{"id":2689,"date":"2022-09-14T13:15:00","date_gmt":"2022-09-14T18:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/?p=2689"},"modified":"2022-09-14T13:14:33","modified_gmt":"2022-09-14T18:14:33","slug":"mlsp72-press-release","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/2022\/09\/14\/mlsp72-press-release\/","title":{"rendered":"New Marquette Law School Poll of Wisconsin voters finds Johnson and Evers holding slim leads as races for senator and governor tighten"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

MILWAUKEE \u2014 A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among likely voters, in his race for reelection, Sen. Ron Johnson, a Republican, is supported by 49%, while his Democratic opponent, Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. In August, immediately after the primary election, Johnson trailed Barnes by 7 percentage points, 52% to 45%, among likely voters. All vote results include undecided voters who lean to a candidate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the governor\u2019s race, 47% of likely voters support Democratic Gov. Tony Evers, while 44% favor Republican Tim Michels. The independent candidate, Joan Beglinger, is chosen by 5%, with 3% who don\u2019t know. Beglinger ended her campaign on Sept. 6 but will remain on the November ballot. In the Marquette Law School Poll\u2019s August survey, Evers received 48%, Michels 44%, and Beglinger 4% among likely voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 1<\/a> shows the vote preference for governor, among likely voters in August and September and among registered voters since June. Beglinger was not included in the June survey. (All results in the tables are stated as percentages; the precise wording of the questions can be found in the online link noted above.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 1: Vote for Wisconsin governor<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>(a) Likely voters<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Evers<\/strong><\/td>Michels<\/strong><\/td>Beglinger<\/strong><\/td>Other<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>47<\/td>44<\/td>5<\/td>0<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>48<\/td>44<\/td>4<\/td>0<\/td>2<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n


<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(b) Registered voters<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Evers<\/strong><\/td>Michels<\/strong><\/td>Beglinger<\/strong><\/td>Other<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>44<\/td>43<\/td>8<\/td>1<\/td>4<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>45<\/td>43<\/td>7<\/td>0<\/td>3<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-20\/22<\/td>48<\/td>41<\/td>NA<\/td>2<\/td>8<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Table 2<\/a> shows the trend in support for the Senate candidates, among likely voters in August and September and among registered voters since June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 2: Vote for U.S. Senate<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>(a) Likely voters<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Barnes<\/strong><\/td>Johnson<\/strong><\/td>Neither<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>48<\/td>49<\/td>1<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>52<\/td>45<\/td>0<\/td>1<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(b) Registered voters<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Barnes<\/strong><\/td>Johnson<\/strong><\/td>Neither<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>47<\/td>48<\/td>3<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>51<\/td>44<\/td>1<\/td>3<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-20\/22<\/td>46<\/td>44<\/td>1<\/td>7<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The survey was conducted Sept. 6-11, 2022, interviewing 801 Wisconsin registered voters, with a margin of error of +\/- 4.3 percentage points. The margin of error among likely voters is +\/- 4.9 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Partisan support for the candidates in the race for governor is shown in Table 3<\/a> among likely voters. Both Democratic and Republican voters are strongly unified behind their respective party\u2019s candidates, with 95% of Democrats supporting Evers and 92% of Republicans supporting Michels. Forty-five percent of independents back Evers, while 39% prefer Michels. The independent candidate, Beglinger, receives 11% from independent voters, 2% from Republicans, and 2% from Democrats.
<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 3: Vote for governor among likely voters, by party identification<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>(a) September<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Evers<\/strong><\/td>Michels<\/strong><\/td>Beglinger<\/strong><\/td>Other<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>3<\/td>92<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td>3<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>45<\/td>39<\/td>11<\/td>0<\/td>5<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>95<\/td>4<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(b) August<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Evers<\/strong><\/td>Michels<\/strong><\/td>Beglinger<\/strong><\/td>Other<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>5<\/td>92<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>49<\/td>38<\/td>7<\/td>0<\/td>4<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>94<\/td>2<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Partisan support for the U.S. Senate candidates is shown in Table 4<\/a>, among likely voters. As in the governor\u2019s race, partisans are well-aligned with their party\u2019s candidates, with 96% of Democrats supporting Barnes and 97% of Republicans supporting Johnson. Forty-eight percent of independents back Johnson, while 46% prefer Barnes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 4: Vote for U.S. Senate among likely voters, by party identification<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>(a) September<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Barnes<\/strong><\/td>Johnson<\/strong><\/td>Neither<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>2<\/td>97<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>46<\/td>48<\/td>2<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>96<\/td>4<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(b) August<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Barnes<\/strong><\/td>Johnson<\/strong><\/td>Neither<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>6<\/td>94<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>55<\/td>40<\/td>0<\/td>3<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>99<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Voters were asked about the chances they will vote in November\u2014were they \u201cabsolutely certain to vote,\u201d \u201cvery likely to vote,\u201d were the \u201cchances 50-50,\u201d or \u201cdon\u2019t you think you will vote.\u201d Among Republicans, 77% said they are \u201cabsolutely certain\u201d to vote in November\u2019s elections, as did 80% of Democrats and 71% of independents. Certainty of voting by party is shown in Table 5<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 5: Likelihood of voting, by party identification<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>(a) September<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Absolutely certain<\/strong><\/td>Very likely<\/strong><\/td>50-50<\/strong><\/td>Will not vote<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>77<\/td>16<\/td>3<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>71<\/td>13<\/td>12<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>80<\/td>12<\/td>7<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(b) August<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Absolutely certain<\/strong><\/td>Very likely<\/strong><\/td>50-50<\/strong><\/td>Will not vote<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>83<\/td>11<\/td>4<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>66<\/td>16<\/td>14<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>82<\/td>8<\/td>5<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The effect of different levels of turnout on vote for governor is shown in Table 6<\/a> and for Senate in Table 7. The first row shows preference among all registered voters, with the second row showing the results for an electorate composed of those either \u201cabsolutely certain\u201d to vote or \u201cvery likely\u201d to vote, while the third row shows the results only among likely voters (i.e., those who say they are \u201cabsolutely certain\u201d to vote).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 6: Vote for governor, by certainty of voting <\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

How likely to vote<\/strong><\/td>Evers<\/strong><\/td>Michels<\/strong><\/td>Beglinger<\/strong><\/td>Other<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Among all registered voters<\/td>44<\/td>43<\/td>8<\/td>1<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Those \u201cabsolutely certain\u201d or \u201cvery likely\u201d to vote<\/td>45<\/td>44<\/td>6<\/td>0<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Only those \u201cabsolutely certain\u201d to vote<\/td>47<\/td>44<\/td>5<\/td>0<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Table 7: Vote for U.S. Senate, by certainty of voting<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

How likely to vote<\/strong><\/td>Barnes<\/strong><\/td>Johnson<\/strong><\/td>Neither<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
All registered voters<\/td>47<\/td>48<\/td>3<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
Those \u201cabsolutely certain\u201d or \u201cvery likely\u201d to vote<\/td>47<\/td>49<\/td>1<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Only those \u201cabsolutely certain\u201d to vote<\/td>48<\/td>49<\/td>1<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Perceived candidate traits<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 8<\/a> shows the favorable and unfavorable ratings of the candidates since June, along with respondents who say they haven\u2019t heard enough or don\u2019t know. The non-incumbents have become substantially better known following their primary victories on Aug. 9, although they remain much less well-known than the incumbents. More than 90% of respondents lack an opinion of the independent candidate for governor, Joan Beglinger, who has ended her campaign but whose name will remain on the November ballot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>Table 8: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of [name below] or haven\u2019t you heard enough about them yet? (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(a) Evers<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Favorable<\/strong><\/td>Unfavorable<\/strong><\/td>Haven\u2019t heard enough<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>45<\/td>45<\/td>7<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>46<\/td>41<\/td>6<\/td>6<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-20\/22<\/td>44<\/td>42<\/td>11<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(b) Michels<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Favorable<\/strong><\/td>Unfavorable<\/strong><\/td>Haven\u2019t heard enough<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>34<\/td>39<\/td>19<\/td>8<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>33<\/td>33<\/td>24<\/td>10<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-20\/22<\/td>22<\/td>22<\/td>51<\/td>5<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(c) Beglinger<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Favorable<\/strong><\/td>Unfavorable<\/strong><\/td>Haven\u2019t heard enough<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>3<\/td>6<\/td>63<\/td>28<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(d) Barnes<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Favorable<\/strong><\/td>Unfavorable<\/strong><\/td>Haven\u2019t heard enough<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>33<\/td>32<\/td>25<\/td>9<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>37<\/td>22<\/td>30<\/td>11<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-20\/22<\/td>21<\/td>16<\/td>57<\/td>6<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n


<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(e) Johnson<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Favorable<\/strong><\/td>Unfavorable<\/strong><\/td>Haven\u2019t heard enough<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>39<\/td>47<\/td>11<\/td>3<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>38<\/td>47<\/td>9<\/td>6<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-20\/22<\/td>37<\/td>46<\/td>14<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Table 9<\/a> shows the perceptions of which candidates better understand the problems of ordinary people in Wisconsin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 9: Who do you think better understands the problems faced by ordinary people in Wisconsin, \u2026? (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>(a) \u2026 Tony Evers or Tim Michels?<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Tony Evers<\/strong><\/td>Tim Michels<\/strong><\/td>Both<\/strong><\/td>Neither<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>47<\/td>41<\/td>0<\/td>4<\/td>7<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(b) \u2026 Mandela Barnes or Ron Johnson?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Mandela Barnes<\/strong><\/td>Ron Johnson<\/strong><\/td>Both<\/strong><\/td>Neither<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>44<\/td>40<\/td>1<\/td>6<\/td>9<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Table 10<\/a> shows the perception that candidates \u201cshare my values.\u201d The relative lack of familiarity with the non-incumbent candidates, Michels and Barnes, is evident in the higher percentages that say they \u201cdon\u2019t know\u201d about them than that say the same about two incumbents, Evers and Johnson.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 10: For each of the following candidates, would you say they are someone who shares your values, or don\u2019t they share your values? (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Candidate<\/strong><\/td>Shares values<\/strong><\/td>Doesn\u2019t share values<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Evers<\/td>47<\/td>48<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
Michels<\/td>41<\/td>47<\/td>11<\/td><\/tr>
Barnes<\/td>44<\/td>41<\/td>15<\/td><\/tr>
Johnson<\/td>42<\/td>51<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Perceptions of incumbents\u2019 performance<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 11<\/a> shows the perceived effectiveness of Evers as governor and Johnson as a senator, among registered voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 11: How effective is [Tony Evers as governor of Wisconsin]\/[Ron Johnson as a US Senator]? (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>(a) Tony Evers<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Very effective<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat effective<\/strong><\/td>Not very effective<\/strong><\/td>Not at all effective<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>18<\/td>35<\/td>20<\/td>23<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(b) Ron Johnson<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Very effective<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat effective<\/strong><\/td>Not very effective<\/strong><\/td>Not at all effective<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>20<\/td>30<\/td>12<\/td>30<\/td>7<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Table 12<\/a> shows the views among registered voters of how Evers and Johnson responded to the coronavirus pandemic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 12: Do you approve or disapprove of the way [Tony Evers]\/[Ron Johnson] responded to the coronavirus pandemic? (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>(a) Tony Evers<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Strongly approve<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat approve<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat disapprove<\/strong><\/td>Strongly disapprove<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>27<\/td>23<\/td>13<\/td>29<\/td>8<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(b) Ron Johnson<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Strongly approve<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat approve<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat disapprove<\/strong><\/td>Strongly disapprove<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>17<\/td>17<\/td>9<\/td>37<\/td>18<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Table 13<\/a> shows approval and disapproval among registered voters of how Evers responded to the protests and violence in Kenosha in August 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 13: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tony Evers responded to the protests and violence in Kenosha in August 2020? (Among registered voters.)<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Strongly approve<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat approve<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat disapprove<\/strong><\/td>Strongly disapprove<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>16<\/td>22<\/td>10<\/td>37<\/td>15<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Evers job approval<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 14<\/a> shows approval among registered voters, since February 2022, of how Evers has handled his job as governor. There has been a steady decline in net approval during this period. The new survey is only the second time more respondents have disapproved than approved of Evers\u2019 handling of his job since taking office.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 14: Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Tony Evers is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin? (Among registered voters.)<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Net approval<\/strong><\/td>Approve<\/strong><\/td>Disapprove<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>-3<\/td>44<\/td>47<\/td>8<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>2<\/td>47<\/td>45<\/td>8<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-20\/22<\/td>3<\/td>48<\/td>45<\/td>6<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
4\/19-24\/22<\/td>6<\/td>49<\/td>43<\/td>7<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
2\/22-27\/22<\/td>9<\/td>50<\/td>41<\/td>8<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Important issues<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In each Marquette Law School Poll survey since August 2021, respondents have been asked how concerned they are with a variety of issues. Table 15<\/a> shows the concern with 10 issues in the current survey, sorted from highest to lowest percentage saying they are \u201cvery concerned.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 15: How concerned are you about each of the following? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not at all concerned with \u2026, (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Issue<\/strong><\/td>Very concerned<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat concerned<\/strong><\/td>Not too concerned<\/strong><\/td>Not at all concerned<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Inflation<\/td>70<\/td>24<\/td>5<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Crime<\/td>61<\/td>27<\/td>10<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Accurate vote count<\/td>56<\/td>21<\/td>11<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
Public schools<\/td>56<\/td>33<\/td>7<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Gun violence<\/td>55<\/td>26<\/td>11<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
Abortion policy<\/td>53<\/td>24<\/td>11<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
Taxes<\/td>51<\/td>32<\/td>10<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
Climate change<\/td>44<\/td>29<\/td>14<\/td>13<\/td><\/tr>
Illegal immigration<\/td>38<\/td>31<\/td>18<\/td>11<\/td><\/tr>
Coronavirus<\/td>22<\/td>29<\/td>23<\/td>25<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Inflation ranks as the top issue concern. After declining as a concern from June to August, the percentage saying they are very concerned about inflation rose slightly in September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 16: Concern about inflation, Aug. 2021-Sept. 2022 (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Very concerned<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat concerned<\/strong><\/td>Not too concerned<\/strong><\/td>Not at all concerned<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>70<\/td>24<\/td>5<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>67<\/td>27<\/td>4<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-20\/22<\/td>75<\/td>20<\/td>4<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
4\/19-24\/22<\/td>69<\/td>23<\/td>6<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
2\/22-27\/22<\/td>68<\/td>28<\/td>3<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
10\/26-31\/21<\/td>64<\/td>28<\/td>6<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
8\/3-8\/21<\/td>49<\/td>35<\/td>11<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Partisans differ substantially in their concern over particular issues, as shown in Table 17<\/a>. Panel (a) in the table is sorted by concern among Republicans, panel (b) is sorted by concern among Democrats, and panel (c) is sorted by concern among independents. The entries are the percentage of each partisan group who say they are \u201cvery concerned\u201d about the issue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 17: Issue concerns by party identification, percent \u201cvery concerned\u201d (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>(a) Sorted by concern among Republicans<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Issue<\/strong><\/td>Republican<\/strong><\/td>Independent<\/strong><\/td>Democrat<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Inflation<\/td>92<\/td>69<\/td>41<\/td><\/tr>
Accurate vote count<\/td>76<\/td>56<\/td>40<\/td><\/tr>
Taxes<\/td>74<\/td>48<\/td>26<\/td><\/tr>
Crime<\/td>71<\/td>61<\/td>47<\/td><\/tr>
Illegal immigration<\/td>69<\/td>32<\/td>19<\/td><\/tr>
Public schools<\/td>53<\/td>60<\/td>53<\/td><\/tr>
Gun violence<\/td>39<\/td>52<\/td>85<\/td><\/tr>
Abortion policy<\/td>34<\/td>54<\/td>77<\/td><\/tr>
Climate change<\/td>17<\/td>39<\/td>71<\/td><\/tr>
Coronavirus<\/td>9<\/td>23<\/td>33<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n


<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(b) Sorted by concern among Democrats<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Issue<\/strong><\/td>Republican<\/strong><\/td>Independent<\/strong><\/td>Democrat<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Gun violence<\/td>39<\/td>52<\/td>85<\/td><\/tr>
Abortion policy<\/td>34<\/td>54<\/td>77<\/td><\/tr>
Climate change<\/td>17<\/td>39<\/td>71<\/td><\/tr>
Public schools<\/td>53<\/td>60<\/td>53<\/td><\/tr>
Crime<\/td>71<\/td>61<\/td>47<\/td><\/tr>
Inflation<\/td>92<\/td>69<\/td>41<\/td><\/tr>
Accurate vote count<\/td>76<\/td>56<\/td>40<\/td><\/tr>
Coronavirus<\/td>9<\/td>23<\/td>33<\/td><\/tr>
Taxes<\/td>74<\/td>48<\/td>26<\/td><\/tr>
Illegal immigration<\/td>69<\/td>32<\/td>19<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(c) Sorted by concern among Independents<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Issue<\/strong><\/td>Republican<\/strong><\/td>Independent<\/strong><\/td>Democrat<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Inflation<\/td>92<\/td>69<\/td>41<\/td><\/tr>
Crime<\/td>71<\/td>61<\/td>47<\/td><\/tr>
Public schools<\/td>53<\/td>60<\/td>53<\/td><\/tr>
Accurate vote count<\/td>76<\/td>56<\/td>40<\/td><\/tr>
Abortion policy<\/td>34<\/td>54<\/td>77<\/td><\/tr>
Gun violence<\/td>39<\/td>52<\/td>85<\/td><\/tr>
Taxes<\/td>74<\/td>48<\/td>26<\/td><\/tr>
Climate change<\/td>17<\/td>39<\/td>71<\/td><\/tr>
Illegal immigration<\/td>69<\/td>32<\/td>19<\/td><\/tr>
Coronavirus<\/td>9<\/td>23<\/td>33<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Abortion<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Supreme Court decision earlier this year to overturn Roe v Wade<\/em>, the 1973 ruling which had meant that abortion was legal nationwide, is opposed by a majority of Wisconsin registered voters, including majorities of independents and Democrats. It is favored by a majority of Republicans in the state, as shown in Table 18<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>Table 18: Do you favor or oppose the recent Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe versus Wade, thus striking down the 1973 decision that made abortion legal in all 50 states? (Total and by party identification among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(a) September<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Favor<\/strong><\/td>Oppose<\/strong><\/td>Haven\u2019t heard of decision<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t Know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Total<\/td>30<\/td>63<\/td>0<\/td>5<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>59<\/td>29<\/td>0<\/td>8<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>28<\/td>66<\/td>0<\/td>5<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>3<\/td>95<\/td>0<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(b) August<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Favor<\/strong><\/td>Oppose<\/strong><\/td>Haven\u2019t heard of decision<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t Know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Total<\/td>33<\/td>60<\/td>1<\/td>4<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>62<\/td>28<\/td>0<\/td>8<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>31<\/td>62<\/td>2<\/td>2<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>5<\/td>92<\/td>0<\/td>2<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The respondents overwhelmingly support allowing legal abortions in the case of rape or incest, with support of 70% or more in each partisan group, as shown in Table 19<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 19: Do you think Wisconsin should or should not allow a woman to obtain a legal abortion if she became pregnant as the result of rape or incest? (Total and by party identification among registered voters.)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>(a) September<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Should allow<\/strong><\/td>Should not allow<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t Know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Total<\/td>83<\/td>10<\/td>5<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>70<\/td>20<\/td>8<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>83<\/td>9<\/td>6<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>96<\/td>2<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n


<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(b) August<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Should allow<\/strong><\/td>Should not allow<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t Know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Total<\/td>88<\/td>8<\/td>4<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>79<\/td>16<\/td>4<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>87<\/td>6<\/td>5<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>97<\/td>1<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Other issues<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The decision by President Biden to forgive certain student loans is approved by 46%, with 50% who disapprove. Table 20<\/a> shows the total and partisan views of this issue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 20: Do you favor or oppose the decision to forgive and cancel up to $20,000 of federal student loan debt? (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Approve<\/strong><\/td>Disapprove<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Total<\/td>46<\/td>50<\/td>3<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>11<\/td>85<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>46<\/td>50<\/td>4<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>85<\/td>13<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Approval of student loan forgiveness by education and age is shown in Table 21<\/a>. Younger voters are more approving than older ones, and college graduates are slightly more approving than non-graduates of the same age.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 21: Do you favor or oppose the decision to forgive and cancel up to $20,000 of federal student loan debt? (By education and age, among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Education<\/strong><\/td>Age<\/strong><\/td>Approve<\/strong><\/td>Disapprove<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Non-college grad<\/td>18-29<\/td>74<\/td>24<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Non-college grad<\/td>30-44<\/td>49<\/td>47<\/td>4<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Non-college grad<\/td>45-59<\/td>38<\/td>55<\/td>7<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Non-college grad<\/td>60+<\/td>34<\/td>63<\/td>2<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
College grad<\/td>18-29<\/td>76<\/td>24<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
College grad<\/td>30-44<\/td>51<\/td>46<\/td>4<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
College grad<\/td>45-59<\/td>42<\/td>54<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
College grad<\/td>60+<\/td>45<\/td>51<\/td>4<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

While 61% say they are very concerned with crime, a large majority, 76%, say they feel safe going about their daily activities, while 23% say they worry about their safety. On this item there are only slight partisan differences, as shown in Table 22<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 22: Do you feel safe from crime when going about your daily activities or are you worried about your safety? (Total and by party identification among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Feel safe<\/strong><\/td>Worried<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Total<\/td>76<\/td>23<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>78<\/td>21<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>75<\/td>24<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>76<\/td>23<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

In contrast to worries about personal safety, Republicans express considerably greater concern about crime as an issue, as shown in Table 23<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 23: How concerned are you about each of the following\u2026 Crime? (Total and by party identification among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Very concerned<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat concerned<\/strong><\/td>Not too concerned<\/strong><\/td>Not at all concerned<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Total<\/td>61<\/td>27<\/td>10<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>71<\/td>23<\/td>5<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>61<\/td>25<\/td>11<\/td>3<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>47<\/td>35<\/td>15<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Worry about personal safety is greater in the City of Milwaukee than in other areas of the state, as shown in Table 24<\/a>, which combines data from October 2021, April 2022, and September 2022 in order to have larger sample sizes supporting regional comparisons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 24: Do you feel safe from crime when going about your daily activities or are you worried about your safety? (By region among registered voters, Oct. 2021, April 2022, and Sept. 2022.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Region<\/strong><\/td>Feel safe<\/strong><\/td>Worried<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
City of Milwaukee<\/td>52<\/td>48<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Rest of Milwaukee media market<\/td>74<\/td>24<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Madison media market<\/td>82<\/td>17<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Green Bay media market<\/td>87<\/td>12<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Rest of north and west of state<\/td>85<\/td>15<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

While those in the Milwaukee area outside of the city are much less worried about personal safety than are residents of the city, they express equally high levels of concern about crime as do those in the city. Those in other regions of the state express lower levels of concern. Table 25<\/a> combines the August and September polls to increase sample size in each region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 25: How concerned are you about each of the following\u2026 Crime? (By region among registered voters, Aug. and Sept. 2022.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Region<\/strong><\/td>Very concerned<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat concerned<\/strong><\/td>Not too concerned<\/strong><\/td>Not at all concerned<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
City of Milwaukee<\/td>74<\/td>19<\/td>7<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Rest of Milwaukee media market<\/td>71<\/td>24<\/td>5<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Madison media market<\/td>53<\/td>34<\/td>11<\/td>1<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Green Bay media market<\/td>48<\/td>30<\/td>15<\/td>6<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Rest of north and west of state<\/td>53<\/td>32<\/td>11<\/td>2<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Opinion concerning the closure of schools and businesses at the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic in the spring of 2020 has shifted over time, as the initial very high support for closures has declined. In these new results, a majority, 56%, say the closures were an appropriate response, while 41% say they were an overreaction that did more harm than good. The trend since March 2020 is shown in Table 26<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 26: Do you think the decision in 2020 to close schools and businesses and to restrict the size of public gatherings was an appropriate response to the coronavirus outbreak or was it an overreaction that did more harm than good? (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Appropriate response<\/strong><\/td>Overreaction<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>56<\/td>41<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
2\/22-27\/22<\/td>61<\/td>35<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
8\/3-8\/21<\/td>62<\/td>35<\/td>2<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
10\/21-25\/20<\/td>68<\/td>26<\/td>5<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-18\/20<\/td>72<\/td>25<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
5\/3-7\/20<\/td>69<\/td>26<\/td>4<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
3\/24-29\/20<\/td>86<\/td>10<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Forty-one percent of registered voters say it is more important to reduce property taxes, while 51% say it is more important to increase spending on public schools. When asked in August, 43% said reduce property taxes and 52% said increase spending on public schools. Table 27<\/a> shows the partisan divide on support for property tax cuts versus spending on schools in the September survey.
<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

 <\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 27: Which is more important to you: reduce property taxes or increase spending on public schools? (Total and by party identification among registered voters.)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Reducing property taxes<\/strong><\/td>Increasing spending on public schools<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Total<\/td>41<\/td>51<\/td>5<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>69<\/td>22<\/td>5<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>46<\/td>42<\/td>8<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>12<\/td>85<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

A majority, 62%, say they are very satisfied or satisfied with the public schools in their community, while 31% are dissatisfied or very dissatisfied. Table 28<\/a> shows the total and partisan breakdowns in the September survey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 28: How satisfied are you with the job the public schools are doing in your community? (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Very satisfied<\/strong><\/td>Satisfied<\/strong><\/td>Dissatisfied<\/strong><\/td>Very dissatisfied<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Total<\/td>19<\/td>43<\/td>20<\/td>11<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>13<\/td>38<\/td>22<\/td>17<\/td>10<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>17<\/td>45<\/td>19<\/td>12<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>28<\/td>47<\/td>17<\/td>2<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Direction of state, Biden approval, Baldwin favorability<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A majority of respondents, 53%, think the state is off on the wrong track, while 40% say it is headed in the right direction. The trend since February is shown in Table 29<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 29: Thinking just about the state of Wisconsin, do you feel things in Wisconsin are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Right direction<\/strong><\/td>Wrong track<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>40<\/td>53<\/td>7<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>35<\/td>56<\/td>9<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-20\/22<\/td>37<\/td>56<\/td>6<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
4\/19-24\/22<\/td>36<\/td>56<\/td>7<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
2\/22-27\/22<\/td>39<\/td>53<\/td>8<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

In September, 40% approve of the way President Joe Biden is handling his job, while 55% disapprove, unchanged from August. The trend in Biden approval in 2022 is shown in Table 30<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 30: Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president? (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Approve<\/strong><\/td>Disapprove<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>40<\/td>55<\/td>4<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>40<\/td>55<\/td>5<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-20\/22<\/td>40<\/td>57<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
4\/19-24\/22<\/td>43<\/td>53<\/td>3<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
2\/22-27\/22<\/td>43<\/td>52<\/td>3<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Sen. Tammy Baldwin is seen favorably by 37% and unfavorably by 40%. The trend in views of Baldwin is shown in Table 31<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 31: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tammy Baldwin or haven\u2019t you heard enough about her yet? (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Favorable<\/strong><\/td>Unfavorable<\/strong><\/td>Haven\u2019t heard enough<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>37<\/td>40<\/td>19<\/td>4<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>39<\/td>37<\/td>18<\/td>6<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-20\/22<\/td>39<\/td>37<\/td>20<\/td>3<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
4\/19-24\/22<\/td>43<\/td>36<\/td>17<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
2\/22-27\/22<\/td>42<\/td>36<\/td>18<\/td>3<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

2020 election confidence and Trump favorability<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Opinion on the accuracy of the results of the 2020 presidential election continues to sharply divide the public, with 65% saying they are very or somewhat confident and 34% saying they are not too confident or not at all confident in the election result. These views overall and by party identification are shown in Table 32<\/a>.
<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

 <\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 32: How confident are you that, here in Wisconsin, the votes for president were accurately cast and counted in the 2020 election? (Total and by party identification among registered voters.)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Very confident<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat confident<\/strong><\/td>Not too confident<\/strong><\/td>Not at all confident<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Total<\/td>46<\/td>19<\/td>16<\/td>18<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>13<\/td>22<\/td>29<\/td>34<\/td>1<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>41<\/td>23<\/td>17<\/td>18<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>86<\/td>10<\/td>1<\/td>3<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Table 33<\/a> shows the trend since 2021 in 2020 election confidence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 33: How confident are you that, here in Wisconsin, the votes for president were accurately cast and counted in the 2020 election? (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Very confident<\/strong><\/td>Somewhat confident<\/strong><\/td>Not too confident<\/strong><\/td>Not at all confident<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>46<\/td>19<\/td>16<\/td>18<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>48<\/td>18<\/td>15<\/td>17<\/td>2<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-20\/22<\/td>51<\/td>16<\/td>11<\/td>21<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
4\/19-24\/22<\/td>48<\/td>16<\/td>12<\/td>23<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
2\/22-27\/22<\/td>48<\/td>19<\/td>11<\/td>19<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
10\/26-31\/21<\/td>47<\/td>18<\/td>12<\/td>19<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
8\/3-8\/21<\/td>48<\/td>19<\/td>15<\/td>16<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Table 34<\/a> shows opinion of former President Donald Trump overall and by party identification in the September survey. A substantial majority of Republicans hold a favorable view of Trump, while majorities of independents and Democrats have an unfavorable opinion of him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 34: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump, or haven\u2019t you heard enough about him yet? (Total and by party identification, among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Favorable<\/strong><\/td>Unfavorable<\/strong><\/td>Haven\u2019t heard enough<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Total<\/td>38<\/td>58<\/td>1<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>79<\/td>16<\/td>0<\/td>4<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>32<\/td>63<\/td>1<\/td>3<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>4<\/td>94<\/td>0<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Views of Trump have barely changed since 2021, as shown in Table 35<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 35: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump, or haven\u2019t you heard enough about him yet? (Among registered voters.)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Favorable<\/strong><\/td>Unfavorable<\/strong><\/td>Haven\u2019t heard enough<\/strong><\/td>Don\u2019t know<\/strong><\/td>Refused<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
9\/6-11\/22<\/td>38<\/td>58<\/td>1<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
8\/10-15\/22<\/td>38<\/td>57<\/td>1<\/td>4<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
6\/14-20\/22<\/td>39<\/td>56<\/td>3<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
4\/19-24\/22<\/td>36<\/td>58<\/td>2<\/td>3<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
2\/22-27\/22<\/td>36<\/td>57<\/td>2<\/td>3<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
10\/26-31\/21<\/td>38<\/td>57<\/td>2<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
8\/3-8\/21<\/td>38<\/td>55<\/td>3<\/td>4<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

About the Marquette Law School Poll<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Marquette Law School Poll is the most extensive statewide polling project in Wisconsin history. This poll interviewed 801 registered Wisconsin voters by landline or cell phone, Sept. 6-11, 2022. The margin of error is +\/-4.3 percentage points for the full sample. The margin of error for likely voters is +\/-4.9 percentage points<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some issue items were asked of half the sample. Those on Form A were asked of 399 and have a margin of error of +\/- 6 percentage points. Form B items were asked of 402 and have a margin of error of +\/- 6.1 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Items asked of half-samples include on Form A the issues of public schools, inflation, abortion policy, taxes, gun violence, and crime. Form B items concern the coronavirus pandemic, illegal immigration, climate change, and ensuring an accurate vote count. Form B also included items on property taxes and school spending, and the closing of schools and businesses at the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The partisan makeup of the sample, including those who lean to a party, is 45% Republican, 44% Democratic, and 10% independent. The partisan makeup of the sample, excluding those who lean to a party, is 30% Republican, 29% Democratic, and 41% independent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since January 2020, the long-term partisan balance, including those who lean to a party, in the Marquette Law School Poll has been 45% Republican and 44% Democratic, with 9% independent. Partisanship excluding those who lean has been 30% Republican and 28% Democratic, with 41% independent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The entire questionnaire, methodology statement, full results, and breakdowns by demographic groups are available at law.marquette.edu\/poll\/results-and-data<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

MILWAUKEE \u2014 A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate. Among likely voters, in his race for reelection, Sen. Ron Johnson, a Republican, is supported by 49%, while his Democratic opponent, Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. In August, immediately […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[19],"class_list":["post-2689","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-poll-release","tag-poll-release","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2689","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2689"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2689\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2702,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2689\/revisions\/2702"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2689"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2689"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2689"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}