{"id":3121,"date":"2024-06-27T00:00:55","date_gmt":"2024-06-27T05:00:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/?p=3121"},"modified":"2024-06-27T00:00:55","modified_gmt":"2024-06-27T05:00:55","slug":"new-marquette-law-school-poll-national-survey-finds-54-think-jury-was-correct-in-finding-trump-guilty-in-new-york-state-trial","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/2024\/06\/27\/new-marquette-law-school-poll-national-survey-finds-54-think-jury-was-correct-in-finding-trump-guilty-in-new-york-state-trial\/","title":{"rendered":"New Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds 54% think jury was correct in finding Trump guilty in New York state trial"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>39% say Trump should receive jail sentence, while 46% say probation, fine, or no penalty at all<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>MILWAUKEE \u2013 A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey of registered voters finds 54% think that former President Donald Trump was guilty of the charges in his New York criminal trial, as the jury found on May 30, while 30% believe he was not guilty and the jury made the wrong ruling. A sizable 16% say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a May Marquette national poll, conducted during the trial but before its conclusion, a similar 54% said that Trump had done something illegal, while 27% said he had done something wrong but not illegal and 19% said he had done nothing wrong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Also notable in the new poll:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>67% think that the New York prosecution of Trump will lead to Republican prosecutors charging Democratic politicians<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Confidence in juries rises in aftermath of Trump trial<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Trump favorability unchanged<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Asked if Trump should have been prosecuted, 50% say prosecuting him was the right judgment call, 33% say he should not have been prosecuted, and 17% say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As for what penalty Trump should receive at his July 11 sentencing, 20% say no penalty at all, 14% say a fine, 12% say probation without jail, 39% say some time in jail, and 14% say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Just more than half think Trump\u2019s conviction will definitely (16%) or probably (35%) be overturned on appeal. Twenty-one percent think the conviction will probably not be overturned, and 10% think it definitely will not be overturned. The other 18% say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The majority of respondents think that in the future, because of the Trump prosecution in New York, we are likely to see Republican prosecutors charge Democratic politicians with crimes. Almost a quarter, 24%, say there definitely will be such prosecutions, 43% say there probably will be, 16% say there probably won\u2019t be, 3% say there definitely won\u2019t be prosecutions, and 15% say they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the aftermath of the New York case, there has been a 7-point percentage increase in the confidence people say they have in juries in criminal cases. In the June poll, 42% said that they have a great deal or a lot of confidence in juries, 42% have some confidence, and 17% have little or no confidence in juries. In the preceding Marquette Law School national poll in May, conducted before the end of the Trump trial, 35% had a great deal or a lot of confidence in juries, 41% had some confidence, and 24% had little or no confidence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the majority saying Trump was guilty, his favorability rating hardly changed from May to June, with 41% favorable in both May and June and 57% unfavorable in May and 56% unfavorable in June. The survey was conducted June 21-24, 2024, interviewing 1,005 adults nationwide, with a margin of error of +\/-3.5 percentage points. Interviews were conducted using the SSRS Opinion Panel Omnibus, a national probability sample with interviews conducted online. The detailed methodology statement, survey instrument, topline results, and crosstabs for this release are available on the <a href=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/category\/results-and-data\/\">Marquette Law Poll website<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>39% say Trump should receive jail sentence, while 46% say probation, fine, or no penalty at all MILWAUKEE \u2013 A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey of registered voters finds 54% think that former President Donald Trump was guilty of the charges in his New York criminal trial, as the jury found on May 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