Wisconsin Governor 2026 Outlook

Gov. Tony Evers announced July 24 that he will not seek a third term in 2026.

Evers has been the most consistently popular state politician in Wisconsin since his election in 2018. He has maintained an average approval rating above 50%, with disapproval averaging 41%. He is also better known and better liked than most other office holders in the state.

With Evers out of the race all the candidates in both the Democratic and Republican primaries will begin with very low name recognition and will need substantial campaign resources to introduce themselves to voters statewide.

A majority of registered voters in the June 2025 Marquette Law School poll said they would not like Evers to seek a third term, though over 80% of Democrats wanted him to run.

Should Evers run? (June 2025 MULawPoll)

Would you personally like to see Tony Evers seek a third term as governor in 2026?

Poll datesYesNoDon’t knowRefusedn
6/13-19/25425521873

Evers retains strong support for a third term with Democratic voters, 83% of whom support a third term bid, but 50% of independents oppose a third term as do a very large majority of Republicans.

Party IDYesNoDon’t knowRefusedn
Republican79300398
Independent375094106
Democrat831511363

Evers job approval history

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Tony Evers is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin?

Poll datesNetApproveDisapproveDon’t knowRefusedn
1/16-20/19173922381800
4/3-7/19104737150800
8/25-29/19205434101800
10/13-17/19185234131799
11/13-17/1954742101801
12/3-8/19125038111800
1/8-12/2011514090800
2/19-23/201351381011000
3/24-29/2036652961813
5/3-7/2026593371811
6/14-18/2016543861805
8/4-9/2020573760801
8/30-9/3/208514352802
9/30-10/4/2010524251805
10/21-25/207504370806
8/3-8/217504370807
10/26-31/21-1454681805
2/22-27/229504181802
4/19-24/226494371805
6/14-20/223484561803
8/10-15/222474581811
9/6-11/22-3444780801
10/3-9/22-2464851801
10/24-11/1/22-1464762802
6/8-13/2318573940913
10/26-11/2/237534620908
1/24-31/247514450930
4/3-10/248524430814
6/12-20/247514460871
7/24-8/1/247514450877
8/28-9/5/247514450822
9/18-26/242484650882
10/16-24/246514540834
2/19-26/255494460864
6/13-19/252484650873

Average approval: 50.4% Average disapproval: 41.2%

Number of poll with positive and negative net approval:

Net postive approval: 31 of 35 polls.

Net negative approval: 4 of 35 polls.

Approval by year

YearNetApproveDisapproveDon’t knowRefusedn
20191348351614800
2020165438717443
202124745711612
202224745715625
2023135542301821
202475144506030
202544945601737

Evers favorability

[Tony Evers] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <> or haven’t you heard enough about them yet?

Poll datesNetFavorableUnfavorableNot heard+DKHaven’t heard enoughDon’t known
2/25-3/1/1872013664818800
6/13-17/1852217614516800
7/11-15/18112514604614800
8/15-19/188312345379800
9/12-16/1893526392910800
10/3-7/1833835272251000
10/24-28/1803838241851400
1/16-20/1917412434286800
4/3-7/1913483517125800
8/25-29/1914493516115800
10/13-17/1912473518135799
11/13-17/192434115123801
12/3-8/198453717125800
1/8-12/208453717143800
2/19-23/2034340161241000
3/24-29/2026542817116813
5/3-7/201450361375811
6/14-18/20175437972805
8/4-9/201752351394801
8/30-9/3/20647411192802
9/30-10/4/20747401293805
10/21-25/20447431082806
8/3-8/21446421183807
10/26-31/21-342451294805
2/22-27/22647411174802
4/19-24/22547421073805
6/14-20/222444214112803
8/10-15/22546411266811
9/6-11/22045451073801
10/3-9/22-24446963801
10/24-11/1/22-24446963802
6/8-13/23135239981913
10/26-11/2/2385042871908
1/24-31/2475245330930
4/3-10/2455045550814
6/12-20/2485143660871
7/24-8/1/2495041990877
8/28-9/5/2464943880822
9/18-26/2495142760882
10/16-24/2454944770834
2/19-26/2504747760864
6/13-19/25-24547880873

Evers favorability by year

YearNetFavorableUnfavorableNot heard+DKHaven’t heard enoughDon’t known
2018631254333106400
2019124634201554800
2020114938131047443
20210444412841612
20223464311745625
20231051418711821
2024750436606030
2025-146478701737

Building name familiarity

Evers is now far better known than any of the potential Democratic or Republican candidates. His absence from the race levels the playing field with all candidates having to take time to build recognition. While candidates may be well known locally in their city or district, creating statewide name recognition requires extensive campaigning.

In February 2018, Evers was unknown to 66% of registered voters (who said they either hadn’t heard enough or didn’t know if they had a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him.) Even by July 2018 he was still unfamiliar to 60%. This is typical of non-incumbent candidates who must introduce themselves to voters statewide.

For comparison, in February 2022 Rebecca Kleefisch, after serving 8 years as Lt. Governor, was unfamiliar to 50%. In January 2019, following his election as Attorney General, Josh Kaul was not familiar to 77%. In June 2023, U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany was unfamiliar to 75%.

This Post Has One Comment

  1. Kristy

    I think Tony everd did a much better job then what looks like is on the table I hope they have better runners in mind or everyone’s gonna be banging Tony to come back

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.