{"id":3064,"date":"2024-04-03T23:59:05","date_gmt":"2024-04-04T04:59:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/?p=3064"},"modified":"2024-04-03T23:59:05","modified_gmt":"2024-04-04T04:59:05","slug":"new-marquette-law-school-poll-national-survey-finds-biden-and-trump-each-supported-by-50-of-registered-voters","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/2024\/04\/03\/new-marquette-law-school-poll-national-survey-finds-biden-and-trump-each-supported-by-50-of-registered-voters\/","title":{"rendered":"New Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds Biden and Trump each supported by 50% of registered voters"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Among likely voters, Biden draws support of 52%, Trump draws 48%<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

MILWAUKEE \u2013 A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey of registered voters finds President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump each to be the choice of 50% of registered voters. Among likely voters, Biden receives 52% and Trump 48%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the most recent prior Marquette Law School Poll, conducted Feb. 5-15, 2024, Trump was the choice of 51% and Biden the pick of 49% among registered voters, while Trump won 52% and Biden 48% among likely voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

These results include voters who initially said they would vote for someone else or would not vote, but were then asked their preference if they had to choose one of the two candidates. In the initial question, 15% said they would vote for someone else or they would not vote. Trump received initial support from 44% and Biden from 42%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 1 shows that Biden does best with \u201clikely voters\u201d\u2014those who are registered and say they are certain they will vote. Trump has a substantial margin with those who are registered but say they are not certain if they will vote. Trump\u2019s largest advantage is with those adults who are not registered to vote. This highlights the potential impact of voter registration and turnout efforts in the upcoming campaign. (All results in the tables are stated as percentages; the precise wording of the questions can be found in the online link noted above.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>1<\/strong>: Vote for Biden or Trump, by registration and certainty of voting<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among adults<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Registration & certainty of voting<\/strong><\/td>Vote choice<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Donald Trump<\/td>Joe Biden<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
Registered & certain to vote<\/td>48<\/td>52<\/td><\/tr>
Registered but not certain to vote<\/td>56<\/td>44<\/td><\/tr>
Not registered<\/td>64<\/td>36<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey, March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If the 2024 election for president were held today between former President Donald Trump, the Republican, and President Joe Biden, the Democrat, would you vote for Donald Trump or for Joe Biden?<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If you had to choose, would you vote for Biden or for Trump?<\/td><\/tr>
Question: Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?<\/td><\/tr>
Question: What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2024 general election for president, Congress, and other offices — are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don\u2019t you think you will vote?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The survey was conducted March 18-28, 2024, interviewing 868 registered voters nationwide, with a margin of error of +\/-4.3 percentage points. For likely voters, the sample size was 674, with a margin of error of +\/-4.9 percentage points. The sample size for all adults was 1,000, with a margin of error of +\/-4 percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Marquette Law School Poll\u2019s national surveys have seen a close race between Trump and Biden among registered voters since May 2023, with the trend shown in Table 2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>2<\/strong>: Presidential vote choice, Biden v. Trump, national surveys, May 2023\u2013March 2024<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among registered voters<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Vote<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Donald Trump<\/td>Joe Biden<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td>50<\/td>50<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td>51<\/td>49<\/td><\/tr>
11\/2-7\/23<\/td>52<\/td>48<\/td><\/tr>
9\/18-25\/23<\/td>51<\/td>48<\/td><\/tr>
7\/7-12\/23<\/td>50<\/td>50<\/td><\/tr>
5\/8-18\/23<\/td>52<\/td>47<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If the 2024 election for president were held today between former President Donald Trump, the Republican, and President Joe Biden, the Democrat, would you vote for Donald Trump or for Joe Biden?<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If you had to choose, would you vote for Trump or for Biden?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Table 3 shows the Biden vs. Trump results by party identification in February and March national surveys. Trump\u2019s support among Republicans slipped by 5 percentage points from February to March, while Biden\u2019s support among Democrats rose by 2 percentage points. In March, a majority of independents said they would vote for Biden, reversing Trump\u2019s advantage with independents in February.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>3<\/strong>: Vote for Biden or Trump, by party identification<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among registered voters<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Vote choice<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Donald Trump<\/td>Joe Biden<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>88<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>46<\/td>53<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>7<\/td>93<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>93<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>54<\/td>43<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>9<\/td>91<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, Feb. 5-15, 2024, and March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If the 2024 election for president were held today between former President Donald Trump, the Republican, and President Joe Biden, the Democrat, would you vote for Donald Trump or for Joe Biden?<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If you had to choose, would you vote for Biden or for Trump?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Among likely voters, the trend in vote choice is shown in Table 4. The likely-voter measure was not included before September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>4<\/strong>: Presidential vote choice, Biden v. Trump, Sept. 2023\u2013March 2024<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among likely voters<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Vote<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Donald Trump<\/td>Joe Biden<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td>48<\/td>52<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td>52<\/td>48<\/td><\/tr>
11\/2-7\/23<\/td>51<\/td>49<\/td><\/tr>
9\/18-25\/23<\/td>49<\/td>51<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If the 2024 election for president were held today between former President Donald Trump, the Republican, and President Joe Biden, the Democrat, would you vote for Donald Trump or for Joe Biden?<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If you had to choose, would you vote for Trump or for Biden?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Five-way race<\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

When the ballot question is expanded to include independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Trump receives 41% and Biden 38%. Kennedy is supported by 14%, West wins 5%, and Stein is the choice of 2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The national trend in the five-way race is shown in Table 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>5<\/strong>: Five-candidate ballot choice, Feb-March 2024<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among registered voters<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Vote<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Biden<\/td>Trump<\/td>Kennedy<\/td>West<\/td>Stein<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td>38<\/td>41<\/td>14<\/td>5<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td>39<\/td>42<\/td>15<\/td>3<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If the presidential ballot included additional candidates, would you vote for Democrat Joe Biden, Republican Donald Trump, independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., independent Cornel West, or the Green Party\u2019s Jill Stein?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The five-way vote by party is shown in Table 6. The additional candidates draw partisan support away from both Trump and Biden. Trump holds 77% support from Republicans, and Biden 76% support from Democrats. Kennedy draws 12% equally from both Republicans and Democrats, while West does one point better with Republicans. Stein takes 4% from Democrats but wins no Republican support. Independent voters are widely spread across the candidates, with the independent and third-party candidates doing much better with independents than with partisans. Trump and Biden both win 20% from independents, while Kennedy takes 37%, West 15%, and Stein 7%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>6<\/strong>: Five-candidate ballot, by party identification<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among registered voters<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Party ID<\/strong><\/td>Vote choice<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Biden<\/td>Trump<\/td>Kennedy<\/td>West<\/td>Stein<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>7<\/td>77<\/td>12<\/td>4<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>20<\/td>20<\/td>37<\/td>15<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>76<\/td>5<\/td>12<\/td>3<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td><\/tr>
Republican<\/td>4<\/td>80<\/td>15<\/td>0<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Independent<\/td>18<\/td>34<\/td>29<\/td>13<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Democrat<\/td>78<\/td>5<\/td>12<\/td>4<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If the presidential ballot included additional candidates, would you vote for Democrat Joe Biden, Republican Donald Trump, independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., independent Cornel West, or the Green Party\u2019s Jill Stein?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Favorability<\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

All the candidates, as well as Vice President Kamala Harris, have a net negative favorability rating, as shown in Table 7, with more unfavorable than favorable ratings. The independent candidates, Kennedy and West, have high rates of \u201chaven\u2019t heard enough.\u201d Harris has the highest net negative favorability rating at -25, with Biden at -20 and Trump at -13. Favorability to Stein was not included in this survey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>7<\/strong>: Favorability ratings<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among registered voters<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Candidate<\/strong><\/td>Favorability<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Net favorable<\/td>Favorable<\/td>Unfavorable<\/td>Haven’t heard enough<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
Kamala Harris<\/td>-25<\/td>35<\/td>60<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
Joe Biden<\/td>-20<\/td>40<\/td>60<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Donald Trump<\/td>-13<\/td>43<\/td>56<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<\/td>-9<\/td>30<\/td>39<\/td>30<\/td><\/tr>
Cornel West<\/td>-6<\/td>12<\/td>18<\/td>70<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey, March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven\u2019t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Biden\u2019s favorability rating over time is shown in Table 8. Biden\u2019s net favorability has fallen from -5 in November 2021 to -20 in the current survey; it is little changed in the past year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>8<\/strong>: Biden favorability trend<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among registered voters<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Favorability<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Net favorable<\/td>Favorable<\/td>Unfavorable<\/td>Haven’t heard enough<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td>-20<\/td>40<\/td>60<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td>-20<\/td>40<\/td>60<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
11\/2-7\/23<\/td>-19<\/td>40<\/td>59<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
9\/18-25\/23<\/td>-21<\/td>39<\/td>60<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
7\/7-12\/23<\/td>-17<\/td>41<\/td>58<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
5\/8-18\/23<\/td>-23<\/td>37<\/td>60<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
3\/13-22\/23<\/td>-15<\/td>41<\/td>56<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
1\/9-20\/23<\/td>-11<\/td>43<\/td>54<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
11\/15-22\/22<\/td>-6<\/td>46<\/td>52<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
9\/7-14\/22<\/td>-9<\/td>44<\/td>53<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
7\/5-12\/22<\/td>-26<\/td>35<\/td>61<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
5\/9-19\/22<\/td>-17<\/td>40<\/td>57<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
3\/14-24\/22<\/td>-10<\/td>44<\/td>54<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
1\/10-21\/22<\/td>-6<\/td>46<\/td>52<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
11\/1-10\/21<\/td>-5<\/td>45<\/td>50<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven\u2019t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The favorability trend for Trump is shown in Table 9. Trump\u2019s net favorability has improved from -34 in November 2021 to -13 in the current poll, although it is 4 points more negative than in February.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>9<\/strong>: Trump favorability trend<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among registered voters<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Favorability<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Net favorable<\/td>Favorable<\/td>Unfavorable<\/td>Haven’t heard enough<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td>-13<\/td>43<\/td>56<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td>-9<\/td>45<\/td>54<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
11\/2-7\/23<\/td>-15<\/td>42<\/td>57<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
9\/18-25\/23<\/td>-15<\/td>42<\/td>57<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
7\/7-12\/23<\/td>-28<\/td>35<\/td>63<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
5\/8-18\/23<\/td>-21<\/td>38<\/td>59<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
3\/13-22\/23<\/td>-29<\/td>34<\/td>63<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
1\/9-20\/23<\/td>-26<\/td>36<\/td>62<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
11\/15-22\/22<\/td>-36<\/td>31<\/td>67<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
9\/7-14\/22<\/td>-30<\/td>34<\/td>64<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
7\/5-12\/22<\/td>-27<\/td>35<\/td>62<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
5\/9-19\/22<\/td>-23<\/td>37<\/td>60<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
3\/14-24\/22<\/td>-22<\/td>38<\/td>60<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
1\/10-21\/22<\/td>-37<\/td>31<\/td>68<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
11\/1-10\/21<\/td>-34<\/td>32<\/td>66<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven\u2019t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

For Biden and Trump, 19% of respondents are unfavorable to both candidates. The percentage of those unfavorable to both has remained near 20% since November 2021. The trend for favorability to both Biden and Trump is shown in Table 10. Biden had an advantage in favorability over Trump in most of the early polling, but Trump has held the advantage over the last four polls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>10<\/strong>: Favorability to Biden and Trump, Nov. 2021\u2013March 2024<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among registered voters<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poll dates<\/strong><\/td>Favorability to both<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Fav Biden, Fav Trump<\/td>Fav Biden, Unfav Trump<\/td>Unfav Biden, Fav Trump<\/td>Unfav Biden, Unfav Trump<\/td>DK either<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td>3<\/td>37<\/td>40<\/td>19<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td>2<\/td>37<\/td>42<\/td>17<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
11\/2-7\/23<\/td>3<\/td>36<\/td>38<\/td>20<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
9\/18-25\/23<\/td>3<\/td>36<\/td>39<\/td>20<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
7\/7-12\/23<\/td>1<\/td>39<\/td>33<\/td>23<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
5\/8-18\/23<\/td>2<\/td>35<\/td>36<\/td>23<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
3\/13-22\/23<\/td>2<\/td>39<\/td>32<\/td>23<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
1\/9-20\/23<\/td>1<\/td>42<\/td>34<\/td>19<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
11\/15-22\/22<\/td>1<\/td>44<\/td>30<\/td>21<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
9\/7-14\/22<\/td>1<\/td>43<\/td>32<\/td>21<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
7\/5-12\/22<\/td>0<\/td>35<\/td>34<\/td>26<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
5\/9-19\/22<\/td>1<\/td>39<\/td>36<\/td>20<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
3\/14-24\/22<\/td>2<\/td>41<\/td>35<\/td>18<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
1\/10-21\/22<\/td>2<\/td>44<\/td>29<\/td>22<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
11\/1-10\/21<\/td>1<\/td>43<\/td>30<\/td>20<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven\u2019t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Those who are unfavorable to both have varied in their vote choices over recent polls, as shown in Table 11. In the current poll, those unfavorable to both support Biden by 59% to 41% for Trump, while in February Biden got 63% and Trump 36%. However, in November 2023, those unfavorable to both supported Trump 52% to 48% for Biden. (The sample size of those favorable to both Biden and Trump is too small for meaningful analysis and thus is not included in the table.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>11<\/strong>: Biden vs. Trump vote, by favorability to both<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among registered voters<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Favorability to Biden and Trump<\/strong><\/td>Vote<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Donald Trump<\/td>Joe Biden<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td><\/tr>
Fav Biden, Unfav Trump<\/td>0<\/td>100<\/td><\/tr>
Unfav Biden, Fav Trump<\/td>100<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Unfav Biden, Unfav Trump<\/td>41<\/td>59<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td><\/tr>
Fav Biden, Unfav Trump<\/td>2<\/td>98<\/td><\/tr>
Unfav Biden, Fav Trump<\/td>100<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr>
Unfav Biden, Unfav Trump<\/td>36<\/td>63<\/td><\/tr>
11\/2-7\/23<\/td><\/tr>
Fav Biden, Unfav Trump<\/td>2<\/td>98<\/td><\/tr>
Unfav Biden, Fav Trump<\/td>99<\/td>1<\/td><\/tr>
Unfav Biden, Unfav Trump<\/td>52<\/td>48<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If the 2024 election for president were held today between former President Donald Trump, the Republican, and President Joe Biden, the Democrat, would you vote for Donald Trump or for Joe Biden?<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If you had to choose, would you vote for Biden or for Trump?<\/td><\/tr>
Question: Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven\u2019t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Presidential approval<\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Biden\u2019s job approval in March was 40%, with 60% disapproving\u2014a slight improvement from February\u2019s 38% approval and 62% disapproval.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Asked if they approved or disapproved of how Trump handled his job when he was president, 47% approved and 53% disapproved. This the first time the retrospective approval of Trump has been asked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A strength of Biden, despite his high disapproval rating, has been his ability to win votes from those who \u201csomewhat disapprove\u201d of how he has handled his job as president, typically winning a small majority of this group of voters. Table 12 shows how voters choose to vote for Biden or Trump by strength of approval or disapproval of Biden\u2019s job performance. Biden wins large percentages of both categories of approval, while Trump dominates the strongly-disapproving voters. Biden wins 61% for those somewhat disapproving of his job performance, while Trump is favored by 39% of those. In February, Biden took 60% to Trump\u2019s 40% among the somewhat disapproving. Biden\u2019s share among those who somewhat disapprove was slightly lower, 55%, in November.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>12<\/strong>: Biden vs. Trump vote, by Biden job approval<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among registered voters<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Biden job approval<\/strong><\/td>Vote<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Donald Trump<\/td>Joe Biden<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td><\/tr>
Strongly approve<\/td>1<\/td>99<\/td><\/tr>
Somewhat approve<\/td>6<\/td>94<\/td><\/tr>
Somewhat disapprove<\/td>39<\/td>61<\/td><\/tr>
Strongly disapprove<\/td>92<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td><\/tr>
Strongly approve<\/td>2<\/td>98<\/td><\/tr>
Somewhat approve<\/td>9<\/td>91<\/td><\/tr>
Somewhat disapprove<\/td>40<\/td>60<\/td><\/tr>
Strongly disapprove<\/td>95<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
11\/2-7\/23<\/td><\/tr>
Strongly approve<\/td>3<\/td>97<\/td><\/tr>
Somewhat approve<\/td>9<\/td>91<\/td><\/tr>
Somewhat disapprove<\/td>45<\/td>55<\/td><\/tr>
Strongly disapprove<\/td>94<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If the 2024 election for president were held today between former President Donald Trump, the Republican, and President Joe Biden, the Democrat, would you vote for Donald Trump or for Joe Biden?<\/td><\/tr>
Question: If you had to choose, would you vote for Biden or for Trump?<\/td><\/tr>
Question: Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Perceptions of Biden and Trump<\/a><\/h1>\n\n\n\n

Table 13 shows which candidate is thought to do a better job on seven issues. Trump is seen as better on immigration and border security, the economy, the Israel-Hamas war, and, to a lesser degree, foreign relations. Biden is seen as better on abortion policy and health care. Slightly more see him as better than Biden on handling Medicare and Social Security, as well. These views of the candidates have remained quite stable over the last three polls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The percentage say that neither candidate would be good on an issue, or they would both be about the same, ranges from 18% to 26%, an indication that even with two such well-known candidates, there remains considerable uncertainty over how successfully each would handle these issues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>13<\/strong>: Who would handle issues better<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Registered voters<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 <\/td>Who better on issue<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Poll dates<\/td>Biden<\/td>Trump<\/td>Both about the same<\/td>Neither good<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
Immigration and border security<\/td><\/tr>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td>27<\/td>54<\/td>7<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td>25<\/td>53<\/td>6<\/td>15<\/td><\/tr>
11\/2-7\/23<\/td>27<\/td>50<\/td>7<\/td>16<\/td><\/tr>
The economy<\/td><\/tr>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td>32<\/td>51<\/td>9<\/td>9<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td>32<\/td>52<\/td>7<\/td>10<\/td><\/tr>
11\/2-7\/23<\/td>30<\/td>51<\/td>7<\/td>11<\/td><\/tr>
Handling the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza<\/td><\/tr>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td>32<\/td>42<\/td>9<\/td>17<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td>28<\/td>43<\/td>11<\/td>18<\/td><\/tr>
11\/2-7\/23<\/td>31<\/td>42<\/td>11<\/td>16<\/td><\/tr>
Foreign relations<\/td><\/tr>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td>39<\/td>41<\/td>8<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td>37<\/td>44<\/td>7<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
11\/2-7\/23<\/td>38<\/td>44<\/td>7<\/td>11<\/td><\/tr>
Medicare & Social Security<\/td><\/tr>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td>39<\/td>36<\/td>14<\/td>11<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td>40<\/td>36<\/td>13<\/td>11<\/td><\/tr>
11\/2-7\/23<\/td>38<\/td>39<\/td>11<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
Health care<\/td><\/tr>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td>40<\/td>34<\/td>13<\/td>13<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td>42<\/td>34<\/td>13<\/td>11<\/td><\/tr>
Abortion policy<\/td><\/tr>
3\/18-28\/24<\/td>42<\/td>33<\/td>10<\/td>15<\/td><\/tr>
2\/5-15\/24<\/td>42<\/td>34<\/td>11<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
11\/2-7\/23<\/td>41<\/td>34<\/td>10<\/td>14<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: Do you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job handling each of the following issues?<\/td><\/tr>
Healthcare not asked in November<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Table 14 shows how well various phrases describe Biden and Trump. Biden, particularly, is seen as too old to be president, with 55% saying this describes him very well. For Trump, 23% say he is too old to be president.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On \u201cshares your values,\u201d more say this describes Trump very well than Biden, but more also say this describes Trump not at all well than say the same of Biden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Corruption assertions have been leveled against both candidates; 29% say \u201chas behaved corruptly\u201d describes Biden very well, and 42% say the same for Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On having a strong record of accomplishment as president, 17% say this describes Biden very well, while 28% say this describes Trump very well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cHas the right temperament to be president\u201d is seen as describing Biden very well by 24% and as describing Trump very well by 15%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table <\/strong><\/a>14<\/strong>: How well does this phrase describe Biden or Trump<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Among registered voters<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Issue<\/strong><\/td>How well phrase describes<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Very well<\/td>Somewhat well<\/td>Not too well<\/td>Not at all well<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
Is too old to be president<\/td><\/tr>
Biden<\/td>55<\/td>22<\/td>13<\/td>10<\/td><\/tr>
Trump<\/td>23<\/td>29<\/td>26<\/td>22<\/td><\/tr>
Shares your values<\/td><\/tr>
Biden<\/td>15<\/td>28<\/td>18<\/td>39<\/td><\/tr>
Trump<\/td>17<\/td>28<\/td>12<\/td>43<\/td><\/tr>
Has behaved corruptly<\/td><\/tr>
Biden<\/td>29<\/td>18<\/td>23<\/td>30<\/td><\/tr>
Trump<\/td>42<\/td>21<\/td>19<\/td>19<\/td><\/tr>
Strong record of accomplishments as president<\/td><\/tr>
Biden<\/td>17<\/td>24<\/td>20<\/td>38<\/td><\/tr>
Trump<\/td>28<\/td>23<\/td>19<\/td>30<\/td><\/tr>
Has the right temperament to be president<\/td><\/tr>
Biden<\/td>24<\/td>27<\/td>16<\/td>33<\/td><\/tr>
Trump<\/td>15<\/td>21<\/td>17<\/td>47<\/td><\/tr>
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey, March 18-28, 2024<\/td><\/tr>
Question: How well does each of the following phrases describe (Joe Biden)(Donald Trump)?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Undocumented-immigrant policy<\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

On the issue of illegal immigration and border control, 47% strongly agree with the statement, \u201cThe Biden administration\u2019s border policies have created a crisis of uncontrolled illegal migration into the country.\u201d An additional 22% somewhat agree. Fifteen percent strongly disagree with the statement, and 16% somewhat disagree.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thirty-six percent strongly favor \u201cdeporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries,\u201d with 26% who somewhat favor that. Twelve percent strongly oppose deportations and 25% somewhat oppose.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Views of deportation are somewhat different when people were asked a question focused on how to deal with undocumented immigrants already in the country. Two versions of this question were asked, each to a random half of the sample. One question asked about undocumented immigrants \u201ccurrently working\u201d in the U.S. and one asking about undocumented immigrants \u201ccurrently living\u201d in the U.S.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The questions are:<\/p>\n\n\n\n