The Unemployment Rate Is Worse Than You Think

Graph_down I have been telling students in my employment law class for years that the reported unemployment rate that so many in this country depend upon is a farce and does not nearly capture the full number of the people without jobs or underemployed in the United States.

Daniel Gross of Slate does a nice job explaining this latest form of voodoo economics:

It’s hard to overstate the poor numbers coming out of Wall Street in recent months. But could it be that we’re overstating the gravity of the situation? As job losses have mounted and consumer confidence has plunged, policymakers, news organizations, econo-pundits, and even some of my Slate colleagues have noted that the unemployment rate, which rose to 6.1 percent in September, seems to be at a nonrecessionary, noncatastrophic, low level. The unemployment rate is still below where it was in 2003; and between September 1982 and May 1983, the last very deep recession, it topped 10 percent . . . .

But maybe the employment data are much worse than they seem.

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LaRue and the Coming Avalanche of ERISA Fiduciary Litigation

401k_2 Not so much.

You may recall that after the Supreme Court in LaRue v. DeWolff, Boberg, and Associates found that individuals could bring breach of fiduciary claims against their plans for mismanagement of their 401(k) accounts, there were many who predicted that such 401(k) suits would overwhelm the courts and generally spell disaster for the judiciary of this country (I didn’t predict that, but I thought the principle of the holding was an important one).

Now, that coming avalanche of litigation might still happen in some world where the sky is green, but interestingly I just received word from DeWolff, Boberg’s Supreme Court advocate, Tom Gies of Crowell and Moring, that Mr. LaRue has voluntary dismissed his claim in the action recognizing that he could not meet the applicable statute of limitations.  Yup, that’s right. These claims are now so easy that Mr. LaRue decided he couldn’t proceed.  In short, these types of claims are still extremely difficult for plaintiffs to prevail upon — for one reason, because of the statute of limitation issue that bit Mr. LaRue in the behind — and all the doomsday prognostications to the contrary seem just a tad off.

Cross posted at Workplace Prof Blog.

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Priorities for the Next President: Tax Policy

One of the biggest priorities of the incoming President is to develop an economic plan.  Included in this economic plan will be the next President’s vision of the Internal Revenue Code and tax policy.   As illustrated by the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008, the Internal Revenue Code is frequently relied upon to influence behavior, including stimulation of the economy.  The 2008 Act included tax rebates for low- and middle-income taxpayers and tax benefits for businesses, with a substantial increase in the expensing limits of Internal Revenue Code § 179. Under § 179, taxpayers are allowed to claim a current deduction for the purchase of tangible personal property used in a trade or business instead of recovering the cost over time by claiming a depreciation deduction.  The maximum allowable deduction under § 179 is now $250,000, although that amount will be reduced to $128,000 in 2009.  The 2008 Act also created a new fifty-percent special depreciation allowance for certain property placed in service during 2008.  Unfortunately, the Act has done little to stabilize the economy, and the next President’s economic plan will also need to address the ailing stock and real estate markets and the overall financial crisis. 

In addition, the next President’s economic plan is particularly critical because it must address the fate of the numerous tax provisions that will sunset at the end of 2010. 

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