. That\nsample size is 358 with a margin of error of +\/- 6.3 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Four\nquestions were asked of half the sample (Form A) and four were asked of the\nother half-sample (Form B). Questions on Form A have a sample size of 400 and a\nmargin of error of +\/- 5.7 percentage points. Questions on Form B have a sample\nsize of 400 and a margin of error of +\/- 5.8 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Form A\nquestions were right direction or wrong track for the state, satisfaction with\npublic schools, concealed carry, and Foxconn. Form B questions were the effect\nof global warming, legal immigration, the effect of tariffs on the economy, and\nwhether the United States and North Korea will agree to limits on nuclear arms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The\npartisan makeup of the sample, including those who lean to a party, is 47\npercent Republican, 43 percent Democratic and 9 percent independent. The partisan\nmakeup of the sample, excluding those who lean to a party, is 28 percent\nRepublican, 26 percent Democratic, and 44 percent independent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since\nJanuary 2017, the long-term partisan balance, including those who lean to a\nparty, in the Marquette Law School Poll has been 45 percent Republican and 44\npercent Democratic, with 9 percent independent. Partisanship, excluding those\nwho lean, has been 30 percent Republican and 28 percent Democratic, with 41\npercent independent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The\nentire questionnaire, methodology statement, full results and breakdowns by\ndemographic groups are available at law.marquette.edu\/poll\/results-and-data<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

MILWAUKEE \u2014 A new Marquette Law School poll of Wisconsin registered voters finds 61 percent saying Iran and the United States are likely to avoid a major military conflict following the U.S. drone attack that killed an Iranian general and an Iranian missile attack on bases in Iraq where U.S. troops are stationed. Thirty percent […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[19],"class_list":["post-2028","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-poll-release","tag-poll-release","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2028","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2028"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2028\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2057,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2028\/revisions\/2057"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2028"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2028"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2028"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}