Marquette Law School Poll finds most Americans are somewhat skeptical of trusting government, while confidence in institutions more generally varies widely

Also:

  • Partisans shift sharply in trust in government, depending on which party is in the White House
  • Doctors, the military, the police, and local schools top the confidence charts
  • Congress, AI companies, and Facebook get the lowest confidence ratings
  • Those who distrust the federal government also lack confidence in many other American institutions
  • Democrats lead generic congressional November ballot by 2 points with registered voters but by 8 points with likely voters

MILWAUKEE — As America reaches the 250th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence, polling shows that trust in the federal government to do what is right all or most of the time has declined over the long term. Furthermore, while overall levels of trust in the government have not changed much in recent years, partisanship has increasingly shaped levels of confidence. More generally, satisfaction with many institutions, both governmental and nongovernmental, varies widely.

A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds that 18% of American adults say they trust the federal government to do what is right all or most of the time, while 19% say they can never trust the government. The remainder, 63%, trust the government only some of the time.

The Marquette Law survey was conducted June 9-15, 2026, interviewing 1,514 adults nationwide, with a margin of error of +/-2.7 percentage points.

The percentage trusting the government all or most of the time has averaged 20.5% across 30 Marquette national polls beginning in 2021. The average saying that they never trust the government is 17.4%, and the average for only some of the time is 62%. The substantial skepticism shown in the results has been a common feature of public opinion since at least 2012, when the Marquette Law School Poll began.

In the late 1950s and early 1960s, trust in the federal government was much higher, and partisan differences in opinion were much smaller. In 1958, 73% said they trusted the federal government all or most of the time, according to polling by the American National Election Study. That percentage fell to 25% in 1980. Except for brief and limited increases in the mid-1980s and late 1990s/early 2000s, trust has remained much lower than it once was.

Unlike in the period before 2000, trust in the government has become substantially dependent on partisanship and which party controls the White House at the time. In Marquette polling during the Biden administration, beginning in 2021, 31% of Democrats trusted the government all or most of the time, compared to 12% of Republicans. Now, in the second Trump administration, beginning in 2025, 31% of Republicans say they trust the government that much, compared to 11% of Democrats.

These partisan discrepancies in trust were much smaller in the past. For example, in 1968, under Democratic President Lyndon Johnson, 65% of Democrats trusted the government, as did 59% of Republicans. And during Republican President Ronald Reagan’s second term in 1988, 48% of Republicans and 35% of Democrats mostly trusted the government. Partisan gaps grew in the 2000s.

The overall stability of trust in recent years masks the changes by partisanship since 2021. Figure 1 shows these trends visually for Republicans and Democrats. The parties moved in opposite directions and almost equal amounts following the change in presidential administration in January 2025.

Table 1 provides the numerical values for trust overall and by party since 2021. (All results in the tables are stated as percentages.)

Table 1: Trust in government, by party identification

Among adults

Poll DatesTrust Government
All: Always/mostAll: Only someAll: NeverRep: Always/MostDem: Always/MostRep: Only someDem: Only someRep: NeverDem: Never
6/9-16/26186319281061651124
5/20-26/26225821351153651224
4/8-16/2620601933105965725
1/21-28/2622582039851661025
11/5-12/25206119321057681122
9/15-24/2522641434115871718
7/7-16/2518641828860711221
5/5-15/25186418261163691020
3/17-27/2523631431166069914
1/27-2/6/2517701323106874916
12/2-11/2422661317286764168
10/1-10/2423621512376857197
7/24-8/1/2423611616306462208
5/6-15/24166321102060703010
3/18-28/24186319102767612313
2/5-15/2417632011286466257
11/2-7/2318641812276665229
9/18-25/23186417132361672610
7/7-12/2321611813346358249
5/8-18/2317622111246068299
3/13-22/23186419122566652210
1/9-20/2322611613346260256
11/15-22/2225621313386558224
9/7-14/2222631510357058216
7/5-12/2220631710297065206
5/9-19/2223562112346257269
3/14-24/222358189366357287
1/10-21/221863189296365286
11/1-10/2124591713366059285
9/7-16/2127571612426552235
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest: June 9-15, 2026 
Question: How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right? 

Confidence in institutions

As generalized trust in government has declined in recent decades, so has confidence in many institutions. Some institutions retain high public confidence, while confidence in others is quite low. To compare a variety of institutions, the Marquette Law School Poll asked about 18 institutions.

Doctors have the highest net confidence rating (percent with a great deal/quite a lot minus percent very little/none), followed by the U.S. military, the police, and local schools. Other positive net ratings go to colleges and universities and the people who administer state elections. The other 12 institutions have net negative confidence ratings. Only slightly negative are local news media, the U.S. Supreme Court, and the Food and Drug Administration, each less than 10 percentage points negative.

State legislatures are viewed negatively at -16 net, but far better than Congress at -43. Other federal institutions with net negative ratings are the U.S. Department of Justice (-21) and the executive branch (-30).

Business fares rather poorly: business leaders are at -24, companies developing artificial intelligence are at -47, and Facebook has the lowest rating of all at -66.

National news media gets a very negative -31 rating, much worse than local news media’s -2.

Confidence in voters is also quite low, with a -29 net confidence rating.

The full set of ratings is shown in Table 2.

Table 2: Confidence in institutions

Among adults, ordered by net confidence

InstitutionConfidence
Net confident minus not confidentGreat deal/quite a lotSomeVery little/none
Your doctor6470246
The U.S. military38552817
The police24453321
Your local schools21404119
Colleges and universities12373825
The people who administer elections in your state10383428
Your local news media-2284130
The U.S. Supreme Court-6293535
The Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-8264034
Your state legislature-16204436
The U.S. Department of Justice-21203941
Business leaders-24154739
The American people in electing leaders-29134542
The executive branch of the federal government-30183448
The national news media-31163647
Congress-43103753
Companies developing artificial intelligence (AI)-47103357
Facebook-6652471
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?

Partisans see some of these institutions quite differently, though there are some common perceptions as well. There are some institutions viewed positively by both Republicans and Democrats, such as doctors, the military, and the police. Likewise, there is agreement in negative assessments of Congress, AI companies, and Facebook. Partisans disagree in views of the Supreme Court and the executive branch (seen positively by Republicans but negatively by Democrats) and on state election officials, colleges and universities, and local news media (seen positively by Democrats but negatively by Republicans). Of the 18 institutions, eight are seen negatively by both parties and four are viewed positively by both. Net confidence by party is shown in Figure 2.

The numerical values for net confidence by party are shown in Table 3.

Table 3: Net confidence in institutions, by party ID

Among adults

InstitutionConfidence
All net confidenceRepublicanIndependentDemocrat
Your doctor64613674
The U.S. military3867820
The police2450-99
Your local schools214343
Colleges and universities12-20-547
The people who administer elections in your state10-8-2437
Your local news media-2-22-2124
The U.S. Supreme Court-624-20-32
The Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-8-9-18-5
Your state legislature-16-20-36-5
The U.S. Department of Justice-212-27-42
Business leaders-24-5-41-38
The American people in electing leaders-29-20-38-35
The executive branch of the federal government-305-40-60
The national news media-31-58-35-2
Congress-43-35-49-50
Companies developing artificial intelligence (AI)-47-36-54-56
Facebook-66-67-61-66
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?

People who say they don’t trust the federal government also have much less confidence in virtually all institutions, whether governmental or not. Only one institution gets a positive net rating from those distrustful of the government: doctors. All of the 17 other institutions have net negative ratings within this group. Those who do not trust the federal government generally are especially distrustful of particular federal institutions, including the executive branch, Congress, the Supreme Court, the Department of Justice, and the FDA. They are less negative as a group to local schools, the military, colleges and universities, the police, state election officials, and local news media. Business leaders, AI companies, and Facebook also receive very negative ratings from those who distrust government.

In contrast, those who generally trust the federal government tend to be quite positive about almost all the 18 institutions, whether governmental or not. They give net negative ratings only to the national news media and Facebook, with AI companies at a net zero.

Institutional net confidence by trust in the federal government is shown in Figure 3.

The numerical net confidence ratings by trust in government are shown in Table 4.

Table 4: Net confidence in institutions, by trust in federal government

Among adults

InstitutionTrust in federal government
All net confidenceAlways/most of the timeOnly some of the timeNever
Your doctor64756743
The U.S. military387742-9
The police246324-15
Your local schools214820-7
Colleges and universities122912-8
The people who administer elections in your state103310-16
Your local news media-216-1-24
The U.S. Supreme Court-658-9-60
The Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-839-12-42
Your state legislature-1628-17-50
The U.S. Department of Justice-2149-26-72
Business leaders-2424-27-59
The American people in electing leaders-2914-32-59
The executive branch of the federal government-3051-39-77
The national news media-31-5-33-50
Congress-4325-52-81
Companies developing artificial intelligence (AI)-470-52-74
Facebook-66-32-71-78
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: Here is a list of institutions in American society. How much confidence do you have in each one?

Congressional generic ballot and turnout

Among registered voters, 47% say they will vote for the Democratic candidate in the November congressional elections, while 45% will vote for the Republican. An additional 6% say they will vote for neither, and 2% won’t vote.

Among likely voters, i.e., those who say they are absolutely certain they will vote, 53% support the Democrat and 45% favor the Republican, while 2% say they will vote for neither.

There have been shifting margins in the congressional ballot since November 2025, and the margin depends also on whether one is looking at registered voters or at likely voters. The vote margin has been tighter among registered voters, with a larger Democratic advantage among likely voters. These results are shown for registered voters and for likely voters in Table 5.

Table 5: Congressional ballot for registered voters and for likely voters

Among registered and likely voters

Sample populationCongressional vote
Dem minus Rep marginDemocratRepublicanNeitherWould not vote
Registered voters
6/9-15/262474562
5/20-26/261464571
4/8-16/264484461
1/21-28/264484471
11/5-12/255494461
Likely voters
6/9-15/268534520
5/20-26/261494840
4/8-16/2610534340
1/21-28/267524530
11/5-12/259534430
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the (Democratic) candidate in your district or the (Republican) candidate in your district?

Among registered voters. the margin in June is a two-point Democratic advantage. It was just a single-point advantage in May, down slightly from four points in January and April.

The results for likely voters have been 7 to 10 percentage points of Democrats over Republicans in each poll since last November, except May when there was a one-point Democratic edge.

While underlying partisan preferences may be changing, the greater advantage for Democrats among likely voters is driven by how certain respondents are that they will vote in November. This intention to vote is not a constant and can change, either up or down, from month to month. While the intention to vote is a reliable indicator of turnout, especially as an election gets closer, there is always room for mobilization or demobilization.

The trend in certainty of voting among registered voters by party identification is shown in Table 6.

Table 6: Likelihood of voting among registered voters, by party identification

Among registered voters

Poll datesLikelihood of voting
Absolutely certain to voteVery likely to voteChances are 50-50Don’t think will vote
Republican
6/9-15/266816124
5/20-26/267018101
4/8-16/266520114
1/21-28/267018111
11/5-12/25681994
Independent
6/9-15/2638252114
5/20-26/263828268
4/8-16/263325329
1/21-28/264126267
11/5-12/2537272214
Democrat
6/9-15/26761483
5/20-26/26722080
4/8-16/26771481
1/21-28/26721774
11/5-12/25751672
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2026 general election for congressional and state offices– are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don’t you think you will vote?

Democrats have been significantly more likely to say they are certain to vote in each poll since last November, except May when there was only a 2 point advantage. The shrinkage of the Democratic turnout advantage that month accounts for the much tighter congressional vote margin then. With the return of a Democratic turnout advantage in the June poll, the Democratic margin among likely voters returned to eight percentage points. Across these five polls, Republicans who are certain to vote have varied from 65% to 70%, while Democrats have varied from 72% to 77%. Neither has shown a consistent upward or downward trend over time.

Independents are consistently less likely to vote than either partisan camp. While independents are an important potential swing vote in November in competitive races, their lower turnout means independents punch below their weight in elections, exerting less influence than they might with turnout closer to either set of partisans.

Party loyalty in this survey remains strong within both parties, if slightly higher among Democrats than Republicans. Among registered voters, independents are almost evenly divided, though a majority of independents say they will vote for neither the Republican nor the Democrat, with another 10 percent saying they will not vote. Among likely voters, independents favor the Democrat by 14 points, though a third say they will vote for neither party. This uncertainty in turnout and choice among independents is one of the factors that can shift as the election approaches and potential voters are mobilized. Congressional vote in June, among registered and likely voters, is shown by party identification in Table 7.

Table 7: Congressional ballot for registered and for likely voters, by party identification

Among registered and likely voters

Party IDCongressional vote
Dem minus Rep marginDemocratRepublicanNeitherWould not vote
Registered voters
Republican-8849231
Independent221195110
Democrat9596121
Likely voters
Republican-914951NA
Independent14402634NA
Democrat999901NA
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the (Democratic) candidate in your district or the (Republican) candidate in your district?

At 45% in this poll, the Republican congressional vote continues to be higher than the job approval rating for President Donald Trump, which stands at 38%, with 62% disapproving.

To get some measure of how Trump approval affects congressional vote within party, the Marquette polls from November through June have been pooled below in order to boost the number of cases in the rare categories of independents and Democrats who approve of Trump.

Among the 18% of Republicans in the pooled sample of registered voters who disapprove of Trump, 70% say they will vote for the Republican congressional candidate, with 20% crossing over to the Democrat and 10% voting for neither or not voting. Among Republicans approving of Trump, 97% support the Republican for Congress.

Among independents in the pooled sample, 18% approve of Trump. Among these respondents, 39% support the Republican candidate and 22% favor the Democratic candidate for Congress. In contrast, among the 81% of independents who disapprove of Trump, 32% favor the Democrat and 11% the Republican. Many independents say they favor neither or won’t vote regardless of approval of Trump.

There are only 5% of Democrats in the pooled sample who approve of Trump, and 24% of them say they will vote Republican in November, while 72% remain loyal to the Democratic candidate. Of the 95% of Democrats who disapprove of Trump, 97% back the Democrat for Congress and just 1% choose the Republican.

In sum, approval or disapproval of Trump influences congressional vote, but the effect is limited by the extent of partisan loyalty. Further, the high disapproval rates among independents and Democrats limit the practical effect of this crossover vote.

The congressional vote by Trump approval and party identification is shown in Table 8.

Table 8: Congressional ballot for registered voters, by Trump approval and party identification

Among registered voters, pooling Nov.-June polls

Trump ApprovalCongressional vote
Dem minus Rep marginDemocratRepublicanNeitherWould not vote
Republican
Approve-9619721
Disapprove-50207091
Independent
Approve-172239354
Disapprove213211488
Democrat
Approve48722432
Disapprove9697121
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, Nov. 2025-June 2026
Question: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the (Democratic) candidate in your district or the (Republican) candidate in your district?

About the Marquette Law School Poll

The survey was conducted June 9-15, 2026, interviewing 1,514 adults nationwide, with a margin of error of +/-2.7 percentage points. For registered voters, the sample size is 1,213, with a margin of error of +/-3.0 percentage points. For likely voters, the sample size is 827, with a margin of error of +/-3.6 percentage points.

Interviews were conducted using the SSRS Opinion Panel, a national probability sample with interviews conducted online. Certain other data from this survey are held for future release, or were previously released on June 24. The detailed methodology statement, survey instrument, topline results, and crosstabs for this release are available on the Marquette Law Poll website.

Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence draws limited attention from Americans

Sharp partisan differences in interest in Semiquincentennial contrast with little partisan difference during the 1976 Bicentennial

Also:

  • A quarter or less are paying a lot of attention to the landmark anniversary
  • Two-thirds are proud of the country and more say the country has succeeded at least a fair amount in achieving the ideals of the founding; three-quarters say the U.S. is better than most countries
  • Optimism for the future as a democracy is evenly divided
  • Benjamin Franklin seen most favorably among the founders, followed by George Washington and Thomas Jefferson; Benedict Arnold remains in ill repute
  • Trump’s job approval remains at 38%
  • There has been a notable decline in approval of Trump’s job performance in rural areas of the country, as well as among other groups, across his second term

MILWAUKEE — A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds that only 26% of Americans have read or heard a lot about the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence coming on July 4. Another 57% say they have heard some about the Semiquincentennial, while 17% have heard nothing at all about it.

This modest size of the group most engaged, accompanied by a larger share who are moderately engaged, is a theme running through the findings of this poll of how Americans feel about their country on this commemoration of the nation’s birth. Relatively small percentages are the most involved with, most proud of, and most optimistic about the country, while a considerably larger share are positive in their feelings but not strongly so.

A consistent minority express relatively negative views of the current state of the nation and its future prospects.

This pattern was also found 50 years ago on the 200th anniversary of the Declaration. In a Roper Organization poll conducted June 12-19, 1976, 28% said they were following news about the Bicentennial closely, with 50% following casually and 22% paying no attention. Raw data from the 1976 survey were provided by the Roper Center data archive at Cornell University, with analysis conducted by Marquette Law School Poll staff.

Interest in the 250th commemoration is also mixed, with just 17% who say they are very interested and another 39% who are fairly interested, while 31% are not too interested and 13% are not at all interested. Here, too, the similarity to 1976 is striking. In the Roper poll, 18% were very interested, 43% fairly interested, 26% not too interested, and 11% not at all interested.

The new Marquette Law survey was conducted June 9-15, 2026, interviewing 1,514 adults nationwide, with a margin of error of +/-2.7 percentage points.

One substantial difference from 50 years ago is found in the partisan patterns of interest and attention to the Declaration’s anniversary. President Donald Trump has emphasized the 250th anniversary and assumed control of some related celebrations, recently declaring it will be the “most spectacular TRUMP RALLY of them all” on his Truth Social account. This association of the July 4 events with the president is reflected in more substantial interest in the event among Republicans and Trump supporters and much less interest among Democrats and those who disapprove of the president.

Those who strongly approve of Trump are most likely to say they are very or fairly interested in the 250th celebrations, while interest declines as approval declines, as shown in Table 1. (All results in the tables are stated as percentages.)

Table 1: Interest in 250th anniversary, by Trump approval

Among adults

Trump approvalInterest in 250th
Very/fairly interestedNot too/not at all interested
Among all adults5743
Strongly approve8812
Somewhat approve7129
Somewhat disapprove5842
Strongly disapprove3961
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: How interested are you personally in the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence?

This pattern is also clear by partisanship, with Republicans much more interested than independents or Democrats. In contrast, in 1976 there was very little difference across partisan categories, as shown in Table 2.

Table 2: Interest in Semiquincentennial and Bicentennial, by party identification

Among adults

Party IDInterest
Very/fairly interestedNot too/not at all interested
Semiquincentennial
Among all adults5743
Republican7624
Independent5049
Democrat4357
Bicentennial
Among all adults6138
Republican6633
Independent5644
Democrat6335
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026. Roper Organization national survey, June 12-19, 1976
Question: Marquette 2026: How interested are you personally in the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence?
Question: Roper 1976: How interested are you personally in the Bicentennial Celebration?

Beyond general interest, 20% say they have recently watched a television show or a movie about the American Revolution, and 18% have recently read a book or an article about it. Unlike general interest in the anniversary, there is little partisan difference in viewing shows or reading about the revolution.

Views of the country

A majority of adults have positive views of the country, but more are moderately positive rather than strongly so.

A sizable 75% either strongly or somewhat agree that America is a better country than most other countries. This positive view is about evenly divided, with 35% who strongly agree and 40% who somewhat agree. Only 7% strongly disagree, with 19% who somewhat disagree.

A similar view holds of how well the country has succeeded in achieving the ideals of the founding, with 71% saying a great deal or a fair amount, but with more saying a fair amount, 53% rather than a great deal, 18%. Among those saying we have fallen short of the revolution’s ideals, 24% say we have “not very much” achieved the ideals, while 5% that those ideals have been not at all achieved.

Sixty-six percent are very or somewhat proud of who we are as a country, with 28% very proud and 38% somewhat proud. Almost a quarter, 24%, are not very proud and 10% are not at all proud.

Americans are evenly divided on the country’s future as a democracy, with 52% who are very or somewhat optimistic. Here, limited optimism is much greater, with 41% who are somewhat optimistic and only 11% very optimistic. A sizable 36% are not very optimistic, and 12% are not at all optimistic about the future.

There are significant differences across partisan and generational lines in these views, with more modest differences by race. Republicans and older adults are more positive than are Democrats and younger people, though majorities remain positive on these topics except pride in the country and optimism for the future, where some groups fall short of a positive majority.

Majorities of each partisan, age, and racial or ethnic group strongly or somewhat agree that America is better than most other countries. Racial and ethnic groups are generally similar in their positive views, while partisan gaps are large, as are differences by age. These comparisons are shown in Table 3.

Table 3: America is better than most countries, by party identification, age, and race/ethnicity

Among adults

 America is better
Strongly/somewhat agreeStrongly/somewhat disagree
Party ID
Republican937
Independent5941
Democrat6238
Age
18-295842
30-447030
45-597921
60+8515
Race/ethnicity
White7723
Black6535
Hispanic7030
Other/Multiple8020
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: How much do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Generally speaking, America is a better country than most other countries?

Opinion of how well the country has achieved the ideals of the American Revolution show majorities saying we’ve achieved a great deal or a fair amount of those ideals, but with differences across groups in the size of that majority. Black adults and independents make up the smallest majorities saying these ideals have been achieved. These results are in Table 4.

Table 4: How much of the ideals of the revolution have been achieved, by party identification, age, and race/ethnicity

Among adults

 Achieved how much of the ideals
Great deal/fair amountNot very much/not at all
Party ID
Republican8317
Independent5644
Democrat6337
Age
18-296139
30-446634
45-597426
60+7822
Race/ethnicity
White7426
Black5742
Hispanic6733
Other/Multiple7327
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: Looking at America, how much do you think we have succeeded over these 250 years in achieving the ideals for which this country was founded, as you understand them?

A related question was asked in the 1976 Roper survey. In 1976, 18% said the country still represented the ideals of the founding, while 46% said it had moved somewhat away from those ideals and 30% thought the country had moved far away from the founding ideals. With the difference in wording, these percentages are not directly comparable to the question of how much the country has achieved the ideals of the founding in the current survey. But this comparison over 50 years does show that, in 1976, the views about shifting ideals were barely related to partisanship, age, or race, whereas there are larger gaps across each of these three groups in 2026. The results for 1976 are shown in Table 5.

Table 5: Country still represents ideals of the founding, by party identification, age and race, 1976

Among adults

 Represents ideals
Still represents idealsMoved somewhat awayMoved far away
Party ID
Republican224726
Independent144634
Democrat174531
Age
18-29164829
30-44184926
45-59174631
60+183934
Race
White174831
Black243526
Other race303022
Roper Organization, national survey, June 12-19, 1976
Question: Thinking of the principles and ideals on which our country was founded, do you think 200 years later that this country pretty much still represents those principles and ideals, or that we have moved somewhat away from them, or that we have moved far away from those principles and ideals?

Pride in who we are as a country is somewhat more muted than positive opinion on the previous topics, as the numbers of Democrats, 18-29 year olds, and Black respondents slip just under 50% saying they are proud, while majorities of other groups are very or somewhat proud, as shown in Table 6.

Table 6: Pride in who we are as a country, by party identification, age, and race/ethnicity

Among adults

 Proud of who we are
Very/somewhat proudNot very/not at all proud
Party ID
Republican8812
Independent5644
Democrat4951
Age
18-294852
30-446238
45-597327
60+7624
Race/ethnicity
White7030
Black4852
Hispanic6634
Other/Multiple7129
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: How proud are you of who we are as a country?

Optimism about the country’s future as a democracy is more divided, with majorities of several groups falling at or below 50% expressing optimism. Divisions by party and by age remain larger than divisions across racial and ethnic lines, as shown in Table 7.

Table 7: Optimism about future as a democracy, by party identification, age, and race/ethnicity

Among adults

 Future as a democracy
Very/somewhat optimisticNot very/not at all optimistic
Party ID
Republican6634
Independent4357
Democrat4159
Age
18-294456
30-444654
45-595545
60+6040
Race/ethnicity
White5446
Black4258
Hispanic5050
Other/Multiple5446
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: How optimistic are you about our country’s future as a democracy?

Opinions of the founders

Taking a modern tool of public opinion back to the 18th century, respondents were asked how favorable or unfavorable their opinions were on eight prominent figures from the founding era. Six founders are all rated quite positively, though with variation in how many people are unfamiliar with them and modest variation in unfavorable opinion. Two other figures from the era are viewed negatively, but are also less well known.

Benjamin Franklin has the highest net favorability rating and is almost as well known as George Washington, who has the second-highest net favorability. Thomas Jefferson, principal author of the Declaration of Independence, has the third-highest rating and is also well known. These three stand together, although there is a 15-point gap in net favorability between Franklin and Jefferson, much more than the 2-point gap in their name recognition.

A second group of founders includes John Adams, Alexander Hamilton, and James Madison, each with net favorability close to 50 points, but with 21% to 28% saying they don’t know enough to have an opinion. Despite the popularity of the musical Hamilton, the author of much of the Federalist Papers falls below the top three figures in visibility. Each of these three, as with Washington and Jefferson, receives unfavorable ratings in the mid-teens.

One less-popular figure is Aaron Burr, eventual vice president and winner of a duel with Hamilton. Burr was also featured prominently in the Hamilton musical. He has a net -7 point favorability. Almost half of respondents say they haven’t heard enough about Burr to rate him.

Benedict Arnold, who fought with distinction for the Continental Army early in the revolution before defecting to the British in 1780 and leading British forces against the Americans, retains a strongly negative favorability rating after some 250 years. A third of respondents say they are unfamiliar with him.

The ratings of all these figures are shown in Table 8.

Table 8: Favorability to figures from the founding era

Among adults, ordered by net favorable

WhoFavorability
Net favorable minus unfavorableFavorableUnfavorableHaven’t heard enough
Benjamin Franklin758497
George Washington6881136
Thomas Jefferson6076169
John Adams53661321
Alexander Hamilton50641422
James Madison46591328
Aaron Burr-7222949
Benedict Arnold-38155332
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?

Modern political ideology has some influence on how we view the revolutionary-era figures. The ordering by net favorability is very similar regardless of ideology, but conservatives are more favorable to each of the six founders, as identified above (Franklin, Washington, Jefferson, Adams, Hamilton, and Madison), and liberals least favorable, with moderates falling in between. Unfavorable views of Washington and Jefferson, in particular, reach 19% and 27% respectively among liberals, while less than 10% among conservatives hold unfavorable opinions of them. The differences in net favorability between conservatives and liberals are rather large for Washington, Jefferson, Adams, and Madison, while somewhat smaller for Hamilton and Franklin. Moderates are also somewhat more likely to lack an opinion than are either conservatives or liberals. The full set of comparisons are shown in Table 9.

Table 9: Favorability to figures from the founding era, by ideology

Among adults

WhoFavorability
Net favorable minus unfavorableFavorableUnfavorableHaven’t heard enough
Benjamin Franklin
Conservative838965
Moderate738298
Liberal7081118
George Washington
Conservative808884
Moderate6277158
Liberal5574197
Thomas Jefferson
Conservative778587
Moderate57731611
Liberal3865278
John Adams
Conservative7077716
Moderate46591327
Liberal40602020
Alexander Hamilton
Conservative56681219
Moderate47591229
Liberal47651818
James Madison
Conservative6069921
Moderate39511237
Liberal37551826
Aaron Burr
Conservative-2252747
Moderate0212158
Liberal-24184240
Benedict Arnold
Conservative-38185626
Moderate-28174538
Liberal-50106030
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?

Presidential approval

Returning to the present, President Trump’s job approval rating is unchanged from May, with 38% approving and 62% disapproving. Approval has declined from poll to poll by small amounts, or remained steady, throughout Trump’s second term. In early February 2025, 48% approved and 52% disapproved. The trend of regular decline is shown for all Marquette Law School Poll national surveys is shown in Table 10.

Table 10: Trump job approval in second term

Among adults

Poll datesNet approve minus disapproveApproveDisapprove
6/9-15/26-243862
5/20-26/26-243862
4/8-16/26-213960
1/21-28/26-164258
11/5-12/25-144357
9/15-24/25-144357
7/7-16/25-104555
5/5-15/25-84654
3/17-27/25-84654
1/27-2/6/25-44852
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest: June 9-15, 2026
Question: Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

Over the second term, the intensity of support has declined notably and strong opposition has increased, with strong approval falling from 29% in February 2025 to 16% in this poll and strong disapproval rising from 40% to 47% over that time. This is shown in Table 11.

Table 11: Strength of Trump job approval in second term

Among adults

Poll datesStrongly approveSomewhat approveSomewhat disapproveStrongly disapprove
6/9-15/2616221547
5/20-26/2616221745
4/8-16/2617221248
1/21-28/2619231444
11/5-12/2521221344
9/15-24/2523201640
7/7-16/2523221144
5/5-15/2524221341
3/17-27/2526201341
1/27-2/6/2529191240
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest: June 9-15, 2026
Question: Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

Approval by party has declined across all partisan groups since February 2025, with smaller decreases among Republicans and larger decreases among independents. Republican approval has declined from 89% to 77%, while approval among independents has fallen from 37% to 20%, though that is up slightly from 16% among independents in May. Democratic approval has remained quite low throughout the second term, as shown in Table 12.

Table 12: Trump job approval in second term, by party identification

Among adults

Poll datesRepublicanIndependentDemocrat
6/9-15/2677206
5/20-26/2677167
4/8-16/2678206
1/21-28/2683246
11/5-12/2585255
9/15-24/2581278
7/7-16/2586387
5/5-15/2587318
3/17-27/25873210
1/27-2/6/2589379
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest: June 9-15, 2026
Question: Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

As with Republicans, approval among 2024 Trump voters has declined, from 94% shortly after the inauguration to 80% now.

There have been declines in support for Trump among groups that were important supporters in 2024.

Approval of Trump has fallen substantially among residents of the nation’s rural areas, with moderate declines in metropolitan areas and suburbs. In February 2025, 63% of rural residents approved of Trump’s handling of his job, but that has fallen to 44% as of June. Republican strength in rural America has been a hallmark of elections in recent years, so this decline in support is notable. Declines in support in central cities and counties that contain central cities have been smaller, by 9 percentage points in each. Approval is lower in the central cities at 31% than the 39% approval in the surrounding counties. Suburbs have seen a small decline, from 51% approval to 46%. Table 13 shows these results.

Table 13: Trump job approval in second term, by urban-rural residence

Among adults

Poll datesUrbanicity: Center cityUrbanicity: County of center cityUrbanicity: SuburbanUrbanicity: Rural
6/9-15/2631394644
5/20-26/2631364452
4/8-16/2634404641
1/21-28/2631445051
11/5-12/2531474853
9/15-24/2534464756
7/7-16/2537415862
5/5-15/2536485060
3/17-27/2535485761
1/27-2/6/2540485163
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest: June 9-15, 2026
Question: Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

White adults without a college degree were quite positive about Trump at the start of the second term, there has been a decline in approval among white, non-college men, together with a larger decline among white, non-college women, who are now below 50% approval at 45%. Among white adults with a college degree, approval has also declined by 8 or 9 points for both women and men. Among non-white adults, approval has declined from 36% in early 2025 to 29% now. These results appear in Table 14.

Table 14: Trump job approval in second term, by race, education and gender

Among adults

Poll datesWhite, non-college,
men
White, non-college, womenWhite, college,
men
White, college, womenNon-white 
6/9-15/266045333229 
5/20-26/265548413725 
4/8-16/266052453524 
1/21-28/266349473429 
11/5-12/256357463628 
9/15-24/256060454626 
7/7-16/257058413830 
5/5-15/256060393936 
3/17-27/256859433734 
1/27-2/6/256662424036 
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest: June 9-15, 2026
Question: Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

In 2024, Trump made gains in votes from younger voters. During the second term, he has suffered larger declines in approval among those between the ages of 18-29 and 30-45, while facing smaller declines with those 45 and older. The youngest group provided a sizable 40% approval rating at the beginning of the second term, but that fell quickly in the early months and has held below 30% throughout 2026. Opinion among 30-44 year olds has declined more steadily, falling from 47% approval initially to 32% now. Older groups have declined by 7 points for both those 45-59 and those over 60. These results are shown in Table 15.

Table 15: Trump job approval in second term, by age

Among adults

Poll dates18-2930-4445-5960+
6/9-15/2628324544
5/20-26/2622354147
4/8-16/2619394248
1/21-28/2628404251
11/5-12/2530384552
9/15-24/2526414454
7/7-16/2534415350
5/5-15/2535435150
3/17-27/2530435750
1/27-2/6/2540475251
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest: June 9-15, 2026
Question: Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

News sources and Trump approval

There is variation in approval by news source. Because people select news sources they find agreeable, this does not mean the news content is solely responsible for these differences. However, it is noteworthy that, for example, 46% of Republicans say they watch Fox News, versus 11% of Democrats, or 31% of Democrats say they watch CNN, compared to 12% of Republicans.

The Fox News audience is far more positive to Trump than other audiences, though those who listen to podcasts for political news are also much more positive than are adults as a whole. All other audiences are more disapproving than approving. Listeners to local radio stations are less negative than the average American, and the audience for local TV news is identical in approval to the population as a whole. Those who get news from social media, a very diverse set of sources, are slightly more disapproving than the general population. People who rely on traditional news sources of local newspapers, the three historical broadcast networks, national newspapers, and CNN are increasingly negative to Trump’s handling of his job. These comparisons are presented in Table 16.

Table 16: Trump approval, by news source

Among adults

News sourceApproval
Net approval minus disapprovalApproveDisapprove
Among all adults-243862
Fox news326634
Podcasts85446
Local radio station-144357
Local TV news-243862
Social media-283664
Local newspaper-343367
CBS News-422971
ABC News-462773
NBC News-522476
National newspapers-582179
CNN-621981
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey June 9-15, 2026
Question: Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
Question: Which of the following, if any, have you read, watched, or listened to in the past month for information about political news and current affairs?

About the Marquette Law School Poll

The survey was conducted June 9-15, 2026, interviewing 1,514 adults nationwide, with a margin of error of +/-2.7 percentage points. The poll conducted by the Roper Organization, cited above, was conducted June 12-19, 1976, and interviewed 2,004 adults nationally with a margin of error of +/-2.2 percentage points. The Roper Organization poll raw data were provided by the Roper Center data archive at Cornell University, with all analysis conducted by Marquette Law School Poll staff.

Interviews were conducted using the SSRS Opinion Panel, a national probability sample with interviews conducted online. Certain other data from this survey are held for future release. The detailed methodology statement, survey instrument, topline results, and crosstabs for this release are available on the Marquette Law Poll website.