A closer look at the August partisan primary in the Milwaukee metro

Wisconsin's 2024 August partisan primary featured no competitive races for statewide office, but it did include many competitive legislative races and two referendums on proposed amendments to the state constitution. Both referendums, which were supported by the GOP and opposed by Democrats, failed. Legislative primaries around the state returned mixed signals about the strength of incumbency, experience, and candidate endorsements. Statewide, the two almost identical referendum questions lost, with just over 57% of voters casting a "no" ballot for each measure. They failed by a similar margin (about 56% "no") in the 4-county Milwaukee metro. Besides the statewide referendums, each voter could also choose the partisan primary of their choice. The incentives to participate in a party's primary can vary a lot from place to place, as sometimes only one party offers contested races. However, the balance of party participation in the August 2024 primary came fairly close to the balance of support for each party in the last November election. Support for the ballot referendums trailed Republican primary participation across all three of the Republican-leaning WOW counties. In fact, the referendums actually lost in Ozaukee County by the narrowest of margins; 50.1% of Ozaukee county voters cast a "no" vote, while 53.4% voted in the Republican primary. By comparison, 55% voted for the Republican gubernatorial candidate in November 2022. The opposite occurred in Milwaukee County, where 75% of voters chose the Democratic primary, but slightly fewer (71% and 72%) voted against the referendums. In general, these results are consistent with nonpartisan elections. Without the formal cue of partisan affiliation on the ballot itself, votes tend to compress a bit at both ends of the political spectrum. Partisan primary results in the Milwaukee metrounofficial, election night returnscountyprimary preferencequestion 1question 2demrepnoyesnoyesMilwaukee75.0%24.6%71.2%28.8%72.2%27.8%Ozaukee46.3%53.4%49.9%50.1%49.9%50.1%Washington27.4%72.4%35.1%64.9%34.5%65.5%Waukesha38.5%61.3%43.0%57.0%42.9%57.1% This map shows how every reporting unit (a ward or combination of wards) voted on the ballot questions. Click the map to view an interactive version with detailed statistics for each area. This map shows the ongoing breakdown of Republican strength in Waukesha and Ozaukee counties. The WOW counties are no longer a unified block. Multiple wards in Port Washington, Grafton, Mequon, Menomonee Falls, Brookfield, and Waukesha all opposed the GOP-sponsored ballot referendums. Data note: The reporting units mapped above use the most recent available GIS boundaries, but they still vary slightly from the reporting units used in the August 13 election. Several wards in Wauwatosa have been combined, and City of Milwaukee wards (355 and 356) are not displayed. Assembly Primaries Two Milwaukee-area State Assembly primaries also provided insights into the region's electorate. The 19th Assembly district is one of the state's most liberal. The incumbent legislator, Ryan Clancy, is a member of the chamber's 2-member Democratic Socialists caucus. He drew a more moderate challenger (Jarrod Anderson) with endorsements from several prominent local politicians, including the mayor and county executive. The race featured unusually large spending for an assembly primary--more than $60,000 on each side. Clancy, the incumbent, won reelection with 55% of the vote, handily winning his home…

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