Quirk in Major League Baseball Tiebreaker Rules Could Produce Surprise Post-Season Result
The addition of a second wild card team to the Major League Baseball playoffs, combined with an unusually large number of close division races, has created a blistering array of possibilities, even though there are, as I write this on Sunday morning, only four days left in the regular season. The possibilities are greatest in the American League where eight teams are still in contention for the three division championships and the two wild card spots, and no team has clinched a place in the post-season. (In contrast, in the National League, four of the five post-season qualifiers have been established.) Not only is it possible that all three American League Divisions could end with ties for first place, it is also possible that as many as four teams could end up tied for the two wild card positions. On September 9, a seemingly endless list of rules pertaining to playoff tiebreakers was posted on Major League Baseball’s webpage, www.mlb.com (http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20120907&content_id=38029316&vkey=news_mlb_nd&c_id=mlb). The term “playoff game” is a more narrow term in baseball than it is in other professional team sports. Major League Baseball uses the term “playoff games” to refer only to those extra games required to determine which teams qualify for “post-season” games like the League Championship Series and the World Series. Moreover, it has long been the rule that “playoff games” count as part of the regular season, both in terms of player statistics and team won-lost records. However, post-season wins and losses and individual player statistics are compiled separately from those of the regular season. For example, in 1959, the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Milwaukee Braves ended the regular season tied for first place in the National League with identical records of 86-68 (in a 154 game season). The Dodgers then won a best-two-of-three-game playoff by a margin of two games to none. Consequently, the Dodgers were officially credited with a final won-lost record of 88-68, and the Braves, 86-70. In addition, all pitching and batting performances in those two games were added into the players’ 1959 totals, although the statistics compiled by Dodger players during the subsequent World Series were not. More recently, in 2007, the Colorado Rockies and the San Diego Padres tied for the then-one NL wild card spot with records of 89-73. The Rockies defeated the Padres, 9-8, in a one-game playoff, a victory which raised their regular season record to 90-73. In that game, Rockies left-fielder Matt Holiday went 2-6 with a triple and two rbi’s, which lowered his league-leading batting average from .3397 to .3396, but increased his league leading hit and rbi totals to 216 and 137, respectively. Holliday’s league-leading totals included statistics from the playoff game. How the application of the “playoff games count as regular season games” might affect the tiebreaker system can be seen in the following example. Assume that the Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees both drop their four remaining contests, while Tampa Bay wins its final four games. Assume also that Texas splits…