New Marquette Law School national survey finds high approval of Iran cease-fire, low support for the war, and few who think U.S. goals have been achieved

Also:

  • 93% say gas prices are up; in January 50% said they were down
  • 24% approve of Trump’s handling of inflation, with Republican support of his policies declining
  • Democrats lead in generic November congressional ballot by 4 points with registered voters; by 10 points with likely voters
  • Opposition to data centers is increasing among all partisan groups, and negative opinion of AI is high

MILWAUKEE – A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds 75% approve of the cease-fire in the U.S.-Iran war and 24% disapprove. At the same time, only 21% say the U.S. has achieved its goals in the war, while 78% say the goals have not been met. The public overall does not think that there were sufficient reasons for the war, with 63% saying there were not sufficient reasons and 36% saying there were.

There is bipartisan approval of the cease-fire that went into effect on April 7. Among Republicans, 82% approve of the cease-fire, as do 71% of Democrats and 67% of independents. There is also a bipartisan sentiment, with some partisan variation, that the goals of the war have not been achieved. Among Republicans, 64% say the United States has failed to achieve its goals, compared to 94% of Democrats and 78% of independents.

Bipartisanship breaks down on the question of the justification for the war. Seventy-one percent of Republicans say there was sufficient reason for the war, while 94% of Democrats say there was not. Among independents, 75% say there was not enough reason to go to war.

Thirty-two percent approve of the way President Donald Trump has handled the war, while 68% disapprove. Among Republicans, approval for Trump’s handling of the war stands at 65%, which is notably less than the 78% of Republicans who approve of Trump’s handling of his job as president in general. Among independents, 82% disapprove of Trump’s handling of the war, along with 96% of Democrats.

The survey was conducted April 8-16, 2026, interviewing 982 adults nationwide, with a margin of error of +/-3.4 percentage points. For registered voters, the sample size was 870, with a margin of error of +/-3.6. For likely voters, the sample size was 576, with a margin of error of +/-4.4 percentage points.

Feelings toward Iran are quite negative, with 12% having a favorable opinion, 73% holding unfavorable views, and 14% saying they haven’t heard enough to say. The U.S. partner in the war, Israel, is seen favorably by 33% and unfavorably by 54%, with 14% who say they haven’t heard enough. Views of Israel have turned more negative over the past year. In March 2025, 43% held favorable views of Israel, compared to 43% unfavorable, with 14% lacking an opinion.

Trump threatened to bomb bridges and power plants across Iran in the days before the cease-fire went into effect. These are seen as legitimate military targets by 38% of respondents, while 62% say they are primarily civilian infrastructure that should not be attacked. Sixty-six percent of Republicans view these as legitimate military targets, while 34% disagree. Among independents, 70% say these are civilian locations and should not be attacked, as do 88% of Democrats.

The Iran war comes after the United States has destroyed dozens of alleged drug-running boats in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific, sent military forces into Venezuela to seize President Nicolás Maduro in January, and threatened to take control of Greenland. Respondents were asked whether they support or oppose Trump’s use of the military to force change in other countries.

  • Thirty-two percent support this use of the military, while 68% are opposed.
  • As with approval of Trump’s handling of the Iran war, Republicans divide, though not evenly, with 64% in support of forcing change in other countries and 36% opposed.
  • Eighty-three percent of independents and 94% of Democrats are opposed to such use of military force.
  • In this poll, 68% of Republicans are favorable to MAGA and 30% are not favorable to the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement. Among Republicans favorable to the MAGA movement, 78% support using the military to force countries to change, while among Republicans who are not favorable to MAGA, 34% support this use of the military.

The public does not see the United States as a force for stability in the world. While 39% say the U.S. is a force for stability, 60% say it is causing instability. Here, too, there is a partisan divide, with 73% of Republicans who say the U.S. is a stabilizing force, while 72% of independents and 90% of Democrats say it is causing instability.

A majority, 57%, say it is better for the future of the country to take an active part in world affairs, while 43% say it is better to stay out of world affairs. Support for an active role peaked in March 2025 when 64% favored an active role in the world—the highest in 18 Marquette Law School Poll national surveys since 2022.

Partisan views of the U.S. role in the world have shifted during Trump’s second term. In February 2025, 55% of Republicans said the U.S. should be active in the world. That rose to 68% in this poll. Independents are most reluctant to support an international role, with support among independents declining from 54% in early 2025 to 32% this month. Democrats have consistently been most supportive of an active role across the previous 17 polls since 2022, but have shifted substantially, especially since the Iran war began. In February 2025, 71% favored an active role; that fell to 64% in January 2026 and to 54% in April.

Attention to news about the Iran war

The public has paid substantial attention to the Iran war. In April, 76% had read or heard a lot about the war, 21% had heard a little, and 3% had heard nothing at all. That is more attention than was paid to the U.S. airstrikes on Iran nuclear facilities in June 2025, when 63% said they had heard a lot in July.

The only comparably high levels of attention in polling during Trump’s second term have been to the imposition of tariffs in April 2025, when 81% said they had heard a lot, and the fatal shooting of Renee Good by an ICE officer in Minneapolis in January, when 76% had heard a lot. Democrats and Republicans are equally likely to say they heard a lot about the current Iran war, 82% and 80% respectively, while independents have paid considerably less attention, with 51% hearing a lot.

Attention is also relatively high concerning Iran limiting oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Sixty percent say have heard a lot about this, 27% have heard a little, and 13% have heard nothing at all. As with the war in general, Democrats and Republicans are equally attentive, while independents are much less so.

Significantly fewer Americans paid close attention to the rescue of two U.S. airmen whose airplane was shot down over Iran, leading to a large number of ground troops being dispatch inside Iran to rescue the second airman. About this, only 45% said they had heard a lot, 34% heard a little, and 21% heard nothing. While 58% of Republicans heard a lot about this, 39% of Democrats did, and just 24% of independents.

Gas and grocery prices and the economy

The public is strikingly aware of the change in gasoline prices since the Iran war began. In January, gasoline prices were a bright spot in views of the cost of living, with 50% saying prices had gone down over the previous six months, 29% saying prices had held steady, and just 21% saying they were paying more for gas.

Those views dramatically changed in April, when 93% say gas prices have increased, 5% say they’ve held steady, and just 2% say prices have declined. On this, there is agreement across all partisan categories: 90% of Republicans, 95% of independents, and 96% of Democrats agree prices have increased.

In addition to rising gasoline prices, 82% say the cost of groceries has gone up over the last six months, an increase from 70% in January. Grocery prices are said to be stable by 14% and are thought to have declined by 4%. In January, 11% thought their grocery bill was down. Republicans are less likely to say grocery prices are up, 68%, compared to 90% of independents and 93% of Democrats.

Opinion about the state of the economy also worsened from January to April. In April, 25% say the economy is excellent or good, down from 35% in January. Thirty percent say it is poor, up from 25% in January. The economy is seen as not so good by 46% in April, up from 40% in January.

The expectation of inflation over the next year has also worsened. In April, 70% think inflation will increase, up from 61% in January. Eighteen percent think it will stay about the same, and 13% think it will decrease.

The percentage of people who say they personally are better off than a year ago fell to 20% in April, from 28% in January. Those saying they are worse off rose slightly from 34% to 38%, and those saying they are doing about the same was 42% in April, up from 37%.

Most important issues

As has been the case in all six Marquette Law School national polls since March 2025, inflation and the cost of living is the issue that matters most to the public, with 30% citing it. In January, 38% chose inflation as the issue that mattered most. The decline however is in part due to the addition of the war with Iran in the April poll, which was picked as most important by 24%, the second most-cited issue. The next most common concern was the economy at 15%, followed by immigration and border security at 7%. Table 1 shows the full set of issue concerns from April and January. (All results in the tables are stated as percentages.)

Table 1: Most important issue

Among adults

Issue 
AprilJanuary
Inflation and the cost of living3038
The war between Iran, Israel and the United States24NA
The economy1517
Immigration and border security714
Medicare & Social Security69
Health care58
The size of the federal deficit33
Crime32
Abortion policy23
The war between Russia and UkraineNA1
Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys, latest: Apr. 8-16, 2026
Question: Which one of the following issues matters MOST to you right now?

Trump handling of issues

Confidence that Trump’s policies will decrease inflation has fallen by nearly half since December 2024, the month after he was reelected. At that time, 41% thought his policies would lower inflation, but in April 2026 only 23% think this. At the end of 2025, 45% thought his policies would increase inflation. In the current poll, 62% think his policies will drive inflation up. Another 15% say his policies won’t affect inflation, the same percentage as in December 2025.

This loss of confidence in Trump’s inflation policies has been especially pronounced among Republicans and independents. In December 2024, 76% of Republicans expected him to reduce inflation, but in this poll just 50% of Republicans still think so. Independents were not nearly so optimistic at the end of 2024, when 28% thought Trump would lower inflation, but only 5% think so now. Democrats never believed he would cut inflation: just 8% in the month after he was reelected and 2% now.

Respondents were asked, “Regardless of specific policies, how much do you trust Donald Trump to make the right decisions for the country?” Confidence has declined from 45% who completely or mostly trusted him in March 2025 to 39% now, with those who completely or mostly not trusting him rising from 55% to 61% in April.

Approval of how Trump is handling his job as president stands at 39%, against 60% who disapprove, for a net approval rating of -21 percentage points. The approval rating is a new low for the second term, down from 42% approval in January 2026; it was 48% in February 2025, at the start of his second term.

Among Republicans, Trump’s approval is 78%, down from 89% at the start of his second term. This is the first time GOP approval has fallen below 80%. Approval among independents is 20%. Among Democrats, it is 6%.

On specific issues, approval ranges from 52% on border security to 24% on inflation. All issues other than the border have more disapproval than approval, with handling of immigration at 44% approval and approval of tariffs, the economy, the war with Iran, and inflation getting lower approval than Trump’s overall approval of how he handles his job (39%). Trump’s handling of inflation gets the lowest net approval rating of all issues, at -52 points. The full set of issues are shown in Table 2.

Table 2: Trump job approval across issues

Among adults

IssueNet approve minus disapproveApproveDisapprove
Border security55247
Immigration-114455
Overall-213960
Tariffs-313465
The economy-363268
The war with Iran-363268
Inflation/cost of living-522476
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey, Apr. 8-16, 2026
Question: Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
Question: Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues?

Trump’s approval within each partisan group also varies considerably across issues. Among Republicans, approval ranges from 90% for his handling of border security to 48% for handling inflation, the first time GOP approval has been below 50% on this item. Among independents, no topic wins as much as 40% approval, and none reach 20% among Democrats. The full results are shown in Table 3.

Table 3: Trump job approval across issues, by partisan identification

Among adults

IssueAll adults approveRep approveInd approveDem Approve
Border security52903918
Immigration44813410
Overall3978206
Tariffs3471144
The war with Iran3265164
The economy3264155
Inflation/cost of living244875
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey, Apr. 8-16, 2026
Question: Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
Question: Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues?

Views of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) remain negative, with 39% who approve of how ICE is enforcing immigration laws and 61% who disapprove. In January, 40% approved and 60% disapproved.

Favorability to Trump administration figures

Opinion of members of the Trump administration varies considerably, and by partisanship. Favorability ratings of the president and vice president, along with Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, former Attorney General Pam Bondi, and FBI Director Kash Patel find each with more unfavorable than favorable ratings among all adult respondents, as seen in Table 4. Rubio and Vance have the least negative ratings, followed by Hegseth, Patel, and Trump, with Bondi seen the most unfavorably.

Table 4: Favorability to administration officials

Among adults

OfficialFavorablity
NetFavorableUnfavorableHaven’t heard enough
Marco Rubio-12334522
JD Vance-1339529
Pete Hegseth-21254629
Kash Patel-22254728
Donald Trump-2238601
Pam Bondi-39195824
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey Apr. 8-16, 2026
Question: Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?

Their ratings are considerably more favorable among Republicans, with all except Bondi having a net positive favorability, as shown in Table 5. Each of the cabinet secretaries is considerably less well known than the president or vice president.

Table 5: Favorability to administration officials, among Republicans

Among Republicans

OfficialFavorablity
NetFavorableUnfavorableHaven’t heard enough
JD Vance6379165
Donald Trump5879211
Marco Rubio51671617
Pete Hegseth33532027
Kash Patel31532225
Pam Bondi0373726
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey Apr. 8-16, 2026
Question: Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?

Opinion of the parties and vote for Congress in November

Both political parties are seen negatively, with the Republican party faring better than the Democrats. Thirty-seven percent approve of how Republicans in Congress are doing their job, while 30% approve of the job congressional Democrats are doing. Similarly, 38% have a favorable opinion of the Republican party and 34% are favorable towards the Democratic party. Views of the Republican party have worsened over the year since March 2025 when 46% were favorable, while favorable views of the Democratic party were the same in March 2025 as in April 2026.

Democrats are less positive about the job Democrats in Congress are doing than are Republicans about the congressional GOP. Among Democrats, 55% approve of Democrats in Congress, while among Republicans 71% approve of their party in Congress. This asymmetry between partisans accounts in part for the lower rating of Democrats in Congress. Both partisan camps very strongly disapprove of the other party: 92% of Democrats disapprove of Republicans in Congress and 91% of Republicans disapprove of congressional Democrats.

Looking ahead to the November congressional elections, among registered voters, 48% say they would vote for the Democratic candidate and 44% would vote for the Republican. An additional 6% say they would vote for neither, and 1% say they would not vote. The slight Democratic advantage increases among likely voters, i.e., those who say they are certain they will vote, to 53% for the Democratic candidate to 43% for the Republican candidate.

While Democrats are less approving of their congressional party, they are slightly more likely to vote for a Democratic candidate than are Republicans to vote for the Republican candidate, 96% and 92% respectively, among registered voters, and 97% to 93% among likely voters.

Democrats hold an advantage in plans to vote in November, with 77% of Democratic registered voters saying they are certain to vote while 65% of Republicans are equally likely to cast a ballot. A similar difference appears for enthusiasm about voting in November, with 50% of Democrats saying they are very enthusiastic compared to 33% of Republicans, among registered voters. This turnout and enthusiasm advantage boosts Democrats’ edge among those most likely to participate in the fall elections.

Each party has developed internal differences. Among Republicans, 68% have a favorable opinion of MAGA, the Make America Great Again movement, while 30% have an unfavorable opinion of MAGA and just 3% haven’t heard enough. The “non-MAGA Republicans” combine both the unfavorable and “haven’t heard enough” groups. The size of the MAGA Republicans peaked in May 2025 at 80% of the GOP. The MAGA Republicans remain much more positive to Trump and his policies than do non-MAGA Republicans, giving Trump a 95% approval rating compared to 43% among non-MAGA Republicans. While some MAGA media figures have been critical of the Iran war and other Trump actions, this has not moved the MAGA base. In contrast, the non-MAGA Republicans are quite critical of Trump and some of his policies.

On the Democratic side, the rise of progressive candidates and opinions in the party is seen in the 41% of the party who have a favorable opinion of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA). Eighteen percent of Democrats are unfavorable, and 40% say they haven’t heard enough. The “non-DSA Democrats” include the unfavorable and the “haven’t heard enough” Democrats. This division in the party does not matter for views of Trump or support for Democratic candidates in November. More than 93% of both Democratic camps disapprove of Trump’s job performance, and more than 95% of registered voters who identify as Democrats say they will vote for the Democratic candidate.

There is, however, a considerable divide among Democrats in political ideology between the DSA and non-DSA parts of the party. Among those Democrats favorable to the DSA, 43% describe themselves as very liberal and 25% call themselves moderate. Among Democrats not favorable to the DSA (including those without an opinion of it), 15% consider themselves very liberal and 47% say they are moderate.

Similarly, MAGA Republicans are more likely to describe themselves as very conservative or somewhat conservative, whereas a slim majority of non-MAGA Republicans call themselves moderate. The full relationship between party factions and ideology, including MAGA and DSA identification within the respective parties, is shown in Table 6.

Table 6: Ideology by party and factions

Among adults

Party & factionIdeology
Very conservativeSomewhat conservativeModerateSomewhat liberalVery liberal
Republican, MAGA37461520
Republican, Non-MAGA14335120
Independent5146478
Democrat, Non-DSA38472715
Democrat, DSA18252343
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey Apr. 8-16, 2026
Question: Generally speaking, how would you describe your political views?

NASA and the moon

The Artemis II mission sent three Americans and a Canadian around the moon at the same time as some of the interviews for this poll. The mission was launched on April 1, prior to the start of interviews, and returned to earth April 11, before the end of interviews. Respondents have a positive opinion of NASA, with 77% favorable, 13% unfavorable, and 10% who haven’t heard enough. NASA has bipartisan support, with 81% favorable rating from Republicans and 82% from Democrats, and 55% favorable from independents, 23% of whom say they haven’t heard enough.

Favorable views of NASA are higher among those 60 years old and over as shown in Table 7.

Table 7: Favorability to NASA, by age

Among adults

AgeFavorability
FavorableUnfavorableHaven’t heard enough
18-29751213
30-4474188
45-59751511
60+8389
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey Apr. 8-16, 2026
Question: [NASA] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?

NASA also enjoys highly favorable ratings across race, gender, and education groups, with more than 70% favorable in each category. College graduates, men, and white respondents are somewhat more favorable, although all groups are quite positive. The full results are shown in Table 8.

Table 8: Favorability to NASA, by race, education, and sex

Among adults

Race, education, sexFavorability
FavorableUnfavorableHaven’t heard enough
White, non-college, men81144
White, non-college, women711316
White, college, men9433
White, college, women85105
Non-white721612
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey Apr. 8-16, 2026
Question: [NASA] Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following or haven’t you heard enough yet to have an opinion?

The Artemis mission drew substantial attention, with 56% saying they heard or read a lot about it, 34% a little, and 10% nothing at all. Those who heard a lot were more favorable to NASA than those who heard less, with those less attentive being more likely to say they didn’t have an opinion of NASA, rather than a negative one.

While NASA’s image is quite positive, there is a much more even divide over the goal of trips to the moon and establishment of a permanent base there. Forty-six percent support a moon base, while 54% say this is not something the country should do. Here there is only a small partisan difference of opinion, with 53% of Republicans in favor of a moon base, while 55% of Democrats are opposed. Independents, however, are substantially opposed, with 72% against a moon base.

Majorities of each age group under 60 years old are opposed to a moon base, while a slim majority (54%) of those age 60 or older favor a base. Men are also slightly in favor of a base, while women are more opposed, as are nonwhite respondents.

Data centers, AI, tech companies, social media use, and a billionaire tax

A substantial majority (69%) of adults say the costs of data centers outweigh their benefits, while 30% say the benefits are greater. This represents an increase in skepticism about data centers since January, when 62% saw costs as greater than benefits and 37% said benefits are greater.

This opposition is bipartisan, with 62% of Republicans, 76% of Democrats, and 73% of independents saying the costs are greater than the benefits. This opinion increased across each partisan group. In January, 53% of Republicans, 70% of Democrats, and 65% of independents saw costs greater than benefits.

Doubts over the costs of data centers are only slightly related to income, education, age, or region of the country. Liberals are more likely to say the costs outweigh the benefits than are conservatives, but majorities of all ideological groups think the costs are greater.

Opinion of data centers was measured with a pair of questions asked of a random half sample each. One item began “Tech companies like Google and Meta (Facebook) are investing billions . . . ,” while the other question omitted mention of the companies, beginning “Companies are investing billions . . . .” Among those asked about Google and Meta, 72% said the costs outweigh the benefits, while those to whom the companies were not mentioned were slightly less likely (67%) to say costs are greater. This difference falls short of statistical significance, and the two responses have been combined for the analysis above and to follow.

Views of data centers are strongly related to views of artificial intelligence. Seventy percent of adults say the development of AI is a bad thing for society, and 30% say it is a good thing. Of those who think AI is a good thing, 62% say the benefits outweigh the costs of data centers. Among those who say AI is a bad thing, 83% say the costs outweigh the benefits.

Those who say they have used an AI app in the last month are less negative about the effect of AI on society than are non-AI users, although majorities of both AI users, 60%, and non-users, 85%, say AI is a bad thing for society.

Despite this negative view of AI, a majority of adults, 61%, say they have used an AI app in the last month. Respondents were asked about use of eight AI apps. OpenAI’s ChatGPT had the highest usage at 39%, followed by Google’s Gemini at 23%. AI mode in search engines was the third most frequent use of AI at 22%. The full list of AI use is shown in Table 9.

Table 9: Use of AI apps

Among adults

AI appUse of AI
Percent
ChatGPT (Open AI)39
Gemini (Google)23
AI mode in search engines22
Copilot in Microsoft applications12
Claude (Anthropic)6
Grok (xAI)4
Some other AI app3
Perplexity3
Doesn’t use any AI39
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey Apr. 8-16, 2026
Question: Which of the following artificial intelligence (AI) apps have you used in the past month? (Choose all that apply)

Use of AI increases with education. Forty-nine percent of high school graduates say they used AI in the last month, rising to 68% of college graduates and to 75% of those with post-graduate degrees.

Democrats and Republicans are equally likely to use AI, 62% and 64% respectively, with independents a little less likely to use AI, 55%.

Two giant tech companies offer contrasting public images. Google is seen favorably by 56% and unfavorably by 37%, with 7% who haven’t heard enough. YouTube, owned by Google’s parent company, is the most widely used social media app in this poll, with 75% who say they have used it in the last week. Among YouTube users, Google’s favorable rating is 56%, the same as among all adults. There are only small partisan differences in views of Google, with 56% of Republicans and 54% of Democrats holding a favorable view and a slightly more positive 63% among independents.

For Meta, formerly known as Facebook, opinion is more negative, with 28% favorable, 63% unfavorable, and 10% having not heard enough. (In the question, the company was identified as “Meta (Facebook)”.) Among Facebook users, 59% were unfavorable, as were 63% of Instagram users, another Meta company but one not mentioned in the text of the question. In this poll, 69% of adults say they use Facebook and 48% use Instagram. Partisan differences are also modest in views of Meta. Among Republicans, 31% are favorable, as are 24% of Democrats and 27% of independents.

In April, two juries delivered verdicts holding Meta (Facebook) and YouTube liable for harm to young users of their social media apps. Relatively few people had heard much about these decisions, with 18% having heard a lot about this, 53% a little, and 29% nothing at all. Opinions of Meta were unrelated to how much or little had been heard of these jury verdicts. Those who heard nothing at all were a bit more favorable to Google, 62%, than those who heard a lot or a little, 54%

Social media has thoroughly permeated the public. Only 6% of adults say that they haven’t used any of the nine social media platforms asked about in the poll in the prior week. The most widely used is YouTube at 75%, followed by Facebook at 69% and Instagram at 48%. The usage rate of each of the social media covered in this poll is shown in Table 10.

Table 10: Social media apps used in the last week

Among adults

Social media appUse of social media
Percent
YouTube75
Facebook69
Instagram48
TikTok31
Reddit23
X/Twitter20
Snapchat18
Truth Social3
Bluesky2
None of these6
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey Apr. 8-16, 2026
Question: Which of the following sites or apps, if any, have you used in the past week?

There are generally modest partisan differences in use of the major social media platforms. Of the most used apps, there are small partisan gaps in YouTube and Facebook use. Democrats are more likely to use Instagram than Republicans, and to a lesser degree TikTok and Reddit, due in part to greater use among the young who also lean more Democratic. Among the apps with substantial political content, Republicans and Democrats are equally likely to use X, formerly known as Twitter. Republicans have Truth Social virtually to themselves, while Democrats are much more likely to use Bluesky than are Republicans. These results are shown in Table 11.

Table 11: Social media apps, by party identification

Among adults

Social media appUsers by party identification
Among all adultsRepublicanIndependentDemocrat
YouTube75736978
Facebook69756964
Instagram48404558
TikTok31263734
Reddit23172229
X/Twitter20221222
Snapchat18171719
Truth Social3700
Bluesky2115
None of these6793
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey Apr. 8-16, 2026
Question: Which of the following sites or apps, if any, have you used in the past week?

Age has a much larger influence on choice of social media than does partisanship. While YouTube use is fairly even across age groups, differences are seen on Facebook. Those under 30 are substantially less likely to use Facebook than those 30 and older. Instagram, TikTok, Reddit, and Snapchat are each substantially more popular among younger than older adults. X is also more widely used among younger groups, while Truth Social is much more appealing to older people. Age differences are small for Bluesky. These results are shown in Table 12.

Table 12: Social media apps used, by age

Among adults

Social media appUsers by age
Among all adults18-2930-4445-5960+
YouTube7580777967
Facebook6955737471
Instagram4867565030
TikTok3156362816
Reddit2335341612
X/Twitter2033221416
Snapchat183727125
Truth Social31127
Bluesky21423
None of these634410
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey Apr. 8-16, 2026
Question: Which of the following sites or apps, if any, have you used in the past week?

California may vote on a proposed referendum in November that would impose a one-time 5% tax on the net worth of those with more than $1 billion. The referendum must gather enough signatures to be placed on the ballot, which has not yet occurred. Other states are considering various kinds of additional taxes on the very wealthy. In this survey, respondents were asked whether they favor or oppose a “special additional tax on billionaires.” This is favored by 73% and opposed by 27%. Majorities of each partisan group favor such a tax, though support is less among Republicans, 56%, than among independents, 69%, or Democrats, 91%.

Confidence in elections

Seventy percent say they are very or somewhat confident that the votes in the November elections in their state will be accurately cast and counted, while 30% say they are not too or not at all confident in the accuracy of the election. Confidence in high for both Republicans, 72%, and Democrats, 78%, but a slight majority of independents are not confident, 55%.

Respondents trust state and local officials more to ensure fair and accurate elections than the federal government, 73% to 26%. Here there is a substantial partisan divide. Among Republicans, 55% trust the state more, while 72% of independents and 92% of Democrats have more trust in state and local officials. Among those who are not confident in the accuracy of the election, a majority, 60%, trust state officials more, while, among those who are confident in the election accuracy, 79% trust state officials more than federal.

The SAVE America act, which is pending before the Senate, among other things would require proof of citizenship to register to vote and has been strongly supported by the president. There is considerable suspicion of non-citizen voting among the public. Seventeen percent say non-citizens often vote, and 30% say this happens sometimes. A small majority, 53%, say this never or hardly ever happens. The belief that non-citizens commonly vote is strongly related to partisanship, with a large majority of Republicans saying that this happens at least sometimes and 53% of independents agreeing. A large majority of Democrats say non-citizens never or hardly ever vote. The full relationship is shown in Table 13.

Table 13: Non-citizen voting, by party identification

Among adults

Party IDNon-citizen voting
Never/Hardly everSometimesOften
Republican254332
Independent443815
Democrat85132
Marquette Law School Poll, national survey Apr. 8-16, 2026
Question: In your state, how often do you think non-citizens illegally vote?

Those who believe that non-citizens vote sometimes or often give extremely large estimates of how many non-citizens vote in elections in their state. Forty-four percent of those who think non-citizens vote sometimes or often believe that more than 10,000 votes are cast by non-citizens in their state, and among those who think non-citizens often vote, 41% believe this exceeds 100,000 votes in their state.

The requirement to prove citizenship in order to register or re-register to vote has been adopted in several states and would become a national requirement under the SAVE America act. Proof of citizenship typically requires a passport, birth certificate, or proof of naturalization. In this survey, 85% say they have either a passport or a birth certificate in their possession, and 7% possess a naturalization certificate. Eight percent say they do not have a passport and do not have a birth certificate in their possession and would have to get a copy from the state where they were born in order to register. Among those who say they are not registered to vote, 14% lack a passport or birth certificate in their possession.

A potential complication for those relying on a birth certificate to register is a name that has legally changed since birth, thus requiring additional proof of identity. Among women who are currently or have been married, 59% have changed their names from what appears on their birth certificate. Among men who have ever been married, 96% have not changed their name.

The public is evenly divided on how easy absentee voting by mail should be. Fifty-two percent say it should be easy for everyone to do, while 48% say it should be limited to those physically unable to vote in person or who are travelling out-of-town on election day. There are sharp partisan differences, with 76% of Republicans saying absentee voting by mail should be limited, while 83% of Democrats say it should be easy for all. Independents are evenly divided, with 47% saying it should be easy for all and 51% saying it should be limited.

Twenty-eight percent say they have voted by mail in half or more of recent elections, while 17% have done so once or twice and 46% have never voted absentee by mail. An additional 9% say they haven’t voted or aren’t registered.

Among those who have voted most often by mail, 73% say it should be easy for everyone to do so, as do 60% of those who have voted by mail once or twice. For those who have never voted by mail, 63% say mail voting should be limited to those physically unable to vote in person or who are travelling.

About the Marquette Law School Poll

The survey was conducted April 8-16, 2026, interviewing 982 adults nationwide, with a margin of error of +/-3.4 percentage points. For registered voters the sample size is 870, with a margin of error of +/-3.6. For likely voters the sample size is 576 with a margin of error of +/-4.4 percentage points. Interviews were conducted using the SSRS Opinion Panel, a national probability sample with interviews conducted online. Certain other data from this survey (focusing on those about public views of the Supreme Court) are held for release on April 23. The detailed methodology statement, survey instrument, topline results, and crosstabs for this release are available on the Marquette Law Poll website.

New Marquette Law School Poll finds majorities of registered voters  still undecided in Wisconsin Supreme Court race, with Taylor leading Lazar among likely voters

Also:

  • Wisconsinites divided on election accuracy, but trust state and local officials over federal officials to run fair elections

Please note: Complete Poll results and methodology information can be found online at law.marquette.edu/poll

MILWAUKEE – A new Marquette Law School Poll of Wisconsin finds registered voters have begun to tune into the state Supreme Court election on April 7, but many remain undecided. Chris Taylor is the choice of 23% and Maria Lazar is supported by 17%, while 53% remain undecided and 7% say they won’t vote. In February, 66% were undecided with 17% for Taylor and 12% for Lazar.

Among likely voters, those who say they are certain to vote in April, 30% support Taylor and 22% favor Lazar, with 46% undecided. In February among likely voters, 22% supported Taylor and 15% chose Lazar, with 62% undecided.

More Republicans than Democrats remain undecided among registered voters. Republicans heavily prefer Lazar and Democrats heavily prefer Taylor. Independents lean to Taylor, though a sizable group of independents say they won’t vote in the Supreme Court election, as shown in Table 1. (All results in the tables are stated as percentages.)

Table 1: Supreme Court vote, by party identification

Among registered voters

Party IDVote choice
Maria LazarChris TaylorHaven’t decidedWill not vote in that election
Among all registered voters1723537
Republican306596
Independent11164923
Democrat543483
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: If the April 7 election for Wisconsin Supreme Court were being held today and the candidates were (Maria Lazar) and (Chris Taylor), for whom would you vote, or haven’t you decided yet, or will you not vote in that election?

The survey was conducted March 11-18, 2026, interviewing 850 Wisconsin registered voters, with a margin of error of +/-4.4 percentage points. For likely voters, the sample size is 597 with a margin of error of +/-5.3 percentage points.

Among likely voters, there are fewer undecided in each partisan category, though half of independents remain undecided. Republicans and Democrats are more strongly aligned with each candidate among likely voters, as shown in Table 2, than among all registered voters (as shown above in Table 1).

Table 2: Supreme Court vote, by party identification

Among likely voters

Party IDVote choice
Maria LazarChris TaylorHaven’t decidedWill not vote in that election
Among all likely voters2230461
Republican447482
Independent1726506
Democrat550430
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: If the April 7 election for Wisconsin Supreme Court were being held today and the candidates were (Maria Lazar) and (Chris Taylor), for whom would you vote, or haven’t you decided yet, or will you not vote in that election?

Registered voters have become somewhat more familiar with both candidates since October, though more than 60% continue to say they haven’t heard enough to have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each candidate. These results are shown in Table 3.

Table 3: Favorability of Supreme Court candidates

Among registered voters

Poll datesFavorability
Name IDNet favorableFavorableUnfavorableHaven’t heard enough
Lazar
3/11-18/2631-5131868
2/11-19/2622-491377
10/15-22/2515-17884
Taylor
3/11-18/26355201564
2/11-19/26255151074
10/15-22/2516-27983
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin surveys, latest: Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of [INSERT NAME] or haven’t you heard enough about them yet?)

Similarly, the number of those saying they have a clear idea of what each candidate stands for has increased since October, but a large percentage remain either unclear or haven’t heard enough, as shown in Table 4.

Table 4: Clear idea what Supreme Court candidates stand for

Among registered voters

Poll datesClear idea
Have a clear ideaNot clear what she stands forHaven’t heard enough
Lazar
3/11-18/26252451
2/11-19/26152362
10/15-22/25102169
Taylor
3/11-18/26282052
2/11-19/26212159
10/15-22/25111969
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin surveys, latest: Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: In the election for the Wisconsin Supreme Court, do you have a clear idea of what Maria Lazar stands for, or are you not clear about what she stands for, or have you not heard enough about her yet?
Question: In the election for the Wisconsin Supreme Court, do you have a clear idea of what Chris Taylor stands for, or are you not clear about what she stands for, or have you not heard enough about her yet?

There has been an increase in the percentage who say they have heard or read a lot about the Supreme Court race since February, though it still falls far short of attention to the state Supreme Court race in 2025. In March, 12% have heard a lot, up from 6% in February. In February 2025, however, 39% had heard a lot about that race.

More voters have heard “just a little” about this year’s Court race, 57%, slightly changed from 55% in February. Those who have heard nothing at all has declined from 38% in February to 31% in March.

A substantial majority (75%) of registered voters incorrectly believe that this election can tip the ideological balance on the Court. In the 2025 court election, the ideological balance could have tipped depending on the outcome, and 83% correctly believed that. This year, to use terms commonly found in the press and popular discussion, liberals hold a 4-3 majority, with a retiring conservative justice, so the majority will either remain unchanged or increase to five liberals. In 2025, a retiring liberal justice on the 4-3 court meant that the ideological balance on the Court could have flipped had the conservative candidate won.

There is a considerable Democratic advantage in engagement with the Court election across several measures. Among Democrats, 77% say they are certain to vote, while 59% of Republicans and 53% of independents are certain they will vote. In February, Democrats had a smaller turnout advantage, with 73% certain to vote, as were 67% of Republicans and 62% of independents. With two weeks to go before the election, citizens may yet become mobilized to vote, but, in this survey’s measure, Democrats have the advantage.

Similarly, Democrats express greater enthusiasm for voting, with 51% saying they are very enthusiastic about voting in the April election, compared to 32% of Republicans and 19% of independents who say that.

A final measure of engagement is those saying the outcome of the Supreme Court election is very important to them. Among Democrats, 65% say it is very important, while 46% of Republicans and 24% of independents say the same.

This Democratic advantage in engagement with the court election is larger than a small Democratic edge in attention to politics in general. Among Democrats, 65% say they follow what’s going on in politics most of the time, only a little more than for Republicans at 60%. Independents are much less likely to follow politics than are partisans, with just 38% of independents saying they follow politics most of the time.

The attacks on Iran and use of the military

A majority, 61%, say they disapprove of the U.S. military attacks on Iran, ordered by President Donald Trump, that began on Feb. 28, while 39% approve of the action. Table 5 shows opinion by party identification, with three-quarters of Republicans approving of the attacks, almost all Democrats disapproving, and more than 70% of independents disapproving as well.

Table 5: Approval of attacks on Iran, by party identification

Among registered voters

Party IDApproval
ApproveDisapprove
Among all registered voters3961
Republican7524
Independent2773
Democrat397
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Combined responses to: ‘Do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. military attacks on Iran?’ and ‘Do you approve or disapprove of President Trump ordering the U.S. military attacks on Iran?’

Approval of the attacks on Iran was asked as a split-sample wording test, with half being asked if they approve of “U.S. military attacks on Iran” and half asked about “President Trump ordering U.S. military attacks on Iran.” The differences in results for the two wordings are small and not statistically significant, as shown in Table 6. For this reason, the answers are combined in the analysis above.

Table 6: Approval of attacks on Iran, by Trump mentioned or not

Among registered voters

Question wordingApproval of attacks on Iran
ApproveDisapprove
No Trump mention4059
Trump mention3762
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. military attacks on Iran?
Question: Do you approve or disapprove of President Trump ordering the U.S. military attacks on Iran?

Some conservatives, such as Tucker Carlson, have criticized the attacks on Iran, raising questions of a potential split between Trump supporters. To examine how Republicans may differ on the Iran war, we distinguish Republicans who say they are favorable to the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement, making up 78% of all Republicans, from those Republicans who are not favorable to MAGA, comprising 22% of all Republicans. MAGA Republicans are far more approving of the attacks on Iran, while a substantial majority of non-MAGA Republicans disapprove of the attacks, as shown in Table 7. Dissent within the GOP comes from those not part of the MAGA base, not from those who regard themselves as part of the MAGA movement.

Table 7: Approval of attacks on Iran, by MAGA or non-MAGA Republicans

Among Republican registered voters

MAGA or non-MAGAApproval of attacks on Iran
ApproveDisapprove
Rep, MAGA8811
Rep, Non-MAGA2872
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Combined responses to: ‘Do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. military attacks on Iran?’ and ‘Do you approve or disapprove of President Trump ordering the U.S. military attacks on Iran?’ Question: [The Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of <<INSERT NAME>> or haven’t you heard enough about them yet?

Prior to the attacks on Iran, in his second term, Trump has ordered the military to seize Venezuela’s president Nicolás Maduro and ordered air strikes on Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Somalia, and Nigeria, in addition to discussing possible use of the military to take possession of Greenland. To measure public reaction to these uses of the military, aside from the Iran situation, respondents were asked whether they support or oppose Trump using the U.S. military to force changes in other countries. This question was asked earlier in the survey than the questions on Iran.

Thirty-five percent support using the military to force change in other countries, while 64% are opposed. Table 8 shows these responses by party identification, with Republicans divided by those who are favorable to MAGA and those not favorable to MAGA. The MAGA Republicans strongly support the use of force, while Republicans who are not favorable to MAGA are very similar to independents, with large majorities opposed to the use of force. Virtually all Democrats oppose using the military to force change in other countries.

Table 8: Use of military to force change, by party and MAGA

Among registered voters

Party ID with MAGAApproval of use of military force
SupportOppose
Republican, MAGA8316
Republican, Non-MAGA2080
Independent2278
Democrat397
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: In general, do you support or oppose President Trump using the U.S. military to force changes in other countries?

Trump’s overall job approval in March is 42% with 56% disapproving, a 2-point decline in approval and 2-point increase in disapproval from February. This brings his net approval (approve minus disapprove) to -14 percentage points. The previous lowest net approval of Trump in his first or second term was -12 points in September 2018. Table 9 shows Trump’s approval in his second term.

Table 9: Trump job approval

Among registered voters

Poll datesJob approval
NetApproveDisapprove
3/11-18/26-144256
2/11-19/26-104454
10/15-22/25-74653
6/13-19/25-54752
2/19-26/25-34851
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

Trump retains his strong approval among Republicans, but his approval among independents has fallen to 26% and almost all Democrats disapprove, as shown in Table 10.

Table 10: Trump approval, by party identification

Among registered voters

Party IDJob approval
NetApproveDisapprove
Among all registered voters-144256
Republican698415
Independent-402666
Democrat-97198
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

Tariffs

On Feb. 20, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that Trump did not have the authority to impose tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). In this survey, 59% favor this decision, while 40% oppose it. A majority of Republicans oppose the ruling, while majorities of independents and Democrats are in favor, as shown in Table 11.

Table 11: Court decision on tariffs, by party identification

Among registered voters

Party IDFavor or oppose Court ruling
FavorOppose
Among all registered voters5940
Republican2773
Independent7128
Democrat927
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: As you may have heard, on February 20, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that President Trump did not have the authority to impose tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). Do you favor or oppose this decision?

Trump has said he will reimpose tariffs under the authority of other laws. This is opposed by 60% and favored by 40%.

More Wisconsinites believe tariffs harm the U.S. economy rather than help it, an opinion that has been relatively stable during Trump’s second term, as shown in Table 12.

Table 12: Do tariffs help or hurt the economy

Among registered voters

Poll datesTariffs help or hurt
Helps US economyHurts US economyDoesn’t make much difference
3/11-18/26305317
10/15-22/25335511
6/13-19/25315710
2/19-26/25325116
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: In general, do you think imposing tariffs or fees on products imported from other countries helps the U.S. economy, hurts the economy, or doesn’t make much of a difference either way?

A larger share of respondents say tariffs hurt Wisconsin farmers, with relatively few who believe tariffs help farmers. About a quarter say tariffs don’t make much of a difference. This trend is shown in Table 13.

Table 13: Do tariffs help or hurt Wisconsin farmers

Among registered voters

Poll datesTariffs help or hurt farmers
Helping Wisconsin farmersHurting Wisconsin farmersNot making much of a difference
3/11-18/26166024
2/11-19/26175526
10/15-22/25166220
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Do you think tariffs are helping or hurting Wisconsin farmers, or not making much of a difference either way?

Voters view Trump’s policies as more likely to increase inflation, 59%, than to decrease it, 28%, while 12% think his policies will have no effect on inflation. In February, 53% said Trump’s policies will increase inflation, and 35% thought his policies would decrease inflation. Table 14 shows opinion on inflation during Trump’s second term.

Table 14: Will Trump’s policies decrease or increase inflation

Among registered voters

Poll datesPolicy effect on inflation
Decrease inflationIncrease inflationHave no effect on inflation
3/11-18/26285912
2/11-19/26355311
10/15-22/25305712
6/13-19/25315512
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Do you think Trump’s policy proposals will decrease inflation, increase inflation, or have no effect on inflation?

Approval of U.S. and Wisconsin Supreme Courts

In this poll, Wisconsin voters have a negative view overall of the U.S. Supreme Court, with 37% approving of the Court and 55% disapproving. A majority of Republicans approve of the Court, while a majority of independents disapprove, as do a larger majority of Democrats, as shown in Table 15.

Table 15: U.S. Supreme Court approval, by party identification

Among registered voters

Party IDApproval of U.S. Supreme Court
ApproveDisapproveDon’t know
Among all registered voters37558
Republican61308
Independent265718
Democrat13815
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way the United States Supreme Court is handling its job?

The Wisconsin Supreme Court is viewed more favorably than the U.S. Supreme Court, with 46% approving, 37% disapproving, and 17% saying they don’t know. More people lack an opinion of the state Court than of the federal Court. And there is a smaller though still substantial partisan divide over the state court than over the federal court. Approval of the state court by party identification is shown in Table 16.

Table 16: Wisconsin Supreme Court approval, by party identification

Among registered voters

Party IDApproval of Wisconsin Supreme Court
ApproveDisapproveDon’t know
Among all registered voters463717
Republican305515
Independent433225
Democrat641917
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way the Wisconsin state Supreme Court is handling its job?

Illegal immigration and ICE

Voters are asked two questions about deporting immigrants who are in the country illegally. One asks without qualification if the respondent favors deporting those in the country illegally. The other question adds the qualification “even if they have lived here for a number of years, have jobs, and no criminal record?” There has been a small decline in support for deportations without qualification from February to March, from 64% to 57%, while there has been only a one-percentage-point change in support for deportations with the qualifications added to the question, from 40% to 39%. The trends with both these question wordings are shown in Table 17.

Table 17: Favor or oppose deportations, by question wording

Among registered voters

Poll datesFavor or oppose
FavorOppose
“Deport” without qualifications
3/11-18/265743
2/11-19/266436
6/13-19/255643
2/19-26/256138
10/16-24/246039
8/28-9/5/246535
7/24-8/1/246434
4/3-10/245639
“Deport” with qualifications
3/11-18/263960
2/11-19/264060
6/13-19/254456
2/19-26/255050
10/16-24/243960
8/28-9/5/244951
7/24-8/1/244455
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin surveys, latest: Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Do you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries?
Question: Do you favor or oppose deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally back to their home countries even if they have lived here for a number of years, have jobs and no criminal record?

Favorable views of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) have only slightly changed from 41% in February to 40% in March, while unfavorable views edged up from 52% in February to 55% in March.

Election integrity

Seventy-seven percent of Wisconsin registered voters are very or somewhat confident that votes in this November’s election will be accurately cast and counted, with 23% who are not too or not at all confident. This is little-changed from prior to the 2022 midterm election, when 77% were confident and 20% were not confident in the election.

Substantial majorities of Republicans, independents, and Democrats are confident in the accuracy of this fall’s election, though Republicans are least confident. This is shown in Table 18.

Table 18: Confidence in November election, by party identification

Among registered voters

Party IDConfidence in election accuracy
Very/somewhat confidentNot too/not at all confident
Among all registered voters7723
Republican6634
Independent7327
Democrat919
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: How confident are you that, here in Wisconsin, the votes in this November’s election will be accurately cast and counted?

Regardless of general confidence in the accuracy of the upcoming election, 43% say election officials sometimes or often submit false vote counts, while 57% say this never or hardly ever happens.

A substantial majority of Republicans think election officials submit false vote counts sometimes or often, while a small majority of independents and a large majority of Democrats say this happens never or hardly ever. This is shown in Table 19.

Table 19: How often election officials report false vote count, by party identification

Among registered voters

Party IDFalse vote count
Never/hardly everSometimes/often
Among all registered voters5743
Republican3168
Independent5545
Democrat8614
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: In Wisconsin, how often do you think election officials submit false vote counts?

On voting by non-citizens or non-Wisconsin residents, 47% say this happens sometimes or often, while 53% say it happens never or hardly ever. Republicans are much more likely to say this happens sometimes or often, while independents are evenly divided. A large majority of Democrats say this never or hardly ever occurs, as shown in Table 20.

Table 20: How often do non-citizens/non-residents vote, by party identification

Among registered voters

Party IDNon-citizen/non-resident voting
Never/hardly everSometimes/often
Among all registered voters5347
Republican2080
Independent5148
Democrat919
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: In Wisconsin, how often do you think non-citizens or non-Wisconsin residents illegally vote?

Despite the level of distrust of election officials and suspicion of voting by non-citizens or non-residents, a large majority of respondents, 79%, say they trust Wisconsin state and local officials more than the federal government to ensure fair and accurate elections, while 20% trust the federal government more.

As with confidence in the accuracy of the fall election, a majority of Republicans, 61%, have greater trust in state and local officials, as do 80% of independents and 99% of Democrats, as shown in Table 21.

Table 21: Trust state or federal officials more to ensure accurate & fair election, by party identification

Among registered voters

Party IDTrust to ensure fair election
Wisconsin state and local election officialsThe federal government
Among all registered voters7920
Republican6138
Independent8018
Democrat991
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Whom do you trust more to ensure that elections in Wisconsin are conducted fairly and accurately?

State issues

Data Centers

Data centers continue to be seen as creating more costs than benefits. This has hardly changed since February, when a large shift against data centers was seen, compared to October 2025, as shown in Table 22.

Table 22: Benefits vs costs of data centers

Among registered voters

Poll datesBenefits vs costs
The benefits of the data centers outweigh the costsThe costs of the data centers outweigh the benefits
3/11-18/263069
2/11-19/262970
10/15-22/254455
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin surveys, latest: Mar. 11-18, 2026
Feb./Mar. Question: There are several large data centers being proposed or under construction in Wisconsin. Which comes closer to your opinion, even if neither is exactly right:
Oct. Question: There are several large data centers being proposed or under construction in Wisconsin though Microsoft recently announced it would not build one after facing community opposition. Which comes closer to your opinion, even if neither is exactly right:

Majorities of each partisan category say the costs of data centers outweigh the benefits, but there has been some change in partisan positions since February. Republicans have become slightly more opposed than they were previously, while independents and Democrats are slightly less opposed than previously. This contrasts with October when there were no partisan differences, as shown in Table 23.

Table 23: Benefits and costs of data centers, by party identification

Among registered voters

Poll datesBenefits vs. costs
The benefits of the data centers outweigh the costsThe costs of the data centers outweigh the benefits
Republican
3/11-18/263762
2/11-19/264355
10/15-22/254553
Independent
3/11-18/262969
2/11-19/262476
10/15-22/254355
Democrat
3/11-18/262277
2/11-19/261585
10/15-22/254256
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin surveys, latest: Mar. 11-18, 2026
Feb./Mar. Question: There are several large data centers being proposed or under construction in Wisconsin. Which comes closer to your opinion, even if neither is exactly right: the benefits of the data centers outweigh the costs or the costs of the data centers outweigh the benefits
Oct. Question: There are several large data centers being proposed or under construction in Wisconsin though Microsoft recently announced it would not build one after facing community opposition. Which comes closer to your opinion, even if neither is exactly right: …

Sixty-nine percent of those polled in Wisconsin say artificial intelligence (AI) is being developed too quickly, while 29% say it is moving at the right pace and 2% say it is progressing too slowly. In February, 73% said AI was moving too quickly. Of those who say AI is moving too quickly, 79% say the costs of data centers outweigh the benefits. Those who say AI is moving at about the right pace are evenly divided on data centers, with 50% saying the benefits outweigh the costs of data centers and 49% say the costs outweigh the benefits.

K-12 school funding

The poll included a number of questions concerning K-12 school funding.

Asked which is more important, a majority of registered voters, 58%, say they are more concerned about property taxes, while 41% are more concerned about funding for K-12 public schools. In February, 60% were more concerned about property taxes.

Registered voters are evenly divided over Gov. Tony Evers’ use of his partial veto in 2024 to require increases in school spending limits for the next 400 years. As between two answers provided: Forty-eight percent say this was necessary to support public schools, while 52% say his veto will require tax increases each year. In February, 49% said the veto was necessary and 50% said it will require tax increases.

Forty-seven percent say they would prefer a one-time payment directly to taxpayers to offset property taxes, while 52% say they would prefer an increase in ongoing state aid to schools to reduce the need for property tax increases.

Forty-eight percent say they would vote for a referendum to increase taxes for schools in their community, while 51% say they would vote against such a referendum. In February, 43% said they would vote for a referendum and 57% would vote against it.

While the public is divided on funding for schools, a majority, 59%, are very or somewhat satisfied with the job their local public schools are doing, while 40% are somewhat or very dissatisfied.

A constitutional amendment to ban the use of partial vetoes to create or increase taxes or fees is set for the November ballot. This survey asked a broader question:

Wisconsin governors have long had the power to cast a partial veto of budget legislation. This allows them to strike out individual words or sentences, in some cases significantly changing the effect of the legislation. Do you think this is an appropriate power for governors to have, or does it give too much power to governors to change the intent of the legislature?

To this question, 39% say the partial veto is an appropriate power, while 61% say it gives too much power to governors.

Issue concerns

Seventy-five percent of respondents say they are very concerned about inflation and the cost of living. Health insurance drew the second-highest response, with 63% saying they are very concerned about it. Sixty percent said they were very concerned about jobs and the economy.

Between 51% and 57% of people said they were very concerned about affordability of housing, public schools, and illegal immigration. Somewhat less concern is expressed for property taxes, gun violence, and abortion policy, each with between 47% and 43% very concerned. The issue of least concern is “crime in your community,” with 28% very concerned. The full set of responses is shown in Table 24.

Table 24: Issue concerns

Among registered voters

IssueConcern
Very concernedSomewhat concernedNot too concernedNot at all concerned
Inflation and the cost of living752150
Health insurance632773
Jobs and the economy6027121
Affordability of housing573084
Public schools5233122
Illegal immigration & border security5124196
Property taxes4735162
Gun violence45301312
Abortion policy4331189
Crime in your community28273213
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: How concerned are you about each of the following?

There are substantial partisan differences in issue concerns. Republicans are much more concerned with immigration and border security than are Democrats, with independents the least concerned. Property taxes are also of greater concern to Republicans, as is, to a lesser degree, crime in the community. Democrats express more concern with all the other issues than do Republicans, and are much more concerned with gun violence, inflation, affordability of housing, and health insurance than are Republicans. The comparisons by party are shown in Table 25.

Table 25: Issue concerns by party identification

Among registered voters

IssuePercent very concerned by party ID
All registered votersRep-Dem differenceRepublicanIndependentDemocrat
Illegal immigration & border security5145772533
Property taxes4713534740
Crime in your community288331625
Public schools52-19444663
Abortion policy43-22342556
Jobs and the economy60-28476075
Health insurance63-29505680
Affordability of housing57-33425875
Inflation and the cost of living75-34568391
Gun violence45-40264066
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: How concerned are you about each of the following?

Most important issue

In addition to level of concern about issues, respondents were asked which one issue is most important to them. Inflation tops this list at 35%. The second most important issue is illegal immigration and border security, picked by 14%, followed by health insurance at 11%. The full list is shown in Table 26.

Table 26: Most important issue

Among registered voters

Issue 
Percent most important
Inflation and the cost of living35
Illegal immigration and border security14
Health insurance11
Jobs and the economy9
Property taxes7
Affordability of housing6
Abortion policy5
Public schools5
Gun violence5
Crime in your community2
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Which one of the following issues matters MOST to you right now?

Gubernatorial candidates

Registered voters have generally not heard much about the governor’s race, with 8% hearing a lot, 56% hearing a little, and 35% hearing nothing at all. This is unchanged from February when 8% had heard a lot and 35% nothing at all.

Most of the gubernatorial candidates are unfamiliar to most voters. Only former Lt. Gov. and 2022 U.S. Senate candidate Mandela Barnes and Rep. Tom Tiffany have a name ID of 50% or above. Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, state Rep. Francesca Hong, and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley each have name ID above 20%, while all other candidates are below 20%.

The name ID and favorability of all candidates among registered voters are shown in Table 27.

Table 27: Favorability of gubernatorial candidates

Among registered voters

Candidate 
Name IDNet FavFavorableUnfavorableHaven’t heard enough
Republican Primary
Tom Tiffany502262450
Andy Manske14-641086
Democratic Primary
Mandela Barnes56-6253143
Sara Rodriguez320161668
Francesca Hong28-2131572
David Crowley23-591476
Kelda Roys18-471181
Brett Hulsey17-941383
Missy Hughes16-651183
Joel Brennan15-551084
Zachary Roper14-831185
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Here are some people running for governor. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of [INSERT NAME] or haven’t you heard enough about them yet?
Note: Name ID is the percentage that have either a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the candidate. Net favorable is the percentage favorable minus the percentage unfavorable.

More than half of registered voters say they haven’t decided on a candidate in either the Republican or Democratic gubernatorial primary. For the Republicans, 54% haven’t decided and for the Democratic primary, 65% haven’t picked a candidate.

In the Republican primary, 40% support Tiffany and 6% chose Andy Manske.

On the Democratic side, Hong is the choice of 14% and Barnes is supported by 11%, with all others below 5%, as shown in Table 28.

Table 28: Democratic primary vote choice

Among Democratic primary voters

Candidate 
Percent
Haven’t decided65
Francesca Hong14
Mandela Barnes11
David Crowley3
Sara Rodriguez3
Joel Brennan2
Kelda Roys1
Missy Hughes1
Brett Hulsey0
Zachary Roper0
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey, Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: In the Democratic primary for Governor, will you vote for, and please bear with me as I read the 9 candidates] …

Attorney General candidates

Attorney General Josh Kaul, a Democrat, has a name ID of 43%, with 25% rating him favorably and 18% rating him unfavorably.

Fond du Lac County District Attorney Eric Toney, a Republican, has a name ID of 23%, with 12% favorable and 11% unfavorable.

Approval of governor, legislature, and Wisconsin Supreme Court

Approval of the job Evers is doing as governor slipped to 47% from 49% in February. Evers’ approval since February 2025 is shown in Table 29.

Table 29: Evers job approval

Among registered voters

Poll datesApproval
NetApproveDisapproveDon’t know
3/11-18/26047476
2/11-19/26449456
10/15-22/25550455
6/13-19/25248465
2/19-26/25549446
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin surveys, latest: Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Tony Evers is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin?

Approval of how the Wisconsin legislature is handling its job ticked down to 39% from 41% in February, with disapproval rising to 48% from 44%. The trend since February 2025 for approval of the legislature is in Table 30.

Table 30: Legislature job approval

Among registered voters

Poll datesApproval
NetApproveDisapproveDon’t know
3/11-18/26-9394813
2/11-19/26-3414415
10/15-22/25-11395011
6/13-19/25-9415010
2/19-26/25-11384913
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin surveys, latest: Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way the Wisconsin legislature is handling its job?

The Wisconsin Supreme Court has held a net positive approval rating in polling since 2023, with approval at 46% and disapproval at 37% in March. That is down from 49% approval in February. The full trend is shown in Table 31.

Table 31: Wisconsin Supreme Court job approval

Among registered voters

Poll datesApproval
NetApproveDisapproveDon’t know
3/11-18/269463717
2/11-19/2615493416
10/15-22/256453915
6/13-19/2511493813
2/19-26/259463716
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin surveys, latest: Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way the Wisconsin state Supreme Court is handling its job?

Favorability of political figures

Evers is seen favorably by 46% and unfavorably by 46%, while Sen. Tammy Baldwin follows with 43% favorable and 47% unfavorable. Sen. Ron Johnson’s favorable rating is 36% and unfavorable is 44%.

The full set of favorability ratings is shown in Table 32.

Table 32: Favorability to state and national political figures

Among registered voters

Political figureFavorability
Net FavFavorableUnfavorableHaven’t heard enough
Tony Evers046469
Tammy Baldwin-4434710
Ron Johnson-8364420
JD Vance-1140519
Donald Trump-1542571
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of [INSERT NAME] or haven’t you heard enough about them yet?

Favorability to political groups

Both political parties have negative net-favorability ratings, though the Democratic party is seen more negatively than the Republican party. The MAGA movement’s rating is more negative than that of the Republican party, as shown in Table 33.

Table 33: Favorability to political organizations

Among registered voters

Political organizationFavorability
Net FavFavorableUnfavorableHaven’t heard enough
The Republican Party-1042525
The MAGA movement-1838566
The Democratic Party-2335586
Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin survey Mar. 11-18, 2026
Question: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of [INSERT NAME] or haven’t you heard enough about them yet?

About the Marquette Law School Poll

The Marquette Law School Poll is the most extensive statewide polling project in Wisconsin history. This survey was conducted March 11-18, 2026, interviewing 850 Wisconsin registered voters, with a margin of error of +/-4.4 percentage points. For likely voters, the sample size is 597 with a margin of error of +/-5.3 percentage points. To cover more subjects, a number of items where asked of random half-samples of 423 and 427 registered voters with a margin of error of +/-6.3 percentage points. The sample size for Republican primary voters is 396, with a margin of error of +/-6.3 percentage points. The sample size for Democratic primary voters is 393, with a margin of error of +/-6.7 percentage points.

Half-sample items:

  • Concern about issues
  • Satisfaction with public schools, reduce property taxes or increase school spending, vote for or against school referendum, property tax refund or increase state aid to schools, 400-year partial veto, deporting immigrants in U.S. illegally, tariffs help or hurt the economy, tariffs helping farmers, Trump policy decreasing inflation

The survey was conducted with a hybrid sample of 619 respondents selected from the Wisconsin voter registration list, and 231 selected from the SSRS Opinion Panel, a sample drawn from postal addresses across the state and invited to take part in surveys online. The survey was conducted online with 771 respondents and with 79 by telephone with a live interviewer. Full details of the methodology are contained in the methodology statement at the link below.

The partisan makeup of the sample is 36% Republican, 32% Democratic, and 32% independent. When independents who lean to a party are counted as partisans, the sample is 46% Republican, 42% Democratic, and 12% independent. In all polls conducted in 2025 and 2026, the combined samples were 36% Republican, 32% Democratic, and 32% independent. Counting independents who lean to a party as partisans, the 2024 samples were 46% Republican, 42% Democratic, and 13% independent. The entire questionnaire, methodology statement, full results, and breakdowns by demographic groups are available on the Marquette Law Poll website.